Shortest win price
Miss Wildcat (2)
1.95
Lismore lines up for the Katrina Beohm Real Estate Benchmark 58 over 1120m on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead, jumping at 5:55 pm AEDT. The win market order places Copenhagen Cat right at the top of betting, closely followed by Miss Wildcat, Purosangue, and Onigiri rounding out the field.
The bold play here is finding the value with Copenhagen Cat, who starts from barrier 5 for trainers Stephen & Jordan Lee with Siabh Rigley in the saddle. This runner maps exceptionally well, boasting early speed which is a major advantage on this circuit, and has a track profile that regularly outperforms market expectations. Miss Wildcat sits next in the market for Marcus Wilson and jockey Kyle Wilson-Taylor, drawing barrier 3 with an on-pace map. Her recent form shows a competitive third at Eagle Farm over 1000m on soft ground followed by a solid fourth at Gold Coast, suggesting she will be right in the mix again.
Looking further down the order, Purosangue jumps from the inside barrier 1 for Rochelle Pereira and William Galloway, seeking a bounce-back performance after failing to threaten on the synthetic track at Gold Coast last time out. Onigiri completes the market for D W Dwane and Yvette Lewis from barrier 2, though her recent post-maiden struggles at Coffs Harbour make her tough to warm to when others carry far stronger claims in this grade.
Shortest win price
Miss Wildcat (2)
1.95
Most career wins
Purosangue
3-1-2 from 17 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Onpace
Leader
Miss Wildcat · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Purosangue · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Copenhagen Cat · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Onigiri · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 303%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Ran on late from the back at Gold Coast Poly. Back on turf. Can play a role if things pan out.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last start at Gold Coast.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Honest race when 3rd last start at Gold Coast.
Career
10: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bowraville
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-2-2
Distance 1015m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-2
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 8.5kg now
AAP
Highly competitive lately. Gave good sight filling the minors at Eagle Farm. Drawn to receive every chance and right in the mix again.
ILB
Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Eagle Farm and lining up against easier rivals. Has plenty of early speed. Should progress and will be close.
RP
Has maintained her consistent level of form; creditable effort in third (beaten just under 3l) at Eagle Farm over 5f (handicap) last month; definitely of interest as has wins in her back catalogue.
RSIS
Good effort to run 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Eagle Farm and will find this grade easier. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Stamps its reason for consideration.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Latest form hard to fault. Courageous effort in the (Bm58) this track over this trip. Breaks from a low barrier. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Won by a big margin of 4 1/4L last run at Gatton. In top racing shape since returning from a break.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Made no mistakes when winning by 4 1/4L last start at Gatton. Looking sharp on the track since coming back from a break.
Career
17: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
3: 1-1-1
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 42% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Gold Coast Poly for new trainer. Drawn to get a conservative run. Back on turf. Not out of this.
ILB
Didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Looking for an improved run and has the ideal draw. Should jump out and bowl along. Solid chance.
RP
Close up behind So Be Inspired when tenth over 5f at Gold Coast (handicap) on debut for this trainer last month; this is his grade; need to draw a line through his last run, but was third two starts back; can't be ruled out.
RSIS
Lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Overlooking the last run and gets the perfect stall. Displays good tactical pace. Winning chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (22-weeks). Has an adverse draw for return. Best results on firm going. Capable of making an impact fresh in this affair with even luck.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Odds of $19.00 and moderate showing when 8th last time at Gatton.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 18/1 average at best when 8th last time at Gatton.
Career
17: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-1
Track Warwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-3-1
Going Soft
8: 2-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Went home tamely in choppy conditions at Sunshine Coast at $51. Back to country level but others rate stronger.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 5th last start at Sunshine Coast on a heavy track and goes up in weight.
RP
Lightly raced (running for just the fifth time); beaten a fair way when fifth over 5f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) last month; has to be feared if replicating the best of her form.
RSIS
Gave away some ground when 5th last run at Sunshine Coast on a heavy track and bit of extra work to do with more weight.
Career
21: 1-0-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-1
Track Meydan
4: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 303%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Failed to flatter at Coffs Harbour second-up. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Started $31.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Coffs Harbour but drawn nicely. Might be ridden for luck. Suited by the weight drop. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Does not win very often and recent form nothing to write home about; out of the frame when eighth over 5f at Coffs Harbour (handicap) nine days ago; this looks a decent race so has some questions to answer.
RSIS
At 30/1 weakened to finish 8th last time at Coffs Harbour but drawn nicely. Likely to settle back in the field. Carrying less weight this time.
Career
21: 2-2-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
2: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
7: 2-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Found enough to place in small field at Murwillumbah. Tackling stronger line-up but rain wild again help.
ILB
On a short back up. In the money when 3rd last start at Murwillumbah.
RP
Third, beaten less than a length, over 6f at Murwillumbah (handicap) on Tuesday.
RSIS
On a short back up. Tidy run when 3rd last start at Murwillumbah.