Gatton (QLD) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gatton (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 1 October 2026

Race 4 — Congrats To 2025-26 Lvtc Winning Premiership Apprentice - Bailie Baker Hcp (58) 2000m · jumps 3:12 pm AEST

Race notes

0 - 58,0 - 58 HCP,Restricted 58
SOFT5
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Lord Protector (7)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Shedrivesabentley

Offmidfield

5California Grass
7Lord Protector

Midfield

2Trusty Bandit
4Headline Legend
11Decarbonise

Offpace

10Besiege
1Pour Benn

Onpace

12Quality Miss
3Devil Rider

Leader

8Jacks And Soda
9Hell Of A Prince

Pour Benn · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trusty Bandit · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Devil Rider · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Headline Legend · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Pour BennJ: William Galloway·T: Jimmy Downes259.5kg1 9 4 10 712: 1-1-215.003.80

Career

12: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1666m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1

Last starts

7Sunshine Coast1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD43.34L
10Ipswich1700m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT515.47L
4Ipswich1666m7 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD41.9L
9Ipswich1350m24 July 2026 · CG&E CL1 · SOFT54.8L
1Kembla Grange1500m13 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT6-3.5
3Newcastle1600m28 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT53.5L
2Kembla Grange1500m7 Feb 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.8L
13Newcastle1850m24 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Under a hold, only battled home at Sunshine Coast. Stamina on trial here. Right in this.

ILB

At $14.00 folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Sunshine Coast but will try to take advantage of the alley. The large claim from William Galloway helps. Nice price for the value seekers.

He meets the required standard ability wise; not beaten that far in seventh (3½l) over 1m at Sunshine Coast (handicap) 11 days ago; shown he can get his head in front so looks a likely player.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Sunshine Coast but will try to take advantage of the draw. Very tidy performer.

2Trusty BanditJ: Frederick Larson·T: William Kropp559.5kg3 1 8 11 632: 4-3-416.003.90

Career

32: 4-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Kilcoy
3: 2-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
8: 2-1-2
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1690m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-2-1
Going Good
19: 1-1-3

Last starts

6Dalby2000m13 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD36.2L
11Eagle Farm2200m29 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD47.4L
8Doomben2200m22 Aug 2026 · BM80 · GOOD414L
1Kilcoy1900m10 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT6-2.3
3Doomben2200m1 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.6L
1Kilcoy1900m30 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY9-0.7
10Gatton2000m27 June 2026 · BM58 · GOOD419.6L
3Dalby1400m18 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD40.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished well held at Dalby over today's trip. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $5.50 and below par when 6th last start at Dalby. Not without a chance.

Beaten 6l in sixth (Dalby) two weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and below expectations when 6th last start at Dalby. Could feature here.

3Devil RiderJ: Stephanie Tierney·T: Kym Afford1159kg4 9 10 7 523: 3-0-181.0011.00

Career

23: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1470m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Bundaberg1380m5 Sept 2026 · BM608.2L
7Gympie1470m22 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD16.8L
10Narrandera2100m12 July 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT717.2L
9Wagga2000m21 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1016.9L
4Nowra2200m24 May 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY98.5L
4Goulburn1500m7 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.8L
5Albury1600m23 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.4L
4Wagga1200m8 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Out Of Form
Negative
Needs to try and find some form

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Unable to make an impression at Bundaberg. First time around Gatton. Keener on others.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and ordinary performance when 5th last run at Bundaberg but returns to an increased distance. Has struggled so far this campaign. Likely to get back. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

Finished fifth, beaten 8l, over 7f at Bundaberg (handicap) 26 days ago; should not be far away as shown some signs of promise.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 5th last time at Bundaberg but returning to an increased distance. Has struggled so far recently. Likely to get back.

4Headline LegendJ: Kayla Barker·T: John Thomas458.5kg3 8 9 1 127: 4-3-36.502.40

Career

27: 4-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-1-0
Track Gatton
6: 2-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 2-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1350m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

1Talwood1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55-5.84
1Goondiwindi1800m5 Sept 2026 · BM50-2.1
9Beaudesert1400m21 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD46.9L
8Warwick1100m4 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD43.7L
3Gatton1100m10 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.9L
11Gatton1100m10 Feb 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD48.2L
8Gatton1100m25 Jan 2026 · CL3 · GOOD49.4L
8Ipswich1350m15 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.45L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Kayla Barker winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Totally dominated from the front in the Hcp (55) at Talwood. Ready to test his staying credentials now. Well into preparation now, capable of figuring again.

ILB

Won by a big margin of 5 3/4L last run at Talwood and rising in trip. Maintaining a perfect record the last 2 attempts. Betting is the best guide.

Has won here previously; bids for hat-trick; successful in clear-cut style over 7f at Talwood (handicap) last month; possibilities.

RSIS

Dominant winner by 5 3/4L last run at Talwood and facing an increased distance. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 starts. Has some claims.

5California GrassJ: Danny Peisley·T: Christos Zintilis158kg9 9 8 2 841: 4-5-26.502.40

Career

41: 4-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
10: 0-2-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
16: 3-1-1
Going Good
21: 1-3-1

Last starts

8Eagle Farm2412m19 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.26L
2Gold Coast1730m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD40.92L
8Kembla Grange2400m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.8L
9Newcastle2200m14 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT56.4L
9Randwick Kensington2400m10 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.1L
5Warwick Farm2200m3 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74L
10Warwick Farm2110m20 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.3L
7Kembla Grange2000m29 Apr 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Steps out for third run new stable/region. Placed Hcp (58) at Gold Coast 12 Sep. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Eagle Farm over longer assignment. Very fit, can play a role.

ILB

Started $8.00 and ran 8th last run at Eagle Farm. Giving another chance here and challenged by weaker competitors. Has minimal work to do from the draw. Strong prospects.

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not beaten too far when eighth of 14 two weeks ago (Eagle Farm) upped to 1m4f; can make her presence felt as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started at 7/1 and finished 8th last start at Eagle Farm. Should improve from the last run and stepping down to a lower level. Great chance.

6ShedrivesabentleyJ: Archie Mc Colm·T: K J Jones758kg6 4 5 1 624: 2-2-34.801.95

Career

24: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
5: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
6: 1-1-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-1-3
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0

Last starts

6Sunshine Coast1800m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD42.73L
1Gold Coast1800m5 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.1
5Ipswich1980m27 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT54.91L
4Toowoomba1890m15 Aug 2026 · BM55 · GOOD410.1L
6Ipswich1666m7 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.3L
4Doomben1350m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 65 · SOFT61.7L
6Beaudesert1200m7 July 2026 · Class 2 · GOOD44.9L
2Toowoomba1200m9 May 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 286%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Gold Coast winner two back. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Sunshine Coast. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Deep into her campaign, right in the mix at country level.

ILB

Odds of $6.50 and below par when 6th last time at Sunshine Coast and up in weight. Could take this out.

Not beaten too far (just under 3l) at Sunshine Coast over 1m1f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and uncompetitive when 6th last run at Sunshine Coast and rises in weight. Definitely worth considering.

7Lord ProtectorJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: Vishan Venkaya357.5kg6 4 5 10 436: 3-2-52.901.40

Career

36: 3-2-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track Gatton
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-0-1
Distance 1640m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 3-1-2
Going Soft
14: 0-1-3

Last starts

4Grafton2230m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.39L
10Eagle Farm2412m19 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.47L
5Dalby2000m13 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD33L
4Ipswich2000m2 Sept 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51.71L
6Gold Coast1800m28 Aug 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.3L
9Murwillumbah1550m21 Aug 2026 · BM94 HCP · SOFT510.4L
1Sunshine Coast1800m9 Aug 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.8
8Doomben2060m5 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD47.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. Drops to shorter trip. Looking to atone.

ILB

At $2.60 made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time at Grafton. First race for a new trainer. Genuine claims.

Generally modest form since handicap success at Sunshine Coast 53 days ago; came up a bit short, beaten 2½l when favourite, over 1m3f at Grafton (handicap) last Monday; first start for trainer.

RSIS

Was 8/5 and made some ground when 4th last run at Grafton. Change in trainer. Can take this out.

8Jacks And SodaJ: Leslie Tilley·T: Andrew Rogers1257kg11 7 7 7 723: 2-2-116.003.90

Career

23: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
14: 0-2-1
Going Soft
9: 2-0-0

Last starts

7Beaudesert1650m17 Sept 2026 · BM65 · GOOD310.77L
7Ipswich1350m2 Sept 2026 · CG&E CL2 · SOFT510.8L
7Dalby1400m11 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD42.8L
7Warwick1350m4 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD46.9L
11Gatton1400m10 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD414.5L
5Kilcoy1500m20 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT54.8L
5Gatton1400m3 June 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51.7L
3Toowoomba925m5 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring

Comments

AAP

Last win was 2 Dec 2024. Failed to threaten at Beaudesert for new stable as an odds drifter. Pace influence. Needs to up his game.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Beaudesert. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Tough ask.

Recent form leaves something to be desired and a while since his last success; seventh beaten 11l last month on first run for this trainer at Beaudesert upped to 1m; steps into the unknown over new trip and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 16/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Beaudesert. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time.

9Hell Of A PrinceJ: Kayla Johnston·T: Rob Davidson656.5kg7 7 4 1 366: 4-8-523.004.40

Career

66: 4-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-2
Track Nanango
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
23: 1-3-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 0-1-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Gympie1600m19 Sept 2026 · BM5510.85L
1Toowoomba2030m5 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.2
4Kilcoy1900m23 Aug 2026 · 0 - 60 · SOFT51.3L
7Kilcoy1900m10 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT66.8L
7Bundaberg1380m25 July 2026 · BM50 · GOOD13.8L
10Sunshine Coast1600m12 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT518.5L
4Gatton1600m27 June 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.7L
6Toowoomba1625m20 June 2026 · CL3 · GOOD47.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

In the minor spoils but still well held at Gympie. Fit from racing, could get into the placings.

ILB

Tidy effort when 3rd last run at Gympie. Should muster plenty of early speed. Slim hope.

No impression when third of six at Gympie over 1m (handicap) last month; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Was competitive when 3rd last run at Gympie. Has plenty of early pace.

10BesiegeJ: Nozi Tomizawa·T: Michael Nolan955.5kg10 5 5 4 825: 2-2-026.004.60

Career

25: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
13: 1-1-0
Distance 1625m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Dalby2000m13 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD37L
4Toowoomba2030m5 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.1L
5Toowoomba1890m8 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD43L
5Gatton1400m30 July 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD42.4L
10Ipswich1350m16 July 2026 · CG&E 0 - 58 · GOOD46.3L
1Gatton1400m27 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD4-0.3
8Toowoomba1300m13 June 2026 · BM55 · SOFT711.1L
5Grafton1420m16 May 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY106.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Michael G Nolan in good form, out performing market 41%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor at Dalby over this distance. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

At $16.00 subpar when 8th last start at Dalby. Hard to take.

Track has proven suitable before; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Gatton in June; was held in eighth at Dalby two weeks ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 15/1 and well beaten when 8th last time at Dalby.

11DecarboniseJ: Aidan Keeley·T: J A Gilmore855kg6 10 7 10 429: 3-2-310.003.20

Career

29: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 2-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
2: 1-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-2-2

Last starts

4Gold Coast1800m12 Sept 2026 · CL3-SW · GOOD43.2L
10Grafton1410m29 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT55.3L
7Gold Coast1000m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.9L
10Beaudesert1400m23 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT618.73L
6Gold Coast1000m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.6L
8Gold Coast1400m28 Feb 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY810L
9Gatton2000m25 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD415L
9Kilcoy1500m2 Jan 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT58.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Gatton
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Tracked into the race from a forward position but was no match when it counted at Gold Coast second-up. Sharper now, has some claims.

ILB

At $101.00 peaked on the run when 4th last start at Gold Coast and drops back to a suitable grade. Suited by the weight drop. Will be tested in this.

Track has proven suitable before; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win 650 days ago); finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 3l) upped to 1m1f (Gold Coast) last month in a conditions race; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

At 100/1 was found wanting late when 4th last time at Gold Coast and matched against lesser competition. Dropping weight.

12Quality MissJ: Micheal Hellyer·T: Diane Murphy1054kg7 6 9 2 833: 1-7-314.003.80

Career

33: 1-7-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 0-2-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Track Gatton
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1540m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-3-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-2-2

Last starts

8Sunshine Coast1800m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD44.6L
2Ipswich1980m27 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT51.12L
9Gold Coast Poly1540m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · SYNTHETIC7.2L
6Ipswich1350m24 July 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT53.6L
7Gatton1100m10 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD42.4L
7Toowoomba2000m7 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD48.1L
3Lismore2120m10 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT50.7L
3Gatton2000m25 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 56%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 63% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Solid run Hcp (C2) at Ipswich 27 Aug. Sent out $18 when unable to threaten at Sunshine Coast. Usually prominent. A few runs under her belt this campaign, not out of this.

ILB

Was $18.00 and faded away to finish 8th last time at Sunshine Coast. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Seems very unlikely.

Generally struggled with a record of 1-33; close up behind Shedrivesabentley when eighth over 1m1f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) beaten 4½l last month; passed over.

RSIS

Started 17/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Sunshine Coast. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

Odds correct as at 11:10 am AEST. Odds can change.