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Yarra Valley (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Yarra Valley (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 24 October 2026

Race 6 — Bet365 Top Finishes Hcp (56) 1209m · jumps 3:56 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • GOOD4
  • Showers
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Ponte Arcobaleno (2) and The Mount (3)

3.90

Most career wins

Rockcliff

4-4-6 from 56 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 10Smashing Ruby

Midfield

  • 2Ponte Arcobaleno
  • 6Aussieaussieaussie

Offpace

  • 7Belmasai
  • 12Snow On Her
  • 3The Mount
  • 1Pensatore
  • 5Think I'm Divine
  • 8Moose Jaw
  • 13Think Sassy

Onpace

  • 4Rockcliff

Leader

  • 9Second Guess
  • 11Balgowan
  • Pensatore · Positive

    Early Splits

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ponte Arcobaleno · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • The Mount · Negative

    Slow Early LS

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Rockcliff · Positive

    Well Placed

    Drops back to a suitable class

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1PensatoreJ: Olivia East·T: Ms T Cullen159.5kg5 6 3 8 519: 1-0-3Pensatore win18.00Pensatore place4.20

Career

19: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1602m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY98.1L
  2. 8Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD411.3L
  3. 3Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD34.5L
  4. 6Manangatang1550m11 Oct 2025 · BM56 · GOOD39.9L
  5. 5Donald850m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial11.2L
  6. 7Ararat2206m27 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD310.25L
  7. 1Edenhope1850m8 Mar 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.5
  8. 3Ballarat2000m23 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD43.75L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Hasn't offered much fresh in the past. May need this.

ILB

First run back from a spell. Was $151.00 and ran 5th last time at Moe but up against a less competitive field. Shows good early pace. Couldn't have in this.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started at 150/1 and ran 5th last time at Moe but competing in a less challenging grade. Has shown early pace in races to date.

2Ponte ArcobalenoJ: Lachlan King·T: Ben Brisbourne359.5kg8 9 6 3 120: 2-5-2Ponte Arcobaleno win3.90Ponte Arcobaleno place1.75

Career

20: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    14: 2-4-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.15
  2. 3Echuca1209m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
  3. 6Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC6L
  4. 9Pakenham Synthetic1200m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.7L
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC7.8L
  6. 3Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC3.3L
  7. 1Albury1175m15 May 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  8. 9Kyneton1203m11 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD47.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let down strongly from midfield to score at Manangatang. A few runs under his girth this campaign, can challenge again.

ILB

Ran home strongly to win last time at Manangatang and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Will go close.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last run at Manangatang and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

3The MountJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Andrew Bobbin659.5kg4 7 4 7 113: 2-1-2The Mount win3.90The Mount place1.75

Career

13: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Edenhope

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Great Western

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1102m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.46
  2. 7Stawell1100m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD315.2L
  3. 4Edenhope1200m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.9L
  4. 7Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.6L
  5. 4Colac1110m6 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD31.6L
  6. 3Werribee1108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.5L
  7. 12Warrnambool1100m24 July 2025 · 2UP BM58 HCP · HEAVY915.2L
  8. 7Mount Gambier1200m11 July 2025 · BM66 HCP · HEAVY106.2L

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Stuck tough, holding off challengers 3yo+ (Bm52) at Manangatang after lengthy absence at $5. Very well placed for a repeat.

ILB

Romped home to win last time at Manangatang. Well respected contender.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last run at Manangatang. Should give this a shake.

4RockcliffJ: Dylan Dunn·T: R J Besanko758.5kg3 6 9 7 956: 4-4-6Rockcliff win11.00Rockcliff place3.50

Career

56: 4-4-6

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    8: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    7: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Track Sale

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1103m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    14: 3-2-2

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-1-3

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.63L
  2. 7Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.2L
  3. 9Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY105.6L
  4. 6Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY103.5L
  5. 3Donald1006m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY81.6L
  6. 1Donald1000m20 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY9-0.2
  7. 11Stony Creek1100m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP C&G BM56 HCP · GOOD48.3L
  8. 4Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP CG&E 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY105L

Insights

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair at Kyneton at $101. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Kyneton. Displays good tactical speed. Could be in the mix.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and faded to finish 9th last run at Kyneton. Expecting to settle positively. Could feature here.

5Think I'm DivineJ: Jake Noonan·T: Kasey Besanko858kg5 3 2 9 1027: 1-1-4Think I'm Divine win9.00Think I'm Divine place3.00

Career

27: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    10: 1-1-3

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1105m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1247m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 10Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT58.3L
  2. 9Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT711.9L
  3. 2Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT60.3L
  4. 3Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY102.8L
  5. 5Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY96.5L
  6. 6Pakenham1100m29 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP · HEAVY85.8L
  7. 7Moe1014m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT73.6L
  8. 7Wangaratta1300m5 July 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT67.4L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Winless since 24 May 2023. Raced in back half and never likely at Kyneton. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Kyneton. Should jump out and bowl along. Watch for a sign in the market.

RSIS

Weakened to finish 10th last start at Kyneton. Should come to hand quickly. Watch the betting.

6AussieaussieaussieJ: Damien Thornton·T: R N Mathews1257.5kg5 1 11 10 821: 2-0-0Aussieaussieaussie win13.00Aussieaussieaussie place3.80

Career

21: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Moe1008m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97L
  2. 10Geelong1312m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.7L
  3. 11Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD49.4L
  4. 1Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  5. 5Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD311.25L
  6. 5Cranbourne1000m17 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD39.3L
  7. 10Moe1600m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.8L
  8. 8Mornington1500m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.9L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Has a tricky draw for return. Can fill the minors here fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. At $51.00 disappointing outing when 8th last run at Moe. Not likely to pull off the victory.

RSIS

Fresh today. At 50/1 mediocre display when 8th last start at Moe.

7BelmasaiJ: Melea Castle·T: Erin Maher457.5kg8 3 6 10 432: 3-2-3Belmasai win10.00Belmasai place3.30

Career

32: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Casterton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.21L
  2. 10Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · BM506.9L
  3. 6Casterton1200m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT714.5L
  4. 3Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY80.4L
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.3L
  6. 4Avoca1100m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31L
  7. 1Towong1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · SOFT6-0.8
  8. 10Werribee1418m1 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD410.7L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort at Manangatang. A few runs under his belt this campaign, warrants attention.

ILB

At $14.00 picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Manangatang. Should be going forward early. Looks hopeful at best.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and closed off nicely when 4th last start at Manangatang. Should muster plenty of early pace.

8Moose JawJ: Sally Wynne·T: Ms S L Wynne955.5kg7 1 5 5 232: 2-1-1Moose Jaw win8.50Moose Jaw place2.90

Career

32: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    18: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.8L
  2. 5Mornington1200m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  3. 5Mornington1200m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD33.7L
  4. 1Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT5-1.8
  5. 7Sale1112m1 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT615.3L
  6. 8Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.6L
  7. 6Moe1614m4 Sept 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · HEAVY106.9L
  8. 3Bairnsdale1600m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.2L

Insights

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 34%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 30% POT in L100 Runners

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Won only other time at Yarra Glen. Not out of this fresh in this company.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Came in 2nd last time at Mornington but back to a shorter trip. Looks hopeful.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Nice run when 2nd last start at Mornington but back to a shorter distance.

9Second GuessJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: J A Heath1355.5kg1 2 8 3 1221: 2-5-3Second Guess win31.00Second Guess place5.50

Career

21: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Hillston

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cootamundra

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1608m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 0-4-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Wangaratta2000m3 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY821.5L
  2. 3Cootamundra1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+1.5L
  3. 8Yea1600m18 Apr 2026 · Special Condition5.7L
  4. 2Hillston1500m11 Apr 2026 · CL1 HCP0.2L
  5. 1Tambo1200m5 Apr 2026 · Special Condition-0.8
  6. 3Carrathool1400m28 Mar 2026 · CL28.5L
  7. 1Ardlethan1200m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+-0.2
  8. 3Berrigan1200m14 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW1.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    John Heath striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Placed at Berrigan first-up last campaign. Has a tricky draw for return. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

First up and placed 3rd first up last preparation at Berrigan. Coming back in distance. Can't have on what it has been showing.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd resuming last preparation at Berrigan. Down in distance.

10Smashing RubyJ: Liana Wood·T: J F Rattle254kg8 10 8 11 245: 3-5-5Smashing Ruby win5.00Smashing Ruby place2.00

Career

45: 3-5-5

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Balnarring

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Towong

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Yea

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    18: 2-4-1

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD42.75L
  2. 11Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.2L
  3. 8Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY910.5L
  4. 10Kilmore1107m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY98.7L
  5. 8Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT65L
  6. 3Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.5L
  7. 10Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT55.7L
  8. 2Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Kilmore first up. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Kept chasing when 2nd last run at Kilmore and drawn nicely. Displays very good finishing speed. Large claim helps. Has some claims.

RSIS

Ran home into 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Kilmore and has a good draw. Always seems to find the line well. Large claim helps. Watch betting.

11BalgowanJ: Sam Kennedy·T: C J Davis1154kg5 3 6 10 341: 3-3-4Balgowan win5.50Balgowan place2.15

Career

41: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Narrandera

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 3-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 3Wodonga1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.56L
  2. 10Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.06L
  3. 6Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.3L
  4. 3Wodonga1100m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.3L
  5. 5Wangaratta1100m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT73.6L
  6. 5Narrandera1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT63.8L
  7. 2Wodonga1100m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY92.25L
  8. 8Echuca1000m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY104.5L

Insights

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Run down in the shadows after a giving a kick from on pace in the 3yo+ (Bm52) at Wodonga. DVery fit, can make her presence felt with even breaks.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was found wanting late when 3rd last start at Wodonga. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Could feature here.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Gave a strong sight when 3rd last time at Wodonga. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Can't leave out of your calculations.

12Snow On HerJ: N.r·T: C J Davis1054kg9 11 3 10 740: 2-1-5Snow On Her win31.00Snow On Her place6.00

Career

40: 2-1-5

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ceduna

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 0-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.1L
  2. 10Albury1175m10 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD410.26L
  3. 3Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.6L
  4. 11Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT712.3L
  5. 9Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · BM506.3L
  6. 6Narrandera1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT63.1L
  7. 12Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY98.7L
  8. 11Wangaratta1300m6 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1034.8L

Insights

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Last win was 28 Jul 2024. Failed to flatter at Kyneton. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $61.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Kyneton. Slim hope.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 60/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Kyneton.

13Think SassyJ: Lauren Burke·T: Melanie Bullard555kg4 9 8 8 96: 0-0-0Think Sassy win31.00Think Sassy place6.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT713.97L
  2. 8Kyneton1454m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.45L
  3. 8Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD37.2L
  4. 9Yarra Valley1514m21 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD415.26L
  5. 4Cranbourne1300m4 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD32.75L
  6. 5Cranbourne1200m20 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD310.25L

Insights

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't come on at Bairnsdale for new trainer. Others with more appeal.

ILB

At $151.00 tailed off to finish 9th last run at Bairnsdale. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Bairnsdale.

Odds correct as at 2:01 am AEDT. Odds can change.