Cairns (QLD) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cairns (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sunday 11 October 2026

Race 4 — Family Of League Raceday 22Nd November Plate (C3) 950m · jumps 3:15 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,CL3-SW,Class 3
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Devine Force (4)

2.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Nosey Neo

Offmidfield

6Sugarfire
7Cincincity

Midfield

8Frilly Filly
4Devine Force

Offpace

3Colonel Parker

Leader

5Lady Potato Head

Nosey Neo · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Colonel Parker · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Devine Force · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Lady Potato Head · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Nosey NeoJ: Aidan Holt·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe360kg8 8 7 9 219: 3-5-016.004.60

Career

19: 3-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
4: 0-3-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
12: 3-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
11: 3-2-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Ewan1000m26 Sept 2026 · CL51L
9Townsville1200m5 Mar 2026 · BM55 · SOFT56.6L
7Mackay1200m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD45.7L
8Townsville1000m3 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD417.2L
8Townsville1400m6 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT58.1L
9Townsville1000m28 Dec 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT75.8L
7Rockhampton1200m9 Dec 2025 · 3Y HCP · GOOD410.6L
13Townsville1200m7 June 2025 · 2Y-SW · SOFT513.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the Hcp (C5) at Ewan for new stable. Sterner task awaits.

ILB

Finished 2nd last start at Ewan but rising in weight. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Few more classier types in this race.

Good effort when close up in a handicap (Ewan) last month on debut for this trainer; can be in the thick of things if replicating most recent run.

RSIS

Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Ewan but carrying more weight than last time. Might be ridden for luck.

2Smart MissionScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Ex Kevin Miller. Trained here now. Battled home into 5th in the small field at Rockhampton when in the market. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

First up and displayed a good turn of foot when winning first up last preparation at Rockhampton. First start for a new trainer but back to a shorter trip.

RSIS

Resuming and picked up late to win resuming last preparation at Rockhampton. Coming to a new trainer but dropping in distance.

3Colonel ParkerJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: Bodine Bailey158.5kg3 3 1 1 218: 2-5-55.002.35

Career

18: 2-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-3-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Innisfail
1: 0-0-0
Track Gordonvale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1
Going Unknown
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
10: 1-3-3

Last starts

2Townsville1400m16 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD40.6L
1Townsville1200m31 May 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.3
1Gordonvale1100m9 May 2026 · MDN-SW-4.3
3Townsville1400m28 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT73.3L
3Townsville1609m13 Dec 2025 · CL1 · GOOD42.2L
4Cairns1400m4 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT75.5L
3Cooktown1290m8 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW1.7L
8Cairns950m2 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD45.05L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ryan Wiggins in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 15%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Saluted at Gordonvale first-up last prep. Can show early speed. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Tidy run when 2nd last time at Townsville and will appreciate a good alley. Stable is in form. Represents value in this race.

Produced a string of consistent efforts; good effort when close up over 7f at Townsville (handicap) in June.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Nice run when 2nd last time at Townsville and will appreciate a good stall. Bodine Bailey stable are on fire recently. One of the value chances in this race.

4Devine ForceJ: Sean Cormack·T: F J Wieland258kg11 3 2 3 117: 3-1-32.001.34

Career

17: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
6: 2-0-0
Track Cairns
4: 1-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-1-2
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-2
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Cairns950m4 Apr 2026 · BM60 · HEAVY10-1.8
3Cairns950m26 Mar 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY93.1L
2Cairns950m12 Mar 2026 · BM68 · HEAVY80.5L
3Cairns950m16 Feb 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY80.7L
11Sunshine Coast1200m26 Dec 2025 · BM65 · SOFT56.4L
3Gold Coast1000m6 Dec 2025 · BM65 · GOOD41.4L
7Doomben1110m19 Nov 2025 · BM68 · GOOD44.3L
2Doomben1000m6 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Fred Wieland striking at just 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (27-weeks). Drawn to get an economic trail. Looms large first-up.

ILB

Resuming after a break of 27 weeks. Ran over the top of them when winning last run around here and gets a favourable draw. Has the ratings to win this.

Won a handicap by just under 2l six months ago; returns from a layoff here; deserves respect.

RSIS

Fresh after a 27 week break. Dashed home to win last start at this track on a heavy rated track and gets a favourable draw. Should go very close.

5Lady Potato HeadJ: Ben Kennedy·T: Maria Potiris458kg1 4 6 3 817: 3-3-34.802.25

Career

17: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Mornington
3: 1-0-1
Track Pakenham
5: 1-2-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-2-2
Distance 1415m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
12: 1-3-1
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

8Geelong1512m14 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD34.9L
3Mornington1500m17 Dec 2025 · BM70 · GOOD41.9L
6Caulfield Heath1800m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
4Caulfield1600m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT65.1L
1Pakenham1600m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT5-2.8
5Mornington1500m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
1Mornington1500m5 Sept 2025 · 0 - 62 · SOFT5-0.1
4Geelong1312m22 Aug 2025 · 0 - 64 · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (38-weeks). Ex P Stokes in Victoria. Should press forward. Big watch under new trainer off the lengthy break.

ILB

Resumes from a 38 week spell. Was $7.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Geelong. Giving another chance here and matched against a less competitive field. Can win this.

This is her grade; not disgraced when eighth in January at Geelong in a handicap; returns from a layoff; first start for stable.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 38 weeks. Odds of 6/1 and faded to finish 8th last run at Geelong. Expecting improvement here and competing in a lower grade. Has definite claims.

6SugarfireJ: Adam Sewell·T: Bodine Bailey656.5kg3 3 3 1 518: 2-2-64.802.25

Career

18: 2-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 1-2-3
Going Soft
7: 1-0-3

Last starts

5Dalby2000m18 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.9L
1Ipswich1710m4 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT5-0.4
3Gunnedah1400m24 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53L
3Muswellbrook1500m1 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.3L
3Muswellbrook1500m20 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.8L
3Muswellbrook1450m6 Apr 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.6L
5Newcastle1200m23 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT65.5L
4Scone1000m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.5L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Ex Annabel & Rob Archibald. Trained here now. Consistent recent preparation. Could get into the placings fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Back from a break. Started $4.80 and ran 5th last start at Dalby and back in trip. First race for a new trainer. Might be ridden for luck. Can't recommend.

Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in fifth) in a handicap at Dalby upped to 1m2f in June; runs for a new stable here; this looks a fair heat so has questions to answer.

RSIS

First run back. Started 4/1 and ran 5th last time at Dalby and coming back in trip. First start for a new trainer.

7CincincityJ: Lauren Guernier·T: F J Wieland755kg8 4 8 5 316: 1-3-417.004.80

Career

16: 1-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-1-0
Track Atherton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-2-3
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Cairns1250m23 July 2026 · BM55 · SOFT70.6L
5Townsville1200m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.3L
8Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM606.6L
4Atherton1200m13 June 2026 · BM500.82L
8Cairns1250m29 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT55.9L
1Horsham1200m24 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
5Kyneton1454m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD36.6L
3Burrumbeet1350m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Fred Wieland striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (80-days). Led and fought on bravely in rain affected going for third this track over longer assignment. Locally trained but not as well drawn this time. One for exotics fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break. Big effort to finish 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at the track but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Dropping weight. Minor claims.

Cracking effort in defeat when close third here over 6f (handicap) in July.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 3rd last start at the track but back to a shorter trip.

8Frilly FillyJ: Masayuki Abe·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe555kg11: 1-0-015.004.60

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 1-0-0
Distance 820m
1: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Ewan820m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+-0.79

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Impressed in her first outing running on in good style to score. Nice opening run but this is a sterner test.

ILB

Strong performance to win by 3/4L last start at Ewan and fitter for debut run. Will show up at the business end.

Sprang 9-1 debut surprise (4f, Ewan) last month; every chance.

RSIS

Displayed potential when winning by 3/4L last time at Ewan and having second race start. Winning chance.

Odds correct as at 4:10 am AEDT. Odds can change.