Lismore (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:29 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Lismore (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 9 NovLismore (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Viva Racing Mdn Plate 1420m · jumps Mon 9 Nov, 2:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Naystar (4)

2.35

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

7Cool Thoughts

Offpace

2Zouman
10Follow That Dream
4Naystar

Firststart

5Trackhawk

Backmarker

6Anderlyn

Midfield

8Deep Affection
9Flying Poppi

Leader

1Rushki

Rushki · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Zouman · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Naystar · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 12%
Trackhawk · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1RushkiJ: Yvette Lewis·T: P G Randall659kg9 5 7 7 32: 0-0-1$71.00$5.50

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Emerald
1: 0-0-0
Track Bluff
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Bluff1300m4 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW15.6L
7Emerald1100m29 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD49.4L
7Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.6L
5Randwick740m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.6L
9Randwick742m11 July 2025 · Barrier Trial10.3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -64% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (18-weeks). Ex Ms G Bell in QLD. Two well-beaten efforts to open career last prep and has plenty to prove. Happy to watch.

ILB

First up after a break. Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Bluff. Racing for a new trainer. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Good chance in this.

Third beaten 16l at Bluff over 6½f (maiden) with first-time blinkers in July; first start for current stable; returns from a break today.

RSIS

First run back from break. Tidy run when 3rd last time at Bluff. Racing for a new trainer. Will be positive in the run early. Must respect.

2ZoumanJ: Micheal Hellyer·T: Sonya Dixon559kg7 2 11 9 97: 0-1-0$21.00$3.60

Career

7: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Moree1400m30 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.35L
9Gatton1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT510.05L
11Sunshine Coast1400m2 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD415.74L
2Dalby1400m13 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD37.7L
7Toowoomba1300m22 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD410.5L
8Dalby1400m11 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.5L
5Eagle Farm1000m29 July 2026 · 4UP MDN · GOOD48.7L
4Ipswich800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Moree at $71. Hard fit, open to improvement here.

ILB

Started at $71.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at Moree. Winkers go off for the first time. This looks a tough assignment.

Some promise; closest he has come to winning after seven starts was a second; ninth of 12 at Moree last month; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and was well beaten when 9th last start at Moree. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces off first time.

3My HouseScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Failed to flatter at Ipswich last outing but worth another look fresh in this line-up.

ILB

On a quick back up. Odds of $15.00 and disappointing display when 10th last start at Gold Coast.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 14/1 and below expectations when 10th last run at Gold Coast.

4NaystarJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn857.5kg5 2 6 5 62: 0-0-0$2.35$1.18

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD34.43L
5Grafton940m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
6Grafton1000m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD36L
2Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
5Gold Coast1000m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.6L
2Lismore1010m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial11.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 12%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 36 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh following return. Started $21 when safely held in Maiden company at Ballina at second start. Better for race experience and open to progression.

ILB

Weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Ballina. Has the potential to improve sharply and stepping up in distance. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Ballina (beaten 4½l) in a handicap last month; should not be far away.

RSIS

Folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Ballina. Capable of a strong comeback and going over more ground. Great chance.

5TrackhawkJ: Danny Peisley·T: Jason Reilly457.5kg6 6 2 8$9.00$2.35

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

8Gold Coast1000m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.4L
2Beaudesert1050m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
6Beaudesert900m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.4L
6Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)18.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Danny Peisley 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Danny Peisley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
On Debut
Positive
First race start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-2-0). $130k purchase. Full brother to G2 winner Kristilli. Trial form suggests there is enough ability to keep an eye on. Gets a soft draw. Betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

Jason Reilly 3yo runner on debut by Hellbent. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Watch the market.

Sire capable of producing high class offspring; the only newcomer in the field; related to multiple race winner Hot Press (6f-1m); strong claims as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

3yo by Hellbent having first start for trainer Jason Reilly. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time.

6AnderlynJ: Dylan Turner·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee257kg8 5 4 24: 0-1-0$3.30$1.30

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Casino
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Casino1400m29 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.54L
4Grafton1400m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY87.84L
5Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT65.69L
8Grafton1100m19 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD36.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

7Cool ThoughtsJ: Nozi Tomizawa·T: Sonya Dixon357kg6 8 4 3 1111: 0-0-1$34.00$4.20

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Moree1400m30 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT55.44L
3Gatton1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.07L
4Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD34.09L
8Gatton1600m1 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.17L
6Talwood1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+7.68L
5Warra1200m29 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW8L
11Sunshine Coast1300m16 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT59.7L
7Eagle Farm1000m29 July 2026 · 4UP MDN · GOOD49.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the Mdn Plate at Moree. A few runs under her belt this campaign, place preferred option.

ILB

Was $41.00 and sub-standard effort when 11th last start at Moree. Still in maiden grade after 11 starts. Does take a while to get into stride. Considering others.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs but yet to open her account after 11 starts; 11th of 12 (Moree) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 11th last run at Moree. Yet to break maiden status after 11 starts. Expected to settle towards the tail.

8Deep AffectionJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby757kg9 6 10 9 411: 0-0-1$14.00$3.00

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Ballina1400m2 Nov 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT75.53L
9Lismore1420m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT722.38L
10Grafton1190m21 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD415.55L
6Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.9L
9Kembla Grange1400m4 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.7L
5Nowra1200m19 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD33.1L
7Kembla Grange1200m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.8L
3Canberra1000m19 Sept 2025 · MDN · SOFT51.5L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 38% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Threw the towel in after leading in rain affected going at Ballina. Looks up against it.

ILB

On a short back up. Came in 4th last start at Ballina. Watch the betting.

Still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); fourth of seven beaten 6l at Ballina last week; she can be taken on.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Finished 4th last start at Ballina. Watch the betting.

9Flying PoppiJ: Kyle Wilson-Taylor·T: Declan Maher957kg5 4 6 51: 0-0-0$9.00$2.35

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.7L
6Doomben1200m3 June 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD48.9L
4Beaudesert1050m8 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
5Gold Coast850m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 169%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 24%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (22-weeks). Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Doomben at wide odds 3 Jun. Wasn't extended in latest Gold Coast trial 6 Oct. Can figure with expected progression.

ILB

Resumes after a break. Started $61.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last time at Doomben but was on debut last time. Looks optimistic.

Held on her debut at Doomben at 66-1 in June; layoff to overcome; progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started at 60/1 and didn't find the line when 6th last time at Doomben but having second race start.

10Follow That DreamJ: Grace Palmer·T: Jason Reilly157kg4 6 5 2 58: 0-1-0$10.00$2.45

Career

8: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1720m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Grafton1700m13 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY84.27L
2Grafton1720m21 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.87L
5Queanbeyan1600m8 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT55.3L
6Tuncurry1600m24 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT78L
4Goulburn1500m3 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.2L
6Hawkesbury1000m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.2L
6Bathurst1400m16 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY99.9L
6Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC6.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 327%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Close enough but couldn't capitalize at Grafton. Switching to 1420m. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Started $15.00 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last time at Grafton on a heavy track but can save some energy from the alley. Not without a chance.

Last of five at Grafton over 1m½f (maiden) four weeks ago; has raised her game the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and gave away some ground when 5th last start at Grafton but can save some energy from the stall. Not without a chance.

Odds correct as at Mon 9 Nov, 2:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races