Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

Thursday 29 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 29 October 2026

Race 6 — X-Mas Cup Lismore Fri 18Th Dec Country Boosted (Bm58) 1000m · jumps 4:40 pm AEDT

Race notes

Benchmark 58,CTRY BM58,CTRY BM58 HCP
HEAVY8
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Hot Wings (2)

3.40

Most career wins

Hot Wings

3-3-1 from 12 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Virginia Breezes

Offpace

2Hot Wings
7Icewater
10Barron

Onpace

4Land Speed
5Brief Authority
3Drahomira
8Rainbow Lass

Leader

6Copenhagen Cat
1Amaya's Secret

Amaya's Secret · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Hot Wings · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Drahomira · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Land Speed · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Amaya's SecretJ: N.r·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee762kg2 2 3 4 212: 2-5-14.601.80

Career

12: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 0-1-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
9: 2-4-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Grafton1000m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · HEAVY80.36L
4Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.57L
3Grafton940m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
2Ballina1000m23 Mar 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY101.1L
2Grafton1015m5 Mar 2026 · CL2 HCP · GOOD40.6L
2Grafton1040m3 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.8L
7Ipswich800m3 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD43.6L
3Ballina1005m14 Nov 2025 · CTRY CL2 · HEAVY82.2L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 9kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Genuine campaigner. Found enough to place in small field at Grafton second-up. Down in class. Key player.

ILB

Just short of the win last start at Grafton and dropping in grade. Expecting to settle positively. Going up in weight. Will be there at the business end.

Has been fairly consistent lately; went down by a neck at Grafton 16 days ago; recent display was promising so cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Right up there last time at Grafton and back in an easier grade. Should come to hand quickly. Rising in weight. Solid chance.

2Hot WingsJ: William Galloway·T: M J Dunn162kg1 2 8 11 912: 3-3-13.401.45

Career

12: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Murwillumbah
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

9Doomben1350m26 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.8L
11Rosehill1200m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP HIGHWAY CL3 HCP · SOFT54.8L
8Doomben1110m11 July 2026 · 3UP CL3-SW · GOOD47.6L
2Gold Coast1000m27 June 2026 · CL4 · SOFT50.7L
1Doomben1000m18 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)-0.1
2Doomben1000m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.5L
6Doomben1350m14 Jan 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43L
1Murwillumbah1200m29 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.6

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (64-days). Not disgraced at Doomben over longer assignment at $19. At optimum level and rates highly fresh.

ILB

First up after 9 weeks and made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 3/4L first up last preparation at Gold Coast. The large claim from William Galloway should help. Major player who should go very close.

Resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a fourth career win); not beaten that far at Doomben over 6½f (handicap) in August; could be interesting.

RSIS

Resuming and did well to place 2nd beaten by 3/4L resuming last preparation at Gold Coast. The large claim from William Galloway helps and stepping down to a lower level. Suited against these.

3DrahomiraJ: Ben Looker·T: Daniel Bowen658kg4 5 1 53: 1-0-07.502.45

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1320m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Grafton1181m29 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.7L
1Lismore1320m10 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT5-2.3
5Ballina1000m16 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD33.6L
4Ballina1000m9 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (61-days). Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Grafton. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Worth a look fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up today. Was $6.00 and making up some late ground when 5th last start at Grafton. Not dismissing.

Finished fifth in August albeit only beaten just under 2l over 6f (handicap) at Grafton; this just her fourth race; likely to be involved if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Odds of 5/1 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Grafton.

4Land SpeedJ: Zac Wadick·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee558kg1 5 8 6 28: 1-1-014.003.50

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Lismore1120m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT70.84L
6Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT62.89L
8Grafton1000m7 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD46.5L
5Ballina1000m11 Aug 2026 · CL2 BM62 · HEAVY105.6L
1Murwillumbah1010m8 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY10-2.4
4Hawkesbury1100m17 June 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT59.5L
5Warwick Farm815m26 May 2025 · Barrier Trial4.9L
7Warwick Farm783m13 May 2025 · Barrier Trial4.7L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker in choppy conditions to just go under at Lismore. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Placed 2nd last run at Lismore but will have to carry more weight. Should come to hand quickly. Can't recommend.

Has been fairly consistent lately; went close at 13-1 at Lismore over 5½f (handicap) 11 days ago.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Lismore but has more weight to carry. Has plenty of early pace.

5Brief AuthorityJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn1057kg3 2 4 2 12: 1-0-04.001.60

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.63
2Grafton940m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.9L
4Grafton1000m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD34.4L
2Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
3Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Gave solid kick from handy position to triumph at Grafton at his second race start. A Mallyon on again. Warrants attention.

ILB

Reeled them in to win last time at Grafton. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Modest contender.

Off the mark at the second time of asking in a maiden when getting the job done by half a length at Grafton last month; difficult to oppose.

RSIS

Ran on hard when winning last start at Grafton. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.

6Copenhagen CatJ: Siabh Rigley·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee256kg3 5 2 2 716: 1-3-26.502.30

Career

16: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
5: 0-2-0
Distance 800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-3-1
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT64.79L
2Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.2L
2Casino1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.8L
5Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.8L
3Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)0.5L
4Murwillumbah1010m8 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)0.6L
1Lismore1110m10 Nov 2025 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-1.2
3Lismore1210m19 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Great run at Grafton 7 Sep. Went home tamely in soft going at Grafton at $2.90. Can show more here.

ILB

Was $2.90 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Grafton. Should improve and can find a nice position from the draw. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Not disgraced in seventh over 6f at Grafton (handicap) four weeks ago; this is competitive and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Started 15/8 and was well beaten when 7th last run at Grafton. Expecting improvement here and has a positive draw. Should race on the pace. Rates as one of the key chances.

7IcewaterJ: Wayne Wheatley·T: Daniel Bowen456kg3 5 5 4 519: 2-0-213.003.40

Career

19: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD31.64L
4Lismore1310m25 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.74L
5Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT54.2L
5Grafton1410m29 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.1L
3Murwillumbah1100m21 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT51L
6Gold Coast1400m11 July 2026 · CL2 · GOOD413.3L
6Casino1300m25 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT77.6L
4Ballina1250m21 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY105L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. Seems to prefer it dry. Coming back in distance. One for exotics.

ILB

At $13.00 closed off nicely when 5th last time at Ballina but back to a shorter trip. Likely to get back in the run. Can show up in this at odds.

Finished fifth three weeks ago albeit only beaten 1½l at Ballina upped to 1m; been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last time at Ballina but down in distance. Gets back and needs luck.

8Rainbow LassJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby855kg8 2 6 11 522: 2-4-114.003.60

Career

22: 2-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
10: 0-2-0
Track Lismore
4: 0-0-1
Track Casino
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1006m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT61.71L
11Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT59.7L
6Grafton1410m29 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.5L
2Casino1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42L
8Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.1L
2Casino1010m25 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.2L
6Lismore1526m19 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD45.1L
8Grafton1420m30 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD34.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Violet Soulsby current POT is 24% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -56%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Long time since last saluted. Not disgraced on a soft deck at Grafton. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Was $26.00 and struggled with the pace when 5th last run at Grafton. This one has a big task.

Beaten just under 2l last month when sent off 25-1 over 6f at Grafton (handicap) with two of these rivals behind; suited by this C&D; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and faded to finish 5th last run at Grafton.

9Virginia BreezesJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: L J Clapham955kg6 1 7 10 1013: 1-2-126.004.60

Career

13: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 1-1-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1

Last starts

10Casino1900m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.3L
10Grafton1630m24 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD38.7L
7Grafton1420m5 July 2026 · 3yo · SOFT55.4L
1Ballina1590m21 June 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY10-1.5
6Grafton1635m6 June 2026 · MDN HCP · SOFT64.3L
3Coffs Harbour1405m8 May 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY102.7L
5Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD32.6L
6Grafton1005m7 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.1L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot Trainer
Positive
Leo Clapham in good form, out performing market 54%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Went home tamely this venue over longer test at $15. Home track advantage but awkwardly drawn for return. Others rate stronger.

ILB

First up after 11 weeks and amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L first up last preparation at Ballina. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Will find this tough.

Finished tenth, beaten 5½l, in August upped to 1m1½f; passed over as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

Resuming and good run when finishing 2nd resuming last preparation at Ballina. Likely to get back. Down in trip. Gets some weight relief.

10BarronJ: Courtney Bellamy·T: Ms S Pepper355kg5 8 10 10 951: 1-7-1271.008.50

Career

51: 1-7-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
16: 0-3-4
Track Murwillumbah
9: 0-4-2
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1320m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 0-2-5
Going Heavy
12: 1-4-1
Going Soft
18: 0-1-5

Last starts

9Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT710.86L
10Lismore1210m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT510L
10Murwillumbah1100m21 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT56.2L
8Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.4L
5Ballina1000m21 June 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY109.3L
6Murwillumbah1010m8 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY102.3L
9Coffs Harbour1005m8 May 2026 · CTRY CL3 · HEAVY107.8L
3Ballina1015m14 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.7L

Insights

Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Last win was 18 Aug 2025. Failed to threaten in rain affected going at Lismore over longer assignment at huge odds. Coming back in distance. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

Started $101.00 and gave away some ground when 9th last run at Lismore and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Hard to see it being good enough.

Has won previously at this course; ninth of ten beaten 11l over 6½f at Lismore (handicap) 11 days ago; record demonstrates how he often finds at least one too good so looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Lismore and will be dropping in distance.

Odds correct as at 2:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.