Shortest win price
Captainthunderbolt (2)
2.80
Quirindi plays host to a competitive maiden handicap over the 1200m journey on a good 4 surface under fine skies. The win market presents Captainthunderbolt as the shortest runner, closely followed by Titan Of Fury, Samogon, and Tease The Breeze at the head of the order. The bold play is to look past the top of the market where the value sits with those capable of handling the step up in trip.
Taking a closer look at the form behind the market leaders, Captainthunderbolt returns for a second campaign after showing enough promise in his initial prep, including a placing at Dubbo on debut and a solid fourth at Bathurst over 1400m. Billy Cray takes the mount from barrier 7, bringing strong riding metrics into the race. Meanwhile, Titan Of Fury resumes after a 17-week break following a sound previous campaign that featured strong closing sectionals and a recent barrier trial win at Newcastle, rating highly among the chances here.
Further down the order, Tease The Breeze catches the eye from barrier 4 for trainer S I Singleton and jockey Mikayla Weir, having left a positive impression when finishing third on debut over 950m at Moree on a soft surface. With the benefit of that race-day experience and an extension in distance to 1200m, this runner appeals as an overs option in a race where speed maps show Tootony attempting to dictate terms from barrier 12 as the sole designated leader.
Shortest win price
Captainthunderbolt (2)
2.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Tootony · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Captainthunderbolt · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Play It Straight · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Sapphino · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 395 day break (> 300 days)
AAP
Resuming (56-weeks). Wasn't up to it in first two campaigns but benefitted by a good break and two subsequent trials. Watch betting.
ILB
Back from a 56 week break. Towards the rear last run at Scone. Placed 2nd in a barrier trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Oct 12th. Prefer others.
RP
At Scone 395 days ago in a maiden; has a long absence to overcome; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 56 weeks. Towards the rear last time at Scone. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.
Career
4: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Cray 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (25-weeks). Wasn't all that far away in his first prep. Placed at Dubbo on debut last campaign and big show fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up after 25 weeks and did well to run into 3rd first up last preparation at Dubbo. Competitive type.
RP
Without a win in four attempts although has finished third; towards the rear of 14 in a maiden at Parkes in May; returns from an absence here; others appeal more.
RSIS
Resuming and managed to place 3rd resuming last preparation at Dubbo. Strong claims.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (58-days). Highly encouraging debut performance at Wellington. Better for race exposure. Can make her presence felt with even breaks.
ILB
Freshened up. Narrowly beaten last run at Wellington and was on debut last time.
RP
Went down by just a head running for the first time at Wellington at 100-30 two months ago; possible improver with outing under her belt although has plenty to find.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Close to claiming the win last start at Wellington and having second race start.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 39%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston winning at 24% POT in last 100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam won four races for Peter MIlls. Heading into debut with two lead-up trials. Trained on track. Market watch advised.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). Dam won twice. Half sister to city winner Onemore Sapphire. Early trials didn’t excite, but latest was a step forward Gets a soft draw. Follow betting leads.
RP
Makes competitive race debut; related to Sapphires Son, winning form over 6f-1m; capable of making an impact as some good aspects to her profile.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-0). $150k purchase. Out of a Group 3-winning mare. This asks a bit on debut but gave fair account in latest trial. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Wootton Bassett 4yo trained by Liam Ruddy on debut. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Fitter for a barrier trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Watch the betting.
RP
Having her first start in public; sire can inject some quality; needs to be respected with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Wootton Bassett for Liam Ruddy. Blinkers go on for the first time. Fitter for a trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Betting as a guide.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (23-weeks). Well down the track at Scone on debut at healthy odds. Since appeared in 3 trials but would need to improve.
ILB
First up today. Not up to scratch when 8th last run at Scone but fitter for debut run. Facing an increased distance.
RP
Seemed green (wore blinkers) at Scone when held on his debut over 4½f at 20-1 in May; runs for only the second time in a handicap; returns from a break here; should improve with a run under his belt although it was only a modest start.
RSIS
First run back. Performed below standard when 8th last run at Scone but was on debut last time. Facing a rise in trip.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Todd Howlett striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Well held but far from disgraced on debut at Port Macquarie at double-figure odds 9 Oct. Better for the run. Sound claims.
ILB
Was $19.00 and ran 6th last time at Port Macquarie but having second race start. Likely to get back in the run. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Held on his debut over 5f at Port Macquarie at 18-1 34 days ago; must now step up; also engaged in race 3 at Port Macquarie.
RSIS
Odds of 18/1 and came in 6th last start at Port Macquarie but was a debutant last start. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
Career
12: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
9: 0-2-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Form sound last campaign. Given two trials and has placed first-up. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
First up from a spell. Started $3.20 and made some ground when 4th last run at Newcastle but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fourth) in a maiden at Newcastle upped to 1m1f in July; good and bad recent runs found on his CV and winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 12; returning from a layoff here; this is competitive and others more appealing.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. At 11/5 made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at Newcastle but will be down in distance. Has a good chance.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-1). Dam won twice. Soundly beaten in 4 trials and will need to find more under race conditions. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
3yo debutant sired by Hellbent for Kris Lees. Fitter for a trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Watch the market.
RP
Yard can ready a newcomer; sire capable of getting smart offspring; related to 5½f winner Alzaro; plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Kris Lees trained 3yo debutant by Hellbent. Finished 3rd in a trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Watch the market moves.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
3: 0-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Sally Torrens striking at just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 114%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Settled at rear, produced a grinding charge into the placings at Moree for new stable. Encouraging latest and could improve further.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last start at Moree and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Respect the betting.
RP
Has found improvement of late; turned in improved effort in a maiden when dropped in distance finished just ahead of Tease The Breeze at Moree two weeks ago on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 2nd last start at Moree and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Watch betting.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Moree
1: 0-0-1
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut at Moree 30 Oct. Wiser for experience and the added distance may help. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 3rd last start at Moree and having second career run. Well respected contender.
RP
Ran encouragingly on her debut when third at Moree at 9-2 two weeks ago; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Moree and fitter for debut run. Has very good finishing pace. Will attract plenty of interest.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
AAP
Form to date modest at best. Well back and made limited headway at Dubbo first up. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
At $4.40 pushed past some when 5th last time at Dubbo.
RSIS
Was 10/3 and chased well when 5th last time at Dubbo.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 17% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Jay Hopkins striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Finished down the track in both runs. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Was $151.00 and well beaten when 9th last start at Scone. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 9l into ninth) at Scone last month; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; is passed over.
RSIS
At 150/1 weakened to finish 9th last start at Scone.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $14 when battled home in Maiden company in soft going at Tamworth. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started $12.00 and finished 4th last start at Tamworth but has a nice advantage with a good gate. Winkers go off for the first time. Others are better.
RP
Beaten 7l into fourth in a maiden (Tamworth) last week on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Was 11/1 and finished 4th last start at Tamworth but drawn the rails. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces off first time. The large claim from Jasmine Urquhart Warren helps.
Career
9: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Track Moree
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 29% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 39%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 473 day break (> 300 days)
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Resuming (67-weeks). Close in Maiden company at Quirindi first-up last campaign. Expect will need this.
ILB
Back from a 67 week break. Was $101.00 and finished 7th last start at Muswellbrook but has a good draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Hard to see it being good enough.
RP
Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; found life tough when 10l back in seventh (Muswellbrook) last July in a maiden; long absence to overcome.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 67 weeks. Was 100/1 and ran 7th last time at Muswellbrook but will try to take advantage of the stall. Back in trip.
Career
26: 0-4-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
15: 0-3-2
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
AAP
Let-up (54-days). Well back and never sighted at Newcastle when second-up at wide odds. First time around Quirindi. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Freshened for this. Tailed off to finish 9th last run at Newcastle but rising in trip. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw.
RP
Last of nine in a maiden (Newcastle) two months ago; not had much racing for her age and she can be competitive at this level.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Newcastle but going over extra ground. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.