Shortest win price
Uxorious (2)
2.60
Bunbury plays host to a competitive 1200m Class 1 handicap under fine skies on a good four surface. The win market lines up with Uxorious heading the early betting order closely followed by Free To Fly, Universal Hotness, and Quickonmyfeet rounding out the leading quartet in the call. It is a tricky assignment with plenty of depth, and the bold play might just be looking past the very top of the market for runners better suited to the setup.
Uxorious opens as the elect for J F Miller, returning second-up after a six-start career that features a sharp maiden win at Pinjarra. The preparation started with a moderate effort over 1400m on a soft track at this venue, but the previous victory suggests capability if things fall right. Free To Fly sits next in the betting for T M Wolfe, coming off a valiant runner-up finish over this exact track and distance when engaging the pace. That effort for a new stable points to improved fitness and suggests a bold showing is well within range.
Digging deeper into the race reveals other interesting angles, including Universal Hotness drawn ideally in barrier one for T W Crosby, coming off a solid minor placing over this course and distance when boxing on behind the winner. Frosty Spirits represents the speed from barrier four as the lone leader on paper, which could prove troublesome if allowed a soft time out in front. For punters hunting value away from the shortest runners, assessing how the onpace group interacts with the offpace runners like Quickonmyfeet will dictate the race shape.
Shortest win price
Uxorious (2)
2.60
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Quickonmyfeet · Negative
Trainer SR
Paul Roberts striking at just 6%
Uxorious · Negative
Jockey Booking
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 54% below Career Avg.
Kat Five · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Free To Fly · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Paul Roberts striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Natasha Faithfull 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Showed good resolve to salute on debut this course in a competitive finish. Had two subsequent trials, latest at Lark Hill 19 Oct. Can make his presence felt fresh in this affair.
ILB
Back from a spell. Finished hard to win last time around here and having second career run. Fitter for a barrier trial at Lark Hill on Oct 5th. Good potential.
RP
Successful introduction scoring narrowly in June over C&D; back from an absence here; can be in the thick of things.
RSIS
Back from a break. Ran on hard when winning last time at the track and having second career run. Fitter for a trial at Lark Hill on Oct 5th. Good prospects.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 54% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 73% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (22-weeks). In the minors on debut last campaign while showing enough in recent trials. Can challenge fresh in this company.
ILB
First up after 22 weeks and ran on strongly when 3rd first up last preparation at Northam. Ran 2nd in a barrier trial at Lark Hill on Nov 2nd. Strong competitor.
RP
Lightly raced (running for just the fourth time); a disappointing sixth when favourite over 7f here (handicap) in June; returns from a layoff here; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; no surprise to see him go well if excused most recent run as achieved maiden success two runs back.
RSIS
Resuming and ran on strongly when 3rd resuming last preparation at Northam. Placed 2nd in a trial at Lark Hill on Nov 2nd and good career start. Expect support.
Career
5: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-2-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (15-weeks). In the minors at Bunbury on debut last campaign. Awkwardly drawn for return. Not out of this fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation here. Gains the services of jockey William Pike and showing consistent performance in races.
RP
Left backers at 6-4 frustrated when fifth in July (Belmont Park) upped to 1m½f; William Pike booking heightens interest; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming and good performance to run into 2nd resuming last preparation here. William Pike is a smart booking and promising career start. Likely to get back. Down in trip.
Career
9: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
7: 1-0-1
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (28-weeks). Form sound last time, highlighted by a Pinjarra Scarpside win. Brought on with two trial hitouts. Not out of this fresh in this company.
ILB
First run back from a 28 week break. Odds of $7.50 and finished 4th last time at Pinjarra and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Respectable effort (beaten 2½l) over 7½f at Pinjarra (handicap) in April; has been fairly consistent lately; returning from a layoff here; a few rivals look in good form so is passed over.
RSIS
Resuming after a 28 week break. Started 13/2 and finished 4th last start at Pinjarra and coming back in trip.
Career
9: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
4: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
3: 1-0-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
6: 0-2-3
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Engaged pace when a valiant but vanquished second in the 3yo+ Hcp (C1) this track for new stable. Better conditioned. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Tidy effort when 2nd last run around here. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat last Tuesday, when second (dropped to this trip) on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last run at this venue. Has some claims.
Career
8: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Broke maiden at York 8 Oct. Taken back from the alley, closed the race off powerfully at Northam. Worth a look.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at Northam. Place best.
RP
Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; solid effort when 16-1 runner-up over 5½f at Northam (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Northam.
Career
23: 1-3-7
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Ascot
4: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
13: 1-3-5
Track CurrentTrack
13: 1-3-5
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
12: 1-3-3
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
19: 1-3-7
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 47%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Lobbed handy, boxed on behind runaway winner in the 3yo+ Hcp (C1) this track off long break. Strips fitter. Can again fill the minors here.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last time here and has drawn the rails. Will be positive in the run early. Strong claims in this.
RP
Has won previously at this course; finished just behind Free To Fly when third nine days ago; makes limited appeal as hits the crossbar all too often.
RSIS
Came in 3rd last start at the track and drawn beautifully. Shows good early pace. Can win this.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1474%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Chanel Cooper in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showcased her talent with an impressive debut win this course. Chanel Cooper on again and takes a 1.5kg claim here. Up in grade but stays under notice.
ILB
Controlled the pace to win by a margin of 1 1/2L last start here and was on debut last time. Expecting to settle positively. Up in class. Modest contender.
RP
Sprang 18-1 surprise on her debut over 5½f here; difficult to oppose.
RSIS
Gave them all something to chase to win by a margin of 1 1/2L last start here and was on debut last time. Has plenty of early pace.
Career
15: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-0-1
Track Belmont
4: 0-1-1
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Zephen Johnston-Porter 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Sound performance in small field at Belmont Park over this trip. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last start at Belmont and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. This field likely to be too good.
RP
Ran well enough to finish runner-up at 20-1 at Belmont Park two weeks ago; has won at this course.
RSIS
Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Belmont and showing improvement in recent outings.
Career
15: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-2
Track Narrogin
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 123%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 23%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (27-weeks). Fair recent tune-up at the trials. Tough ask fresh off the long lay-off.
ILB
Fresh after a break of 27 weeks. Started at $16.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last start at Northam. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.
RP
Subpar record of 1-15 and form has been a bit mixed lately; finished eighth, beaten a fair way at Northam over 6½f (handicap) in May; returns from a layoff here; this looks a decent race so makes little appeal.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break of 27 weeks. Started at 15/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Northam.