Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:45 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 3 — BetaVet Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps Tue 10 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Mornington plays host to the Betavet Mdn Plate over the 1000m on a Good 4 track under overcast skies. The win market order has Pinamilloy sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by A Stern Angel, Capital Storm, and Kensington shaping up next in the betting order. It is an intriguing 3UP Maiden Plate where punters have gravitated towards the exposed form mixed with some interesting newcomers stepping out for the first time on race day.

The market leader Pinamilloy lines up for Jason Warren with Zac Spain in the saddle from barrier 5, bringing a solid three-start record featuring two minor placings and a handy third at Ballarat Synthetic followed by a runner-up effort at Cranbourne over this exact 1000m trip. Sectionals indicate this runner goes hard early, and the stable is running hot, suggesting the fresh campaign can start with a bang. On the other hand, Capital Storm resumes for Phillip and Tommy Stokes from barrier 6 with Damian Lane steering, having offered little on debut at Sale over 1205m on a heavy track before heading for a spell, though a recent Caulfield Heath barrier trial third hints there might be more to come if the market finds support. Meanwhile, A Stern Angel debuts for the Ben, Will and Jd Hayes stable from barrier 2 with Celine Gaudray engaged, backed by a sharp Flemington jump-out win that points to a bold first-up showing.

Further down the line, Kensington draws nicely in barrier 1 for trainer C W McDonald and jockey Jamie Melham as a thirty-thousand-dollar purchase out of a half-sister to a group winner, though jump outs have been quiet. Russian Into It adds early speed from barrier 7 alongside Little Gangster from barrier 3, while Exegesis anchors the backmarkers from gate 9 for Mick Nolan. The value sits with those runners possessing proven race craft over the short trip, but expect the newcomers to draw plenty of attention in the ring.

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Pinamilloy (8)

2.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Onpace

1Russian Into It
8Pinamilloy
7Little Gangster

Firststart

2A Stern Angel
10Isabellas
11Thatswotitzalabout
12Kensington

Backmarker

9Exegesis

Leader

5Capital Storm

Russian Into It · Negative
Jockey Booking
Craig Newitt current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
A Stern Angel · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Capital Storm · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Little Gangster · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Russian Into ItJ: Craig Newitt·T: Kane Harris759.5kg3 4 2 103: 0-0-1$18.00$3.20

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

10Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.81L
2Pakenham Synthetic750m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.3L
4Wangaratta1000m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.4L
3Cranbourne1000m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD36L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Craig Newitt current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 118%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (50-days). Failed to flatter at Warrnambool for new stable. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Freshened for this. Odds of $6.00 and disappointing outing when 10th last time at Warrnambool. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Could feature here.

Not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished third; last of ten at Warrnambool on first run for current trainer 50 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Let up. Was 5/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 10th last run at Warrnambool. Should be going forward early. Betting is the best guide.

2A Stern AngelJ: Celine Gaudray·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes258kg–$3.00$1.22

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Out of a placed mare. Sharp in latest Flemington jump out win. Drawn well and big watch on debut.

ILB

Will Ben & Jd Hayes trained 3yo by Harry Angel having first race appearance and can find a nice position from the draw. Keep your eye on the market.

Stable has fine record with newcomers at this distance; sire can produce useful types; he's worth a go as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Harry Angel 3yo trained by Will Ben & Jd Hayes on debut and drawn nicely. Watch early betting.

3Aerial PursuitScratched10––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Yarra Valley1009m24 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.6L
9Bendigo1000m13 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Gave good account at Yarra Glen at second appearance. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Jumped at $19.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Yarra Valley.

Solid effort when beaten 1½l to finish fourth (Yarra Glen) last month.

RSIS

Was 18/1 and picked up some ground to run 4th last time at Yarra Vstall.

4BallsintheairScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

$26k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Washington Heights. Latest Cranbourne jump out win will have him right to go. Betting.

ILB

Gavin Bedggood 3yo by Supido on debut. Betting as a guide.

Already a gelding; first start under rules for this three-year-old son of Supido; this doesn't look easy against experienced rivals so best watched unless the market says otherwise.

RSIS

3yo debutant sired by Supido for trainer Gavin Bedggood.

5Capital StormJ: Damian Lane·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes658kg3 101: 0-0-0$3.90$1.30

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Sale1205m28 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY86.3L
3Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (19-weeks). Ex P Stokes in Victoria. Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Sale when in the market 28 Jun. Learnt plenty there but will need to improve. Watch market.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started at $2.80 and folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Sale. Happy to forgive that run. Should put in a decent effort.

Made no impression on his debut despite being sent off favourite (6f, Sale) at 9-5 four months ago; returning from a layoff here; possible improver with outing under his belt although has plenty to find.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. At 9/5 lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Sale. Should improve here and having second race start. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

6Exacting StandardScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Shown some promise across three appearances. Sound performance in small field at Yarra Glen first up. Will be fitter second-up. Worth a look.

ILB

On a short back up. At $6.50 clearly outclassed when 8th last run at Geelong.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Was 11/2 and disappointing effort when 8th last run at Geelong.

7Little GangsterJ: Lachlan King·T: Shawn Mathrick358kg11 3 8 6 65: 0-0-1$71.00$5.50

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Warrnambool1000m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD49.15L
6Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.31L
8Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.15L
3Mildura1008m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.1L
11Sandown1000m11 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD413.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Lachlan King 49% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 282%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Warrnambool over this journey at healthy odds. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Started $19.00 and finished 6th last time at Warrnambool. Entitled to be a big price.

Sixth of 11 beaten 9l at Warrnambool last month; five-race maiden though does have a third place to his name; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and finished 6th last time at Warrnambool.

8PinamilloyJ: Zac Spain·T: Jason Warren558kg5 3 2 33: 0-1-2$2.70$1.22

Career

3: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Ballarat Synthetic1200m2 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC2.8L
2Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT70.4L
3Swan Hill975m6 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT61.7L
5Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 59% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Indicated some potential last campaign and returns with scope. Can challenge again fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Back from a spell. Ran 3rd last time Ballarat Synthetic and putting a tidy record together. Has plenty of early speed. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Rates as one of the key chances.

Winless in three starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; finishing third was a good effort in July over 6f (maiden, Ballarat); returns from a layoff here.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. Looked good when 3rd last start Ballarat Synthetic and promising career start. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Capable of winning this.

9ExegesisJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Mick Nolan957.5kg91: 0-0-0$126.00$9.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Werribee1000m11 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT59.6L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 62% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke Cartwright 53% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (30-weeks). Had no answers when the pressure went on at Werribee debut at a mammoth price 11 Apr. Decent break since. Plenty of improvement needed.

ILB

Resuming after a spell of 30 weeks. Odds of $101.00 and underperformed when 9th last start at Werribee but having second career run. Likely to get back. Others are better.

Held on her debut at Werribee at 100-1 in April; returns from a layoff; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

Back after a 30 week break. Odds of 100/1 and not up to scratch when 9th last run at Werribee but having second career run.

10IsabellasJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Sarah Robbins857.5kg–$101.00$7.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Dam won two races. Runner-up in both jump outs. Market watch advised.

ILB

Initial appearance 4yo by Sir Prancealot for Sarah Robbins. Watch the market.

Related to multiple race winner Deion (4½f-7f); makes competitive race debut; likely to be thereabouts as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

4yo runner on debut by Sir Prancealot for Sarah Robbins.

11ThatswotitzalaboutJ: Luke Nolen·T: C W Mcdonald457.5kg–$15.00$3.00

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Dam won Taupo maiden. Late bloomer heading to the races after some modest jump out performances. Good draw but check betting.

ILB

Clinton Mcdonald trained 4yo runner on debut by Super Seth. Watch the market moves.

Related to Fabrice, winning form over 6f-1m; stable can ready a newcomer; New Zealander bred; there's hope from the pedigree that she has some ability; prospects with signs of encouragement in profile and the trainer is in good nick.

RSIS

Clinton Mcdonald trained 4yo by Super Seth having first start. Watch betting.

12KensingtonJ: Jamie Melham·T: C W Mcdonald156kg–$10.00$2.35

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

$30k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G2 winner Calliope. Hasn't shown much in jump outs but by a boom sire and drawn well. Betting.

ILB

Career debut 3yo by Home Affairs for Clinton Mcdonald and can save some energy from the barrier. Jamie Melham is a strong choice aboard. Follow the money.

Shares a dam with Wangi Wangi, a 5½f winner; trainer can ready one; needs considering with signs of encouragement in profile - form of her stable is an obvious plus.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Home Affairs for Clinton Mcdonald and gets the perfect stall. Jockey Jamie Melham is an asset. Market as guide.

13Russian TideScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Had a low-key debut at Yarra Glen 24 Oct. Needs to find a few lengths.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Odds of $2.70 and average effort when 5th last time at Balnarring.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 7/4 and appeared lacklustre when 5th last run at Balnarring.

14BalticScratched13––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Sale1005m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY87.6L
9Ballarat1000m12 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY810.2L
6Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD410.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 195%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 126%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 62%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (19-weeks). Three runs to date have been lacklustre and has a deep gate for return. Prefer to see.

ILB

First up today. Faded to finish 13th last start at Sale.

Finished towards the rear of 14 (Sale) in June; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

First run back today. Weakened to finish 13th last start at Sale on a heavy surface.

Odds correct as at Tue 10 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races