Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

Thursday 29 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 29 October 2026

Race 2 — Tweedriverjockeyclub.com.au Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps 2:10 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
HEAVY8
Overcast
5 runners

Shortest win price

Worthy Stunnah (3)

1.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

1Jieba
2Reel Patience

Backmarker

4Anderlyn

Midfield

8Worththeadmission

Leader

3Worthy Stunnah

Jieba · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 28% POT in their L100 Races
Reel Patience · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 26% lower than Career Avg.
Worthy Stunnah · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Anderlyn · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1JiebaJ: Noriyuki Masuda·T: D Chujo459kg37.002.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)4.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 51%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 38% POT in L100 Runners
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). Out of an unraced half-sister to the stakes winner English Channel. Ran on well enough to place in Ballina trial. Noriyuki Masuda on from trials. Watch betting.

ILB

First race appearance 4yo by Street Boss for trainer Daiki Chujo. Finished 3rd in a trial at Ballina on Oct 4th. Watch for a sign in the market.

Sire can inject some quality; having first race; can have a big say as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Daiki Chujo trained 4yo by Street Boss having first race start. Fitter for a trial at Ballina on Oct 4th.

2Reel PatienceJ: Brandon Lerena·T: Ruby Chatterton259kg5 811.003.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

8Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)6.1L
5Beaudesert1200m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 26% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam has produced winners Shopping Esprit and Shopping Wise. Two low-key trials in readiness for debut. Betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

Career debut 6yo by Highland Reel for trainer Ruby Chatterton and will try to take advantage of the draw. Yet to place in all trials. Keep your eye on the market.

Already gelded; this son of Highland Reel makes debut under rules; ought to be on the premises.

RSIS

Ruby Chatterton 6yo by Highland Reel having first race appearance and drawn nicely. Has not placed in multiple trials.

3Worthy StunnahJ: N.r·T: Michael Morrison359kg4 1 3 2 34: 0-1-11.901.22

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Ipswich1350m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.47L
2Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.06L
3Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
1Ipswich800m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.6
4Sunshine Coast1200m10 May 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT54.6L
7Gold Coast1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YC&G MDN-SW · SOFT56.7L
1Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5
1Ipswich800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Early form encouraging. No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Ipswich second-up after a betting drift. Sharper now, looks a serious player.

ILB

Did well to run 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last time at Ipswich. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Should be going forward early. Has a very strong case to be winning.

Without a win in four attempts although has finished second; turned in a solid effort in defeat three weeks ago, when third (Ipswich).

RSIS

Did well to run 3rd last start at Ipswich. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Has early pace and positions nicely. Looks set to run a big race.

4AnderlynJ: Luke Rolls·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee557kg8 5 43: 0-0-05.502.30

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Grafton1400m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY87.84L
5Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT65.69L
8Grafton1100m19 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD36.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced in choppy conditions at Grafton. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

At $15.00 closed off nicely when 4th last start at Grafton. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Nice chance at a very tempting price.

Beaten 8l into fourth two weeks ago at Grafton upped to this trip; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and chased well when 4th last time at Grafton on a heavy surface. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Definite claims.

5BacettiScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Competitive in metro company two back 16 Sep. Only picked off late after showing pace at Doomben. Drawn to effect. Shapes as a major player.

ILB

Started $6.00 and weakened to finish 4th last start at Doomben but has a good draw.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and lost ground in the run home when 4th last start at Doomben but can find a nice position from the draw.

6Divine CodeScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-0-0). $21k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Trial results underwhelming at this stage. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo by Encryption having first start for Chris Munce & Corey Munce. Follow the money.

RSIS

Encryption 3yo trained by Chris Munce & Corey Munce having first race appearance.

7Notes Of AutumnScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

Comments

AAP

Last start this trip ran on okay without troubling in soft going at Gatton. Key player if things pan out.

ILB

Started at $4.80 and pushed past some when 5th last start at Gatton. Does take a while to get into stride.

RSIS

At 4/1 outpaced some runners late when 5th last run at Gatton. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

8WorththeadmissionJ: Courtney Bellamy·T: Chris & Corey Munce155kg4 8 2 53: 0-0-03.201.45

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Gold Coast1000m3 Oct 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD35.49L
2Doomben1000m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.3L
8Sunshine Coast1300m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L
4Toowoomba1200m27 Mar 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD43L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unable to threaten in the small field at Gold Coast. Strips in better shape. Big show.

ILB

At $17.00 outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Gold Coast and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Going over more ground. Solid chance.

This now her fourth attempt to get off the mark; finished fifth, beaten 5½l, when dropped back to 5f at Gold Coast four weeks ago in a handicap; she can be taken on.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and crept into 5th last run at Gold Coast and drawn well. Going up in trip. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

Odds correct as at 2:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.