Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

Saturday 24 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 24 October 2026

Race 3 — Bet365 Bet Boost Mdn Plate 1968m · jumps 1:56 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD4
Showers
13 runners

Shortest win price

Nightowl (3)

3.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Hot Opera

Offmidfield

3Nightowl
9Threewinesin

Midfield

5Bling Baby
2Molesworth

Offpace

4Zverev
13Ask The Captain
11Whatwashethinking
8Kissattack

Onpace

1Mehsun
10Sentaloa

Leader

12Startin'Sumthin'
6Camegitchee

Mehsun · Positive
Primed
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Molesworth · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%
Nightowl · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Zverev · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1MehsunJ: Fred W Kersley·T: C J Waller359.5kg99 5 5 8 86: 0-0-16.502.40

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
2: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD34.92L
8Caulfield Heath1500m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.52L
5Randwick Kensington1400m13 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.6L
5Randwick Kensington1550m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD40.9L
99Hamilton1671m21 Sept 2025 · GBB Race · SOFT999L
3Hamilton1671m22 Aug 2025 · GBB/GBBPlus Race · GOOD3.55L

Insights

Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Bendigo when second-up. Stamina on trial here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Was $10.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last start at Bendigo. Betting is the best guide.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 9/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Bendigo. Watch the betting.

2MolesworthJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes859.5kg–9.003.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Pakenham Synthetic after lengthy absence. Strips in better shape. Sound claims.

ILB

Started $6.50 and only fair when 8th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Definite claims.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and well beaten when 8th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Strong claims in this.

3NightowlJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Andrew Noblet459.5kg2 4 4 4 613: 0-5-03.301.60

Career

13: 0-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2007m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-3-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT511L
4Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
4Kilmore2007m31 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.8L
4Ballarat2000m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.2L
2Ballarat1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
8Sandown1600m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
2Tauherenikau1600m10 Dec 2025 · MDN · SOFT50.1L
2Wanganui1600m29 Nov 2025 · MDN · SOFT50.1L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Geelong second-up. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Jumped at $10.00 and below par performance when 6th last run at Geelong. Brad Rawiller and Andrew Noblet demand respect when they team up. Strong claims.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and fairly underwhelming when 6th last run at Geelong. Jockey Brad Rawiller and trainer Andrew Noblet should be taken seriously together. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

4ZverevJ: Jake Noonan·T: G Eurell159.5kg8 3 42: 0-0-13.501.65

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.25L
3Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.5L
8Warwick Farm789m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial9L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 36% Profit on Turnover
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Two early runs show promise. Battled home okay at Pakenham Synthetic at second outing. May now be looking for this extra ground.

ILB

Was $4.60 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Pakenham Synthetic and will appreciate a good gate. Strong prospects.

RSIS

Odds of 7/2 and faded away when 4th last time at Pakenham Synthetic and has the ideal stall. Competitive type.

5Bling BabyJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Brian Mcgrath757.5kg5 3 7 10 58: 0-0-115.003.90

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-1
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1614m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5L
10Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.8L
7Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69.7L
3Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
5Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
12Ballarat2000m2 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD314.5L
4Cranbourne1600m14 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
7Pakenham1400m20 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD48.11L

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Pakenham Synthetic. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started at $51.00 and made up ground when 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. A 8 start maiden. Tough ask.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and made up ground when 5th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 8 runs.

6CamegitcheeJ: Lauren Burke·T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black557.5kg10 4 3 7 69: 0-0-161.008.50

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT714.65L
7Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.06L
3Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
4Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.8L
10Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1085.3L
6Ballarat Synthetic1500m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
7Caulfield Heath1800m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
4Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Bairnsdale. Coming back in distance. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Jumped at $14.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last time at Bairnsdale. Should come to hand quickly. Trying to win after 9 starts. Has to have a lot go its way.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and weakened to finish 6th last time at Bairnsdale. Has plenty of early pace. A 9 start maiden.

7Hot OperaJ: N.r·T: Luke Oliver657.5kg5 2 10 3 96: 0-1-131.005.50

Career

6: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.65L
3Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.5L
10Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC11.7L
2Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.3L
5Kyneton1479m10 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
6Cranbourne1400m17 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.9L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Tatura. First real test of stamina here. Only for exotics.

ILB

At $16.00 below standard effort when 9th last run at Tatura. Likely to get back in the run. Needs to find a lot more.

RSIS

At 15/1 was nothing special when 9th last time at Tatura. Gets back and needs luck.

8KissattackJ: Dylan Dunn·T: D T O'Brien1357.5kg–11.003.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $51 when battled home to finish 6th at Kyneton. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started $51.00 and came in 6th last start at Kyneton. Leaving right out.

RSIS

At 50/1 ran 6th last run at Kyneton.

9ThreewinesinJ: Melea Castle·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker257.5kg10 10 9 5 105: 0-0-031.005.50

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1744m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT738.55L
5Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.56L
9Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.7L
10Sale1744m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD416.1L
10Bendigo1300m7 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY912.2L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Moderate form profile overall. Failed to threaten in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale. Drops to shorter trip. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Started at $5.00 and faded away to finish 10th last start at Bairnsdale but has a positive draw. Might have to make up considerable ground. Unlikely to go close.

RSIS

Started at 4/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last run at Bairnsdale but gets a favourable stall. Does take a while to get into stride.

10SentaloaJ: Damien Thornton·T: M M Laurie1257kg–4.401.85

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Close to the pace, lacked response when winner burst clear but kept boxing away at Bairnsdale last outing. Distance increase suits. Worth a look.

ILB

Came on strongly when 2nd last start at Bairnsdale and good career start. Has not missed the money this preparation in 3 attempts. Should put in a decent effort.

RSIS

Did well to place 2nd last start at Bairnsdale and solid career start. Been in the placings each attempt of late. Expected to be competitive.

11WhatwashethinkingJ: Liana Wood·T: Ms N Shelton1059.5kg7 12 9 8 59: 0-1-016.003.90

Career

9: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.5L
8Sale1615m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
9Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.8L
12Pakenham Synthetic1200m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC9.3L
7Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
2Yarra Valley1209m21 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
4Yarra Valley1200m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
9Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD48.6L

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, finished off evenly through line at Geelong. Others carry more punch.

ILB

At $101.00 finished 5th last run at Geelong. Still in maiden grade after 9 starts. The large claim from Liana Wood should help. Best to watch and see.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and finished 5th last run at Geelong. Yet to break maiden status after 9 runs. The large claim from Liana Wood helps.

12Startin'Sumthin'J: Lachlan King·T: Nelson Smyth957.5kg–61.008.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Largely struggled to date. Switching to 1968m. Needs to lift.

ILB

At $91.00 came in 6th last time at Ballarat and coming back in trip. Needs significant improvement.

RSIS

Started at 90/1 and came in 6th last start at Ballarat and back to a shorter trip.

13Ask The CaptainJ: N.r·T: E P Francese1159.5kg9 5 11 9 814: 0-0-261.008.50

Career

14: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1411m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Bairnsdale2200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT717.55L
9Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.25L
11Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD47.6L
5Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.75L
9Moe1628m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY915.7L
7Sale1746m9 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97L
12Sale1411m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY819.3L
5Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY86.3L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Bairnsdale. Drops to shorter trip. Form doesn't inspire.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and moderate showing when 8th last time at Bairnsdale. Yet to break through after 14 starts. Has not placed in 8 attempts this campaign. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and disappointing display when 8th last run at Bairnsdale. Yet to break through after 14 runs. Struggling of late with no placings from 8 starts.

Odds correct as at 2:01 am AEDT. Odds can change.