Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

Saturday 24 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 24 October 2026

Race 4 — Bet365 Position Payout Hcp (56) 1968m · jumps 2:36 pm AEDT

Race notes

0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
GOOD4
Showers
12 runners

Shortest win price

Surely Special (6)

3.80

Most career wins

Surely Special

6-6-6 from 58 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Grunnettan

Offmidfield

1Devine Grunt
7Opus

Midfield

10Pharoah's Daughter
2Golden Hips
13Blonde Suspect
9Palace Winter
11Anchor Down

Offpace

4Up And Under
8Avonview

Onpace

12Ain't Tellin

Leader

6Surely Special

Devine Grunt · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Golden Hips · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides
Up And Under · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Grunnettan · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Devine GruntJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Aaron Laing260kg9 3 8 8 611: 1-0-24.201.80

Career

11: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Moe2050m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.71L
8Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6L
8Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
3Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.9L
9Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD411.7L
1Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
4Pakenham2500m16 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD418L
3Echuca2100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail at Moe. Not out of this.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started at $17.00 and came in 6th last start at Moe but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Might be ridden for luck. Watch the betting.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 16/1 and ran 6th last run at Moe but has a positive draw. Does take a while to get into stride. Betting is the best guide.

2Golden HipsJ: Nadia Daniels·T: D J Walkley360kg3 7 8 9 927: 3-4-610.003.20

Career

27: 3-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2238m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
8: 3-1-1
Going Soft
9: 0-0-4
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD414.75L
9Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.11L
8Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
7Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY83.6L
3Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY104L
7Moe1623m12 May 2026 · BM56 · SOFT79.3L
4Caulfield Heath1400m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
3Geelong2440m12 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 51% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Damien Walkley striking at just 4%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 67% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 45% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 30 days

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. No threat as a $26 chance in 3yo+ (Bm56) at Moe. Not fancied.

ILB

At $26.00 struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Moe and dropping back to a shorter trip. Has some claims.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Moe and back in trip. Not at all out of this race.

3Treasury PlaceScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $7.50 when battled home to finish 5th at Coleraine. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started at $7.50 and peaked on the run when 5th last start at Coleraine.

RSIS

Odds of 13/2 and peaked on the run when 5th last run at Coleraine.

4Up And UnderJ: Dylan Dean·T: D M Noonan1060kg4 8 7 6 438: 2-4-45.502.15

Career

38: 2-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
4: 0-0-0
Distance 2011m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2012m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-2-1
Going Soft
13: 1-1-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.26L
6Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.15L
7Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
8Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1013.4L
4Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.8L
10Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC16.2L
7Sandown2100m31 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.7L
1Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT5-2.8

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Brave effort in busy finish at Moe. Hard fit, not out of this.

ILB

On a short back up. Couldn't find the line when 4th last start at Moe. Should go close.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Got tired late when 4th last run at Moe. Has definite claims.

5GrunnettanJ: Lachlan King·T: Rhys Archard1259.5kg6 5 1 1 534: 2-2-612.003.50

Career

34: 2-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Wycheproof
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
6: 0-2-1
Track Echuca
8: 1-0-2
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1414m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
6: 0-2-1

Last starts

5Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD45.45L
1Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1
1Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1
5Ballarat Synthetic2200m27 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
6Ballarat Synthetic2100m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.8L
2Ballarat Synthetic2100m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.8L
9Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY85L
2Ballarat Synthetic2200m21 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC1.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 50% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Lachlan King 55% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $51 when never got into the race at Kilmore. Very fit, one for multiples.

ILB

At $51.00 moved through the field into 5th last time at Kilmore. Likely to settle back in the field. Struggle to recommend.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Kilmore. Might have to make up considerable ground.

6Surely SpecialJ: Olivia East·T: C J Davis659kg4 3 6 1 158: 6-6-63.801.70

Career

58: 6-6-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1518m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1760m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
4: 1-0-2
Going Good
31: 5-4-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
16: 0-2-3

Last starts

1Wodonga2050m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-6
1Echuca2112m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-0.75
6Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.9L
3Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.3L
4Wodonga2050m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.4L
3Wodonga2050m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY92.5L
10Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.46L
4Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY104L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Streeted them at Wodonga. Back in top form and looks hard to beat again.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Bolted in when winning by 6L last run at Wodonga. Made it 2 wins in succession. Should race on the speed. Strong claims.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Ran away with a win by 6L last start at Wodonga. Won last 2 on the bounce. Definite claims for punters.

7OpusJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Simone Manne758.5kg11 5 4 1 1021: 2-0-217.003.90

Career

21: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2018m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2030m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1

Last starts

10Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT612.6L
1Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
4Wodonga2050m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY94.8L
5Wodonga2050m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.9L
11Mornington2030m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT69.5L
3Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
14Bairnsdale2200m21 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT640.36L
12Warrnambool2350m6 July 2025 · 3UP BM58 HWGT HCP · HEAVY6.25L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Simone Manne striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Wodonga. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Started at $7.00 and didn't find the line when 10th last time at Wodonga. Might have to make up considerable ground. Needs to improve.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started 6/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last time at Wodonga. Expected to settle towards the tail.

8AvonviewJ: Melea Castle·T: D J Walkley1158kg3 3 7 8 546: 4-8-712.003.50

Career

46: 4-8-7

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1968m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
31: 2-5-4
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-3-2

Last starts

5Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.1L
8Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.52L
7Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.1L
3Bairnsdale2200m13 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.3L
3Bairnsdale2200m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY84.5L
2Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT52.8L
1Kilmore2000m4 May 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY9-1.5
2Kilmore2000m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Damien Walkley striking at just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $31 when battled home to finish 5th at Pakenham Synthetic. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Ran 5th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Can show a better performance this time and competing at a lower level of competition. Good chance in this.

RSIS

Finished 5th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Has the talent to rebound quickly and facing a weaker grade. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

9Palace WinterJ: Jake Noonan·T: R N Mathews958kg11 9 5 9 819: 1-0-213.003.70

Career

19: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
5: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
7: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1715m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-0-2
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Mornington1500m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT54.2L
9Geelong1715m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.3L
5Pakenham1600m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.2L
9Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.3L
11Cranbourne1600m22 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD311.4L
6Mornington2400m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD7L
3Moe2050m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.1L
5Mornington2000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 36%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 58 company at Pakenham Synthetic first-up last preparation. Capable of making an impact fresh in this affair.

ILB

Back from a break. Was $6.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last start at Mornington. Can't have.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started 5/1 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Mornington.

10Pharoah's DaughterJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Ben Brisbourne158kg4 3 5 5 830: 3-2-65.002.00

Career

30: 3-2-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-1
Track Moe
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1

Last starts

8Manangatang2000m10 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD34.21L
5Wagga2000m19 Sept 2026 · AGGIES CUP · GOOD41.82L
5Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.6L
3Ballarat Synthetic2100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.3L
4Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.7L
3Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
9Wangaratta1590m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1011.2L
10Seymour1600m21 May 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT68.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Mitchell Aitken 31% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $9 when safely held in Open company at Manangatang. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Started $9.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Manangatang. Should improve and drops back to a suitable grade. Has the ideal alley. Must be considered here.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Manangatang. Likely to bounce back and up against weaker rivals. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Chance and can measure up.

11Anchor DownJ: Jackie Beriman·T: D P Dwyer557kg11 2 5 8 721: 1-2-323.004.40

Career

21: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 1-0-1
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Manangatang1550m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.11L
8Jerilderie1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM502.97L
5Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD33.5L
2Bendigo1000m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.5L
11Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.6L
2Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
11Werribee2108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD410L
4Wangaratta2000m6 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.6L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 13%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Manangatang. At best, a place hope.

ILB

Jumped at $5.00 and below expectations when 7th last run at Manangatang. Could feature here.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and ordinary performance when 7th last time at Manangatang. Respect the betting.

12Ain't TellinJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Brendon Newport454kg6 7 5 13 918: 1-1-134.006.00

Career

18: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Warrnambool1400m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.52L
13Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT513.76L
5Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT65.2L
7Warracknabeal1000m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD46.2L
6Kilcoy1500m2 Jan 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT54.1L
6Chinchilla1400m20 Dec 2025 · BM508L
8Ipswich1350m10 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.9L
7Chinchilla1400m8 Nov 2025 · CL1 · GOOD325.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 59%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 68% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Warrnambool. Has plenty to find on latest offerings.

ILB

Jumped at $201.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Warrnambool but facing a weaker group of contenders. Likely to be well placed early. Facing an increased distance. Needs to find a lot more.

RSIS

Was 200/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Warrnambool but matched against less formidable competition. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Rising in distance.

13Blonde SuspectJ: N.r·T: C J Davis854kg6 5 3 11 973: 5-4-834.006.00

Career

73: 5-4-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
3: 0-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
7: 0-0-1
Distance 1880m
9: 2-0-1
Going Soft
19: 0-0-3
Going Synthetic
26: 5-2-2
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Wodonga2050m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD315.95L
11Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.1L
3Tatura1600m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.7L
5Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT610.2L
6Berrigan1600m22 Aug 2026 · BM502.3L
9Wodonga2050m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.6L
8Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC9.3L
8Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT711.4L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Well back and never sighted at Wodonga as an outsider. New to Yarra Glen. Needs a major turnaround.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Jumped at $51.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last time at Wodonga. This will be a test.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 50/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Wodonga.

Odds correct as at 1:51 am AEDT. Odds can change.