Gatton (QLD) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gatton (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 1 October 2026

Race 2 — Congrats To 2025-26 Lvtc Winning Premiership Trainer - Rex Lipp Mdn Plate 860m · jumps 1:57 pm AEST

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Bar Star (7)

2.15

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Reevacity

Midfield

11Emily Ninetynine

Offpace

6Roth's Romance
1Trail Boss

Onpace

8Just Jimmy
4My Shalona

Firststart

7Bar Star
9Bold Gem

Leader

3Demes Girl
2Brazen Diva

Trail Boss · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Brazen Diva · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Demes Girl · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
My Shalona · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Trail BossJ: Paul Hamblin·T: G M Hay458.5kg10 2 7 9 88: 0-1-0101.008.50

Career

8: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Esk
1: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 860m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Sunshine Coast Poly Track1000m1 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC19.9L
9Gatton860m5 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD314.5L
7Ipswich800m20 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN · GOOD45.6L
2Esk800m8 Nov 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW1.7L
10Sunshine Coast1200m28 Sept 2025 · 3Y C&G MDN-SW · GOOD435.4L
8Sunshine Coast Poly Track1000m18 May 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC12.1L
10Gatton860m9 May 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD413.35L
5Sunshine Coast Poly Track1000m13 Apr 2025 · 2yo · SYNTHETIC11.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Unknown in wet. May need this.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started at $91.00 and clearly outclassed when 8th last start at Sunshine Coast Poly Track. A 8 start maiden. Needs too much luck.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started 90/1 and disappointing outing when 8th last time at Sunshine Coast Poly Track. Yet to break through after 8 starts. Likely to get back.

2Brazen DivaJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Stephanie Sixtus256.5kg6 8 4 2 916: 0-3-45.001.60

Career

16: 0-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-3-4

Last starts

9Eagle Farm1000m23 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.8L
2Warwick800m10 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.3L
4Toowoomba870m29 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.7L
8Scone1000m20 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT517.59L
6Gosford1000m14 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT55L
3Port Macquarie1200m22 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.5L
4Muswellbrook900m9 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY106.8L
6Stony Creek1100m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Aidan Keeley 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 41%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 19% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Great run at Warwick 10 Sep. Stationed midfield and never landed a blow at Eagle Farm 23 Sep. Drawn favourably. Serial maiden but reverts to shorter trip and effort two back keeps her in the picture.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Faded away to finish 9th last run at Eagle Farm. Should improve here and drawn nicely. Likely to be well placed early. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Weakened to finish 9th last start at Eagle Farm. Expecting improvement and gets a favourable draw. Should come to hand quickly. Expect support.

3Demes GirlJ: Rebecca Wilson·T: Neil Hocking856.5kg8 5 4 5 629: 0-2-27.502.15

Career

29: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Kilcoy
3: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Warwick800m10 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.4L
5Gold Coast1000m27 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT57.3L
4Sunshine Coast1000m7 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT56.3L
5Toowoomba1050m30 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT74.9L
8Kilcoy1200m22 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT65.12L
2Gatton860m10 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
4Sunshine Coast1000m29 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT62.02L
6Ipswich800m14 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Warwick. Can play a role.

ILB

Odds of $12.00 and finished 6th last time at Warwick. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Facing a difficult task today.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and finished 6th last run at Warwick. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.

4My ShalonaJ: Kelsey Lenton·T: Nick Keal1056.5kg4 6 3 9 16: 0-0-14.001.38

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Toowoomba650m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)-0.7
9Ballarat Synthetic1400m26 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC8.4L
3Ballarat1400m12 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.2L
6Ballarat1400m24 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
4Warrnambool1400m6 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY107.3L
7Horsham1100m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD35.6L
8Colac1000m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial7.5L
9Warrnambool1000m29 Apr 2025 · 2Y FILLIES SW · SOFT79.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Ex M J Williams in Victoria. Recent trial win at Toowoomba Inner suggests ready to go. Can make her presence felt fresh in this company if she gets the breaks.

ILB

First run back after spell. At $10.00 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Should improve here but coming back in distance. Has every chance.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started 9/1 and was well beaten when 9th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Has the potential to improve sharply but back to a shorter distance. Very tidy performer.

5ReevacityJ: Adam Sewell·T: Laura Anderson756.5kg5 10 10 11 115: 0-0-0126.0012.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Nanango1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+21.7L
11Goondiwindi1000m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+7.2L
10Dalby1000m11 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD421.6L
10Sunshine Coast1200m14 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN · GOOD416.56L
5Ipswich800m20 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN · GOOD44.2L
3Sunshine Coast850m14 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 52%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unplaced in all 5 runs to date. Failed to threaten at Nanango. Drops back a notch in trip. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

At $14.00 below par when 11th last start at Nanango. Shows good closing speed. Watch the betting.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and average performance when 11th last time at Nanango. Possesses very good closing pace. Could feature here.

6Roth's RomanceJ: Frederick Larson·T: J A Hanna556.5kg10 9 73: 0-0-0126.0012.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Toowoomba1000m15 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN · SOFT510.6L
9Toowoomba1000m4 Nov 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW9.5L
10Toowoomba1000m23 June 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD412.4L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 320 day break (> 300 days)
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (45-weeks). Untested in wet. Need to see more from her now.

ILB

First up after a break of 45 weeks. Was $71.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Toowoomba. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Hard to entertain.

RSIS

First run back from a 45 week break. Started at 70/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at Toowoomba. Blinkers go off for the first time.

7Bar StarJ: Karl Zechner·T: Adam Campton656kg4 12.151.18

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Beaudesert900m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
4Gold Coast850m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Karl Zechner current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-0). Showed good improvement to win his latest trial at Beaudesert. Can make a real statement.

ILB

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Tassort for Adam Campton. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Won a barrier trial at Aquis Beaudesert on Sept 25th. Watch early betting.

RSIS

3yo debutant by Tassort for Adam Campton. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Success in a trial at Aquis Beaudesert on Sept 25th. Watch early betting.

8Just JimmyJ: Jason Taylor·T: Malcolm Bailey1156kg4 10 5 5 124: 0-0-031.004.20

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Sunshine Coast1000m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT714L
5Kilcoy800m23 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.7L
5Toowoomba870m18 July 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT510.6L
10Sunshine Coast1000m24 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT710.5L
4Toowoomba925m5 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Shown little to date. In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Sunshine Coast. Switching to 860m. This looks a tall order.

ILB

At $151.00 lost ground in the run home when 12th last run at Sunshine Coast. Very unlikely to shake these.

RSIS

Was 150/1 and didn't threaten when 12th last start at Sunshine Coast.

9Bold GemJ: Archie Mc Colm·T: Jimmy Downes154kg3 47.502.15

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4L
3Beaudesert900m8 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 277%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Good draw. Big watch on debut.

ILB

Better Than Ready 3yo having first race start for Jimmy Downes and has minimal work to do from the barrier. Watch the market moves.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Better Than Ready for trainer Jimmy Downes and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Follow the money.

10ZandariScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming for second prep (23-weeks). Upside off spell. Ex S W Kendrick in QLD. Gave them a tidy beating in recent Sunshine Coast Inner trial. Bears close watching at first country assignment.

ILB

First run back from a break. Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 2L last run at Ipswich.

RSIS

First run back. Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Ipswich. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.

11Emily NinetynineJ: Danny Peisley·T: Dan Russell356.5kg10 6 10 9 210: 0-0-026.003.90

Career

10: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Toowoomba650m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.4L
9Kilcoy1200m3 May 2024 · SOFT610L
10Ipswich1100m10 Apr 2024 · SOFT513.79L
6Gatton860m8 Feb 2024 · SOFT54.6L
10Sunshine Coast1000m3 Dec 2023 · Maiden · SOFT618L
9Sunshine Coast1000m24 Nov 2023 · Maiden · SOFT610.7L
5Sunshine Coast1000m29 Oct 2023 · Maiden · GOOD42.3L
5Sunshine Coast1000m6 Oct 2023 · Maiden · GOOD49.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 10 starts

Comments

AAP

Resuming (125-weeks). Ex Ms T Cotsiopoulos in QLD. Shown little, despite numerous goes. Comes off a good trial.

ILB

Resumes from a 125 week break. Weakened to finish 9th last run at Kilcoy and will be down in distance. First start for a new trainer. Simply cannot have in this.

RSIS

Resumes after a 125 week break. Faded away to finish 9th last run at Kilcoy and dropping in distance. First race for a new trainer.

Odds correct as at 11:10 am AEST. Odds can change.