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Lismore (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Lismore (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 9 NovLismore (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Lismore Paint Centre Country Boosted Mdn Hcp 1120m · jumps

Race notes

  • CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

I Am Merida (2)

1.45

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Rowdie Blue

Midfield

  • 9Em Pee
  • 10Paris Victory

Offpace

  • 2I Am Merida
  • 5Sunny Side Street
  • 7Belle Reine

Onpace

  • 3Parting The Seas

Firststart

  • 6Tsukahara

Leader

  • 4Prestige Reign
  • I Am Merida · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 12%

  • Parting The Seas · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Prestige Reign · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 71% in Last 100 Rides

  • Sunny Side Street · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Poppy DayScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

2I Am MeridaJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn858kg1 2 9 2 11: 0-0-0$1.45$1.02

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Gold Coast Poly1050m29 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-2.7
  2. 2Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)0.9L
  3. 9Gold Coast1000m13 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY811L
  4. 2Doomben1000m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.4L
  5. 1Deagon1050m12 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-3.2
  6. 4Murwillumbah1010m29 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial2.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 12%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (21-weeks). Safely contained at Gold Coast debut 13 Jun. Further conditioned with 2 trials. Would need to have improved considerably. Prefer to see.

ILB

Fresh from a break. Was $10.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last start at Gold Coast but having second career run. Has to carry more weight this time. Better to look elsewhere.

RP

Held when ninth (beaten 11l) on her debut over 5f at Gold Coast at 9-1 in June; returns from a layoff here; needs considering if finding progression from her early experience.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 9/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Gold Coast but was on debut last time.

3Parting The SeasJ: Luke Rolls·T: J D Shelton458kg4 11 7 4 37: 0-1-1$4.60$1.26

Career

7: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Casino1000m29 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT50.74L
  2. 4Grafton1006m29 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.55L
  3. 7Lismore1120m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L
  4. 11Grafton1048m25 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46L
  5. 4Inverell1050m1 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
  6. 6Canberra1000m27 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.1L
  7. 2Queanbeyan1000m9 Sept 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Rolls 36% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

4Prestige ReignJ: Dylan Turner·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee358kg6 7 81: 0-0-0$23.00$3.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Casino1000m29 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT53.56L
  2. 7Grafton940m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.8L
  3. 6Grafton940m25 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial17.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 71% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Turner 87% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Turner in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 87%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

5Sunny Side StreetJ: Nozi Tomizawa·T: D Chujo256.5kg3 41: 0-0-0$11.00$2.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Casino1000m29 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT51.12L
  2. 3Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.5L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

6TsukaharaJ: Jett Newman·T: M J Dunn556.5kg6 5 8 4$13.00$2.35

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 4Gold Coast Poly1050m29 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC5.5L
  2. 8Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)9.2L
  3. 5Deagon1050m12 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)12.6L
  4. 6Ballina1010m14 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Matthew Dunn striking at just 12%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-0-0). $70k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Inside Straight. Jett Newman sticks for debut. Market watch advised.

ILB

3yo debutant sired by Acrobat for trainer Matthew Dunn. Ran 4th in a trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast Poly on Oct 29th. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Stable has a good record with newcomers here; sole newcomer in the field; clear chance with signs of encouragement in profile and the hot form of the trainer is a bonus.

RSIS

Matthew Dunn 3yo by Acrobat having first start. Ran 4th in a trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast Poly on Oct 29th. Watch early betting.

7Belle ReineJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby756kg8 4 5 9 33: 0-0-1$21.00$3.10

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1220m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Casino1200m29 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT52.11L
  2. 9Lismore1220m18 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT77.71L
  3. 5Grafton1006m29 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.02L
  4. 4Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
  5. 8Grafton940m19 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.8L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 38% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ethan Ensby striking at just 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

8DellucyScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%
9Em PeeJ: Danny Peisley·T: Ms S Pepper156kg5 71: 0-0-0$26.00$3.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casino

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Casino1000m29 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT53.43L
  2. 5Lismore1010m18 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)6.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Danny Peisley 28% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

10Paris VictoryJ: Micheal Hellyer·T: P G Randall956kg5 8 9 123: 0-0-0$126.00$7.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Lismore1110m10 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT520.7L
  2. 9Casino1000m8 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD413L
  3. 8Ballina1000m23 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1030.1L
  4. 5Lismore1020m10 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial16.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Pat Randall striking at just 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 61% Profit on Turnover

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (60-days). Started big prices and never featured in early runs. Need to see more from her now.

ILB

Jumped at $151.00 and didn't attack the line when 12th last start around here. Can't suggest backing.

RP

Finished out the back two months ago in a maiden; best she's managed so far is eighth from three career starts; makes limited appeal as shown nothing recently.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 12th last start at this track.

11Rowdie BlueJ: Matthew Palmer·T: S J Randall656kg8 6 11 7 38: 0-0-1$126.00$7.00

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1310m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Tabulam1000m3 Oct 2026 · MDN7.89L
  2. 7Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT512.9L
  3. 11Grafton1206m29 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT510.4L
  4. 6Grafton940m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.5L
  5. 8Casino1000m8 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD411.5L
  6. 6Casino1200m25 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT714.7L
  7. 6Ballina1250m21 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY105.1L
  8. 9Grafton1205m6 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT613.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Secured third in a staggered finish at Tabulam. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Nice run when 3rd last run at Tabulam. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 8 runs. Likely to get back in the run. Making up the numbers.

RP

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice but yet to open her account after eight starts; third beaten 8l over 5f at Tabulam (handicap) dropped back in distance five weeks ago; others more appealing.

RSIS

Ran 3rd last run at Tabulam. A 8 start maiden. Likely to get back in the run.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races