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Traralgon (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Traralgon (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 6 — Trfm Hcp (56) 1430m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,F&M 0 - 56,Restricted 56
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Alpinova (9)

4.20

Most career wins

Kulina

9-8-6 from 55 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Alpinova

Offmidfield

  • 12Kulina

Midfield

  • 6Regal Visions
  • 4Ocean's Jen
  • 10Aria Electra
  • 7Tarakash
  • 14Night Eruption
  • 1Kaddari

Offpace

  • 5Lulu Darling
  • 8She Nailed It

Onpace

  • 11Nicking Gracie
  • 3Trinity's D'Oro
  • 13Satin Image

Leader

  • 2So You Excel

  • Kaddari · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Belinda Dunn striking at just 4%

  • So You Excel · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Trinity's D'Oro · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Brian McGrath striking at just 9%

  • Ocean's Jen · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Andrew Perdon striking at just 6%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1KaddariJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Ms B Dunn160kg6 3 9 1 426: 1-4-4$8.00$2.75

Career

26: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-0-2

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1628m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1660m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1744m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 0-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Echuca1612m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT72L
  2. 1Moe1623m12 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-1.5
  3. 9Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
  4. 3Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
  5. 6Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT55.3L
  6. 7Pakenham1600m19 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L
  7. 5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.2L
  8. 3Werribee1600m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Belinda Dunn striking at just 4%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 800%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Not typically effective fresh but comes off two trials. Held form fairly well throughout last prep. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh after a spell. At $18.00 overtook some late when 4th last time at Echuca and drawn the rails. Prefer in something weaker.

RP

Creditable effort (went off 16-1) to finish fourth over 1m at Echuca (handicap) five months ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Resuming after break. Started 17/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Echuca and drawn well.

2So You ExcelJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Tim Hughes1460kg1 12 10 3 99: 1-1-1$10.00$3.30

Career

9: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    5: 1-1-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1419m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD413.52L
  2. 3Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.56L
  3. 10Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L
  4. 12Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD415.4L
  5. 1Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD3-0.3
  6. 4Moe1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.5L
  7. 2Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD30.8L
  8. 4Sale1100m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No threat as a $26 chance in 3yo+ F&M (Bm56) at Kilmore. Breaks from an outside gate. Best on top of the ground. Capable of making an impact with even luck.

ILB

Started $26.00 and faded away to finish 9th last start at Kilmore. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide barrier. Better to look elsewhere.

RP

She can be competitive at this level; easy to see her making an impression with so many of these having something to prove and has proved she knows how to win.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Kilmore. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw.

3Trinity's D'OroJ: Nathan Punch·T: Brian Mcgrath360kg6 5 12 7 734: 3-5-2$4.80$1.95

Career

34: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    8: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 2-3-1

Last starts

  1. 7Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD47.52L
  2. 7Geelong1547m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT715L
  3. 12Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.2L
  4. 5Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  5. 6Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.6L
  6. 5Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD44.2L
  7. 1Hanging Rock1600m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
  8. 2Yarra Valley1500m13 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.75L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brian McGrath striking at just 9%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Kilmore. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Among the dangers.

ILB

Started at $16.00 and didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Kilmore. Respect the betting.

RP

Finished seventh, beaten 8l, at Kilmore two weeks ago; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Hanging Rock in January; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

At 15/1 was well beaten when 7th last start at Kilmore. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4Ocean's JenJ: Aaron Sweeney·T: Andrew Perdon259.5kg2 4 1 2 740: 7-5-1$5.50$2.15

Career

40: 7-5-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Kununurra

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1415m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1435m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-1-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.15L
  2. 2Kununurra1350m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD30.5L
  3. 1Kununurra1350m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.4
  4. 4Broome1435m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD4.3L
  5. 2Broome1300m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ F&M HCP · GOOD3.4L
  6. 9Fannie Bay1300m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD312.5L
  7. 4Fannie Bay1100m18 July 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD1.6L
  8. 8Fannie Bay1300m8 July 2026 · F&M 0 - 70 · GOOD39.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Andrew Perdon striking at just 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went close at Kununurra 29 Aug. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ Hcp (56) at Moe. Well into preparation now, worth a look.

ILB

Started at $18.00 and finished 7th last time at Moe but has a positive draw. Serious contender.

RP

Beaten just over 5l into seventh over 6f at Moe (handicap) 13 days ago; grade looks suitable; clear chance given recent reappearance at Moe will have blown away the cobwebs and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

At 17/1 came in 7th last time at Moe but can find a nice position from the draw. Good potential.

5Lulu DarlingJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Michael Huglin1359kg5 2 7 9 1148: 7-10-2$6.50$2.40

Career

48: 7-10-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1623m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    13: 3-2-0

  • Going Good

    24: 4-5-1

Last starts

  1. 11Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD38.08L
  2. 9Moe1200m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.62L
  3. 7Corowa1200m31 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.1L
  4. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.4L
  5. 5Pakenham Synthetic1400m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.6L
  6. 5Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.4L
  7. 10Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.7L
  8. 8Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC4.2L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Michael Huglin striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Bendigo. On pacer. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can play a role if things pan out.

ILB

Was $8.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at Bendigo. Should bounce back. Strong prospects.

RP

11th of 12 at Bendigo two weeks ago; capable of making an impact as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Bendigo. May see an upturn in form. Strong prospects in this race.

6Regal VisionsJ: Jason Maskiell·T: T Kilgower1159kg1 6 5 9 118: 1-0-0$23.00$5.50

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD315.1L
  2. 9Ballarat1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD413.06L
  3. 5Kilmore1450m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.4L
  4. 6Echuca1600m16 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.8L
  5. 1Kilmore1457m31 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-2.3
  6. 6Wodonga1400m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD38L
  7. 6Benalla1206m26 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD39.6L
  8. 6Pakenham1400m8 May 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in Victoria. Finished out the back at Cranbourne second-up at huge odds. Prefer to see.

ILB

Was $101.00 and didn't threaten when 11th last start at Cranbourne but dropping in grade. Change in trainer but has to cope with a weight increase. Looks hopeful.

RP

Last of 11 over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) three weeks ago; been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Kilmore in March; first run for yard; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

At 100/1 folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Cranbourne but competing at a lower level of competition. Change in trainer but goes up in weight.

7TarakashJ: Logan Mcneil·T: T G Eurell759kg3 8 3 4 520: 2-2-2$8.50$2.90

Career

20: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Corowa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1457m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1512m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    17: 2-2-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD44.75L
  2. 4Swan Hill1600m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.5L
  3. 3Echuca1618m21 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.7L
  4. 8Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37L
  5. 3Albury1600m5 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.4L
  6. 12Geelong1512m14 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD37.9L
  7. 8Morphettville1600m9 Aug 2025 · CL2 HCP · SOFT68.3L
  8. 10Corowa1400m24 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT711.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Kilmore for new trainer. Strips fitter and generally improves second-up. One for multiples.

ILB

At $18.00 closed off nicely when 5th last run at Kilmore. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Finished ahead of two of these rivals (Kilmore) on her first start for this trainer when not beaten far two weeks ago; not won for some time now and has lacked consistency of late; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 17/1 and ran past a few when 5th last start at Kilmore. Watch the betting.

8She Nailed ItJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Tim Hughes958kg4 10 8 12 317: 1-0-2$7.00$2.50

Career

17: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD43.5L
  2. 12Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY916.1L
  3. 8Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY88.6L
  4. 10Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY1013.1L
  5. 4Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.4L
  6. 2Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  7. 14Moe1600m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD419L
  8. 9Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Kilmore off spell. Fitter second-up and takes a 3kg claim. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by 3 1/2L last time at Kilmore. Large claim helps. Watch the betting.

RP

Was on the premises (finished third of ten) over 6f at Kilmore (handicap) 18 days ago; only once has she got into the winners' enclosure.

RSIS

Attacked the line when 3rd last time at Kilmore. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help. Respect the betting.

9AlpinovaJ: Melea Castle·T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell857.5kg9 4 9 2 260: 5-12-8$4.20$1.80

Career

60: 5-12-8

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-2-1

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1114m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    28: 2-5-3

  • Going Heavy

    8: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    24: 2-6-5

Last starts

  1. 2Wangaratta1100m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD42.25L
  2. 2Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.35L
  3. 9Halidon1380m11 Oct 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD36.43L
  4. 4Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.35L
  5. 9Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.4L
  6. 2Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT71L
  7. 8Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.9L
  8. 3Casterton1200m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT711.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Melea Castle current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Great run at Moe 18 Oct. Reserved at back and gave late chase into second at Wangaratta. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last run at Wangaratta and returns to an increased distance. Will be motoring home late. Solid chance.

RP

Finishing second was a good effort on Monday over 5½f (handicap) at Wangaratta; easy to oppose as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Ran on when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last run at Wangaratta and returns to a rise in trip. Should go close.

10Aria ElectraJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: Ms S Trolove657kg6 7 12 12 645: 5-6-4$26.00$6.00

Career

45: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1606m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    29: 5-4-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT712L
  2. 12Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT610.8L
  3. 12Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD415.9L
  4. 7Werribee1600m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT56.3L
  5. 6Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT66L
  6. 4Bairnsdale1600m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.6L
  7. 4Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.1L
  8. 8Yarra Valley1950m7 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD49.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale. First time around Traralgon. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

At $51.00 performed below standard when 6th last run at Bairnsdale. Hard to entertain.

RP

Beaten 12l in sixth over 6f at Bairnsdale (handicap) 19 days ago; could be dangerous if replicating best previous efforts and should be sharper for her recent return to action.

RSIS

Started at 50/1 and only fair when 6th last start at Bairnsdale.

11Nicking GracieJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Tori Madigan456.5kg11 3 5 5 729: 2-2-3$9.00$3.00

Career

29: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1117m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    15: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 7Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.25L
  2. 5Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.41L
  3. 5Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.6L
  4. 3Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
  5. 11Yarra Valley1500m7 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.8L
  6. 2Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD30.8L
  7. 4Burrumbeet1350m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
  8. 5Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY107L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Tori Madigan striking at just 3%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Teodore Nugent 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Avoca. Drawn to receive every chance. Can play a role.

ILB

Started $4.80 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Avoca. Should be going forward early. Definite claims.

RP

Useful at this level; first-time blinkers no help at Avoca over 6f (handicap) when beaten 6l 14 days ago on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

Was 4/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at Avoca. Should race on the pace. Solid prospects.

12KulinaJ: Jackie Beriman·T: D P Dwyer556kg1 6 4 5 455: 9-8-6$13.00$4.00

Career

55: 9-8-6

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1207m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    28: 7-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 0-3-3

Last starts

  1. 4Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.35L
  2. 5Jerilderie1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM453.53L
  3. 4Griffith1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD31.4L
  4. 6Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.6L
  5. 1Leeton1150m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 50-1.4
  6. 3Cootamundra1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+3L
  7. 6Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT53.6L
  8. 7Alexandra1300m14 Mar 2026 · Open6.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Don Dwyer striking at just 13%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Sound but non-threatening effort at Kyneton. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Started at $51.00 and showed some merit late when 4th last run at Kyneton. Likely to get back in the run. A demanding task.

RP

She meets the required standard ability wise; out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fourth) at Kyneton over 6f (handicap) last week.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Kyneton. Likely to get back.

13Satin ImageJ: Liana Wood·T: Ms H Stephens1256kg6 10 9 6 1039: 2-1-4$19.00$4.80

Career

39: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Sale

    14: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1740m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2088m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    18: 0-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    15: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.6L
  2. 6Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
  3. 9Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT79.1L
  4. 10Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY914.2L
  5. 6Jerilderie1400m27 Sept 2025 · BM504L
  6. 4Bairnsdale1600m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.7L
  7. 6Moe1600m24 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT67.4L
  8. 2Bairnsdale1600m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Heather Stephens striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Liana Wood 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (48-days). Failed to threaten at Sale at cricket score odds. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Back from a let up. Jumped at $151.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last time at Sale but taking on easier opposition. Looks too tough.

RP

Has won previously at this course; grade looks suitable; finished last of ten at Sale last month.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Started 150/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Sale but will find this grade easier. Large claim helps.

14Night EruptionJ: Carleen Hefel·T: Paul Worthington1055.5kg13 7 10 7 1149: 2-0-8$21.00$5.00

Career

49: 2-0-8

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Stony Creek

    4: 0-0-3

  • Track Hanging Rock

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    12: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    32: 1-0-4

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 11Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD37.55L
  2. 7Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.58L
  3. 10Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY87.3L
  4. 7Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT64.1L
  5. 13Geelong1715m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD416L
  6. 4Stony Creek1600m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.5L
  7. 4Moe1600m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.2L
  8. 6Pakenham1400m9 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Moe second-up at longer odds. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Moe. Cannot have today.

RP

Last of 11 over 6f at Moe (handicap) two weeks ago; useful at this level.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Moe.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.