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Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovBallarat (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm62) 1600m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Ballarat for the Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm62) over the 1600m on a Good 3 track under fine skies, where the win market sees The Flying Popov heading the early betting ahead of Mister Martini, Aubaine, and Celestial Splendor. It shapes as an intriguing Benchmark 62 contest where the market leaders bring contrasting recent profiles to the table.

The top fancy in the market, The Flying Popov, comes out of a run at Pakenham where the gelding ran on okay without really troubling the winner over 1400m, and the step up in distance here looks suitable as he sits in the off-field speed group. Mister Martini, positioned right behind him in the market order, brings a close second at Ballarat two starts back over 1400m before going home tamely at Morphettville over the mile, though the stable partnership brings strong stable form into the mix. Aubaine draws ideally in barrier 1 with Linda Meech taking the steering duties after narrowly missing a win at Kyneton when fighting hard to the line, suggesting this distance range should suit the early speed influence.

Further down the order, Celestial Splendor represents an interesting angle after putting together the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start to claim an imposing victory from midfield over 1607m at Kilmore. With speed influences like Tempt The Gods and Blindato expected to inject pace from the front, runners getting back or sitting midfield like Celestial Splendor could find the right setup if the leaders overcommit early in the piece.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM62 HCP,3yo+,BM62,Benchmark 62
  • GOOD3
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

The Flying Popov (5)

2.45

Most career wins

Tempt The Gods

3-1-4 from 15 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Which Floor

Offmidfield

  • 5The Flying Popov
  • 8Mister Martini
  • 1Rogan

Midfield

  • 3Our Smokeshow
  • 10Celestial Splendor

Leader

  • 6Blindato
  • 7Aubaine
  • 2Tempt The Gods
  • Rogan · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Clifford I Brown striking at just 5%

  • Tempt The Gods · Negative

    Rider Poor SR

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides

  • Our Smokeshow · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • The Flying Popov · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1RoganJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: C I Brown1062kg9 4 7 6 716: 2-0-1$14.00$3.10

Career

16: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1600m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.71L
  2. 6Mornington1600m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.6L
  3. 7Sandown1200m23 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.4L
  4. 4Bendigo1600m2 May 2026 · BM74 · GOOD31.3L
  5. 9Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76L
  6. 13Bendigo1400m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.4L
  7. 9Sale1212m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
  8. 12Eagle Farm2400m7 June 2025 · 3yo · SOFT56.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Clifford I Brown striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 48% Profit on Turnover

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden back, battled home without threatening at Cranbourne off spell. Will be fitter and more effective second-up. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Struggled when 7th last run at Cranbourne. Giving another chance here. Possesses very good closing speed. The large claim from Chelsea Thompson should help. Great chance.

RP

Not disgraced when seventh (Cranbourne) last month; if replicating best previous efforts ought to be in the mix.

RSIS

Lacked competitiveness when 7th last run at Cranbourne. Happy to overlook that run. Expected to be flashing home. Large claim helps. Great chance.

2Tempt The GodsJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Ms M Cunningham761kg7 8 11 2 315: 3-1-4$9.00$2.40

Career

15: 3-1-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.45L
  2. 2Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.75L
  3. 11Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.69L
  4. 8Morphettville1250m18 July 2026 · 3Y BM66 HCP · SOFT66.3L
  5. 7Hobart1200m24 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT57.3L
  6. 12Warrnambool1400m7 May 2026 · 3Y BM70 · HEAVY1021.9L
  7. 5Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM74 · SOFT54L
  8. 3Hobart1600m28 Dec 2025 · 3yo · GOOD44.8L

Insights

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Kyneton. Leads, handy. Been competitive this level. Not out of this.

ILB

Ran well when 3rd last run at Kyneton. Has early speed and positions nicely. In fine form this preparation. Respect the betting.

RP

Possesses winning form at this track; admirably consistent; split Aubaine and Our Smokeshow when third last month over 7½f (handicap) at Kyneton; strong claims if building on last performance.

RSIS

Nice run when 3rd last run at Kyneton. Has shown early pace in races to date. Exhibiting good form lately. Has some claims.

3Our SmokeshowJ: Toby Atkinson·T: Ms M Cunningham460.5kg3 6 9 8 723: 2-7-2$71.00$6.50

Career

23: 2-7-2

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Trentham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Pukekohe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 0-4-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-2-2

  • Going Good

    12: 1-4-0

Last starts

  1. 7Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.8L
  2. 8Ballarat1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.83L
  3. 9Eagle Farm1400m29 July 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.34L
  4. 6Eagle Farm1600m15 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.1L
  5. 3Eagle Farm1400m1 July 2026 · CL3 · SOFT52.4L
  6. 5Sunshine Coast1200m7 June 2026 · CL3 · SOFT54.1L
  7. 7Trentham1400m3 Jan 2026 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT55.8L
  8. 3Te Rapa1400m20 Dec 2025 · Rating 75 Benchmark* · SOFT62.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Long losing streak. Battled home okay at Kyneton. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

At $41.00 average effort when 7th last time at Kyneton. Hard to entertain.

RP

Quite a while since he tasted success; not disgraced when seventh at Kyneton over 7½f (handicap) last month; this looks a fair heat so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and tailed off when 7th last start at Kyneton.

4AntalianScratched12––––

Career

21: 3-2-4

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-2

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1454m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 1-2-4

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Ballarat1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.02L
  2. 8Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  3. 1Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC-1.5
  4. 1Kilmore1457m31 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT6-0.5
  5. 1Ballarat1500m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.5
  6. 3Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L
  7. 3Kyneton1454m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD30.9L
  8. 2Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Nigel Blackiston striking at just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Showed a fine turn of foot from the back this venue. Again one for multiples.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1L last start at this venue. In strong racing shape since returning from a spell.

RP

Creditable effort to finish third here over 7f (handicap, split Mister Martini and Our Smokeshow) last month; has winning track form.

RSIS

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1L last run around here. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break.

5The Flying PopovJ: Damian Lane·T: C J Waller560kg6 9 6 6 59: 1-1-0$2.45$1.24

Career

9: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1429m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Pakenham1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
  2. 6Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.67L
  3. 6Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
  4. 9Sandown1600m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L
  5. 6Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L
  6. 2Pakenham1400m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
  7. 1Seymour1429m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-2
  8. 6Geelong1225m20 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD38L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Pakenham. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Right in the mix.

ILB

Started $3.10 and improved late to finish 5th last run at Pakenham. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Ran a bit below expectations (sent off 85-40) when fifth over 7f at Pakenham (handicap) last month; a few throw outs since his success in a maiden at Seymour in February; this line-up contains some strong opposition so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Was 11/5 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time at Pakenham. Respect the betting.

6BlindatoJ: Neil Farley·T: Andrew Bobbin659.5kg1 6 2 74: 1-1-0$26.00$3.90

Career

4: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Murray Bridge1800m4 July 2026 · 3Y BM70 HCP · SOFT75.4L
  2. 2Mount Gambier2050m10 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY90.1L
  3. 6Morphettville1550m16 May 2026 · 3Y BM66 HCP · SOFT54.4L
  4. 1Donald1620m2 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD3-3.5

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Neil Farley 31% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Neil Farley winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (18-weeks). One for exotics fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 18 weeks and made no mistakes when winning by 3 1/2L first up last preparation at Donald. Has a nice turn of foot. Definite claims for punters.

RP

Out of the frame when seventh at Murray Bridge Gh over 1m1f (handicap) in July; few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; has had some time off; is not ruled out if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Resuming and was dominant when winning by a margin of 3 1/2L resuming last preparation at Donald. Has a great burst of pace late. Strong claims.

7AubaineJ: Linda Meech·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr159kg2 2 1 6 28: 1-3-0$4.60$1.55

Career

8: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.2L
  2. 6Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.02L
  3. 1Ballarat Synthetic1500m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-3.3
  4. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC0.4L
  5. 2Pakenham Synthetic1400m3 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3L
  6. 4Cranbourne1600m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
  7. 4Sale1427m8 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L
  8. 9Ballarat1200m19 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD418.2L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form hard to knock. Looked likely but had a real fight on his hands and just missed at Kyneton. Good gate speed, soft draw. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Just missed last run at Kyneton and gets the perfect barrier. Should come to hand quickly. Exhibiting good form this campaign. Could feature here.

RP

Missed out by a head over 7½f at Kyneton (handicap) three weeks ago with two of these rivals behind; track has proven suitable before.

RSIS

Close to claiming the win last time at Kyneton and gets the perfect draw. Displays good tactical pace. In good order recently. Could feature here.

8Mister MartiniJ: Luke Currie·T: M, W & J Hawkes359kg5 11 7 2 88: 1-1-1$4.20$1.45

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Morphettville1600m24 Oct 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT54.35L
  2. 2Ballarat1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.02L
  3. 7Bendigo1300m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.35L
  4. 11Randwick2000m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD49.2L
  5. 5Newcastle1500m31 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.2L
  6. 1Newcastle1400m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD4-0.5
  7. 3Canterbury1250m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.4L
  8. 5Rosehill1030m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 90%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 32%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Ballarat 9 Oct. Went home tamely at Morphettville over this trip at $6.50. Big show.

ILB

Odds of $6.50 and ran 8th last run at Morphettville. Should be swooping on the field late. Not without a chance.

RP

Not disgraced when eighth of 12 (Morphettville) two weeks ago; a lot on his plate here and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

At 11/2 finished 8th last time at Morphettville. Possesses very good closing pace. Watch betting.

9Which FloorJ: Jett Stanley·T: A & J Williams959kg12 2 1 3 65: 1-1-1$41.00$4.80

Career

5: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1856m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Werribee2238m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.2L
  2. 3Kilmore2007m31 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT61.2L
  3. 1Terang1856m17 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.3
  4. 2Kilmore1600m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
  5. 12Pakenham1400m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.21L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (28-weeks). Wasn't all that far away in his first prep. Awkwardly drawn for return. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh from a 28 week spell. Started at $12.00 and came in 6th last run at Werribee and back in trip. Might have to make up considerable ground. Overlook from a betting angle.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in sixth) at Werribee in April upped to 1m3f; returns from a break today; others more likely.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 28 weeks. At 11/1 came in 6th last start at Werribee and back to a shorter trip. Likely to get back.

10Celestial SplendorJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams858kg7 7 7 6 18: 2-0-0$9.00$2.45

Career

8: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1607m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-3
  2. 6Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  3. 7Sandown1600m29 July 2026 · 3YF BM70 · HEAVY104.9L
  4. 7Sandown1400m8 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY85.4L
  5. 7Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC4.1L
  6. 5Caulfield Heath1200m18 Feb 2026 · 3YF BM64 · GOOD43.25L
  7. 9Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD45.8L
  8. 1Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.4

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -26%

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Imposing win from midfield in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Kilmore. Can make her presence felt again.

ILB

Won by a big margin of 3L last run at Kilmore but matched against tougher rivals. Getting better in recent performances. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Came out on top by 3l last month (Kilmore) upped to this trip; easy to see her making an impression.

RSIS

Pulled away to win by 3L last run at Kilmore but competing in a higher grade. Getting better in recent performances. Can't leave out of your calculations.

11CushionedScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Tailed off a long last at Bendigo over this trip. Look for a better showing.

ILB

Was $5.00 and folded up in the straight when 12th last start at Bendigo and going up in weight.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and gave away some ground when 12th last start at Bendigo and will have to carry more weight.

12Sensational RulerScratched2––––

Career

13: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD47.62L
  2. 8Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.75L
  3. 1Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1.3
  4. 4Hamilton1600m12 July 2026 · BM56-HWGT · HEAVY104.7L
  5. 7Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97.5L
  6. 3Moe1623m12 May 2026 · BM56 · SOFT75.3L
  7. 1Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.3
  8. 4Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L

Insights

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Wangaratta at longer odds. Prefer away from heavy. Not fancied.

ILB

Ordinary performance when 11th last time at Wangaratta but can find a nice position from the draw. Facing formidable opponents. Dropping weight.

RP

Towards the rear of 14 (Wangaratta) last month.

RSIS

Moderate showing when 11th last time at Wangaratta but can find a nice position from the draw. Racing in stronger company. Carrying less weight this time.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races