Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

Thursday 29 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thursday 29 October 2026

Race 5 — Murwillumbah Racing Melb Cup Day (Bm66) 1200m · jumps 4:05 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
HEAVY8
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Discreet Point (3)

1.75

Most career wins

Lady Alabama

4-4-1 from 24 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Vendemmia

Offmidfield

8Whiskey Miss
5Master Artist

Offpace

3Discreet Point
4Lady Alabama

Onpace

7Trinity State

Leader

2The Torque Xpress
9Nomomeikushi

The Torque Xpress · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Discreet Point · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Lady Alabama · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Master Artist · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1TophetScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Unable to threaten at Ipswich off long spell. Fitter second-up. Breaks from a low barrier and big weights don't seem to worry him. Chance this level.

ILB

Odds of $7.00 and folded up in the straight when 9th last time at Ipswich and carrying more weight than last time.

RSIS

Started at 6/1 and faded away to finish 9th last run at Ipswich and up in weight.

2The Torque XpressJ: Jett Newman·T: M J Dunn460kg8 9 1 11 312: 3-1-26.501.85

Career

12: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1115m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · BM74 · GOOD30.98L
11Gold Coast1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD34.08L
1Ipswich1350m27 Aug 2026 · C · SOFT5-1
9Ipswich1350m7 Aug 2026 · 3&4Y BM68 · GOOD45.27L
8Doomben1200m18 July 2026 · 3YC&G HCP · SOFT54L
9Grafton1115m5 July 2026 · CL3 HCP · SOFT51.9L
4Doomben1000m18 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)3.3L
6Doomben1000m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Jett Newman winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Pressed on early and stuck on well when supported at Ballina. Pace influence. Untested in wet. One for multiples.

ILB

Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 3rd last run at Ballina but rising in weight. Represents value in this race.

Career wins-runs record of 3-12; a close third at Ballina over 6½f (handicap) three weeks ago; should figure.

RSIS

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Ballina but has more weight to carry. Expecting a strong showing.

3Discreet PointJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn559.5kg2 7 6 2 49: 1-2-21.751.07

Career

9: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1018m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 1-2-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Eagle Farm1200m21 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT71.19L
2Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.98L
6Beaudesert1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
7Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5L
2Ballarat1200m20 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD30.2L
3Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD40.96L
4Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD31L
1Werribee1018m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Gave good account in choppy conditions (Bm68) at Eagle Farm second-up when fancied. Can test these.

ILB

On a short turnaround. At $3.70 didn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last time at Eagle Farm. Will go close here.

Consistent lately; creditable fourth at Eagle Farm last Wednesday.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started at 11/4 and lost ground when 4th last start at Eagle Farm. Should give this a shake.

4Lady AlabamaJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: L J Clapham858kg8 2 5 8 824: 4-4-119.003.40

Career

24: 4-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
13: 3-2-1
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
12: 4-2-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1

Last starts

8Casino1400m8 Aug 2026 · BM87 HCP · GOOD42.5L
8Grafton1430m24 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD32.7L
5Grafton1610m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD43.4L
2Casino1300m25 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.5L
8Coffs Harbour1218m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1052.4L
5Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD33.43L
1Grafton1608m7 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.29
4Ballina1590m23 Mar 2026 · BM82 (81) · HEAVY1012.7L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot Trainer
Positive
Leo Clapham in good form, out performing market 54%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Handy but couldn't match them late this track. Trained on track but awkwardly drawn for return. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Started at $41.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at this venue but competing in an easier class. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

Respectable effort to finish eighth, beaten 2½l over 7f here (handicap) three months ago; not been able to get her head in front lately so others make more appeal.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Was 40/1 and weakened to finish 8th last time around here but will appreciate the drop in grade.

5Master ArtistJ: Siabh Rigley·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee157.5kg8 3 1 3 1314: 2-3-214.002.90

Career

14: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-1-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1180m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Gold Coast1400m20 June 2026 · BM60 · SOFT56.2L
3Coffs Harbour1418m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY100.5L
1Coffs Harbour1400m24 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL2 · HEAVY8-2.4
3Ballina1010m14 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
8Grafton1420m30 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.4L
7Grafton1181m19 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.9L
7Murwillumbah1010m24 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial4L
4Grafton1410m22 Sept 2025 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT52.5L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Form mixed last prep but 1200m stats are okay and drawn inside. Watch betting.

ILB

Back after a break. Started $17.00 and below expectations when 13th last run at Gold Coast but gets the perfect draw. Siabh Rigley takes a large claim. Watch the betting.

This is his grade; finished towards the rear of 16 at Gold Coast over 7f (handicap) four months ago; has had some time off.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 16/1 and disappointing outing when 13th last start at Gold Coast but has the ideal stall. Siabh Rigley takes a large claim.

6VendemmiaJ: Ben Looker·T: Ethan Ensby357.5kg3 1 10 3 521: 3-0-510.002.40

Career

21: 3-0-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1526m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
9: 1-0-3

Last starts

5Grafton1175m13 Oct 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY85.29L
3Grafton1410m29 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT63.03L
10Gold Coast1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD32.96L
1Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.2
3Ballina1250m11 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY101.1L
6Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.8L
2Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)1.2L
5Lismore1110m19 Dec 2025 · CTRY CL3 · GOOD42.86L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ethan Ensby striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Trimmed margin late at Grafton. Up in class here but drawn well and Looker rides. Value hope back in firmer ground.

ILB

Started $6.00 and hit the line well when 5th last time at Grafton and gets some weight taken off. Possesses good closing speed. Marginal chance.

All his winning form has come at Grafton (three successes); fifth beaten just over 5l when dropped back to this distance (Grafton) two weeks ago; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Grafton and suited by the weight drop. Will be trying to topple them late.

7Trinity StateJ: N.r·T: M J Dunn255kg3 3 1 22: 1-1-04.601.40

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1190m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

2Port Macquarie1200m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD40.35L
1Grafton1190m21 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-2.31
3Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
3Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strong debut at Grafton 21 Sep. Game effort at Port Macquarie at second outing. Stripping fitter, commands attention here.

ILB

Just missed last start at Port Macquarie and can find a nice position from the draw. Placed at every start this preparation. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

Lightly raced with this just her third appearance; close up runner-up (Port Macquarie) 20 days ago; could be hard to beat.

RSIS

Right in the mix last start at Port Macquarie and drawn nicely. In the placings at every start lately. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

8Whiskey MissJ: Jasper Franklin·T: Ethan Ensby755kg3 1 2 4 713: 2-1-29.002.35

Career

13: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 0-0-1
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1526m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1560m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-2

Last starts

7Lismore1410m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 · SOFT53.76L
4Lismore1526m10 Sept 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT51.1L
2Murwillumbah1550m21 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT51.4L
1Casino1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-2.8
3Grafton1215m5 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.4L
6Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)6.8L
9Lismore1526m19 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD434.7L
4Grafton1420m30 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD31.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Lismore. Prefer away from heavy. One for exotics.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and came in 7th last time at Lismore. Has been a model of consistency since resuming from a break. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Some hope in this event.

Has scored over C&D; not disgraced when seventh of 11 over 7f at Lismore (handicap) last month; others more likely.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and finished 7th last run at Lismore. In the top three frequently lately. Gets back and needs luck.

9NomomeikushiJ: Benjamin Osmond·T: K A Lees655kg1 6 3 8 105: 1-0-031.004.00

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Port Macquarie1204m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.32L
8Newcastle1150m25 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT66.9L
3Newcastle1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
6Taree1400m12 Jan 2026 · CL1 · SOFT63.11L
1Coffs Harbour1200m27 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-2.6
9Coffs Harbour1212m4 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD39.7L
4Wyong1000m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial4.4L
4Hawkesbury800m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.2L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Port Macquarie second-up. Has early speed. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Odds of $20.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Port Macquarie. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Needs a lot of luck.

Finished tenth of 12 (Port Macquarie) last month; definitely of interest given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and has proved she knows how to win.

RSIS

Odds of 19/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Port Macquarie. Has shown early pace in races to date.

Odds correct as at 2:30 am AEDT. Odds can change.