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Sapphire Coast (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sapphire Coast (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsSapphire Coast (NSW)Change

Race 7 — Bermagui Motor Works (Bm58) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Ciao Bella Mia (2)

4.80

Most career wins

Walk Up Start

6-9-6 from 73 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Showtime Maggie

Offpace

  • 8Miss Scoop
  • 2Ciao Bella Mia
  • 11Walk Up Start

Onpace

  • 3Merchant Reign
  • 5Casino Shaw
  • 4Navajo Code

Leader

  • 10Liamena Avenue
  • 9Faerywood
  • 1Mctominay

  • Mctominay · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Ciao Bella Mia · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Merchant Reign · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 132%

  • Navajo Code · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1MctominayJ: Brodie Loy·T: Luke Pepper761kg7 4 1 4 914: 2-2-1$7.50$2.50

Career

14: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Corowa

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1310m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 9Canberra1000m23 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.41L
  2. 4Corowa1200m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT61.6L
  3. 1Corowa1200m11 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.4
  4. 4Canberra1000m17 Apr 2026 · BM60 · SOFT53L
  5. 7Queanbeyan1460m17 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.4L
  6. 9Canberra1300m6 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD410.4L
  7. 1Wagga1400m15 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-0.2
  8. 5Wagga1400m24 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Canberra off spell. Fitter second-up and performed really well only other go this course and trip.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Canberra. Displays good tactical speed. Definite contender.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Canberra (beaten 4½l) over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago; capable if in the mood so some hopes.

RSIS

Couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Canberra. Will be positive in the run early. Rates as one of the key chances.

2Ciao Bella MiaJ: Poppie Gorton·T: Anthony Mountney860.5kg4 6 9 3 326: 3-4-4$4.80$1.90

Career

26: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 3-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.1L
  2. 3Goulburn1300m6 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.84L
  3. 9Nowra1400m20 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.5L
  4. 6Kembla Grange1400m29 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD44.1L
  5. 4Hawkesbury1300m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.6L
  6. 3Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD40.3L
  7. 1Dubbo1400m13 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT5-0.2
  8. 1Sapphire Coast1405m7 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT7-0.4

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the (Bm58) at Nowra. Has early speed and claiming apprentice engaged again. Placed to effect here.

ILB

Tidy run when 3rd last run at Nowra. All 3 wins have come on a rain affected surface. Large claim helps. Strong claims in this.

RP

On the premises when third of eight at Nowra over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; has winning form at this track; admirably consistent; one to be interested in as latest run was an encouraging one.

RSIS

Was competitive when 3rd last start at Nowra. All 3 wins have been with the cut in the ground. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Will go close.

3Merchant ReignJ: Amy Mc Lucas·T: Luke Clarke560.5kg7 8 1 11 129: 5-3-2$5.00$2.00

Career

29: 5-3-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    9: 4-1-1

  • Track Goulburn

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 930m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1080m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 3-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-3-0

Last starts

  1. 1Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD4-0.96
  2. 11Canberra1280m21 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD37.9L
  3. 1Canberra1080m7 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD3-1
  4. 8Moruya930m10 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT56.3L
  5. 7Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT76.4L
  6. 2Queanbeyan1200m21 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT70.2L
  7. 7Goulburn1200m27 Feb 2026 · CL3 · SOFT79.7L
  8. 4Braidwood1350m7 Feb 2026 · BDWD CUP2.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 132%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won two from last three. Delivered in dominant style at Canberra over this journey. Can lead or take a sit. Can again play a role.

ILB

Dictated the tempo to win by a margin of 1L last run at Canberra. Prefer others.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap (Canberra) two weeks ago; easy to see him making an impression.

RSIS

Gave them all something to chase when winning by 1L last time at Canberra.

4Navajo CodeJ: Claire Ramsbotham·T: B Joseph & P & M Jones960kg2 7 1 1 49: 2-1-0$9.00$2.75

Career

9: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Queanbeyan1460m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT64L
  2. 1Cootamundra1200m4 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.33
  3. 1Moruya1210m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-0.1
  4. 7Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT79.6L
  5. 2Sapphire Coast1400m1 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT73.1L
  6. 7Queanbeyan1200m17 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD413.9L
  7. 10Sapphire Coast1200m31 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD412.2L
  8. 7Sapphire Coast1200m29 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT59.2L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 44% in L100 rides

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Battled home in Class 3 company on a soft deck at Queanbeyan. Drops to shorter trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started $11.00 and ran 4th last time at Queanbeyan and down in distance. Racing consistently this campaign. Pass at this stage.

RP

Can be a player at this level; not beaten too far when fourth of nine at Queanbeyan over 7½f (handicap) last Monday; knows how to win so has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and came in 4th last time at Queanbeyan and back to a shorter distance. Tracking very well recently.

5Casino ShawJ: Jade Mc Kenzie·T: S W Coady459kg2 7 9 6 318: 2-5-2$7.00$2.40

Career

18: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Nowra

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 3Queanbeyan1460m11 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.55L
  2. 6Goulburn1300m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.32L
  3. 9Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.4L
  4. 7Goulburn1100m3 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT75.2L
  5. 2Nowra1100m15 June 2026 · CL3 · HEAVY80.1L
  6. 7Moruya1425m10 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.5L
  7. 2Sapphire Coast1205m3 May 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.2L
  8. 1Sapphire Coast1405m13 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-1.6

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Found enough to place in small field at Queanbeyan. Drawn to effect and performances have been good here. Course suits. Profiles well.

ILB

Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd last start at Queanbeyan but coming back in distance. Won't be far away during the run. Going well this campaign. Commands respect.

RP

Third 25 days ago, only beaten half a length, at Queanbeyan over 7½f (handicap); has scored over C&D; easy enough to take on as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd beaten by 1/2L last start at Queanbeyan but back to a shorter trip. Shows good early pace. Will show up at the business end.

6Brass MonkeysScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Refused to shirk task in (Bm50) at Bombala for new stable. Stiffer opposition here.

ILB

Close to claiming the win last time at Bombala and dropping weight.

RSIS

Was agonizingly close last run at Bombala and gets some weight taken off.

7Showtime MaggieJ: Jessica Brookes·T: K Dryden & L Snowden1058kg2 8 1 10 317: 3-2-1$5.50$2.10

Career

17: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    8: 2-0-1

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Wagga

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD41.18L
  2. 10Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT78.1L
  3. 1Canberra1200m18 Sept 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD3-0.48
  4. 8Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.3L
  5. 2Moruya1200m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY90.5L
  6. 2Goulburn1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD41.9L
  7. 11Wagga1300m20 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · HEAVY812.7L
  8. 5Canberra1206m26 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD31.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Put in a long run from the back at Canberra over this trip. Backmarker who needs everything to fall into place. One for exotics.

ILB

Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Canberra and gets some weight taken off. Can go through the gears. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Is a multiple winner at this distance (all wins at this trip); minor honours in a handicap two weeks ago (2-1) at Canberra, a race won by the reopposing Merchant Reign.

RSIS

Ran on when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Canberra and suited by the weight drop. Always seems to find the line well. Respect the betting.

8Miss ScoopJ: Shaun Guymer·T: Mitchell Maloney-Stone157kg2 2 8 6 424: 2-7-2$10.00$3.00

Career

24: 2-7-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 1-4-2

  • Track Canberra

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1405m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-4-1

  • Going Good

    11: 0-3-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT75.75L
  2. 6Canberra1280m30 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD37.2L
  3. 8Sapphire Coast1405m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.8L
  4. 2Sapphire Coast1405m13 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.6L
  5. 2Sapphire Coast1200m30 Mar 2026 · BM58 · SOFT71.4L
  6. 3Sapphire Coast1200m1 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73L
  7. 9Moruya1200m5 Jan 2026 · CTRY CL3 · GOOD48.4L
  8. 4Wagga1000m24 Dec 2025 · CL3 · GOOD41.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Unable to make an impression in rain affected going at Bairnsdale for new stable. Looks up against it.

ILB

Came in 4th last time at Bairnsdale but gets the perfect barrier. Can show up in this at odds.

RP

Possesses winning form at this track; form has an up and down look to it; held when fourth of eight on first run for her current trainer at Bairnsdale three weeks ago; others are preferred with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Ran 4th last run at Bairnsdale but drawn beautifully.

9FaerywoodJ: Coriah Keatings·T: Anita Walder356.5kg2 7 5 3 614: 1-2-3$11.00$3.30

Career

14: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Queanbeyan1200m11 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.79L
  2. 3Goulburn1100m24 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD44.34L
  3. 5Goulburn1300m11 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.4L
  4. 7Moruya1010m16 Aug 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY96.4L
  5. 2Sapphire Coast1010m26 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT71.2L
  6. 2Canberra1280m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD31L
  7. 1Sapphire Coast1205m7 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT7-0.5
  8. 7Stawell1600m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Sapphire Coast

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Only battled home after leading in the small field at Queanbeyan. Gets the gun run. One for multiples.

ILB

Was $9.50 and well beaten when 6th last time at Queanbeyan. Has plenty of early speed. Has won 1 from 2 starts on a soft surface. Can surprise at a nice price.

RP

Not beaten that far in sixth (just under 4l) when close behind Liamena Avenue (Queanbeyan) 25 days ago; track has proven suitable before; others appeal more as this is competitive.

RSIS

Started at 17/2 and faded to finish 6th last time at Queanbeyan. Should race on the pace. Prefers the sting out of the ground.

10Liamena AvenueJ: N.r·T: Ms T Bateup255.5kg9 5 4 3 518: 1-1-3$8.50$2.75

Career

18: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Cootamundra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Moruya1200m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.42L
  2. 3Queanbeyan1200m11 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.18L
  3. 4Cootamundra1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.62L
  4. 5Queanbeyan900m8 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.7L
  5. 9Queanbeyan1200m17 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.5L
  6. 8Sapphire Coast1200m1 Feb 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.4L
  7. 3Moruya1200m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L
  8. 4Sapphire Coast1400m29 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT56.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form useful. Sound performance in small field at Queanbeyan over this journey. Drawn well and has placed this track and distance. Can have a major say.

ILB

On a short back up. Started $2.60 and struggled when 5th last time at Moruya but has a positive draw. Goes down in weight. Could be in the mix.

RP

Frequent visitor to this track; not beaten that far (Moruya) on Tuesday; this looks a fair heat so others are preferred; also engaged in race 5 at Sapphire Coast.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 8/5 and lacked competitiveness when 5th last start at Moruya but has a positive stall. Goes down in weight.

11Walk Up StartJ: Emma Ly·T: M D Kelley655kg10 4 10 2 173: 6-9-6$26.00$4.60

Career

73: 6-9-6

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1405m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    29: 2-5-2

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bombala1100m17 Oct 2026 · BM50 · FIRM2-0.18
  2. 2Queanbeyan1000m11 Oct 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD40.9L
  3. 10Canberra1200m18 Sept 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD33.94L
  4. 4Queanbeyan1200m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.5L
  5. 10Canberra1280m21 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD37.2L
  6. 11Gundagai1400m4 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT76.8L
  7. 9Wagga1300m20 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · HEAVY86.9L
  8. 8Canberra1280m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD34.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 24%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Emma Ly winning at 27% POT in last 100 rides

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Broke a long run of outs when winning at Bombala but repeat would surprise.

ILB

Won narrowly last start at Bombala and form has been improving over recent runs. Likely to get back. Seems very unlikely.

RP

Narrow scorer in a handicap (Bombala) last month; has winning form at this track; despite that Bombala success, not one to rely on.

RSIS

Managed to come out on top by the slightest of margins last start at Bombala and form has been improving over recent runs. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.