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Traralgon (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Traralgon (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 7 — Bet365 Same Race Multi Hcp (56) 1100m · jumps

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Beau Strada (8)

3.70

Most career wins

The Cruiser

9-7-10 from 82 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3O'Mosa

Offmidfield

  • 13Moonlight Rustler
  • 5Flying Mean
  • 11Oriental Dane

Midfield

  • 9Kyokushin

Offpace

  • 14The Cruiser
  • 7Stewart

Onpace

  • 4Bring The Thunder
  • 1Unriddle
  • 8Beau Strada
  • 10Diamond Mila
  • 12Rock Glory

Leader

  • 2Bleak Mid Winter
  • 6Irresistible Sir

  • Unriddle · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.

  • Bleak Mid Winter · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • O'Mosa · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Bring The Thunder · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Luke Oliver striking at just 5%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1UnriddleJ: Melea Castle·T: Rory Hunter260kg2 2 2 1 435: 1-8-6$4.80$1.95

Career

35: 1-8-6

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-3-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    22: 0-5-4

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham1100m29 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP · HEAVY83.4L
  2. 1Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT6-0.4
  3. 2Mornington1200m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
  4. 2Seymour1000m13 Apr 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT50.4L
  5. 2Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.5L
  6. 2Ballarat1200m10 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31L
  7. 2Stony Creek1100m15 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
  8. 3Moe1100m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -44%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (22-weeks). 1st & 3rd at recent jump-outs. Breaks from a low barrier. Rates highly fresh in this company.

ILB

First up today. Was $8.50 and improved when 4th last time at Pakenham on a heavy rated track and facing a weaker group of contenders. Should come to hand quickly. Facing a difficult task.

RP

Not disgraced in fourth at Pakenham five months ago; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; returns from a layoff; passed over.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. At 15/2 showed some merit late when 4th last time at Pakenham on a heavy surface and competing in a lower grade. Has a good draw.

2Bleak Mid WinterJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Ms B Mcphan459.5kg1 10 6 7 67: 1-1-1$8.50$2.90

Career

7: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gawler

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.15L
  2. 7Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.1L
  3. 6Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.9L
  4. 10Morphettville1050m10 May 2025 · 3Y BM64 HCP · GOOD48.4L
  5. 1Clare1100m19 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.39
  6. 2Gawler1100m25 Oct 2024 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
  7. 3Moe1217m18 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SOFT61.52L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Moe off spell. Better conditioned. Lone victory was over this trip. Among the dangers.

ILB

Was $3.90 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at Moe. Should improve. Displays good tactical speed. Attracts support.

RP

Not had much racing for his age; not beaten that far in sixth (just over 4l) over 5f at Moe (handicap) two weeks ago; has a chance if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Started at 3/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at Moe. Likely to bounce back. Will be positive in the run early. Holds a major chance.

3O'MosaJ: Joe Bowditch·T: D C Harrison1259.5kg7 4 6 7 1110: 1-0-1$6.00$2.25

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1114m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.1L
  2. 7Geelong1135m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.4L
  3. 6Pakenham1100m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  4. 4Stony Creek1100m15 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.01L
  5. 7Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.6L
  6. 1Stony Creek1100m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-2
  7. 10Cranbourne1300m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.1L
  8. 9Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1021.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Awkwardly drawn and up in weight for return. 4th & 2nd at the jump-outs. Fringe place hope at best fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Back after a break. Jumped at $91.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last start at Sale on a heavy track but challenged by weaker competitors. In a lot of trouble.

RP

Finished 11th of 12 over 5f at Sale (handicap) four months ago; useful in this grade; strong claims if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. At 90/1 was well beaten when 11th last start at Sale on a heavy rated track but facing weaker opposition.

4Bring The ThunderJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Luke Oliver759kg6 2 5 4 99: 1-1-0$13.00$3.80

Career

9: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bendigo1000m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.8L
  2. 4Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.3L
  3. 5Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT61.9L
  4. 2Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY100.4L
  5. 6Moe1017m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.5L
  6. 6Ballarat Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
  7. 1Hanging Rock1000m1 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 7Kyneton1203m11 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD44.9L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Luke Oliver striking at just 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Started $15 when safely held in Restricted 56 company at Bendigo. Hard fit, has some claims.

ILB

Started at $15.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last start at Bendigo. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Could be in the mix.

RP

Held when ninth beaten 6l over 5f at Bendigo (handicap) two weeks ago; despite a poor last run, he had been running well previously; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Bendigo. Likely to be well placed early.

5Flying MeanJ: Stephanie Hateley·T: David & Coral Feek859kg7 3 7 5 1018: 1-5-4$9.00$3.00

Career

18: 1-5-4

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 1-3-2

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 10Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD37.68L
  2. 5Tatura1000m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
  3. 7Pakenham Synthetic1200m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.7L
  4. 3Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT64.3L
  5. 7Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  6. 2Pakenham Synthetic1200m22 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC0.8L
  7. 9Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD47.4L
  8. 3Sandown1200m9 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD32.15L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 22%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Bendigo over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. Deep into his campaign, not out of this.

ILB

Was $16.00 and only fair when 10th last time at Bendigo and coming back in distance. Shows good closing speed. Worthy of strong consideration.

RP

Not the most consistent of horses lately and poor strike-rate; finished tenth of 12 over 7f at Bendigo (handicap) 14 days ago; is passed over.

RSIS

At 15/1 moderate showing when 10th last start at Bendigo and down in trip. Will be trying to topple them late. Win will not surprise.

6Irresistible SirJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R C Manning1459kg10 1 8 8 448: 4-3-11$10.00$3.30

Career

48: 4-3-11

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-3

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    3: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1200m

    16: 2-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 0-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.25L
  2. 8Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT74.66L
  3. 8Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.9L
  4. 1Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-1.25
  5. 10Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT66.6L
  6. 7Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.3L
  7. 4Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.3L
  8. 3Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.5L

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Sound but non-threatening effort at Moe. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Very fit, right in the mix.

ILB

Jumped at $4.20 and advanced late into 4th last start at Moe. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Do not dismiss.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Moe (beaten just over 3l) over 5f (handicap) had four of the horses he faces behind 13 days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Moe. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.

7StewartJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Ms S Trolove159kg5 1 5 4 821: 4-3-1$6.50$2.40

Career

21: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Healesville

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moe

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Woolamai

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Moe1000m28 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY106.6L
  2. 4Moe1014m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT72.4L
  3. 5Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.7L
  4. 1Werribee1100m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-1
  5. 5Bairnsdale1200m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.9L
  6. 2Geelong1112m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.2L
  7. 1Stony Creek1000m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-1.3
  8. 3Stony Creek1000m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Sharyn Trolove striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 56% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Competitive at this level last prep. Has some claims fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a spell. Odds of $9.00 and faded to finish 8th last start at Moe but dropping in class. Will appreciate a good gate. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RP

Held in eighth at Moe over 5f (handicap, split Irresistible Sir and Rock Glory) in May; back from an absence here; capable if in the mood so definite chance.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. At 8/1 faded to finish 8th last run at Moe on a heavy track but up against a less competitive field. Drawn by the rails.

8Beau StradaJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Luke Oliver358kg2 1 3 8 1113: 1-3-5$3.70$1.70

Career

13: 1-3-5

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Traralgon

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 11Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.19L
  2. 8Wangaratta1170m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1010.5L
  3. 3Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.4L
  4. 1Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2
  5. 2Mornington1200m10 May 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT61.3L
  6. 3Sale1213m19 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
  7. 2Cranbourne1200m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.3L
  8. 5Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT513.5L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Luke Oliver striking at just 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $3.70 when safely held in Benchmark 56 company at Echuca off spell. Building fitness and takes a 1.5kg claim. Good second only time this t/d. Can show more here.

ILB

Started at $3.70 and below par performance when 11th last start at Echuca. Capable type.

RP

Favourite when 11th of 12 at Echuca over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago; this is her grade; more than capable if on song so expected to be in the thick of things.

RSIS

Started at 11/4 and ordinary performance when 11th last start at Echuca. Strong prospects.

9KyokushinJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: T Kilgower1157.5kg10 4 5 3 738: 3-4-4$31.00$6.00

Career

38: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1204m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    26: 3-4-1

Last starts

  1. 7Werribee1618m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD47.2L
  2. 3Stony Creek1600m18 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.9L
  3. 5Yarra Valley1500m13 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44L
  4. 4Sapphire Coast1600m29 Dec 2025 · BM58 · SOFT52.3L
  5. 10Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD310.4L
  6. 7Balnarring1600m6 Dec 2025 · Open6.6L
  7. 4Healesville1650m22 Nov 2025 · Open7.8L
  8. 8Traralgon1430m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP CG&E 0 - 56 HCP · GOOD2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf 23% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

First-up (38-weeks). Ex Ms S Trolove in Victoria. Prefer to see after a lengthy absence.

ILB

First up from a break of 38 weeks. Odds of $16.00 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Werribee and will be down in distance. Hard to see it being good enough.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 7l into seventh) over 1m at Werribee (handicap) in February; a long time since his last win; returns from a layoff here; starts out for new trainer; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

First run back from a 38 week break. Started 15/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Werribee and coming back in trip.

10Diamond MilaJ: Jason Maskiell·T: D J Walkley957kg6 7 10 10 110: 1-1-0$26.00$5.50

Career

10: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1217m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bombala900m17 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · FIRM2-1.54
  2. 10Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.1L
  3. 10Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT610.1L
  4. 7Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1013.6L
  5. 6Cranbourne1300m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY95.2L
  6. 2Moe1217m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY100.8L
  7. 5Moe1208m18 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.1L
  8. 6Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY85.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Damien Walkley striking at just 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Bombala. New to Traralgon. Looks up against it.

ILB

Handy enough when winning by 1 1/2L last run at Bombala. Very slim hope.

RP

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; off the mark 14 days ago at Bombala in a maiden; others are preferred despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Left nothing to chance when winning by 1 1/2L last start at Bombala.

11Oriental DaneJ: Carleen Hefel·T: D P Dwyer557kg2 7 10 4 519: 2-2-2$41.00$7.00

Career

19: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Balnarring

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1180m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    6: 1-2-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Yea1200m17 Oct 2026 · Restricted · GOOD34.35L
  2. 4Grenfell1200m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+5.8L
  3. 10Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT514.1L
  4. 7Balnarring1008m8 Mar 2026 · Restricted6L
  5. 2Buchan1200m14 Feb 2026 · Open3L
  6. 2Balnarring1200m26 Jan 2026 · Restricted0.1L
  7. 3Alexandra1300m27 Dec 2025 · Open5.8L
  8. 1Yea1300m15 Nov 2025 · Restricted-0.5

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 13%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 13.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $3.80 when unable to threaten at Yea off extended spell. Not keen.

ILB

Started at $5.50 and finished 5th last run at Yea. Likely to get back in the field. Will struggle to compete in this race.

RP

Not disgraced when fifth of nine over 6f at Yea (handicap) two weeks ago; has lacked consistency of late; others more likely.

RSIS

Started at 9/2 and ran 5th last time at Yea. Does take a while to get into stride.

12Rock GloryJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Ms S Trolove1055.5kg11 10 9 6 1017: 1-2-2$18.00$4.20

Career

17: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Bairnsdale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD39.1L
  2. 6Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY96.3L
  3. 9Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY87.1L
  4. 10Moe1000m28 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY109.1L
  5. 11Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT720.9L
  6. 1Sale1113m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  7. 7Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD38.3L
  8. 9Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD417.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Teodore Nugent 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Off pace, only battled home at Moe following market easing. Not fancied.

ILB

Started at $6.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last run at Moe. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Behind four of these rivals over 5f at Moe (handicap) when last of ten 13 days ago; not really built on success in a maiden six months ago at Sale; others more appealing.

RSIS

Odds of 5/1 and faded away to finish 10th last time at Moe.

13Moonlight RustlerJ: Jake Noonan·T: W J Wood1357kg6 4 5 10 550: 4-4-2$21.00$4.80

Career

50: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    17: 0-1-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1014m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    31: 1-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.75L
  2. 10Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT76.81L
  3. 5Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.83L
  4. 4Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.4L
  5. 6Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD37.7L
  6. 4Sale1000m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT65.5L
  7. 4Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.4L
  8. 8Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 · SOFT68.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 5th at Moe. Has an adverse draw. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Was $14.00 and pushed past some when 5th last run at Moe. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Minor chance.

RP

He meets the required standard ability wise; not disgraced when fifth at Moe over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and made up ground when 5th last run at Moe. Likely to get back in the field.

14The CruiserT: Ms S Trolove655.5kg12 6 8 6 882: 9-7-10$26.00$6.00

Career

82: 9-7-10

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-1-2

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Werribee

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Stony Creek

    5: 0-2-0

  • Track Moe

    9: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    43: 4-3-8

  • Distance 1008m

    5: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1014m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    47: 3-4-5

Last starts

  1. 8Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.5L
  2. 6Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT73.7L
  3. 8Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.33L
  4. 6Bairnsdale1000m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY83.4L
  5. 12Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD48.7L
  6. 4Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.1L
  7. 7Moe1100m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.3L
  8. 5Werribee1100m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Moe. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Started $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last start at Moe. Can run into the placings.

RP

Beaten a fair way when eighth at Moe over 5f (handicap) 13 days ago; grade looks suitable.

RSIS

Started at 25/1 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Moe.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.