Shortest win price
Pocketfullofcash (3)
1.80
Ballarat hosts a competitive 1100m three-year-old Benchmark 64 handicap on a good4 track under fine skies with a 4:50 pm AEDT jump. Looking at the early win market order, the bold play sees Pocketfullofcash heading discussions, closely followed by Strength Within and Running Rich, with Harry Met Sally holding down the next line of betting in an intriguing early clash.
Digging into the form behind those shorter prices, Pocketfullofcash brings a fascinating profile from Reece Goodwin's stable, having tackled stronger company like a Group 2 at Flemington and a 3yo event at Caulfield where it led before feeling the pressure; it comes back slightly in distance here and maps as a leader, with the hot jockey-trainer combination outperforming expectations significantly. Meanwhile, Harry Met Sally resumes from a 31-week break for M W Walker, having put together consistent minor placings last preparation and drawing barrier six with top-flight rider Blake Shinn taking the mount.
Further down the market, Strength Within represents Tom Dabernig and drops back to 1100m after a dominant front-running maiden win at Horsham by four lengths, jumping from barrier two with Linda Meech engaged. Running Rich is another speed factor from barrier nine for Jarrod Robinson, coming off a hard-fought maiden win at Bendigo over 1000m. With Pocketfullofcash and Running Rich listed in the leader speed group alongside on-pacer Strength Within, the early tempo should be genuine, and the value sits with those who can handle the pressure.
Shortest win price
Pocketfullofcash (3)
1.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Harry Met Sally · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Mountjoy · Negative
Trainer SR
Henry Dwyer striking at just 8%
Pocketfullofcash · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Running Rich · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Career
5: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Blake Shinn 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (31-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep. In the minors at Pakenham first-up last campaign. Unplaced in most recent jump-out. Highly fancied for a winning return.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 31 weeks. Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last start at Sandown and promising career start. Will be trying to topple them late. Knockout chance.
RP
Has taken a step forward the last twice; has winning form at this track; solid effort when beaten just over 2l to finish runner-up at Sandown over 7f (handicap) in April; this just his second run in a handicap; returns from an absence here.
RSIS
Back from a break of 31 weeks. Ran on strongly when 2nd last run at Sandown and promising career start. Has very good finishing pace. Coming back in distance.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Henry Dwyer striking at just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). Placed at Ballarat on debut last campaign. 3rd at most recent Geelong jump-out. Among the dangers fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up after 19 weeks and picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation around here. Has good closing speed. Dropping in grade. Can win.
RP
Beaten a fair way when seventh at Morphettville in June in a Listed race; returns from a layoff; no surprise to see her go well despite defeat last time as she was successful two runs ago and down in class.
RSIS
Resuming and was strong late when 3rd beaten by 1/2L resuming last preparation at this venue. Will be motoring home late. Competing in a less challenging grade. Solid career start. Genuine claims.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Caulfield last start. Can lead or take a sit. Coming back slightly in distance. Can challenge.
ILB
Looked outclassed when 8th last start at Caulfield. Expecting improvement and taking on easier opposition. Should muster plenty of early speed. Expect support.
RP
No impression when eighth of 11 at Caulfield over 6f (Group 3) last month; passed over despite this looking a little easier than last time.
RSIS
Didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Caulfield. Expected to rebound and competing at a lower level of competition. Displays good tactical pace. Very tidy performer.
Career
5: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 1-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Posted a hard fought win at Bendigo off spell. Should be prominent. Warrants attention.
ILB
Gave them all something to chase to win by 3/4L last time at Bendigo and showing consistent performance in races. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; registered first success at the fifth time of asking when landing a maiden over 5f by three-quarters of a length at Bendigo last month; others more likely despite that win at Bendigo.
RSIS
Controlled the pace to win by 3/4L last run at Bendigo and good career start. Brad Rawiller and Jarrod Robinson link well together. Expecting to settle positively.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Timothy Fitzsimmons striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 118%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Just held on after leading at Echuca off long break. Can make his presence felt again.
ILB
Led and controlled the pace to win by a long neck last run at Echuca but competing in a higher grade. Likely to get back in the run. Questions at this level.
RP
Scored narrowly in a maiden dropped back in distance (Echuca) when opening his account at the third time of asking 23 days ago; despite that Echuca success, is passed over.
RSIS
Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by a long neck last time at Echuca but up against a more competitive field. Expected to settle towards the tail.
Career
2: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Tatura
1: 1-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 103%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Corowa. Sharper now, has some claims.
ILB
Placed 2nd last start at Corowa and has drawn to do little work. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Finished a decent runner-up of nine over 5f at Corowa (handicap) nine days ago; this only his second handicap outing.
RSIS
Was competitive when 2nd last time at Corowa and has the ideal stall. In the top three at every start of late. Definitely worth considering.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 36%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Set for second campaign (22-weeks). Pleasing debut effort then confirmed her ability with a win at at Geelong. 2nd & 1st at recent jump-outs. Warrants plenty of attention fresh.
ILB
Back from a break. Reeled them in to win last run at Geelong but challenged by more formidable competitors. Needs a lot of luck.
RP
Landed a narrow success in a maiden at Geelong when opening her account at the second time of asking five months ago; returns from a break here; can be on the premises.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at Geelong but competing in a higher grade.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Lachlan King 53% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 53%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Mid-field and impressed in her first outing running on in good style to score when supported. Can again play a role.
ILB
Ran on strongly to win last time at the track and having second career run. Up against a higher level of opposition. Could not recommend in this.
RP
Successful introduction scoring narrowly over 5f here at 11-4 three weeks ago; strong claims.
RSIS
Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last run here and was on debut last time. Challenged by more formidable competitors.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Linda Meech current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Jumped to the front and simply too good taking out the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Horsham at second appearance. Drawn to get a soft run. Has claims.
ILB
Controlled the pace when winning by 4L last run at Horsham and drawn nicely. Likely to be well placed early. Up against a more competitive field. Others are better.
RP
Had something to spare at the finish when winning three weeks ago at Horsham in a maiden; trainer is ticking along nicely; could go close.
RSIS
Took charge of the race to win by a margin of 4L last start at Horsham and can find a nice position from the draw. Shows good early pace.