Traralgon (VIC) horses tips & previews

31 Oct, 3:25 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Traralgon (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 5 — Traralgon Cup November 29 Hcp (56) 1430m · jumps Sat 31 Oct, 3:56 pm AEDT

Race notes

CG&E 0 - 56,Restricted 56
GOOD4
Showers
14 runners

Shortest win price

It's Gnarly (4)

3.80

Most career wins

Anything But

9-10-13 from 124 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

12Grand Sage

Offmidfield

9Aussieaussieaussie
11Cuban Dawn
14Anything But

Midfield

7I'm Dynamite
5Mont Saint Michel

Offpace

8Ze Bee Nine
3Frederick
2Headstock
1Clinger

Onpace

13Neck High
4It's Gnarly

Leader

6Nikephoros
10Epicus

Clinger · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -35%
Headstock · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Frederick · Negative
Trainer SR
Michael Huglin striking at just 3%
It's Gnarly · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1ClingerJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Ms J Beriman560kg10 3 7 9 816: 2-0-1$8.00$2.75

Career

16: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1514m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
12: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Wangaratta1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY913.7L
9Mildura1400m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD46.6L
7Cranbourne2025m10 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD44.9L
3Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD41.1L
10Pakenham1200m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.4L
6Werribee1621m16 May 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD42.6L
7Kilmore1457m5 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD44.17L
8Sale1736m8 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD38.31L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -35%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming. Odds of $11.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Wangaratta. Not without a chance.

Finished behind I'm Dynamite when beaten 14l (eighth of nine, Wangaratta) three months ago; has shown glimpses of ability recently and should prove competitive.

RSIS

First run back from a break. At 10/1 lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Wangaratta on a heavy rated track. Keep safe.

2HeadstockJ: Jake Noonan·T: Carly Thomas260kg7 4 5 10 849: 6-3-7$6.00$2.25

Career

49: 6-3-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 2-1-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-1
Track Bairnsdale
2: 1-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
28: 3-0-5
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

8Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.46L
10Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC13.95L
5Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD41.01L
4Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SOFT76.3L
7Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT77L
5Sale1205m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY82.2L
1Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY8-2.8
8Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT55.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Mornington. Very fit, could get into the placings.

ILB

At $17.00 faded away to finish 8th last start at Mornington but will try to take advantage of the alley. Has some claims.

Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing eighth of ten over 6f at Mornington (handicap) last week; much respected based on the pick of his form.

RSIS

At 16/1 weakened to finish 8th last time at Mornington but will try to take advantage of the stall. Could feature here.

3FrederickJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Michael Huglin1159kg5 4 3 8 421: 2-2-2$6.50$2.40

Career

21: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.35L
8Donald1206m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY88.6L
3Swan Hill1200m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.5L
4Echuca1109m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT71.6L
5Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.7L
2Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.8L
1Kerang1100m27 Dec 2025 · BM52 · GOOD3-2
11Werribee1408m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Michael Huglin striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 64%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover

Comments

AAP

Made limited headway at Moe. Fitter second-up. Shapes as a major player.

ILB

Was $6.50 and closed off nicely when 4th last run at Moe. Definite winning chance.

Not beaten that far over 6f at Moe (handicap) 13 days ago; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Odds of 11/2 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Moe. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

4It's GnarlyJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Logan Mcgill1259kg11 9 9 7 49: 1-0-0$3.80$1.70

Career

9: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.77L
7Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.7L
9Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57.9L
9Ballarat Synthetic1000m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.5L
11Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC6.4L
12Yarra Valley1500m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT515.97L
6Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT65.3L
1Werribee1400m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Bendigo. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Deep into his campaign, can make his presence felt if things pan out.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and faded away when 4th last time at Bendigo. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Gets a chance against these.

Far from disgraced (beaten just under 2l) at Bendigo two weeks ago; should get involved as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and his latest effort was promising.

RSIS

Was 9/2 and overrun when 4th last time at Bendigo. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Very capable of taking this out.

5Mont Saint MichelJ: Jason Maskiell·T: Paul & Tracey Templeton1459kg2 4 7 8 331: 3-3-4$9.00$3.00

Career

31: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed60%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
4: 1-1-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
13: 1-0-2
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-2-3
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.85L
8Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.66L
7Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT55.3L
4Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT61.4L
2Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.8L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC3.9L
11Stony Creek1100m15 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD49.81L
7Pakenham1400m29 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD49.8L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 49% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide

Comments

AAP

Put in a long run from the back at Moe. Very fit, can fill the minors here.

ILB

Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Moe. Solid claims.

Had a couple of these behind him when third at Moe over 6f (handicap) 13 days ago.

RSIS

Kept running on late when 3rd last run at Moe. Has definite claims.

6NikephorosJ: Logan Mcneil·T: D M Noonan1358.5kg5 1 11 11 418: 1-0-2$23.00$5.50

Career

18: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
2: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
3: 1-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
11Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT714L
11Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT711.8L
1Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3
5Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY106L
6Ararat1600m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT71.8L
7Cranbourne1300m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.5L
4Cranbourne1200m3 Apr 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD32L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (14-weeks). Blew the cobwebs away in recent trial. Awkwardly drawn for return. May need this.

ILB

Back after a break. Started $41.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Murtoa. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Making up the numbers.

Last of 11 at Murtoa over 1m (handicap) in July; others more likely.

RSIS

Resuming. Started at 40/1 and looked outclassed when 11th last run at Murtoa. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw.

7I'm DynamiteJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Susie Wells957.5kg4 5 9 7 466: 4-4-10$13.00$4.00

Career

66: 4-4-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
9: 1-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
9: 0-1-1
Track Yarra Valley
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
6: 0-1-0
Going Good
31: 0-2-4
Going Heavy
11: 2-2-1
Going Soft
22: 2-0-4

Last starts

4Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD42.75L
7Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT75.7L
9Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.6L
5Wangaratta1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY95.8L
4Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65L
8Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.4L
2Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY82.8L
1Werribee1425m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-0.3

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Kilmore. Looks up against it.

ILB

At $26.00 overtook some late when 4th last time at Kilmore. Prefer in a much weaker race.

Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten just under 3l upped to this trip at Kilmore 18 days ago; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Werribee in May.

RSIS

Odds of 25/1 and advanced late into 4th last start at Kilmore.

8Ze Bee NineJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: Ms C Martindale457.5kg8 8 12 3 941: 2-6-6$5.00$2.00

Career

41: 2-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Moe
10: 0-1-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1117m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 1-2-4
Going Heavy
8: 0-0-1
Going Soft
14: 1-4-1

Last starts

9Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD36.15L
3Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31L
12Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY812.5L
8Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1012.2L
8Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT67.3L
6Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.8L
13Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY810.9L
3Traralgon1430m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY91.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Bairnsdale 3yo+ Hcp (56) placegetter 20 Sep. On pace but folded up quickly at Moe. Good gate speed, soft draw. Deep into his campaign, not out of this.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Moe. Likely to be well placed early. Betting is the best guide.

Held in ninth at Moe over 6f (handicap) two weeks ago; boasts winning form over C&D; does not win very often; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and faded to finish 9th last run at Moe. Should muster plenty of early toe. Has some claims.

9AussieaussieaussieJ: Liana Wood·T: R N Mathews856.5kg1 11 10 8 1022: 2-0-0$23.00$5.50

Career

22: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
10: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Yarra Valley1209m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT516.99L
8Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97L
10Geelong1312m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.7L
11Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD49.4L
1Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
5Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD311.25L
5Cranbourne1000m17 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD39.3L
10Moe1600m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Liana Wood 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Raymond Mathews in good form, out performing market 33%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Settled back and didn't come on at Yarra Glen first up. Others more persuasive.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $12.00 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Yarra Valley. The large claim from Liana Wood should help. Will need to find a few more lengths.

Subpar since successful in a handicap at Moe in February; finished last of ten over 6f at Yarra Glen (handicap) last Saturday; others are preferred.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. At 11/1 weakened under pressure when 10th last start at Yarra Vstall. Large claim helps.

10EpicusJ: Joe Bowditch·T: T Kilgower656.5kg3 8 6 2 143: 6-4-4$6.50$2.40

Career

43: 6-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
8: 1-3-0
Going Good
24: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1

Last starts

1Alexandra1300m24 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD3-3.5
2Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD30.75L
6Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.33L
8Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.6L
3Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · Open · GOOD41.5L
9Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.6L
1Balnarring1200m11 Apr 2026 · Open-5
3Tambo1200m5 Apr 2026 · Open0.9L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. All honours in the small field at Alexandra. Previous run makes him very hard to beat here.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Won easily by 3 1/2L last run at Alexandra and getting better in recent performances. In strong racing shape this campaign. Respect the betting.

Was well on top at the line over 6½f at Alexandra (handicap) a week ago; has a chance.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Put a gap on the rest when winning by a margin of 3 1/2L last start at Alexandra and form has been improving over recent runs. Respect the betting.

11Cuban DawnJ: Teodore Nugent·T: David & Coral Feek156.5kg2 10 11 10 1126: 1-4-5$15.00$4.20

Career

26: 1-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 1-3-2
Going Soft
8: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD316.06L
10Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD49.4L
11Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.4L
10Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.9L
2Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.5L
3Werribee1425m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.5L
6Werribee2256m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48L
2Stony Creek2100m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Teodore Nugent 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Well back and never sighted at Bairnsdale at double-figure odds. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Started $19.00 and faded to finish 11th last time at Bairnsdale but has drawn to do little work. Capable type.

Finished last of 11 at Bairnsdale over 1m (handicap) dropped back in distance last month.

RSIS

At 18/1 didn't threaten when 11th last time at Bairnsdale but has minimal work to do from the stall. Represents value in this race.

12Grand SageT: R C Manning356kg9 8 11 1 952: 8-4-7$8.50$2.90

Career

52: 8-4-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
20: 2-3-3
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1606m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 8-4-4
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
16: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Sale1600m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY108.26L
1Yea1600m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD3-2.75
11Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.02L
8Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
9Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.7L
13Sale1728m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY810.1L
7Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.7L
3Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY81.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Seasoned performer. Failed to threaten on a soft deck at Sale at longer odds. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $31.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at Sale on a heavy rated track but competing in an easier class. Not at all out of this race.

Found life tough when 8l back in ninth over 1m at Sale (handicap) last week.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 30/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Sale on a heavy track but drops back to a suitable class. Watch for a sign in the market.

13Neck HighT: Paul Worthington756kg7 11 11 7 1020: 1-3-1$12.00$3.80

Career

20: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Moe
5: 0-1-0
Track Sale
8: 0-1-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2088m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1419m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-0

Last starts

10Sale1600m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY109.01L
7Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.32L
11Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.5L
11Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.8L
7Hanging Rock1800m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.5L
8Stony Creek1600m18 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT57.3L
7Sale1717m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.05L
12Stony Creek1600m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD410.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Failed to threaten (wide barrier) on a soft deck at Sale as a despised outsider. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Backing up quickly. At $101.00 lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Sale on a heavy surface but up against a less challenging field. Peak required to upset this field.

Useful in this grade; finished just behind Grand Sage when last at Sale over 1m (handicap) on Sunday.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of 100/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last start at Sale on a heavy surface but challenged by weaker competitors.

14Anything ButT: R C Manning1054kg8 5 7 9 6124: 9-10-13$51.00$10.00

Career

124: 9-10-13

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
9: 0-1-0
Second-up
8: 0-1-0
Third-up
7: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
7: 0-0-0
Track Te Aroha
2: 0-1-0
Track Traralgon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1608m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1715m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1765m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
63: 7-8-8
Going Heavy
10: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Yea1600m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD35L
9Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.9L
7Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD311.8L
5Moe2050m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD411.9L
8Yea1600m18 Apr 2026 · Open4L
3Balnarring2000m11 Apr 2026 · Open8.8L
5Tambo1650m5 Apr 2026 · Open4L
6Sale1400m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT68.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 10.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Yea second-up. Keener on others.

ILB

Below standard effort when 6th last start at Yea. Unlikely to go close.

Useful in this grade; finished last, beaten 5l by Grand Sage at Yea 14 days ago upped to 1m.

RSIS

Below expectations when 6th last time at Yea.

Odds correct as at Sat 31 Oct, 3:21 am AEDT. Odds can change.