Shortest win price
Jenni Poppins (6)
3.30
Mornington hosts the Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm56) over 1500m on a good4 surface with overcast skies. The win market is headed by Jenni Poppins, closely followed by Flying Jude, Our Pierro, and Alexander Thegreat rounding out the top end of the order for this benchmark 56 affair.
Jenni Poppins comes in as the shortest runner, having cleared maiden ranks at Bendigo on a heavy track before failing to threaten from a wide draw at Cranbourne when resuming, making this class drop a major positive. Our Pierro is another key player sitting prominent in the market, having broken through at Kyneton before a reasonable effort when sixth there last time out, and should strip fitter here while taking a 2kg claim with Nadia Daniels aboard.
Alexander Thegreat maps as a leader from barrier 11 with Sam Kennedy taking the ride, boasting a debut win at Mildura followed by a battling fifth in a small field at this venue, and looks to give a sight. Meanwhile, Flying Jude resumes after a 15-week break and a Cranbourne jump out, carrying strong fresh form records into this assignment as an each way angle for punters chasing value.
Shortest win price
Jenni Poppins (6)
3.30
Most career wins
Count Of Toulouse
6-1-2 from 35 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Alexander Thegreat · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Count Of Toulouse · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Our Pierro · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Chambers Bay · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure for new trainer in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Pakenham. Back in class helps but has a tricky draw and a hefty impost.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Pakenham but competing at a lower level of competition.
RSIS
Tailed off to finish 11th last run at Pakenham but facing a weaker group of contenders.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1409m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sam Kennedy 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Debut winner at Mildura 6 Sep 2025. Battled home into 5th in the small field this venue at longer odds. Has some claims.
ILB
Faded away to finish 5th last time at this track but stepping down to a lower level. Jockey Sam Kennedy is currently in strong form for this stable. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
This just his third race; creditable effort to finish fifth, beaten just under 3l over 6f here (handicap) three weeks ago; running in a handicap for only the second time; capable if in the mood so has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Struggled with the pace when 5th last start at this venue but facing less formidable opponents. Jockey Sam Kennedy and trainer Shawn Mathrick work well together. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
35: 6-1-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
7: 1-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (12-weeks). Effective at this level last campaign and capable of making an impact fresh in this affair.
ILB
Fresh from a break. Was $11.00 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Moe but gets a favourable draw. Large claim helps. Considering others.
RP
Held in tenth over 1m at Moe (handicap) in August; this is his grade; should figure given he won a handicap two runs back.
RSIS
Resumes from a break. Started 10/1 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Moe but gets a favourable draw.
Career
4: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
2: 1-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1514m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-2-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 173%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 45% POT in last 100 rides
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Cleared maiden ranks at Kyneton 31 Jan. First run for new trainer reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Kyneton. Better conditioned and takes a 2kg claim. Key player.
ILB
At $8.00 mediocre attempt when 6th last start at Kyneton. Expecting improvement here and taking on a lower class of opponents. Showing consistent performance in races. Worth strong consideration.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 2l) when dropped down to this trip (Kyneton) last month on debut for this trainer; not had much racing - fifth outing here; this only her second handicap outing.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and basic showing when 6th last run at Kyneton. Looking for an improved run and matched against a less competitive field. Solid career start. Good chance today.
Career
37: 5-1-4
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
8: 1-0-2
Second-up
7: 0-0-1
Third-up
7: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
11: 1-1-1
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 0-1-3
Going Heavy
4: 2-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Sent out $31 when unable to threaten this course over today's trip. On pacer. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Odds of $31.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at this venue. Rough chance.
RP
Winning form over C&D; tenth of 12 upped to this trip last month; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Was 30/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last start at the track.
Career
7: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-2-0
Track Sale
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened since resuming. Cleared maiden ranks at Bendigo then failed to threaten (wide draw) at Cranbourne first run back. Major player back in this class.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Cranbourne but matched against a less competitive field. Has some claims.
RP
No impression when seventh of 11 over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) four weeks ago; signs of improvement on last two runs; running in a handicap for just the second time; entitled to respect as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and was successful two starts back.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at Cranbourne but has been racing in stronger company. Has some claims.
Career
21: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1213m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
7: 1-0-2
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
12: 1-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 55% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Last success was 20 Mar 2025. Trimmed margin late at Wangaratta. Not disgraced last couple. Trifecta hope.
ILB
Started $19.00 and finished 7th last time at Wangaratta. Might be ridden for luck. Place best.
RP
Not beaten too far when seventh of 14 over 6½f at Wangaratta (handicap) two weeks ago; form has an up and down look to it; booking of Luke Nolen takes the eye; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started at 18/1 and came in 7th last run at Wangaratta. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Career
24: 2-3-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 2-0-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-1-0
Track Moe
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Cartwright 53% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 315%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Warmed up nicely late this track when fancied. Unexposed at trip. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Started $3.90 and ran past a few when 5th last time at the track. Could feature here.
RP
Finished fifth but only beaten 2½l over 6f here (handicap) last month; a previous winner here; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Mornington last December; been struggling to get her head in front recently so others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
At 3/1 showed some merit late when 5th last run at the track. Watch betting.
Career
9: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran an honest race and not beaten far at Bendigo. On pacer. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Was $5.50 and lost momentum late when 4th last start at Bendigo. Will be positive in the run early. Appears tested.
RP
Slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Werribee in February; far from disgraced (beaten just under 2l) at Bendigo over 7f (handicap) 24 days ago.
RSIS
Was 9/2 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Bendigo. Displays good tactical pace.
Career
10: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1760m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Alexander Rae in good form, out performing market 59%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 37% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Ex Gemma Rielly in Victoria. Won a Cranbourne jump out in readiness for return. Generally competitive fresh and looks an each way chance in this company.
ILB
First up and finished with purpose when winning first up last preparation at Bendigo. Expecting to settle positively. First start for a new trainer and has the ideal barrier. Place hope.
RP
11th of 12 when dropped back to this trip (Ballarat) in July; first run for stable; one to consider as shown she can win fairly recently - goes well fresh.
RSIS
Resuming and picked up nicely to win resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Should come to hand quickly. Change in trainer and drawn by the rails.
Career
66: 4-4-10
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Werribee
3: 1-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1514m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
11: 2-2-1
Going Soft
22: 2-0-4
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Ran on okay without troubling at Kilmore. Perhaps a place.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Kilmore. Will be tested.
RP
Respectable effort finishing fourth (beaten just under 3l) four weeks ago at Kilmore upped to this trip; has won previously at this course; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Werribee five months ago.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and improved when 4th last start at Kilmore.
Career
17: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh. Long time since last saluted but made a solid rally into the placings at Kilmore off spell. Not roughest.
ILB
Good run when finishing 3rd last time at Kilmore. Should muster plenty of early speed. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help. Others are more appealing.
RP
Third of ten when sent off 14-1 at Kilmore over 6f (handicap) last month; managed just one success in her career to date.
RSIS
Managed to run 3rd last time at Kilmore. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Hayley Spitse provides some weight relief.
Career
49: 2-0-8
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Sale
10: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
12: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten at Moe when second-up at healthy odds. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Moe. Does take a while to get into stride. Cannot have.
RP
Not won for some time now and been out of sorts of late; last of 11 at Moe over 6f (handicap) last month; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Started at 20/1 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Moe. Likely to get back in the run.