Cairns (QLD) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cairns (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sunday 11 October 2026

Race 5 — Great Northern Brewing Co Hcp (55) 950m · jumps 3:50 pm AEDT

Race notes

0 - 55,0 - 55 HCP,Restricted 55
GOOD4
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Speedy Target (3)

3.00

Most career wins

Kitema

5-1-2 from 31 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Middle Child

Offmidfield

7Stateswoman

Midfield

4Kitema
2Laser Beam

Offpace

6Willingale

Onpace

5Magic Sunny Day

Leader

1Haphazard
3Speedy Target
9Power Puff

Haphazard · Negative
Trainer SR
Louise Terzi striking at just 9%
Laser Beam · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.
Speedy Target · Negative
Trainer SR
Alex Malliff striking at just 9%
Kitema · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1HaphazardJ: Isabella Teh·T: Louise Terzi760kg1 8 6 3 89: 1-1-26.002.10

Career

9: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-2
Track Townsville
3: 0-0-0
Track Cooktown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
5: 1-1-2
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Townsville1000m18 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT54.34L
3Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT72L
6Cairns950m26 Mar 2026 · BM55 · HEAVY95.9L
8Townsville1000m13 Dec 2025 · 0 - 55 · GOOD43L
1Cairns950m25 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.6
4Cooktown1000m8 Nov 2025 · BM504.1L
2Cairns950m2 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.23L
3Cairns950m12 Oct 2025 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Louise Terzi striking at just 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Townsville after lengthy absence. Fitter second-up. Can go forward. Worth a look back in a country Restricted 55.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and looked outclassed when 8th last start at Townsville and bit of extra work to do with more weight. Should muster plenty of early speed. Respect the betting.

This C&D holds no fears; he can be competitive at this level; not beaten too far when eighth at Townsville last month; likely player as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Townsville and rising in weight. Has plenty of early pace. Can't leave out of your calculations.

2Laser BeamJ: Samantha Pointon·T: A G Malliff559kg5 3 7 3 542: 4-6-77.502.40

Career

42: 4-6-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Garnett
1: 0-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1180m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
13: 3-2-2
Going Good
15: 0-2-2

Last starts

5Ewan1000m26 Sept 2026 · CL52.76L
3Bowen1000m15 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD42.22L
7Mareeba1210m5 Sept 2026 · BM553.6L
3Innisfail1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM551.65L
5Atherton1000m25 July 2026 · 0 - 554.7L
8Townsville1000m5 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD43.6L
11Cairns1250m26 Mar 2026 · 0 - 55 · HEAVY911.96L
6Townsville1200m27 Feb 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD43.7L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 12% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Alex Malliff striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -20%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Ewan. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Started at $31.00 and ran 5th last start at Ewan and going up in weight. This won't be easy.

Wasn't beaten that far when fifth (beaten just under 3l, Ewan) last month; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and came in 5th last run at Ewan and has to carry more weight this time.

3Speedy TargetJ: Ben Kennedy·T: A G Malliff159kg8 8 1 2 228: 3-6-23.001.34

Career

28: 3-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Walcha
1: 0-0-1
Track Atherton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
14: 1-3-2
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-0

Last starts

2Ewan1000m25 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD0.1L
2Bowen1000m15 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD41.71L
1Mareeba1000m5 Sept 2026 · 0 - 50-0.1
8Atherton1000m25 July 2026 · 0 - 5514.1L
8Port Macquarie1004m4 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT73.7L
7Coffs Harbour1005m28 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY109.2L
12Coffs Harbour1010m1 Mar 2026 · CL3 · SOFT59.3L
7Coffs Harbour1000m15 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY85.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Alex Malliff striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Looked likely but had a real fight on his hands and just missed at Ewan. Good gate speed, soft draw. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Right in the mix last run at Ewan and drawn the rails. Likely to be well placed early. Capable of winning this.

Has been fairly consistent lately; beaten narrowly at Ewan behind Willingale last month.

RSIS

Competed in a tight contest last time at Ewan and drawn the rails. Should muster plenty of early toe. One of the punters top hopes.

4KitemaJ: Sean Cormack·T: A R Bailey358.5kg4 3 5 10 1031: 5-1-26.502.25

Career

31: 5-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Cairns
12: 1-1-1
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 3-0-1
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

10Townsville1000m18 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT511.85L
10Cairns950m22 Aug 2026 · BM55 · SOFT65.4L
5Cairns1250m29 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT53.8L
3Mareeba1123m23 May 2026 · BM551.9L
4Cairns950m15 May 2026 · BM55 · HEAVY92.9L
5Mareeba1010m19 Apr 2026 · BM601.8L
6Cairns1250m9 Apr 2026 · BM60 · SOFT74.4L
6Cairns950m4 Apr 2026 · BM60 · HEAVY104.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when third up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Settled back and always among the cab-catchers at Townsville second-up. Sharper now, hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

Started $101.00 and weakened to finish 10th last time at Townsville and up in weight. Prefer in something a lot easier.

Last of ten (Townsville) last month; can boast winning form over this C&D; interesting as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and folded up in the straight when 10th last start at Townsville and has more weight to carry.

5Magic Sunny DayJ: Masayuki Abe·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe858kg3 6 4 8 69: 1-0-116.003.70

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
4: 1-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Atherton1200m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 506.73L
8Bowen1280m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 5540L
4Ingham1200m11 July 2026 · BM502.58L
6Townsville1200m28 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD42.6L
3Atherton1200m13 June 2026 · BM500.44L
6Townsville1200m31 May 2026 · BM50 · GOOD44L
1Townsville1200m30 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD4-0.4
7Townsville1000m14 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD45.14L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Atherton for new stable. Locally trained but awkwardly drawn. Coming back in distance. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Odds of $12.00 and came in 6th last start at Atherton and coming back in distance. Needs to improve.

Sixth beaten 7l at Atherton over 6f (handicap) on his first start for this trainer 22 days ago; respected given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and has shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and ran 6th last run at Atherton and dropping back to a shorter trip.

6WillingaleJ: Wanderson D'Avila·T: A R Bailey658kg2 5 9 10 137: 3-9-33.901.55

Career

37: 3-9-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Townsville
4: 0-1-0
Track Scone
6: 0-1-2
Track Newcastle
10: 1-3-0
Distance 1305m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
13: 1-5-1
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-4-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Ewan1000m25 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD-0.1
10Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD46.3L
9Cairns950m29 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD47.1L
5Townsville1000m5 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD42.4L
2Townsville1000m22 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.3L
2Atherton1000m13 June 2026 · BM550.4L
4Townsville1000m25 May 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.5L
9Coffs Harbour1305m11 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD49.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handy and dug deep to bag a Benchmark 50 win at Ewan. Looks extremely hard to beat again.

ILB

Romped home to win last start at Ewan. Best to watch and see.

Narrow success in a handicap two weeks ago at Ewan, returning to winning ways; capable of making an impact.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last start at Ewan.

7StateswomanJ: Ivo Fry·T: Kayla Russell956.5kg11 4 1 6 735: 3-5-419.003.80

Career

35: 3-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Track Home Hill
3: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
22: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-2-3

Last starts

7Ewan820m26 Sept 2026 · BM6510.17L
6Home Hill1460m16 May 2026 · BM50 · GOOD48.6L
1Bowen1200m10 May 2026 · 0 - 50 · GOOD4-0.4
4Home Hill1180m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 50 · GOOD43.3L
11Townsville1000m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.6L
7Townsville1000m24 Jan 2026 · BM55 · SOFT54.8L
3Cairns950m4 Dec 2025 · BM60 · SOFT70.5L
6Townsville1000m25 Oct 2025 · 0 - 55 · SOFT53L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 205%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Ewan first run back. Better for the outing. One for exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and disappointing run when 7th last run at Ewan. Displays very good closing speed. Potential to run into a place.

Beaten a fair way when seventh over 4f at Ewan (handicap) dropped back in distance last month; poor record second up off a break so she can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and below standard effort when 7th last time at Ewan. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight.

8Middle ChildJ: Nathan Thomas·T: S J Royes455kg1 4 9 8 722: 1-4-317.003.70

Career

22: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Home Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Deniliquin
1: 0-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
5: 1-1-2
Distance 1000m
7: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

7Ewan1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM459.13L
8Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.4L
9Hughenden800m18 July 2026 · BM5020.7L
4Home Hill1000m16 May 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.5L
1Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.5
3Cairns950m26 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY90.7L
6Cairns1250m12 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY86.55L
8Townsville1000m27 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD46.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 59%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 63% Profit on Turnover
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ewan. Winner this trip. Rough exotics hope.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and just average when 7th last time at Ewan and will be dropping in distance. Has good finishing speed. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Possible place chance.

Finished seventh, beaten 9l, at Ewan over 6f (handicap) last month; has won over C&D; generally modest form since maiden success at Cairns six months ago; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

At 9/2 disappointing effort when 7th last start at Ewan and back to a shorter distance. Should be swooping on the field late. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

9Power PuffJ: Chris Whiteley·T: A R Bailey255kg8 10 7 9 1044: 4-7-59.002.70

Career

44: 4-7-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 1-0-1
Second-up
7: 0-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Cooktown
2: 0-2-0
Track Einasleigh
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-1
Distance 950m
10: 1-0-2
Distance 1000m
10: 1-2-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
7: 1-2-1
Going Soft
14: 0-1-1

Last starts

10Atherton1200m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 5014.25L
9Cairns950m22 Aug 2026 · BM55 · SOFT64L
7Atherton1000m25 July 2026 · 0 - 5512.7L
10Cairns950m16 Feb 2026 · BM55 · HEAVY86.1L
8Townsville1000m24 Jan 2026 · BM55 · SOFT56.5L
6Townsville1000m16 Jan 2026 · BM55 · SOFT63.1L
2Mareeba900m26 Dec 2025 · BM501.2L
7Cairns950m20 Dec 2025 · CL4 · SOFT55.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Key Jockey
Positive
Chris Whiteley winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Pushed forward and still in front at 400m before capitulating at Atherton. Drawn to get a soft run. Form sound at this course and journey. Worth a look.

ILB

At $2.20 disappointing effort when 10th last start at Atherton. Giving another go here and can find a nice position from the draw. Should be going forward early. Strong chance.

Has winning C&D form to her name; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Innisfail in December; finished last of ten (behind Magic Sunny Day) 22 days ago at Atherton upped to 6f; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 6/5 and disappointing outing when 10th last run at Atherton. Can make a comeback and drawn nicely. Has shown early pace in races to date. Down in trip. Suited against these.

Odds correct as at 4:10 am AEDT. Odds can change.