Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:41 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Bega District News Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps Thu 5 Nov, 3:25 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Yes He Reigns (1)

2.25

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

6Ladylike
8Walking Unda Stars

Offpace

3Setta Icon
7North Star Miss

Onpace

4Cumulate

Firststart

2Hikari Rising

Backmarker

1Yes He Reigns

Leader

5Farsain

Yes He Reigns · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hikari Rising · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Setta Icon · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Cumulate · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Yes He ReignsJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter459kg8 5 7 11: 0-0-0$2.25$1.14

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.2
7Wyong1600m16 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD42L
5Randwick1050m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
8Randwick736m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (29-weeks). Ex G Waterhouse & A Bott. Far from disgraced at Wyong on debut. Better for it and looked forward enough in latest trial. Consider.

ILB

First run back from a break of 29 weeks. Started $7.50 and uncompetitive when 7th last time at Wyong. Expecting improvement here and having second career run. Will be fighting out the finish.

Far from disgraced, finishing seventh, on his debut at Wyong over 1m at 13-2 in April; entitled to have come on for that run; running in a handicap for just the second time.

RSIS

Back from a break of 29 weeks. Started 13/2 and not up to standard when 7th last start at Wyong. Overlooking the last run and was on debut last time. Very tidy performer.

2Hikari RisingJ: Nick Heywood·T: K J Parker757.5kg3 1$5.50$1.65

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
3Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-1). $150k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G1 winner Zoutori. Latest trial win at Hawkesbury will have topped him off nicely for debut. Big watch.

ILB

First appearance at the races 3yo by Zoustar for Kerry Parker. Winner in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th. Follow the money.

Sire can inject some quality; the only newcomer; has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

3yo by Zoustar having first race start for trainer Kerry Parker. Winner in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th.

3Setta IconJ: Quayde Krogh·T: Anthony Mountney257kg3 4 7 9 212: 0-3-1$12.00$2.70

Career

12: 0-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1205m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Canberra1000m9 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.33L
9Dubbo1300m13 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT55.7L
7Gosford1200m18 June 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY86.5L
4Sapphire Coast1205m7 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT72L
3Moruya1200m10 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.9L
5Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD47.6L
2Sapphire Coast1205m13 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.3L
7Canberra1300m25 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT514.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Canberra off spell. Better conditioned and can challenge again from an ideal gate.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Canberra and has a positive gate. Likely to be well placed early. One that represents value at a decent price.

Close up runner-up at Canberra over 5f (handicap) dropped back in distance 27 days ago; hardly a model of consistency and still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce).

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Canberra and drawn nicely. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Value runner at good odds.

4CumulateJ: N.r·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter556.5kg4 3 3 2 55: 0-1-3$3.60$1.32

Career

5: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.8L
2Ballarat1400m24 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
3Wodonga1300m16 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
3Kilmore1450m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.3L
4Seymour1300m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.3L
3Echuca1209m21 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
2Kilmore1200m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
5Tatura1100m1 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial8.2L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (23-weeks). Ex Ben Brisbourne in Victoria. Competitive type. Placed at Echuca on debut last campaign while brought on by a single Hawkesbury trial. Betting?

ILB

Resuming. Did well when 2nd last start at Ballarat and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Change in trainer. Displays good tactical speed. Expect support.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice and appears to be going forwards; solid second at Ballarat five months ago in a maiden; first start for new stable; can give it a good shot.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Nice run when 2nd last run at Ballarat and good career start. Racing for a new trainer. Should race on the pace. Winning chance.

5FarsainJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup156.5kg2 5 7 4 46: 0-2-0$5.00$1.55

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-2-0

Last starts

4Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
4Moruya1200m10 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.2L
7Kembla Grange1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD47.1L
5Rosehill1200m6 Apr 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.7L
2Kembla Grange1200m21 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT73.8L
2Sapphire Coast1000m1 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT72.2L
6Sapphire Coast1200m30 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L
5Kembla Grange805m14 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Theresa Bateup striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Produced some fair results last prep without winning and has looked forward enough in latest trials. Respecting.

ILB

First up and came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 2 1/4L first up last preparation at this venue. Should race on the speed. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

Finished fourth but only beaten just over 2l when close behind Setta Icon (Moruya) six months ago; six-race maiden but has managed to finish second but good and bad recent runs found on her CV.

RSIS

Resuming and produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L resuming last preparation at the track. Expecting to settle positively. Drawn by the rails. Represents value.

6LadylikeJ: Shaun Guymer·T: Mitchell Maloney-Stone655kg5 7 6 94: 0-0-0$81.00$7.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1405m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Canberra1900m12 June 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD311.2L
6Sapphire Coast1405m7 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT713.2L
7Sapphire Coast1205m13 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.1L
5Sapphire Coast1000m30 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT72.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 31% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (20-weeks). Fair debut first prep but struggled after. Prefer to see.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started $101.00 and average at best when 9th last time at Canberra and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Can't suggest backing.

First-time blinkers didn't work in a conditions race (Canberra Acton) when ninth upped to 1m1½f five months ago; just her fifth outing so still early days; likely to be in contention with a bit more luck as excuses last time (inconvenienced).

RSIS

First run back. Started at 100/1 and ordinary performance when 9th last run at Canberra and coming back in trip.

7North Star MissJ: Coriah Keatings·T: Ms T Bateup855kg8 3 9 4 87: 0-0-1$12.00$2.70

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Hawkesbury1300m27 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD44.02L
4Cootamundra1100m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43L
9Hawkesbury1400m14 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.8L
3Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT72.7L
8Kembla Grange1200m13 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69L
5Sapphire Coast1200m1 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT73.4L
6Kembla Grange800m2 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.4L
5Kembla Grange1200m13 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Theresa Bateup striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Lacklustre finish second-up at Hawkesbury but has turned in some useful form here. Capable of making an impact with even breaks.

ILB

Started $101.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Hawkesbury. Prefer in something weaker.

Not beaten too far when eighth at Hawkesbury over 6½f (handicap) last Tuesday; without a win in seven attempts although has finished third; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Hawkesbury.

8Walking Unda StarsJ: Damon Budler·T: M J Smith355kg3 6 10 8 85: 0-0-0$81.00$7.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT77L
8Queanbeyan1600m21 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT716.3L
10Queanbeyan1460m17 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.2L
6Moruya1200m23 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
3Queanbeyan900m10 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.2L
5Sapphire Coast1010m8 June 2025 · MDN SW · SOFT64.4L
3Queanbeyan900m11 May 2025 · Barrier Trial6.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Mick J Smith striking at just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Damon Budler 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Shown little to date. Well back and never a factor in rain affected going at Moruya off long break. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and performed below standard when 8th last time at Moruya. Likely to get back. Hard to see it being good enough.

Finished eighth, beaten 7l, in a maiden at Moruya when dropped down to this distance 34 days ago; attempting to open her account at the seventh time of asking; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

At 100/1 below standard effort when 8th last run at Moruya. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at Thu 5 Nov, 2:40 am AEDT. Odds can change.