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Bunbury (WA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bunbury (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 12 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 12 NovBunbury (WA)Change

Race 2 — Duncan Equine Group Hcp (C3) 1685m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Bunbury for the Duncan Equine Group Hcp (C3) over 1685m on a good4 track with fine weather, where the win market places Pincer Movement at the head of affairs, followed closely by Centre Bond, Vancouver Storm, and Squad Goal. This class three test sets up an intriguing puzzle for punters looking where the value sits, as the market leaders carry varied form lines into a race that promises an honest tempo with runners like Buster Biff and Gilded Reign pushing forward early from their respective barriers while others like Centre Bond settle back in the field.

The bold play points toward Pincer Movement resuming here for trainer Michael Grantham with top-tier rider William Pike in the saddle from barrier seven. Although he returns from a nineteen-week break following a Lark Hill barrier trial and a previous fourth over 2013m at this track on a soft7, his first-up record shows he handles fresh assignments well and the market-outperforming credentials of his jockey suggest a big show is on the cards. Meanwhile, Centre Bond lines up for G C Ballantyne with Holly Watson aboard from barrier three, having put together a string of solid efforts including a close-up appearance at Ascot and a competitive run at Belmont Park over 1400m, marking him as a genuine danger despite a wider win market order position than the favorite.

Deeper into the field, Squad Goal comes off a steely maiden victory over 1600m at Northam for trainer Tiarnna Noske and jockey Jarrad Noske, mapping well from barrier six to potentially play another prominent role if luck goes its way. Vancouver Storm for trainer Ms D Riordan also warrants respect off the back of a near-miss at Northam over the 1600m journey, handled by Natasha Faithfull from barrier two, making this an event where looking past the absolute shortest prices could unearth some genuine overs for bold punters willing to take a stance against the initial market shape.

Race notes

  • 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP,3yo+,CL3,Class 3
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Pincer Movement (4)

2.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Centre Bond

Midfield

  • 7Molly's My Pal

Offpace

  • 4Pincer Movement
  • 5Squad Goal
  • 8Vancouver Storm

Onpace

  • 1Buster Biff

Leader

  • 6Gilded Reign
  • Buster Biff · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides

  • Centre Bond · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Pincer Movement · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.

  • Squad Goal · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Buster BiffJ: Chanel Cooper·T: D R Harrison560kg1 9 8 7 68: 2-1-0$6.00$2.65

Career

8: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Northam

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1677m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Northam1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL5 HCP 60+ · GOOD45.07L
  2. 7Lark Hill1100m5 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.9L
  3. 8Lark Hill950m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.7L
  4. 9Ascot1800m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD47L
  5. 1Belmont2100m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · GOOD40L
  6. 2Bunbury1705m12 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD40.1L
  7. 1Bunbury1677m26 Jan 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD4-1
  8. 10Bunbury1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    David Harrison striking at just 9%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Chanel Cooper 44% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Chanel Cooper in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Metro winning gelding. Sent out $18 when unable to threaten at Northam off long spell. Better conditioned and gets a 1.5kg allowance here. Profiles well.

ILB

Odds of $18.00 and finished 6th last start at Northam. Best to watch and see.

RP

Beaten 5l in sixth over 7f at Northam (handicap) 14 days ago; has winning form at this track; has to be considered based on the pick of his form.

RSIS

At 17/1 finished 6th last time at Northam.

2Centre BondJ: Holly Watson·T: G C Ballantyne359kg7 6 12 6 520: 2-4-3$6.00$2.65

Career

20: 2-4-3

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Belmont

    10: 1-2-2

  • Track Pinjarra

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Ascot

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    9: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 5Belmont1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 HCP · GOOD42.83L
  2. 6Ascot1200m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.51L
  3. 12Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD44.57L
  4. 6Belmont1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT53.04L
  5. 7Belmont1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD45.8L
  6. 6Pinjarra1200m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT53.1L
  7. 4Ascot1400m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD42.2L
  8. 2Belmont1400m20 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 69%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 70% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Close-up at Ascot 14 Oct. There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Belmont Park. Placed only other time here. A few runs under his belt this campaign, among the dangers.

ILB

Tired late when 5th last time at Belmont. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Will go close.

RP

Finished fifth beaten just under 3l at Belmont Park over 7f (handicap) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Didn't finish off when 5th last run at Belmont. Displays good tactical pace. Can lift.

3Point RocksScratched4––––

Career

16: 3-1-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    7: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 3-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bunbury1675m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD42.07L
  2. 8Bunbury1685m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · GOOD46.14L
  3. 6Northam1600m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT54.5L
  4. 4Bunbury1400m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 58+ HCP · SOFT52.7L
  5. 5Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD42.8L
  6. 14Pinjarra1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY812.1L
  7. 2Lark Hill930m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.3L
  8. 5Bunbury1675m18 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L

Insights

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Off pace, home okay into the placings this course 3 Nov. Deep into his campaign, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Did well to finish 2nd last time at this venue. Sharni Webster provides some weight relief.

RP

Good effort when 2l runner-up last week; track has proven suitable before; one to take seriously as latest run was an encouraging one.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 2nd last time at the track. Sharni Webster takes a large claim.

4Pincer MovementJ: William Pike·T: Michael Grantham756kg7 1 4 4 93: 1-0-0$2.70$1.50

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.2L
  2. 4Bunbury2013m28 June 2026 · 3UP 54+ HCP · SOFT75.7L
  3. 4Belmont1700m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD42.6L
  4. 1Albany1500m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY10-1.2
  5. 7Lark Hill950m3 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial5.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    William Pike 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (19-weeks). Wasn't all that far away in his first prep. Since trialled at Lark Hill. Big show fresh in this affair with even breaks.

ILB

First up after 19 weeks and ran home strongly to win first up last preparation at Albany on a heavy rated track. Jockey William Pike is an asset. Highly respected.

RP

Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; first-time blinkers had no impact when a disappointing fourth upped to 1m2f in June; back from an absence here; William Pike a good booking; can be in the thick of things as a number of his rivals have questions to answer and has proved he knows how to win.

RSIS

Resuming and bold effort when winning resuming last preparation at Albany. Added confidence jockey with William Pike doing the steering. Strong winning chance.

5Squad GoalJ: Jarrad Noske·T: Tiarnna Noske656kg3 9 8 2 14: 1-1-0$4.20$2.05

Career

4: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Northam

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Northam1600m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1.68
  2. 2Northam1600m15 Oct 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD40.33L
  3. 8Northam1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.03L
  4. 9Northam1300m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD44.14L
  5. 3Lark Hill950m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  6. 6Lark Hill930m18 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.9L
  7. 4Lark Hill950m29 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.3L
  8. 6Lark Hill950m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial4L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Delivered a steely performance to score 3yo+ Mdn at Northam. Can again play a role with even luck.

ILB

Picked up late to win last time at Northam but taking on stronger rivals. Showing improvement in recent outings. Respect the betting.

RP

Successful by 1½l when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking at Northam last month in a maiden; should prove competitive given there is limited recent form on offer in this race.

RSIS

Reeled them in when winning last time at Northam but challenged by a tougher grade. Form has been improving over recent runs.

6Gilded ReignJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: D T Mcauliffe455kg4 7 1 11 513: 1-0-1$8.50$3.50

Career

13: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Northam

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track York

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1675m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Bunbury1675m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD44.45L
  2. 11Belmont2100m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD38.01L
  3. 1York1920m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN 46+ HCP · GOOD4-0.23
  4. 7Bunbury1400m28 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD43.68L
  5. 4Bunbury1400m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD42L
  6. 6Belmont1300m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · SOFT58.1L
  7. 3Lark Hill950m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  8. 7Ascot1600m6 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD428.3L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Started $26 when safely held in Class 3 company this track. Looks up against it.

ILB

At $26.00 didn't find the line when 5th last start at this venue. Slim chance.

RP

Not far behind Point Rocks when fifth last week; passed over.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and gave away some ground when 5th last run at this venue.

7Molly's My PalJ: Jessica Valas·T: B P Graham154kg8 10 3 13 436: 2-1-5$91.00$17.00

Career

36: 2-1-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Narrogin

    5: 1-0-3

  • Track Moora

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1675m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    23: 0-1-5

Last starts

  1. 4Collie1990m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ · GOOD6.67L
  2. 13Ascot1600m14 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD47.98L
  3. 3Moora1500m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · GOOD2.91L
  4. 10Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD46.27L
  5. 8Belmont1650m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT69.3L
  6. 11Pinjarra1600m12 Aug 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT58.2L
  7. 10Belmont1700m8 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT58.2L
  8. 7Northam1600m18 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD42.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Jessica Valas current POT is 38% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 72% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Raced midfield, couldn't match it but not disgraced at Collie over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

At $12.00 was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Collie and drawn beautifully. Likely to get back in the run. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Others are more appealing.

RP

Not a frequent winner; not disgraced when fourth of eight at Collie over 1m2f (handicap) 19 days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Was 11/1 and chased well when 4th last start at Collie and has the ideal stall. Might be ridden for luck. Up against a higher level of opposition.

8Vancouver StormJ: Natasha Faithfull·T: Ms D Riordan254kg6 7 2 2 735: 2-5-2$6.00$2.65

Career

35: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track York

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geraldton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    20: 2-5-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 7Northam1600m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD44.54L
  2. 2Northam1600m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD40.56L
  3. 2Belmont1650m16 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD40.69L
  4. 7Northam1600m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT54.9L
  5. 6Pinjarra1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT53.3L
  6. 9Belmont1700m8 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT58L
  7. 8Bunbury2013m28 June 2026 · 3UP 54+ HCP · SOFT710.8L
  8. 9Belmont2100m17 June 2026 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · SOFT610.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Natasha Faithfull 26% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Northam 4 Oct. Finished well held at Northam. Well into preparation now, can play a role.

ILB

Started $7.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Northam but has a positive barrier. Always seems to find the line well. Keep safe.

RP

Has not been firing consistently and doesn't win often; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of nine at Northam over 1m (handicap) last month; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Northam but gets a favourable stall. Will be motoring home late.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races