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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Sportsbet Race Previews Mdn Plate 2430m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for the Sportsbet Race Previews Mdn Plate over the 2430m staying test on a good 4 surface under overcast skies with the jump scheduled for 1:30 pm AEDT. The win market order has Sentaloa sitting at the top of calculations, followed closely by Kissattack, Molesworth, and Grinding Away rounding out the shorter options in the betting as the field prepares to tackle this marathon trip.

The case for the market leader Sentaloa is built on solid fundamentals after two strong minor placings at Bairnsdale and Yarra Valley, where the stable is firing at a handy 23% profit on turnover in their last 100 runners and Damien Thornton takes the steer from the inside alley. Sentaloa showed a rapid closing sectional last start over 1968m when beaten only half a length and looks ready to handle the rise in distance. Meanwhile, Kissattack brings the D T O'Brien yard form into contention after charging home late at Yarra Glen for a solid third behind the same race formline, though barrier three will give Damian Lane plenty of tactical options in running.

Further down the market, Molesworth represents the Ben, Will and Jd Hayes stable and comes off a fair effort at Yarra Glen when stepping up significantly in distance here with Celine Gaudray aboard. Grinding Away drops back to a suitable class for trainer Michele Denham and veteran jockey Joe Bowditch after battling home well over the 2450m course previously. With speed map runners like Clydebank Robber and Marquisard likely to inject early pace from their wide gates, staying types will get every chance to run out a strong 2430m trip in this maiden affair.

Race notes

  • 3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Sentaloa (9)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Fantastic Beast
  • 8Diamond Burglar

Offmidfield

  • 4Guthrie

Midfield

  • 7Verry Zeductive
  • 9Sentaloa
  • 12Tennessee Link
  • 11Kissattack

Offpace

  • 6Molesworth

Onpace

  • 3Grinding Away

Leader

  • 1Clydebank Robber
  • 5Marquisard

  • Clydebank Robber · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Fantastic Beast · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Grinding Away · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Guthrie · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Clydebank RobberJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: Susie Wells459.5kg3 8 7 2 365: 0-8-14$17.00$3.30

Career

65: 0-8-14

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Bairnsdale

    8: 0-3-2

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 0-0-3

  • Distance 2445m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1728m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    28: 0-3-6

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    31: 0-4-8

Last starts

  1. 3Mornington2450m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.85L
  2. 2Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT76.5L
  3. 7Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.45L
  4. 8Geelong2400m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.4L
  5. 3Geelong2470m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT74.5L
  6. 7Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1013.5L
  7. 4Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57L
  8. 3Sale2200m26 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

64 start maiden. Issued decent challenge 3yo+ Mdn Plate this course. Only for the brave.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd last start at this track. Will need its best to find a place.

RP

Unfancied when going close three weeks ago upped to this distance; hardly a model of consistency.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run around here.

2Fantastic BeastJ: Jett Stanley·T: Peter Gelagotis659.5kg12 4 6 5 323: 0-1-3$21.00$3.60

Career

23: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Quirindi

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    9: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1720m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  2. 5Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.75L
  3. 6Echuca2112m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.15L
  4. 4Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT713L
  5. 12Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.3L
  6. 10Pakenham Synthetic1400m3 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC14L
  7. 8Scone1600m25 Aug 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY94.5L
  8. 6Tamworth2100m15 Aug 2025 · CL1-SW · GOOD48.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 3%

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Outgunned but did enough for third at $15 at Echuca. Has a few chances. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 4L last start at Echuca and form has been improving over recent runs. Others are better.

RP

Ran a solid race finishing third over 1m2½f at Echuca (maiden, had Dejavast (fourth) and Lady Of Alsace (fifth) behind) last month; improved form the last twice.

RSIS

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last start at Echuca and on an upward trajectory in recent races.

3Grinding AwayJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Michele Denham859.5kg8 3 4 10 427: 0-4-3$13.00$2.80

Career

27: 0-4-3

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1606m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    14: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 4Mornington2450m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.85L
  2. 10Ballarat2016m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411L
  3. 4Geelong2400m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.6L
  4. 3Warrnambool2000m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY106.5L
  5. 8Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT78L
  6. 7Geelong1443m10 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY87.3L
  7. 2Geelong2412m14 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
  8. 3Mornington2450m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT58.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay this course. Veteran maiden but not out of this.

ILB

Started at $4.60 and improved late to finish 4th last start at the track. Watch betting.

RP

Finished behind Clydebank Robber when beaten just under 4l in fourth last month upped to this trip; others appeal more as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Started at 7/2 and picked up some late ground when 4th last run around here. Watch the betting.

4GuthrieJ: Brad Rawiller·T: N G Eades1159.5kg4 10 9 10 78: 0-0-0$34.00$4.20

Career

8: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Traralgon1900m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT79.91L
  2. 10Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.95L
  3. 9Cranbourne1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD318.31L
  4. 10Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.9L
  5. 4Moe2439m12 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT714.8L
  6. 7Pakenham2000m9 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT519L
  7. 5Echuca2124m21 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD411.8L
  8. 4Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT64.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Limited

    Negative

    Yet to break through after 8 starts

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Traralgon. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Was $31.00 and ran 7th last time at Traralgon. Unplaced in career. Likely to get back. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Recent form is unremarkable; beaten 10l in seventh at Traralgon last month upped to 1m1½f; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as this is competitive.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and came in 7th last run at Traralgon. Yet to make an impression in 8 attempts. Might have to make up considerable ground.

5MarquisardJ: Nathan Punch·T: Phillip Cafarella1259.5kg8 5 11 9 918: 0-0-1$126.00$10.00

Career

18: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT723.55L
  2. 9Sale1615m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.9L
  3. 11Pakenham Synthetic1600m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC13.9L
  4. 5Geelong2470m2 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.9L
  5. 8Mornington2000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD319.5L
  6. 3Pakenham Synthetic2200m29 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  7. 5Pakenham Synthetic2200m18 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.9L
  8. 8Sale2238m31 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT718.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to threaten (wide draw) in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale at wide odds. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

At $51.00 fairly underwhelming when 9th last time at Bairnsdale. Trying to win after 18 starts. Not interested today.

RP

Finished out the back last month at Bairnsdale upped to 1m3f; others are preferred as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and performed below standard when 9th last time at Bairnsdale. Trying to win after 18 starts.

6MolesworthJ: Celine Gaudray·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes959.5kg4 3 6 8 55: 0-0-1$9.00$2.35

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.96L
  2. 8Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC8L
  3. 6Caulfield Heath1500m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L
  4. 3Moe2050m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
  5. 4Warrnambool1700m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.5L
  6. 4Seymour1600m28 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Yarra Glen when second-up at $13. Significantly up in distance but in top yard and can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and improved when 5th last start at Yarra Valley. Great chance.

RP

Not disgraced when fifth at Yarra Glen last month upped to 1m2f; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last time at Yarra Vstall. Good chance at a nice price.

7Verry ZeductiveJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Brett Scott1059.5kg8 12 13 5 87: 0-0-0$91.00$7.50

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Warrnambool2000m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD415.85L
  2. 5Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT714.45L
  3. 13Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD417.42L
  4. 12Seymour2200m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD420.8L
  5. 8Yarra Valley1950m7 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
  6. 8Pakenham1600m16 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD420.8L
  7. 9Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD411L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 60% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 100%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn winning at 42% POT in last 100 rides

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 10kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't come on at Warrnambool. Rise to 2430m a new challenge. Getting beaten by huge margins.

ILB

At $101.00 struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Warrnambool. Likely to get back in the field. Can't recommend.

RP

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way at Warrnambool over 1m2f (maiden) 12 days ago; can have a big say with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered).

RSIS

Started 100/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Warrnambool. Likely to get back in the run.

8Diamond BurglarJ: Craig Newitt·T: C W Mcdonald758kg8 9 6 74: 0-0-0$14.00$3.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2648m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Ballarat2648m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD410.25L
  2. 6Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.05L
  3. 9Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.4L
  4. 8Ballarat Synthetic1400m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 3%

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 32 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Ex Matthew Cumani in Victoria. Has generally struggled to make an impression. Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Ballarat at wide odds. Not keen,

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and faded away to finish 7th last start at Ballarat and rises in weight. Should muster plenty of early toe. First start for a new trainer. Can't entertain a bet.

RP

Finished just behind Startin'sumthin' when seventh at Ballarat four weeks ago upped to 1m5f; few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; first start for current yard; by no means ruled out.

RSIS

Was 40/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last time at Ballarat and goes up in weight. Has shown early pace in races to date. Change in trainer.

9SentaloaJ: Damien Thornton·T: M M Laurie158kg3 3 2 24: 0-2-2$2.40$1.20

Career

4: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-2

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.5L
  2. 2Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT75L
  3. 3Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.25L
  4. 3Bendigo1500m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Ready to explode. Refused to shirk task in 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Yarra Glen. Fancy the extra trip will suit. Top pick from gun draw.

ILB

Came on strongly when 2nd last start at Yarra Valley and has a nice advantage with a good gate. Placed at every start this preparation and good career start. Strong winning hope.

RP

Beaten half a length (Yarra Glen, had Kissattack and Molesworth behind) 17 days ago upped to 1m2f; lightly raced (this just his fifth race); steps into the unknown over new trip and not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Managed to finish 2nd last time at Yarra Vstall and solid career start. Has not missed the money recently in 4 attempts and can save some energy from the stall. Should go well.

10DejavastScratched5––––

Career

18: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Wangaratta2000m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57L
  2. 4Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48L
  3. 8Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT58.86L
  4. 10Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD312.85L
  5. 4Seymour1300m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.3L
  6. 9Seymour2200m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD417.7L
  7. 4Werribee2720m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
  8. 7Seymour2246m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD38.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Outgunned but did enough for third at $10 at Wangaratta. New to Mornington. Each way.

ILB

On a short back up. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 7L last run at Wangaratta.

RP

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; 7l third at Wangaratta over 1m2f (maiden) last week.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 7L last run at Wangaratta.

11KissattackJ: Damian Lane·T: D T O'Brien357.5kg10 1 8 6 36: 0-0-1$2.50$1.22

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2020m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2040m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.75L
  2. 6Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.96L
  3. 8Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39L
  4. 1Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2
  5. 10Seymour2040m21 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.3L
  6. 5Mornington2020m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.4L
  7. 4Cranbourne1600m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.8L
  8. 6Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Career best last outing. Restrained from wide gate, attacked line late to claim at Yarra Glen. Up in trip a plus but tempo the key. Danger.

ILB

Finished with intent when 3rd last start at Yarra Valley. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Split Sentaloa and Molesworth when third last month faring better than previously over 1m2f (maiden) at Yarra Glen; has raised her game the last twice; assuming she steps up from most recent effort then wouldn't rule out a big run.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd last run at Yarra Vstall. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.

12Tennessee LinkJ: Yoko Ota·T: M A Burnell257.5kg8 10 11 11 89: 0-0-0$126.00$11.00

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1856m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Traralgon1900m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.66L
  2. 11Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT510.21L
  3. 11Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.9L
  4. 10Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC15.1L
  5. 8Pakenham Synthetic1600m15 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.9L
  6. 10Mornington2020m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.9L
  7. 4Cranbourne1600m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L
  8. 12Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT631.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Yoko Ota current POT is 50% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 57%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Yet to get seriously involved and has plenty to find. Failed to threaten on a soft deck at Traralgon at cricket score odds. Looking to others.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and came in 8th last start at Traralgon but has a positive draw. Yet to trouble the judge in all runs. Tough ask.

RP

Recent form nothing to write home about; out of the frame when eighth over 1m1½f at Traralgon (maiden, close behind Guthrie) ten days ago; makes limited appeal as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and finished 8th last start at Traralgon but gets a favourable draw. Unplaced in all races to date. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

13Startin'Sumthin'Scratched11––––

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2648m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Wangaratta2000m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT522.92L
  2. 6Ballarat2648m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD47.25L
  3. 14Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD417.48L
  4. 5Bendigo1600m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY88.1L
  5. 8Geelong1425m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY810L
  6. 9Werribee1600m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD414.5L
  7. 7Geelong1414m26 Nov 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD314.9L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Race performances have lacked merit. Hard to warm to.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started at $8.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Wangaratta.

RP

Was tailed off over 1m2f at Wangaratta (maiden) a week ago.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started at 7/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Wangaratta.

14Lady Of AlsaceScratched9––––

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.75L
  2. 7Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.5L
  3. 7Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.15L
  4. 8Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT54.5L
  5. 9Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT77.7L
  6. 7Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT79.8L
  7. 5Echuca1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36.3L
  8. 10Mornington1200m17 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Track Stats

    Negative

    Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

AAP

Has found it difficult to make an impact and rise to 2430m a new challenge. Looks up against it.

ILB

Jumped at $10.00 and ran 5th last run at Echuca.

RP

Finished fifth, beaten 9l, at Echuca over 1m2½f (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and ran 5th last time at Echuca.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races