PuntX logo

Traralgon (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Traralgon (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 4 — Crown Hotel Traralgon Hcp (56) 1900m · jumps

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 15 runners

Shortest win price

Up And Under (4)

3.80

Most career wins

Eight Shout's and In Your Hands

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Riozino

Offpace

  • 2Mannerheim
  • 14Redwood Shadow
  • 12Spirit Angel
  • 5Golden Hips
  • 10Mac Kalhoun

Onpace

  • 6Tassadar
  • 4Up And Under
  • 9Avonview
  • 7Eight Shout's
  • 11Kiwiesque
  • 13Preservator

Leader

  • 1King Of Savoy
  • 8Blanche Bass
  • 15In Your Hands
  • King Of Savoy · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Mannerheim · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Riozino · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Brian McGrath striking at just 9%

  • Up And Under · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1King Of SavoyJ: Jake Noonan·T: Malcolm Leys1060kg3 1 7 4 129: 1-0-1$21.00$4.80

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2435m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 12Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD425.75L
  2. 4Wagga2000m19 Sept 2026 · AGGIES CUP · GOOD41.45L
  3. 7Geelong2435m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.5L
  4. 1Sale2200m26 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.2
  5. 3Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.6L
  6. 11Warrnambool2350m9 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD416.4L
  7. 9Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.5L
  8. 7Geelong1755m26 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Ex Trent Edmonds in Victoria. Failed to threaten at Moe over longer test as an outsider. One for exotics.

ILB

Started at $51.00 and faded away to finish 12th last time at Moe and dropping back to a shorter trip. Should race on the speed. Coming to a new trainer. Looks hopeful at best.

RP

Finished out the back over 1m4f at Moe (handicap) 37 days ago; can be a player at this level; first run for trainer; more than capable if on song so can figure.

RSIS

Started 50/1 and faded away to finish 12th last start at Moe and dropping back to a shorter trip. Expecting to settle positively. First start for a new trainer.

2MannerheimJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Jamie Edwards560kg6 14 9 7 433: 4-1-6$3.90$1.75

Career

33: 4-1-6

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 3-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Doomben

    9: 1-1-3

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2169m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1805m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-1-2

  • Going Good

    16: 2-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.6L
  2. 7Coleraine2250m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD35.62L
  3. 9Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.9L
  4. 14Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY815.7L
  5. 6Sandown1500m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY105.9L
  6. 7Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY811.3L
  7. 3Sunshine Coast2200m26 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT51.5L
  8. 9Doomben2070m12 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT54.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Dry Spell

    Negative

    Recent form uninspiring

Comments

AAP

Got the wobbles late after leading at Avoca. Well into preparation now, not out of this.

ILB

Was $6.50 and faded away late when 4th last time at Avoca. Expecting a solid performance.

RP

Useful in this grade; not disgraced when fourth at Avoca 14 days ago; one to consider if backing up last run.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and was found wanting late when 4th last run at Avoca. Can win this.

3RiozinoJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Brian Mcgrath760kg1 12 8 12 116: 1-0-0$31.00$6.50

Career

6: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Mornington1500m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.1L
  2. 12Echuca2100m11 May 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT538.35L
  3. 8Wodonga2050m20 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD311.7L
  4. 12Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD412L
  5. 1Warrnambool2000m16 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
  6. 6Kilmore1610m29 Sept 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36.1L
  7. 7Wangaratta1300m9 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial9.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brian McGrath striking at just 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Mornington for new trainer. Better for the outing. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

Was $151.00 and mediocre display when 11th last time at Mornington. Likely to get back. Can't entertain.

RP

Finished 11th of 12 over 7½f at Mornington (handicap) last week on debut for this trainer; clear chance as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and moderate showing when 11th last run at Mornington. Likely to settle back in the field.

4Up And UnderJ: Dylan Dean·T: D M Noonan660kg8 7 6 4 239: 2-5-4$3.80$1.70

Career

39: 2-5-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1732m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 2Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.75L
  2. 4Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.26L
  3. 6Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.15L
  4. 7Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  5. 8Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1013.4L
  6. 4Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.8L
  7. 10Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC16.2L
  8. 7Sandown2100m31 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Couldn't quite peg back winner at Yarra Glen. Very fit, worth a look.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Managed to finish 2nd last run at Yarra Valley and form has been improving over recent runs. Should muster plenty of early toe. Gets a chance against these.

RP

Missed out by three-quarters of a length with Avonview and Golden Hips behind last Saturday at Yarra Glen upped to 1m2f; generally struggled with a record of 2-39; been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

On a short back up. Hit the line well when 2nd last run at Yarra Vstall and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has early pace and positions nicely. Has claims.

5Golden HipsJ: Liana Wood·T: D J Walkley1459.5kg7 8 9 9 528: 3-4-6$16.00$4.20

Career

28: 3-4-6

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 0-1-2

  • Distance 2221m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    8: 3-1-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-4

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT57.5L
  2. 9Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD414.75L
  3. 9Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.11L
  4. 8Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
  5. 7Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY83.6L
  6. 3Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY104L
  7. 7Moe1623m12 May 2026 · BM56 · SOFT79.3L
  8. 4Caulfield Heath1400m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Liana Wood 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long time since last saluted. Rearward and made minor headway in the strung out finish at Yarra Glen. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started $10.00 and pushed past some when 5th last start at Yarra Valley. The large claim from Liana Wood should help. Respect the betting.

RP

Fifth beaten 8l over 1m2f at Yarra Glen (handicap) a week ago; on the shortlist as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started at 9/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Yarra Vstall. The large claim from Liana Wood helps. Could be in the mix.

6TassadarJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Aaron Laing959kg5 4 11 6 213: 1-1-0$7.50$2.65

Career

13: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.3L
  2. 6Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  3. 11Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.03L
  4. 4Echuca1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.6L
  5. 5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64L
  6. 8Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.1L
  7. 12Pakenham2000m12 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD415.4L
  8. 1Moe2050m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Moe. Pace influence. Can play a role.

ILB

Was agonizingly close last time at Moe. Likely to be well placed early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Had a bunch of these behind him when second at Moe over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; just the one victory on his CV; others have more pressing claims as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Close to a win last time at Moe. Should muster plenty of early toe. Betting is the best guide.

7Eight Shout'sJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: T Kilgower1558.5kg1 9 2 7 439: 5-6-3$61.00$11.00

Career

39: 5-6-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Merton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2066m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1708m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    13: 2-2-2

Last starts

  1. 4Yea1600m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD33.5L
  2. 7Yea1600m18 Apr 2026 · Open3.8L
  3. 2Tambo1650m5 Apr 2026 · Open1.3L
  4. 9Woolamai2308m28 Feb 2026 · Open7L
  5. 1Buchan1900m14 Feb 2026 · Open-2.8
  6. 3Woolamai1708m7 Feb 2026 · Open2L
  7. 2Yea2140m24 Jan 2026 · Open1L
  8. 3Healesville2350m17 Jan 2026 · Open5.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 23% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 9kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Battled home into 4th in the small field at Yea. Needs to improve.

ILB

Basic showing when 4th last run at Yea. Can't possibly entertain.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Yea (beaten 3½l) finished just ahead of Redwood Shadow over 1m (handicap) 14 days ago; facing a testing assignment and unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Tailed off when 4th last run at Yea.

8Blanche BassJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Shea Eden458kg11 7 6 3 117: 1-3-3$13.00$3.90

Career

17: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1615m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-2

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Mornington2450m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.75
  2. 3Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT710.25L
  3. 6Ballarat2016m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.65L
  4. 7Sale1615m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L
  5. 11Pakenham Synthetic1600m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9L
  6. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
  7. 3Pakenham Synthetic1600m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  8. 9Pakenham Synthetic1600m22 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.7L

Insights

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finally put it all together at Mornington over longer assignment. Tactical speed, inside draw. Hard fit, among the dangers again.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Mornington but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Has shown early pace in races to date. Would rather look at others.

RP

Signs of improvement on last two runs; opened her account over 1m4f at Mornington (maiden) last Thursday; is passed over despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Flew home to win last time at Mornington and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Won't be far away during the run. Coming back in trip.

9AvonviewJ: Jason Maskiell·T: D J Walkley1257.5kg3 7 8 5 447: 4-8-7$7.50$2.65

Career

47: 4-8-7

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1750m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    31: 2-5-4

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT56.25L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  3. 8Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.52L
  4. 7Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.1L
  5. 3Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.3L
  6. 3Bairnsdale2200m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY84.5L
  7. 2Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT52.8L
  8. 1Kilmore2000m4 May 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY9-1.5

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Damien Walkley striking at just 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 46% Profit on Turnover

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. On pace but found little at the business end at Yarra Glen. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can make his presence felt if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Jumped at $15.00 and was getting tired late when 4th last run at Yarra Valley. Will be pushing for a forward position early. One of the punters top hopes.

RP

Split Up And Under and Golden Hips when fourth last Saturday at Yarra Glen upped to 1m2f; form has been a bit mixed lately; this line-up contains some strong opposition so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 14/1 and lost ground when 4th last start at Yarra Vstall. Should jump out and bowl along. Strong claims in this.

10Mac KalhounJ: Dylan Dunn·T: P Foster1357.5kg4 6 2 13 715: 1-2-3$26.00$5.50

Career

15: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Moe

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1887m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.37L
  2. 13Albury1600m16 June 2025 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY911.1L
  3. 2Wodonga1590m26 May 2025 · Barrier Trial3.5L
  4. 6Corowa900m7 May 2025 · Barrier Trial16.6L
  5. 4Moe2447m25 Apr 2024 · BenchMark 58 · SOFT74.5L
  6. 7Cranbourne2600m12 Apr 2024 · BenchMark 64 · SOFT55.35L
  7. 3Cranbourne2580m29 Mar 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD33.25L
  8. 7Bendigo2200m14 Mar 2024 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 56% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Moe for new trainer. Hard to warm to.

ILB

At $101.00 finished 7th last run at Moe. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Remains lightly raced but generally struggled with a record of 1-14; behind several of these over 1m at Moe (handicap) when not beaten far on first outing for new trainer two weeks ago; others appeal more with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and came in 7th last run at Moe. Watch the betting.

11KiwiesqueT: Toby Lake1157kg8 3 10 9 810: 1-0-1$23.00$5.50

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1612m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Wodonga2050m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD311.45L
  2. 9Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.95L
  3. 10Seymour2015m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.4L
  4. 3Kilmore1612m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
  5. 8Kilmore1450m13 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  6. 7Ballarat1600m29 June 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT78.6L
  7. 8Bendigo2200m30 May 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
  8. 9Kyneton1854m8 May 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT55.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 39%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Prominent but got the staggers and surrendered quickly at Wodonga when second-up. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Was $6.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last time at Wodonga. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Came home eighth, beaten 11l, over 1m2f at Wodonga (handicap) 14 days ago; a while since her last success; this looks a fair heat so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Odds of 5/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Wodonga. Watch betting.

12Spirit AngelJ: Nathan Punch·T: Brian Mcgrath857kg2 3 6 3 232: 2-6-7$4.60$1.90

Career

32: 2-6-7

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Benalla

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    20: 2-5-5

Last starts

  1. 2Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT71.75L
  2. 3Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.35L
  3. 6Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  4. 3Pakenham Synthetic1200m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.4L
  5. 2Stony Creek1600m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42L
  6. 4Werribee1618m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.1L
  7. 1Hanging Rock1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.8
  8. 7Kerang1400m27 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handy competitor. Put in a long run from the back at Bairnsdale. More ground a plus. Right in this.

ILB

Caught the eye when 2nd last run at Bairnsdale and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Racing consistently since returning from a break. Sharp improvement needed.

RP

On the premises when runner-up of nine at Bairnsdale over 1m (handicap) 19 days ago; doesn't win often; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so she can be taken on.

RSIS

Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Bairnsdale and form has been improving over recent runs. Very competitive recently.

13PreservatorJ: Teodore Nugent·T: K J Fythe157kg5 5 4 8 644: 3-3-3$7.00$2.50

Career

44: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1535m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1728m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    23: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.97L
  2. 8Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT76.85L
  3. 4Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.5L
  4. 5Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  5. 5Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.4L
  6. 5Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.6L
  7. 8Sale1728m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY85.5L
  8. 7Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Teodore Nugent 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Moe. Fit from racing, can challenge.

ILB

Jumped at $9.50 and ran 6th last run at Moe but has a nice advantage with a good alley. Definite winning chance.

RP

Can be a player at this level; split a number of these rivals over 1m at Moe (handicap) 13 days ago.

RSIS

Was 17/2 and ran 6th last run at Moe but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Significant value and can go close.

14Redwood ShadowJ: Logan Mcneil·T: T Kilgower256.5kg4 9 10 9 565: 4-4-14$26.00$6.00

Career

65: 4-4-14

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 0-1-4

  • Second-up

    8: 0-1-2

  • Third-up

    8: 0-0-3

  • Fourth-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Rockhampton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1666m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    36: 2-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    10: 0-1-6

  • Going Soft

    18: 2-0-4

Last starts

  1. 5Yea1600m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD34.25L
  2. 9Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.81L
  3. 10Pakenham Synthetic1600m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.1L
  4. 9Wodonga1300m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY913.1L
  5. 4Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.5L
  6. 7Stony Creek2100m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  7. 4Cranbourne2540m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD37.3L
  8. 9Cranbourne2025m10 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD45.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Troy Kilgower striking at just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 10kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Just fair at Yea picnics. Not here.

ILB

Lacked competitiveness when 5th last time at Yea but will try to take advantage of the alley. Cannot be tipped.

RP

Close up behind Eight Shout's when fifth at Yea over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; useful in this grade.

RSIS

Not in contention when 5th last run at Yea but has a good draw.

15In Your HandsJ: Melea Castle·T: T Kilgower354kg9 9 6 9 545: 5-2-2$34.00$7.00

Career

45: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 3600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 3-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 5Alexandra1540m24 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD34.46L
  2. 9Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
  3. 6Moe2447m21 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY98.2L
  4. 9Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.7L
  5. 9Bendigo3600m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT510.8L
  6. 7Sandown3400m31 May 2026 · BM120 HDLE · SOFT736L
  7. 2Traralgon2800m20 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
  8. 8Warrnambool3200m5 May 2026 · MDN HDLE-SW · HEAVY819.1L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Winless since 9 Sep 2025. Unable to make an impression at Alexandra. Prefer others.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $61.00 not in contention when 5th last start at Alexandra but suited by the weight drop. Should come to hand quickly. Considerable improvement needed.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Alexandra (beaten 4½l) over 7½f (handicap) dropped back in distance last Saturday.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started at 60/1 and basic showing when 5th last run at Alexandra but will appreciate the drop in weight. Shows good early pace.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.