Shortest win price
Vittozzi (11)
1.65
Port Macquarie plays host to the Lake Cathie Tavern Hcp (C1) over 1100m on a Soft 6 surface with fine weather overhead. The win market has Vittozzi sitting at the head of affairs, followed closely by The Warrior, Poshy's Girl, and Rockbarton Spear filling out the upper rungs of betting. It is an intriguing Class 1 contest where the early speed looks fierce with multiple leaders engaged, and opinion suggests the market has handled the top of the betting with a clear favourite.
Looking closely at the form behind those shorter quotes, Vittozzi comes in following a solid effort at Scone when placing in a Class 2 over 1000m on a soft track, and maps to go forward from barrier 6. Poshy's Girl resumes here after a 17-week break following a creditable first campaign that featured a placing at Coffs Harbour on debut and two recent trials, though the stable's recent strike rate tempers full enthusiasm. Meanwhile, Rockbarton Spear returns for a second campaign after some fair form in his initial prep, backed by stable stats and a positive rider booking with Luke Rolls taking the mount from barrier 3.
Down the order, other angles emerge through runners like The Warrior who drops back sharply in distance after knocking up at Beaumont over 1350m, suggesting the 1100m journey might test his current setup despite showing early speed. Real Mccoy is another worth noting as a fast finisher who clocked the quickest overall finishing sectionals last start from a midfield map position. The value sits with identifying how the speed maps unfold, given the race features prominent on-pace runners such as Chistota and Be Someone crossing from wider gates to pressure the leaders early.
Shortest win price
Vittozzi (11)
1.65
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Be Someone · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Chistota · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Poshy's Girl · Negative
Trainer SR
Kris Lees striking at just 8%
The Warrior · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 1-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Ben Looker 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (14-weeks). In the minors on debut last campaign while solid trial here. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L first up last preparation at Taree. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) here over 6f (handicap) in July; likely to be in contention if finding his best form.
RSIS
Resuming and rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L resuming last preparation at Taree. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Promising career start. Holds a major chance.
Career
5: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Port Macquarie
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (29-weeks). Ex C Maher in NSW. Lone career win was over 1500m at Port Macquarie in last campaign. Two quiet trials for return. Check markets.
ILB
First up from a 29 week break. Jumped at $16.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Muswellbrook but has drawn to do little work. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Finished last of eight at Muswellbrook over 7½f (handicap) in April; best form so far in last two starts; has winning track form; returns from a layoff; first start for current trainer; passed over.
RSIS
Resumes from a break of 29 weeks. At 15/1 gave away some ground when 8th last time at Muswellbrook but good career start. Will appreciate a good stall. Very capable of taking this out.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Gave good account in soft going Hcp (C1) this course. Can make his presence felt if things pan out.
ILB
Was $5.50 and made some ground when 4th last run here.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at the track.
Career
5: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
3: 1-1-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Kris Lees striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (17-weeks). Ran creditably in her first prep. Placed at Coffs Harbour on debut last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Can play a role fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up after 17 weeks and was quite a handful for the competition when 2nd first up last preparation at Coffs Harbour. Has plenty of early speed. Must be considered here.
RP
Improved form the last twice; out of the frame (beaten 4½l in eighth) over 6½f at Newcastle (handicap) in July; returns from an absence here; every chance if duplicating the form of her most recent win.
RSIS
Resuming and was outmatched at the end of the race when 2nd resuming last preparation at Coffs Harbour on a heavy surface. Won't be far away during the run. Must be considered here.
Career
17: 1-3-4
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-2-3
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly at Beaumont. On pacer. Drops to shorter trip. Can't enthuse.
ILB
At $11.00 weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Newcastle but up against weaker rivals. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Anna Roper rates highly. Very tidy performer.
RP
Held in sixth over 6½f at Beaumont (handicap) last month; has won here before; this is competitive and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Newcastle but dropping in class. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Coming back in trip. Good potential.
Career
5: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 1-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1014m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Cleared maiden ranks at Coffs Harbour 13 Sep. No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Muswellbrook at longer odds. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Finished with intent when 2nd beaten by over 2 1/2L last time at Muswellbrook. Will need to elevate.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; finished runner-up when beaten 2½l at Muswellbrook over 5f (handicap) last month; definitely of interest.
RSIS
Kept traping on when 2nd last time at Muswellbrook.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
AAP
Back for second campaign (31-weeks). Wasn't all that far away in his first prep. Given two soft trials and proven here. Right in the mix fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First run back from a break of 31 weeks. Jumped at $6.00 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Muswellbrook but back to a shorter trip.
RP
Has won here previously; not beaten that far at Muswellbrook over 7f (handicap) in April; back from an absence here; knows how to win so in the mix.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 31 weeks. Odds of 5/1 and advanced late into 4th last run at Muswellbrook but coming back in distance.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Let-up (75-days). Finished out the back at Kembla Grange as an outsider. Has an adverse draw for return. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
First up and bold effort when winning first up last preparation at Gosford.
RSIS
Resuming and finished with purpose when winning resuming last preparation at Gosford on a heavy track.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (28-weeks). Consistent recent preparation. Just missed in Maiden company at Taree first-up last campaign while warmed up with 2 trials. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up and just missed first up last preparation at Taree. Putting a tidy record together.
RSIS
Resuming and right up there resuming last preparation at Taree. Solid career start.
Career
9: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-2-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-2-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-2
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Honest type who reeled in leaders to salute this track on a soft 5. Can challenge again fresh.
ILB
Was eating up the ground late to win last start at this venue. Been in the placegetters each attempt this campaign.
RP
Yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits and signs of improvement on last two runs; gained narrow success in a maiden, breaking her duck at the ninth time of asking last month; others have more pressing claims despite the last time out success; also engaged in race 3 at Quirindi.
RSIS
Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at this track. Has run into the money 3 from 3 attempts in recent runs.
Career
11: 1-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-1-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors Hcp (C2) at Scone. Can go forward. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Scone and up against a less competitive field. Won't be far away during the run. Solid chance.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat three weeks ago, when third over 5f (handicap, Scone).
RSIS
Claimed late when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Scone and competing in an easier class. Should race on the pace. Commands respect.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Prominent and went down fighting on a soft deck in the Class 2 company this track. Has a tricky draw. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at this track.
RSIS
Was competitive when 2nd last time at this venue.
Career
15: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Iain C Marks in good form, out performing market 82%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 69% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home tamely in choppy conditions at Coffs Harbour second-up at $15. First time around Port Macquarie. Keener on others.
ILB
Started $15.00 and advanced late into 5th last time at Coffs Harbour. Large claim helps. Needs a mighty effort to win this.
RP
Just the one victory on her CV; beaten 6l in fifth over 5f at Coffs Harbour (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so passed over.
RSIS
Was 14/1 and got going late when 5th last time at Coffs Harbour. Large claim helps.
Rating · IRD
20
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this course. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Was well beaten when 11th last run at this venue.
RSIS
Couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at this track.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 70%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
No threat as a $16 chance in (Bm50) at Coffs Harbour. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last run at Coffs Harbour but gets some weight taken off. Does take a while to get into stride. May find these too slick.
RP
Finished behind Nakama over 5f at Coffs Harbour (handicap) when finishing last of nine last month.
RSIS
Odds of 15/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Coffs Harbour but gets some weight relief. Likely to get back in the run.
Career
49: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Merriwa
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 0-1-0
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Unable to threaten in the small field at Newcastle. Ordinary stats at the shorter trip. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Unimpressive effort when 6th last run at Newcastle but taking on a lower class of opponents. Down in distance.
RP
Useful in this grade; last of six at Newcastle over 1m (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Was nothing special when 6th last time at Newcastle but competing in a lower grade. Back to a shorter trip.
Career
12: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wauchope
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 54% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely in sloppy conditions at Wauchope at $3.20. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Started at $7.00 and finished 5th last start at Wauchope but has a good draw. Facing a difficult task.
RP
This is his level and best form so far in last two starts; held in fifth over 6f at Wauchope (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Was 6/1 and finished 5th last run at Wauchope but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
27: 1-0-5
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
3: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-3
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 70%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Long losing streak. Never went on with the job at Coffs Harbour. Usually prominent. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Was $61.00 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Coffs Harbour. Significant improvement required.
RP
Finished last of six at Coffs Harbour over 6f (handicap) a week ago.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started 60/1 and didn't find the line when 6th last time at Coffs Harbour. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.