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Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 12 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 12 NovSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Kilmore Ford Hcp (62) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Seymour hosts a Kilmore Ford Handicap over 1200 metres at 6:30 pm AEDT on Good 3 going, a 0–62 restricted race for three-year-olds and older. Ole Daze is shortest in the market, followed by Oceanella and Cherry Hills. The field splits across early, midfield, and back-marker lanes, with Magic Drum alone in the onpace group and three leaders in Stolen Art and Cherry Hills competing for the front.

Ole Daze carries a horror draw at barrier 13 but comes back from a 28-week spell for a second campaign and has shown winning form. The mare broke through at Wangaratta on debut and ran second at Sandown by just half a length over 1200 metres on Good 4, then faded late at Caulfield Heath. Jockey Nadia Daniels is performing 68 per cent above market expectation across her last 100 rides and is 51 per cent better than her career average lately, which lends credence to the pick. The Reserve opinion is that resumption from that draw will test her, though the comment flags not to dismiss. Oceanella, second favourite, won at Mornington last time and finished fourth at Cranbourne over this distance, posting a solid effort. The Zahra stable is running at 44 per cent win strike-rate across 100 runners, and the jockey-trainer combination is outperforming market expectations by 67 per cent. Cherry Hills, third favourite, won on debut at Bendigo and was expected to build on that but faded to tenth at Caulfield Heath over 1500 metres on Soft 7. A recent Pakenham jumpout win suggests intent fresh, yet the form collapse warrants caution.

Deliberate Ploy sits fourth and returns for a second campaign after 25 weeks away. The gelding won first-up last prep and has posted two recent Cranbourne jumpout wins, suggesting genuine readiness. Ulfberht, rated 90 and fifth favourite, has shown potential as a lightly raced type and drops to suitable class here at 59.5 kilograms with Changgyun Ma aboard. Zane Zena, barrier 2, brings a hot jockey-trainer combination 83 per cent above market expectation and won last start, though she sits further down the market. The value may lean toward Ole Daze despite the acid draw, given Daniels' current form and the mare's recent competitive efforts.

Race notes

  • 0 - 62,0 - 62 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 62
  • GOOD3
  • Fine
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Ole Daze (2)

6.00

Most career wins

Magic Drum

7-3-8 from 51 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Outer Banks
  • 16Celestra

Offmidfield

  • 6Hola Amigos
  • 10Oceanella

Midfield

  • 5Deliberate Ploy
  • 8Ulfberht
  • 14Sayalero
  • 15Blaze Away

Offpace

  • 2Ole Daze
  • 13Zane Zena

Onpace

  • 1Magic Drum

Leader

  • 4Stolen Art
  • 9Cherry Hills

  • Magic Drum · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Ole Daze · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 51% better than Career Avg.

  • Stolen Art · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Deliberate Ploy · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Magic DrumJ: Neil Farley·T: Kasey Wilson1060kg1 6 7 6 451: 7-3-8$31.00$5.50

Career

51: 7-3-8

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 1-2-1

  • Second-up

    8: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    8: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 3-0-2

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    8: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1474m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    29: 4-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    5: 2-0-2

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC2.25L
  2. 6Moe1200m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  3. 7Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.5L
  4. 6Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT54.8L
  5. 1Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY10-4.3
  6. 5Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT66L
  7. 4Sale1213m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92L
  8. 9Pakenham Synthetic1000m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC7.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Neil Farley 35% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 29%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 38 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Led, gave away final stages at Pakenham Synthetic over this trip. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Was $51.00 and found wanting late when 4th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Should muster plenty of early speed. Others preferred.

RP

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten just over 2l) at Pakenham five weeks ago; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Moe three months ago; is passed over as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and faded late when 4th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Displays good tactical pace.

2Ole DazeJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes1360kg2 1 2 93: 1-1-0$6.00$2.25

Career

3: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD47.44L
  2. 2Sandown1200m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
  3. 1Wangaratta1170m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.5
  4. 2Bendigo1000m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 51% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 68% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 163%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 50% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (28-weeks). Ex V T Nolen in Victoria. Finished fourth in latest Pakenham jumpout. Raced in stiffer company last prep but cops a horror draw for resumption. Don't dismiss.

ILB

First up and finished well when winning first up last preparation at Wangaratta. Jockey Nadia Daniels and trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes are a strong team. Definite winning chance.

RP

Finished last of nine at Caulfield in April; first run for yard; returns from a layoff here; has a reasonable shout if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Resuming and picked up late to win resuming last preparation at Wangaratta. Nadia Daniels and Will Ben & Jd Hayes demand respect when they team up. Going down in grade. Solid chance.

3Sir LoyneScratched16––––

Career

10: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Swan Hill1200m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.7L
  2. 1Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.35
  3. 5Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73L
  4. 6Wodonga1300m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.5L
  5. 4Hawkesbury1500m17 Mar 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.7L
  6. 5Wyong1625m21 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.9L
  7. 2Kembla Grange1400m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
  8. 5Randwick1050m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ben Brisbourne striking at just 8%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Swan Hill over today's trip. Capable of making an impact if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Did well when 3rd last run at Swan Hill. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw.

RP

Ran well when beaten three-quarters of a length at Swan Hill last month.

RSIS

Tidy run when 3rd last start at Swan Hill. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.

4Stolen ArtJ: Ryan Houston·T: Simon Zahra160kg6 7 3 2 421: 3-3-2$14.00$3.80

Career

21: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Warrnambool1200m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD41.41L
  2. 2Kilmore1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.75L
  3. 3Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT52.5L
  4. 7Pakenham Synthetic1100m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC3.52L
  5. 6Caulfield Heath1200m4 Mar 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD44.2L
  6. 5Colac1200m6 Feb 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD41.7L
  7. 1Cranbourne1200m3 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD3-0.5
  8. 6Terang1200m16 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD32L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 44% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. On pace and courageous in defeat at Warrnambool over today's trip. Can show early speed. One for exotics.

ILB

Started $6.00 and lost ground late when 4th last start at Warrnambool and has the ideal draw. Has early speed and positions nicely. Has some claims.

RP

Fair effort at Warrnambool four weeks ago; often been there or thereabouts lately; he can be taken on given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and was getting tired late when 4th last run at Warrnambool and drawn the rails. Should jump out and bowl along. Respect the betting.

5Deliberate PloyJ: Patrick Moloney·T: R D Griffiths559.5kg3 4 6 6 136: 1-0-1$8.50$2.90

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Flemington2000m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD48.2L
  2. 6Caulfield Heath1800m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD43L
  3. 6Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM74 · SOFT54.5L
  4. 4Ballarat1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L
  5. 3Pakenham1200m19 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.6L
  6. 1Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (25-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep and won two recent Cranbourne jumpouts. Looks primed for a strong run first-up.

ILB

First up and stormed home to win first up last preparation at Pakenham. Matched against a less competitive field. Down in distance. Will have to carry extra weight. Rough chance today.

RP

Was held in 13th over 1m2f at Flemington (handicap) in May; subpar since successful in a maiden at Pakenham in March; returns from a layoff; meeting some horses in good form and has questions to answer.

RSIS

Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Pakenham. Matched against lesser competition. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Has to cope with a weight increase.

6Hola AmigosJ: Luke Currie·T: Ms W Kelly759.5kg8 9 8 4 721: 3-3-4$26.00$5.00

Career

21: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    8: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    12: 1-2-3

  • Going Good

    15: 1-2-3

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 7Pakenham1600m2 Apr 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.9L
  2. 4Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.2L
  3. 8Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · BM66 HCP · GOOD43.5L
  4. 9Sandown1400m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD46.1L
  5. 8Caulfield Heath1500m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.3L
  6. 2Pakenham1400m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT70.5L
  7. 7Moonee Valley1200m3 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.9L
  8. 10Caulfield1400m5 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 70 · GOOD34.91L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 245%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (32-weeks). Sixth behind Splash Back in latest Cranbourne jumpout. May need this.

ILB

Back from a 32 week spell. Jumped at $5.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Pakenham but have to respect the form at the trip. Facing a difficult task.

RP

Finished last of seven over 1m at Pakenham (handicap) in April; a long time since his last win; returns from a break today; passed over as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 32 weeks. Started 4/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Pakenham but ideal trip as proven previously.

7Outer BanksJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne359.5kg1 4 1 2 75: 1-1-0$10.00$3.30

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Warrnambool1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.37L
  2. 2Sale1200m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD30.2L
  3. 1Bendigo1000m27 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
  4. 4Randwick1150m13 Aug 2025 · 3yo · HEAVY98L
  5. 1Warwick Farm812m25 July 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.2
  6. 2Rosehill900m15 July 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L
  7. 10Warwick Farm1200m16 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD48.11L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Remains fresh. Ridden back and never a factor at Warrnambool off extended spell. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Started $7.00 and well beaten when 7th last start at Warrnambool. Always seems to find the line well. Can win this.

RP

Far from exposed; seventh of eight beaten 8l over 5f at Warrnambool (handicap) four weeks ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 6/1 and disappointing effort when 7th last time at Warrnambool. Always seems to find the line well. Good potential.

8UlfberhtJ: Changgyun Ma·T: R D Griffiths459.5kg2 2 1 10 75: 1-2-0$9.00$3.00

Career

5: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    3: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.21L
  2. 10Flemington1100m20 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT76.3L
  3. 1Sale1208m17 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3
  4. 2Sale1100m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD31.75L
  5. 2Sale1113m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  6. 2Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L

Insights

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened since resuming. Won a Crnabourne jumpout between runs. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

At $19.00 came in 7th last time around here. Can show a better performance this time and showing consistent performance in races. The large claim from Changgyun Ma helps. Solid claims.

RP

Held when seventh beaten just over 5l over 5f here (handicap, not far behind Blaze Away) 32 days ago; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and ran 7th last time around here. Capable of bouncing back and promising career start. The large claim from Changgyun Ma helps. Has a good chance.

9Cherry HillsJ: Damian Lane·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes658kg1 1 102: 1-0-0$7.50$2.65

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT79.6L
  2. 1Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.4
  3. 1Caulfield Heath1400m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (24-weeks). Won a recent Pakenham Synthetic jumpout. Looks dangerous fresh.

ILB

First up and ran on hard when winning first up last preparation at Bendigo. Expecting to settle positively. Will be dropping in distance. Expect a forward showing.

RP

Finished last of ten over 7½f at Caulfield (handicap) in May; back from an absence here; just second start in this company; winner two starts ago and looks like a player.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on hard when winning resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Shows good early pace. Coming back in distance. Strong claims in this.

10OceanellaJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Simon Zahra958kg4 7 1 1 412: 2-2-3$6.50$2.40

Career

12: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 2-1-2

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-2-2

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.47L
  2. 1Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD4-0.15
  3. 1Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.5
  4. 7Seymour1200m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.2L
  5. 4Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD33.2L
  6. 2Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
  7. 2Kyneton1203m11 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD40.2L
  8. 6Cranbourne1200m22 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.9L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 44% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Good Form

    Positive

    Very competitive in recent runs

Comments

AAP

Solid effort at Cranbourne over this distance. One for multiples.

ILB

Jumped at $7.00 and close up last run at Cranbourne. Teodore Nugent rates highly. Shows good closing speed. Racing consistently this preparation. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

RP

Good effort when beaten into fourth by half a length (Cranbourne) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so she can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and right up there last time at Cranbourne. Teodore Nugent rates highly aboard. Tracking very well of late. Has a great burst of pace late. Great chance.

11She Won't FoldScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Melea Castle current POT is 53% below Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 175%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found enough to place in small field at Mornington first run back. Strips in better shape and jumpouts prior were solid. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Right in the mix last start at Mornington and honest performer putting a tidy record together.

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last run at Mornington and promising career start.

12Super ScholarScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prominent and fought on determinedly at Wangaratta at second start. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Picked up late to win last start at Wangaratta but up against tougher competition.

RP

Got home in front by half a length two weeks ago when opening her account at the second time of asking at Wangaratta in a maiden; arguably the one to beat.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Wangaratta but competing at a higher level of competition.

13Zane ZenaJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin257.5kg4 5 5 14: 1-0-0$31.00$6.00

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Wodonga1200m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  2. 5Caulfield Heath1500m29 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN · GOOD44.1L
  3. 5Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.9L
  4. 4Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (58-days). Strong win from just off the leaders at Wodonga first up. Second in Flemeington jumpout between runs. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Let up. Romped home to win last time at Wodonga and will try to take advantage of the alley. Up in grade. Unlikely to go close.

RP

Won a maiden by 1l when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking (Wodonga) two months ago; hard to dismiss.

RSIS

Freshened up. Strong effort to the line to win last run at Wodonga and can find a nice position from the draw. Racing against tougher rivals.

14SayaleroJ: Damien Thornton·T: John Mcardle1256.5kg5 4 5 14: 1-0-0$14.00$3.90

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1225m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  2. 5Pakenham1400m15 May 2026 · F MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
  3. 4Geelong1225m22 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
  4. 5Caulfield Heath1100m20 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD45L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Held up and displayed an impressive turn of foot to score at Echuca off long spell. Wide gate suits. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Dashed home to win last time at Echuca but challenged by more formidable competitors. Few more classier types in this race.

RP

Got home in front by half a length last month at Echuca when registering her first success at the fourth time of asking in a maiden; despite that Echuca success, not one to rely on.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last time at Echuca but facing a stronger grade.

15Blaze AwayJ: Luke Nolen·T: Claire Patterson1159kg10 7 5 11 510: 2-0-1$8.00$2.75

Career

10: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.4L
  2. 11Sale1205m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY86.3L
  3. 5Caulfield Heath1200m27 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT71.1L
  4. 7Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.2L
  5. 10Geelong1125m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L
  6. 6Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L
  7. 1Caulfield1100m12 Nov 2025 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT6-1
  8. 1Moe1100m19 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Claire Patterson striking at just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened after return. Went home just tamely this course at $12. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Started at $12.00 and inched into 5th last time at the track. Has strong claims.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing fifth of 13 over 5f here (handicap) four weeks ago; grade looks suitable; Luke Nolen a good booking.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and ran on into 5th last start at this venue. Has strong claims.

16CelestraJ: Jett Stanley·T: M W Walker857kg3 8 3 9 17: 1-0-3$7.50$2.65

Career

7: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1225m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1
  2. 9Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY911.6L
  3. 3Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
  4. 8Pakenham1400m5 Feb 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD44.95L
  5. 3Geelong1225m20 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35L
  6. 7Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
  7. 3Sandown1300m2 July 2025 · 2YF HCP · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won a Cranbourne jumpout between runs. Jett Stanley on again. Right in this.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last start at Cranbourne but facing a stronger group of contenders. Might have to make up considerable ground. Big improvement required to threaten these.

RP

Stepped up on her last two starts; came out on top by 1l in a maiden, opening her account at the seventh time of asking on debut for new trainer at Cranbourne last month.

RSIS

Stormed home to win last run at Cranbourne but competing at a higher class. Likely to get back.

17Luminary MissScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Wycheproof. Coming back in distance. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started at $7.00 and below par when 7th last run at Wycheproof and racing in stronger company. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

RP

Beaten 17l over 7f at Wycheproof (handicap) last month; has raised her game the last twice; this just her second run in a handicap; first-time blinkers.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and below par when 7th last run at Wycheproof and rising in class. Gets a reduction in weight.

18Divine VickyScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field in testing conditions at Ballarat. Has plenty to find on latest offerings. On trust.

ILB

At $14.00 only fair when 6th last run at Ballarat.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and mediocre display when 6th last run at Ballarat.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races