Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

Saturday 24 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 24 October 2026

Race 1 — Manhari Mdn Plate 1009m · jumps 12:41 pm AEDT

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

Exacting Standard (2)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

4Confidential Girl
5Madame Petite
6Skyblock

Backmarker

3Quarters

Midfield

1Aerial Pursuit

Onpace

2Exacting Standard

Leader

7Velocite Belle

Aerial Pursuit · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Exacting Standard · Positive
Hot Jockey
Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 12%
Quarters · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Confidential Girl · Positive
Hot Trainer
Ciaron Maher in good form, out performing market 31%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Aerial PursuitJ: Damien Thornton·T: A & S Freedman258kg91: 0-0-08.503.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Bendigo1000m13 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (23-weeks). Maturity upside. Found the debut assignment beyond him at Bendigo 13 May. Learnt plenty there.

2Exacting StandardJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black658kg2 52: 0-1-02.901.65

Career

2: 0-1-0

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Pakenham1100m29 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY85L
2Bendigo1000m13 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Hot Jockey
Positive
Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 12%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Placed at Bendigo on debut last campaign. Bold first-up showing anticipated.

3QuartersJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh458kg8 102: 0-0-010.003.80

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Caulfield Heath1000m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.7L
8Caulfield Heath1100m20 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD412.7L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (25-weeks). Given further time to mature. Wasn't up to it in first two campaigns but benefitted by a good break. Right in this fresh in this affair.

4Confidential GirlJ: Carleen Hefel·T: C Maher356kg–3.301.75

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Ciaron Maher in good form, out performing market 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

$170k purchase. Half-sister to Listed winner Aardvark. Introducing a filly by Bivouac and out of the All American mare Hollywood Mistress. Won most recent Cranbourne jumpout.

5Madame PetiteJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith756kg56.002.65

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

5Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L

Insights

On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Comes into this off a Camperdown jumpout win. Odds may prove best guide here.

6SkyblockJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin156kg–17.005.00

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 15% Profit on Turnover
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
On Debut
Positive
First race start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). $230k purchase. Out of a full sister to Listed winner Francee. Heads into debut off a Flemington jumpout win and is in an astute stable.

7Velocite BelleJ: Nadia Daniels·T: A & S Freedman556kg4 42: 0-0-05.002.35

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.9L
4Geelong1100m1 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (21-weeks). Given time to mature. Form to date sound. Feasible to think she has more to offer this time in.

Odds correct as at 1:01 am AEDT. Odds can change.