Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

Thursday 29 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 29 October 2026

Race 3 — Murwillumbah Racing Big Dance Day Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps 2:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
HEAVY8
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Private Max (2)

2.45

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

7Dancing By

Offpace

9Violaceous

Onpace

5Naystar
4Raising Suspicion
2Private Max

Firststart

1Limbazi
8Divine Code

Backmarker

6Belle Reine

Leader

3Tramca

Limbazi · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Private Max · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Tramca · Positive
Well Placed
Drops back to a suitable class
Raising Suspicion · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1LimbaziJ: Ben Looker·T: Ethan Ensby458kg3 4 3 15.501.85

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Grafton940m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-0.8
3Grafton946m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.5L
4Sunshine Coast Poly Track1000m24 June 2025 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3.5L
3Sunshine Coast850m27 May 2025 · Barrier Trial6L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:1-0-2). $50k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. It's all systems go now for this racemare after latest trial win on a hvy8 at Grafton. Nice gate. Watch betting.

ILB

Hanseatic 4yo trained by Ethan Ensby having first race start. Success in a trial at Grafton on Oct 13th. Watch early betting.

Related to Namabaale, winning form over 6½f-1m1½f; running in first race; warrants plenty of respect with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

First race appearance 4yo by Hanseatic for Ethan Ensby. Won a trial at Grafton on Oct 13th.

2Private MaxJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn358kg3 7 6 5 23: 0-1-12.451.24

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Lismore1220m18 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT71.07L
5Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.7L
6Beaudesert900m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
7Ipswich1100m21 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY95.9L
3Sunshine Coast1000m25 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · HEAVY80.8L
4Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
4Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shown promise in limited runs. Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors in choppy conditions Country Boosted Mdn at Lismore first up. Strips in better shape. Key player.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Lismore and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Expect a bold effort.

Beaten into second when 7-5 (Lismore) 11 days ago.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 2nd last start at Lismore and showing consistent performance in races. Winning chance.

3TramcaJ: Benjamin Osmond·T: Chris & Corey Munce257.5kg6 10 5 2 64: 0-1-06.001.95

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Gold Coast1000m3 Oct 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD31.67L
2Sunshine Coast1000m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT73L
5Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L
10Doomben1110m6 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD317.2L
6Sunshine Coast1000m22 Nov 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.7L
3Doomben850m6 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.7L

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not far off them in the small field at Gold Coast. Stripping fitter, makes a strong case in this field.

ILB

Odds of $5.00 and weakened to finish 6th last run at Gold Coast. Expecting improvement here and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Displays good tactical speed. Must respect.

Solid effort in defeat to finish third after going off 16-1 in a maiden at Eagle Farm yesterday; also engaged in race 1 at Gatton; held an entry at Eagle Farm Wednesday.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Gold Coast. Happy to overlook that run and will try to take advantage of the stall. Good chance of taking this out.

4Raising SuspicionJ: Jasper Franklin·T: Peter Robl157kg5 4 4 6 84: 0-0-13.701.40

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Gold Coast Poly1150m7 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC8.24L
6Beaudesert1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.5L
4Beaudesert900m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L
4Ipswich1350m9 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
5Ipswich1200m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT71.7L
3Gold Coast1000m10 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.01L
4Beaudesert900m19 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Gold Coast Poly off extended spell. Will be fitter second-up. Better suited back on turf. Can play a more positive role here.

ILB

At $5.50 finished 8th last start at Gold Coast Poly. Expecting improvement and drawn well. Has claims.

Four-race maiden but has managed to finish third; held in eighth in a maiden at Gold Coast three weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and finished 8th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Looking past the last run and drawn beautifully. Definitely worth considering.

5NaystarJ: Jett Newman·T: M J Dunn756.5kg5 2 6 5 62: 0-0-014.003.30

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD34.43L
5Grafton940m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
6Grafton1000m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD36L
2Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
5Gold Coast1000m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.6L
2Lismore1010m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial11.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jett Newman in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 33%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $21 when unable to threaten at Ballina at his second race start. Building experience. Can improve.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Ballina. Making up the numbers.

Not beaten too far when sixth of nine over 5f at Ballina (handicap) 25 days ago; others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 20/1 and weakened to finish 6th last start at Ballina.

6Belle ReineJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby856kg8 4 5 92: 0-0-051.006.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Lismore1220m18 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT77.71L
5Grafton1006m29 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.02L
4Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
8Grafton940m19 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.8L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide draw) in rain affected going at Lismore at second outing. at longer odds. Keener on others.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Lismore. Likely to settle back in the field. Others preferred.

Finished last of nine 11 days ago (Lismore, behind Private Max) upped to this trip; running in a handicap for just the second time; cannot be ignored.

RSIS

At 25/1 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Lismore. Might be ridden for luck.

7Dancing ByJ: N.r·T: Adam Campton956kg9 5 42: 0-0-015.003.40

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.8L
5Gold Coast1400m13 June 2026 · 2Y MDN · HEAVY85.19L
9Doomben1110m3 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD411.4L

Insights

Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 29%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (19-weeks). Trial was pleasing. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Odds of $21.00 and came in 5th last start at Gold Coast. Finished 4th in a barrier trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast on Oct 6th. Difficult to warm to at present.

No impression when fifth of ten over 7f at Gold Coast (handicap) in June; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 20/1 and ran 5th last run at Gold Coast. Ran 4th in a trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast on Oct 6th.

8Divine CodeJ: Courtney Bellamy·T: Chris & Corey Munce656kg4 5 4 6 519.003.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

5Doomben1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.6L
6Doomben840m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
4Doomben1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.2L
5Doomben840m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
4Doomben840m12 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.6L

Insights

Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-0-0). $21k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Pedestrian efforts in trials to date. Market may offer more insight.

ILB

Chris Munce & Corey Munce 3yo by Encryption having first race appearance. Unplaced in multiple barrier trials. Keep your eye on the market.

RSIS

3yo by Encryption having initial appearance for trainer Chris Munce & Corey Munce. Finished 4th in a trial at Doomben on Jan 12th.

9ViolaceousJ: Brandon Lerena·T: Ruby Chatterton556kg8 8 4 6 39: 0-0-115.003.40

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.6L
6Sunshine Coast1800m19 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD410.4L
4Gold Coast1700m10 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.1L
8Doomben1630m1 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT54.1L
8Doomben1200m18 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.7L
11Sunshine Coast1200m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
5Sunshine Coast1000m16 Jan 2026 · MDN · SOFT510.8L
4Kilcoy800m2 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). Modest performer. Close in Maiden company at Kilcoy first-up last campaign. Place appeal fresh in this company.

ILB

First run back from a break of 27 weeks. Started $8.00 and was well beaten when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast and down in distance. Place best.

Held when sixth of seven over 1m1f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) in April; yet to open her account after nine starts; returns from a layoff; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Back after break of 27 weeks. Started 7/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast and back in trip.

10WorththeadmissionScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent back to last and safely held in the small field at Gold Coast. Better for the outing. Back to a country maiden but must improve.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and made up ground when 5th last time at Gold Coast.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Gold Coast.

Odds correct as at 2:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.