Lismore (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:31 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Lismore (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 9 NovLismore (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Westpac Rescue Helicopter Service (Bm66) 1536m · jumps Mon 9 Nov, 5:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Lismore for the Westpac Rescue Helicopter Service Benchmark 66 over 1536m on a Good 4 track under fine skies, timed to jump at 5:15 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Chief Of Staff heads the betting lines, followed closely by Barello and Dark Chill, with Venom Wolf and Five Rings sitting further out in the order. The bold play here leans toward finding value against the shortest electives where recent efforts point to better prospects than the surface odds might imply.

The form behind the market leader points straight to Chief Of Staff, who comes off a strong win at Port Macquarie over 1500m where they wore down the opposition late as favourite. Trained by M J Dunn and steered by Andrew Mallyon from barrier 5, this runner also boasts a placing from their only other run at Lismore, suggesting the trip and venue suit. On the other hand, Barello sits right behind in the market order for Stephen and Jordan Lee with William Galloway steering from barrier 1. This campaign has been deep, including a narrow second at Ballina over 1300m before an ordinary run in soft going, but back down to this level with an offpace map position, they could figure in the wider calculations.

Digging deeper into the pack, Dark Chill maps as the leader from barrier 6 for trainer Ethan Ensby and jockey Jasper Franklin, coming off a solid effort when not disgraced over 1590m at Ballina five weeks ago. Meanwhile, Venom Wolf offers another angle for D L Matts and Jai Williams from barrier 2, having not been totally disgraced at Beaumont over 1350m after getting back in the field. Five Rings brings up the backmarkers with the fastest overall finishing sectionals from their last start, showing that those positioned further back in the speed groups could make their presence felt if the speed maps play out.

Race notes

BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Chief Of Staff (8)

2.15

Most career wins

Venom Wolf

6-6-1 from 40 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Five Rings

Offmidfield

9Glounthaune

Midfield

3Venom Wolf
4Ballinderry Sal

Offpace

2Barello
8Chief Of Staff

Leader

6Dark Chill

Barello · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Venom Wolf · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 71% better than Career Avg.
Ballinderry Sal · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Five Rings · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Bold Hoi HoScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Finished well down the track in (Bm68) at Eagle Farm last outing. Acts on all surfaces and can make his presence felt if things pan out.

ILB

On a quick back up. Finished 7th last run at Kempsey but drops back to a suitable grade. Has to cope with a weight increase.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Ran 7th last start at Kempsey but will find this grade more suitable. Going up in weight.

2BarelloJ: William Galloway·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee160.5kg1 3 5 2 523: 4-2-3$5.50$2.50

Career

23: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
3: 0-1-0
Track Mackay
2: 0-1-1
Track Murwillumbah
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1115m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-1
Going Good
13: 3-1-2
Going Soft
10: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Ballina1300m2 Nov 2026 · BM82 · SOFT75.46L
2Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · BM74 · GOOD30.12L
5Lismore1310m25 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.96L
3Coffs Harbour1318m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42L
1Casino1400m8 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-0.4
7Doomben1350m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 65 · SOFT66.2L
10Grafton1115m5 July 2026 · CL3 HCP · SOFT52.2L
9Grafton970m6 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.7L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Just missed at Ballina 4 Oct. Ordinary performance in small field in rain affected going at Ballina. Deep into his campaign, each way back at this level.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Was $13.00 and making up some late ground when 5th last start at Ballina and up against weaker rivals. Has drawn the rails. Expecting a strong showing.

Came home fifth, beaten 5½l, over 6½f at Ballina (handicap) a week ago; this is his grade; must be high on list if finding his best form.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. At 12/1 inched into 5th last start at Ballina and competing at a lower class. William Galloway takes a large claim. Definite winning chance.

3Venom WolfJ: Jai Williams·T: D L Matts259kg4 3 1 4 740: 6-6-1$6.50$2.80

Career

40: 6-6-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Taree
6: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
6: 2-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
16: 4-4-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
7: 1-3-0
Going Soft
17: 4-1-0

Last starts

7Newcastle1350m26 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53.46L
4Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · BM74 · GOOD31.96L
1Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.5
3Coffs Harbour1612m3 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.4L
4Coffs Harbour2000m7 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.7L
1Grafton1700m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT5-0.3
7Port Macquarie1506m4 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT74L
4Taree1400m23 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY83.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 71% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jai Williams 87% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jai Williams in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 87%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Beaumont. Gets through rain affected ground. Well into preparation now, can play a role.

ILB

Came in 7th last run at Newcastle. Capable of a strong comeback and has a good draw. Must be considered here.

This is his level; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing seventh of 11 at Beaumont over 6½f (handicap) last month; has wins in his back catalogue so no surprise to see him go well.

RSIS

Came in 7th last time at Newcastle. Likely to bounce back and will try to take advantage of the stall. Good potential.

4Ballinderry SalJ: Yvette Lewis·T: G N Nielsen758.5kg4 5 6 6 631: 5-2-2$21.00$5.00

Career

31: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Talwood
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
10: 4-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 3-0-0
Going Soft
10: 2-2-1

Last starts

6Eagle Farm1300m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 65 · HEAVY105.96L
6Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · BM74 · GOOD34.83L
6Talwood1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP24.4L
5Scone1700m31 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD49.1L
4Newcastle1600m11 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT61.3L
3Newcastle1400m27 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT72.9L
2Muswellbrook1500m12 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT72.3L
9Gunnedah1600m24 May 2026 · GUNN CUP BM92 · SOFT58.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 51% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winless since 19 Apr 2025. Sent out $41 when unable to threaten in heavy ground at Eagle Farm. Trained on track but has an adverse draw and up in weight. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

Jumped at $41.00 and ran 6th last time at Eagle Farm and will have to carry extra weight. Cannot have under these circumstances.

Sixth beaten 6l at Eagle Farm over 6½f (handicap) 16 days ago; clear chance as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and came in 6th last time at Eagle Farm and has more weight to carry.

5Five RingsJ: Danny Peisley·T: Fleur Henley358kg1 5 6 9 235: 4-5-2$8.50$3.50

Career

35: 4-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
6: 1-2-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-2

Last starts

2Gold Coast Poly1540m24 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC1.67L
9Grafton1175m13 Oct 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY89.03L
6Ballina1590m21 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1019L
5Coffs Harbour1418m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY105L
1Gold Coast Poly1540m16 May 2026 · BM65 · SYNTHETIC-1
8Port Macquarie1800m26 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT75.6L
4Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD32.87L
5Gold Coast1400m4 Apr 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the (Bm60) at Gold Coast Poly second-up. Only fitter and rates highly.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 2nd last start at Gold Coast Poly. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Has definite claims.

Turned in a solid effort in defeat last month, when runner-up at Gold Coast upped to this distance.

RSIS

Managed to place 2nd last run at Gold Coast Poly. Possesses very good closing pace. Good chance in this.

6Dark ChillJ: Jasper Franklin·T: Ethan Ensby657.5kg10 8 4 4 730: 3-5-6$6.00$2.65

Career

30: 3-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-2

Last starts

7Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD32.18L
4Lismore1410m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 · SOFT51.7L
4Grafton1400m7 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.9L
8Casino1400m8 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43.5L
10Grafton1400m19 July 2026 · MACLEANCUP BM87 · SOFT59.3L
3Casino1010m25 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.8L
8Port Macquarie1509m8 Feb 2026 · CL3 · GOOD48.2L
8Armidale1400m18 Jan 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT63.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ethan Ensby striking at just 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Not disgraced at Ballina. Leads, handy. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Jumped at $4.20 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Ballina. Capable of a strong comeback and will benefit with the weight drop. Should muster plenty of early toe. Forward showing expected.

Solid effort over 1m at Ballina (handicap) last month; not been able to get his head in front lately so has questions to answer.

RSIS

At 10/3 folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Ballina. Overlooking the last run and goes down in weight. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Can measure up against these.

7LudikScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Just got there in a gripping finish at at Ipswich. Well into preparation now, warrants attention.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd last run at Eagle Farm.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Solid effort to run into 2nd last run at Eagle Farm.

8Chief Of StaffJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn557kg5 5 3 5 114: 2-2-2$2.15$1.34

Career

14: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-2
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Port Macquarie1500m25 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT6-0.58
5Gold Coast1400m10 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.65L
3Lismore1310m25 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51L
5Ballina1900m23 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY1010.6L
5Gold Coast1800m28 Feb 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY85.7L
6Eagle Farm1600m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.1L
1Ballina1590m16 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.9
8Doomben1200m12 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT515L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fav when wore them down late at Port Macquarie. Placed only other run at Lismore. Going well and gets the nod again.

ILB

Ran on hard when winning last run at Port Macquarie. Producing consistent results this campaign. Good chance in this.

Gained narrow success in a handicap (Port Macquarie) 15 days ago.

RSIS

Romped home to win last time at Port Macquarie. In top racing shape since coming back from a break. Solid chance.

9GlounthauneJ: Matthew Palmer·T: Ms K Purdy457kg7 7 9 8 842: 3-4-1$10.00$3.80

Career

42: 3-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
10: 1-1-0
Second-up
9: 1-0-0
Third-up
7: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
6: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1800m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1408m
3: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Ipswich1680m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD48.47L
8Gold Coast1800m3 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD33.26L
9Gold Coast1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD32.86L
7Newcastle1500m22 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD44.9L
7Illawarra Grange1400m30 July 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42L
8Warwick Farm1100m15 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.5L
7Warwick Farm1100m24 June 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD43.7L
2Warwick Farm791m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ipswich when firmed from $18 into $13. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Was $13.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Ipswich. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Does take a while to get into stride. Could not recommend.

Beaten 8l in eighth over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) three weeks ago; managed just one success in his career to date; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time at Ipswich. Tongue strap go off for the first time. Has struggled so far recently.

Odds correct as at Mon 9 Nov, 5:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races