Gatton (QLD) horses tips & previews

16 Nov, 4:24 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gatton (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovGatton (QLD)Change

Race 2 — Falvey's Hotel Gatton Hcp (58) 1100m · jumps Fri 6 Nov, 2:34 pm AEDT

Race preview

Falvey's Hotel Gatton Hcp 58 brings us to Gatton over the 1100m on a good4 track under fine weather. The win market opens with Ladies Ocean Run heading the betting, closely followed by Terracotta Rose, Final Voyage, and Shahar rounding out the first four in the market order. It is an interesting fillies and mares restricted contest where the value sits with finding the right map setup over this trip, and we reckon the market has missed a couple of key angles in the form guide.

Ladies Ocean Run kicks off from barrier 1 for trainer Pat W Webster and jockey Leslie Tilley, coming off a solid second here over 860m on soft going where she settled off the pace and rallied well. That effort followed a long spell, and getting the gun run from the inside alley gives her every chance to feature. Meanwhile, Terracotta Rose jumps from barrier 3 for Stephen Matthews and Jess Emmerson, arriving fresh after making the frame at Ipswich over 800m when showing some finishing zip. Final Voyage draws barrier 2 for A and T Sweeney and William Galloway, bringing consistent form after sticking on well at Ipswich over this exact 1100m journey in benchmark 60 grade.

Race notes

F&M 0 - 58,F&M 0 - 58 HCP,Restricted 58
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Ladies Ocean Run (3)

2.40

Most career wins

That's All Good

3-0-0 from 23 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Shahar

Offmidfield

8Lightly Sparkled

Midfield

7That's All Good

Offpace

1Pewter Pearl

Onpace

2Terracotta Rose

Leader

3Ladies Ocean Run
5Final Voyage

Pewter Pearl · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Terracotta Rose · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ladies Ocean Run · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Final Voyage · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Pewter PearlJ: Brandon Lerena·T: Emma Fouchard460kg4 6 5 6 413: 2-1-0$7.00$3.00

Career

13: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 1-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 2-0-0

Last starts

4Gold Coast1000m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT70.5L
6Sunshine Coast1000m25 Sept 2026 · BM65 · SOFT64.37L
5Ipswich800m9 Sept 2026 · BM78 · GOOD44.2L
6Queanbeyan1000m17 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.5L
4Sapphire Coast1005m3 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42L
1Moruya1010m4 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT6-0.8
5Kembla Grange1000m21 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT74.2L
6Kembla Grange1000m3 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD415.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the Hcp (58) at Gold Coast. Has early speed.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and felt the pinch late when 4th last run at Gold Coast. Brandon Lerena and Emma Fouchard have shared plenty of success together. Has some claims.

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; fourth last month, only beaten half a length, over 5f (handicap, Gold Coast); can have a big say if finding her best form.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and lost momentum when 4th last time at Gold Coast. Brandon Lerena and Emma Fouchard work well together. Has some claims.

2Terracotta RoseJ: Jess Emmerson·T: Stephen Matthews360kg1 5 10 1 28: 1-1-0$3.70$1.90

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Ipswich800m8 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.49L
1Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)-6.8
10Ballarat Synthetic1100m16 June 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SYNTHETIC9.4L
5Werribee1000m14 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD42.9L
1Werribee1012m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.5
11Echuca1200m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT3.79L
4Echuca1000m20 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33L
6Geelong1147m2 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT55.7L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jess Emmerson 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 43%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Freshened after return. Gave a good sight making the frame at Ipswich for new trainer after easing in betting.

ILB

Ran on when 2nd beaten by just short of 2 1/2L last time at Ipswich and going back up in trip. Jess Emmerson rates highly aboard. Could take this out.

Gave good account to finish second over 4f at Ipswich (handicap) on debut for this trainer last month; ought to be competitive.

RSIS

Ran on when 2nd beaten by close to 2 1/2L last run at Ipswich and stepping back up in distance. Jockey Jess Emmerson rates highly aboard. Win will not surprise.

3Ladies Ocean RunJ: Leslie Tilley·T: Pat W Webster159.5kg9 5 3 4 26: 1-1-0$2.40$1.36

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Gatton860m16 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.19L
4Toowoomba925m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)7.9L
3Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.9L
5Warwick1350m28 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM60 · GOOD34.8L
9Doomben1350m11 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD411.4L
12Eagle Farm1000m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT67.91L
1Toowoomba1050m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY10-1.3
1Toowoomba925m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-2

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled off pace, rallied well but couldn't match winner this course off long spell. Gets the gun run.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last start here and gets a favourable draw. Won't be far away during the run. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

Finished runner-up when 13-8 here over 4½f (handicap) last month; chance.

RSIS

Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at the track and drawn by the rails. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Should go very close.

4DecorativeScratched8––––

Career

9: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
5: 1-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Sunshine Coast1200m16 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY107.89L
1Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.3
9Sunshine Coast1200m20 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD45.66L
3Sunshine Coast850m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)1.8L
6Toowoomba1000m14 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.42L
8Toowoomba1300m14 Feb 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY107.2L
2Sunshine Coast1200m1 Feb 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.3L
7Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m6 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial8.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Sunshine Coast when second-up. Leads, handy.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Sunshine Coast on a heavy surface.

Form has been a bit up and down of late; held in eighth over 6f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) last month; a lot on her plate here and may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and faded to finish 8th last run at Sunshine Coast.

5Final VoyageJ: William Galloway·T: A & T Sweeney259kg2 1 2 2 222: 2-5-1$6.00$2.65

Career

22: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
11: 1-3-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-5-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-0-0

Last starts

2Ipswich1100m15 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 60 · GOOD41.05L
2Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.62L
2Warwick1100m10 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD30.4L
1Kilcoy1200m23 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT5-0.6
2Dalby1200m11 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.6L
5Toowoomba1200m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.9L
2Inverell1200m18 July 2026 · BM50 · GOOD41.3L
3Kilcoy1200m30 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · HEAVY93.3L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Racing in top order. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Ipswich over this journey. Draws to do no work.

ILB

Finished 2nd last start at Ipswich and has a good draw. Shows good early pace. William Galloway provides some weight relief. Reasonable chance.

Consistent lately; not beaten far when runner-up at Ipswich last month.

RSIS

Honest race when 2nd last time at Ipswich and has a positive stall. Will be positive in the run early. Large claim helps. Serious contender.

6ShaharJ: Kayla Barker·T: Nick Keal759kg4 2 2 4 615: 1-4-1$8.00$3.30

Career

15: 1-4-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1018m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-3-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1

Last starts

6Toowoomba1110m17 Oct 2026 · CL2 · SOFT55.35L
4Toowoomba1210m3 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD42.25L
2Sunshine Coast1200m20 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD40.21L
2Toowoomba1015m5 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.7L
4Sunshine Coast1000m16 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT51.5L
2Sunshine Coast1000m2 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT60.6L
3Toowoomba1000m18 July 2026 · 3Y BM60 · SOFT51.6L
1Toowoomba870m9 May 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor at Toowoomba.

ILB

Was $10.00 and below expectations when 6th last run at Toowoomba. Likely to bounce back but will have to carry extra weight. Will be motoring home late. Should give plenty of sight.

Finished sixth, beaten 5½l, at Toowoomba three weeks ago; not at her best last time although had previously shown useful form but achieved just the one win; this looks a fair heat so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Was 9/1 and mediocre display when 6th last start at Toowoomba. Has the talent to rebound quickly but will have to carry extra weight. Finishes off strongly. Expect support.

7That's All GoodJ: Danny Peisley·T: Jackson Morris659kg6 13 1 9 823: 3-0-0$10.00$3.70

Career

23: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-0-0

Last starts

8Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT711.7L
9Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1012L
1Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.8
13Sandown1300m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT612L
6Sandown1300m1 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY93.6L
5Ballarat Synthetic1100m16 June 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SYNTHETIC4.5L
5Kilmore1107m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY93.7L
12Kyneton1218m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SOFT69.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (60-days). Ex Nelson Smyth in Victoria. No threat as a $8 chance in 3yo+ F&M (Bm56) at Tatura.

ILB

At $8.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Tatura and down in trip. First start for a new trainer. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

Finished last of eight (Tatura) two months ago upped to 7f; first run for trainer.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last start at Tatura and back in trip. First start for a new trainer.

8Lightly SparkledJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Kristen Wenck554kg8 7 11 2 724: 1-3-1$61.00$14.00

Career

24: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD47.02L
2Nanango1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 501.23L
11Nanango800m8 Aug 2026 · 0 - 5510.3L
7Gawler1200m27 May 2026 · F&M 0-56 · HEAVY1012.5L
8Port Augusta1200m8 May 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD12.1L
9Port Augusta1100m26 Apr 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD13.6L
6Balaklava1050m15 Apr 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD45.8L
7Clare1200m4 Apr 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD49.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 51% POT in last 100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Sent out $101 when unable to threaten at Kilcoy.

ILB

Started $101.00 and came in 7th last start at Kilcoy. Likely to get back in the field. Will struggle to compete in this race.

Beaten 7l in seventh at Kilcoy over 6f (handicap) behind Final Voyage, last month; not hard to turn elsewhere given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and finished 7th last run at Kilcoy. Likely to settle back in the field.

9Peach GalantesScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely this track over this trip.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and was well beaten when 7th last start here.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last time at this track.

Odds correct as at Fri 6 Nov, 2:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races