Shortest win price
King Koruna (10)
1.95
Welcome to Hamilton for the Bet365 Bet Boost Mdn Plate over 1100m on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The win market order has King Koruna sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Wanted Enuff, Don't Say No Mikki, and Calm The Press rounding out the tighter end of the betting options. This maiden field presents an intriguing puzzle where the value sits with those capable of handling the 1100m trip fresh or building on encouraging recent barrier trials.
Looking closely at the form behind the market leaders, King Koruna comes into this assignment after a solid third at Mildura over 1200m and a fifth at Swan Hill, with the addition of a tongue-tie suggesting improvement. Meanwhile, Wanted Enuff returns from a twenty-seven-week spell for trainer Taige Weir, boasting an excellent recent Mortlake jumpout win and the booking of Dean Yendall, whose recent riding metrics sit twenty-four percent above market expectations. Don't Say No Mikki also warrants respect following a let-up and a subsequent Geelong jumpout win.
Further down the pack, speed groups indicate that Saraya will likely push forward from barrier five to control the early tempo, whilst runners like Arizona Wildfire bring early speed that can prove advantageous on this tight circuit. Calm The Press lines up from barrier three for S and J Jaensch, though facing a class rise and a negative rider change, leaving the race open for a bold play on those runners with sharper recent track insights and positive jockey form.
Shortest win price
King Koruna (10)
1.95
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Arizona Wildfire · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Calm The Press · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Don't Say No Mikki · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jason Webb current POT is 16% below Career Avg.
Invisible Caravan · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Career
8: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1706m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Performance just fair at Naracoorte second-up at $7.50. Untried in the wet. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. At $7.50 gave away some ground when 6th last time at Naracoorte. Will be tested.
RP
Has raised his game the last twice; close up behind Calm The Press when sixth over 6f at Naracoorte (maiden) last Sunday; hard to ignore as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 13/2 and weakened under pressure when 6th last start at Naracoorte.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
AAP
Moderate form profile overall. Failed to threaten at Mortlake when second-up at longer odds. Needs to lift.
ILB
Looked outclassed when 7th last run at Mortlake.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 7th last run at Mortlake.
Career
15: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
3: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fair performance without threatening at Naracoorte at $8.50. Well into preparation now, place preferred option.
ILB
On a quick back up. Odds of $8.50 and made up ground when 5th last run at Naracoorte. Marginal prospect.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement but defeats piling up (0-15); not beaten that far over 6f at Naracoorte (maiden) a week ago; passed over.
RSIS
On a quick back up. At 15/2 made some ground when 5th last time at Naracoorte.
Career
9: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jason Webb current POT is 16% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 74% in L100 rides
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (76-days). Won a recent Geelong jumpout. Not out of it fresh in this company.
ILB
First run back from a break. Odds of $4.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start Ballarat Synthetic and dropping in distance. Has good finishing speed. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement but has not been firing consistently; not able to make an impression when eighth despite 3-1 odds over 7½f at Ballarat (maiden) in August; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Odds of 3/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last time Ballarat Synthetic and down in trip. Finishes off strongly. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Dean Parker 36% above market expected in L100 Rides
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (37-weeks). Ex L Smith in Victoria. Second in a blanket finish in recent Mortlake jumpout. Can make a positive start for new trainer after long spell.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $8.00 and ran 5th last run at Ararat.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started at 7/1 and ran 5th last start at Ararat.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Hill 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Started $91 when beaten by a smart one at Swan Hill. Going better than form card suggests. Include.
ILB
At $91.00 came in 7th last start at Swan Hill. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Would be more keen on the chance of others.
RP
This now his fifth attempt to get off the mark; no impression when seventh of 11 over 6f at Swan Hill (maiden) last month; hard enough to fancy as needs headgear to liven him up.
RSIS
At 90/1 finished 7th last start at Swan Hill. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Career
14: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-2-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Continues to race without success. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Odds of $18.00 and came in 7th last time at Warrnambool. Should jump out and bowl along. Knockout chance.
RP
Out of the frame when seventh over 5f at Warrnambool (maiden) last month; yet to win in 14 starts; others are preferred.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and finished 7th last run at Warrnambool. Has plenty of early pace.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
1: 0-0-1
Track Warracknabeal
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Well back and never sighted at Swan Hill at a mammoth price. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Was $101.00 and below expectations when 10th last run at Swan Hill but gets the perfect barrier. Yet to break through after 8 starts. Would rather look at others.
RP
First-time blinkers no help over 6f at Swan Hill (maiden) when beaten 13l (tenth of 11) behind Invisible Caravan, last month; big chance based on the pick of his form.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and nothing special when 10th last run at Swan Hill but has the ideal stall. Yet to break maiden status after 8 starts.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Raced mid, boxed way into second behind clear winner at Avoca. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Strong effort when finishing 2nd beaten by 5L last start at Avoca.
RP
Appears to be going forwards; solid performance to finish second at 20-1 over 6f at Avoca (maiden) last month; should give it a bold bid.
RSIS
Ran on when 2nd last run at Avoca.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Been knocking on the door and a tongue-tie could be the missing piece. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Was $7.50 and weakened to finish 5th last run at Swan Hill. Expected to rebound and has a positive gate. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Major chance.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts; fifth but only beaten less than a length over 6f at Swan Hill (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and was well beaten when 5th last time at Swan Hill. May see an upturn in form and can find a nice position from the draw. Expect support.
Career
24: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Great Western
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Held midfield spot, couldn't summon enough late at Mornington when second-up. Only for exotics.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $151.00 and ran 6th last time at Mornington. Yet to break maiden status after 24 runs. Unlikely to go close.
RP
Creditable effort in sixth (beaten 2l) over 6f at Mornington (maiden) last week; still seeking a first success after 24 starts.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started at 150/1 and finished 6th last time at Mornington. Trying to win after 24 starts.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Mansfield
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Sparingly raced 5-year-old. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Jumped at $151.00 and didn't threaten when 10th last time at Warrnambool. Hard to have.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts and has not had much racing; was tenth of 11, beaten 15l, at Warrnambool over 5f (maiden) last month; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started at 150/1 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Warrnambool.
Career
44: 0-6-5
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 0-2-0
Going Unknown
5: 0-0-3
Going Good
24: 0-4-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Not disgraced at Mildura. Perennial maiden.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $41.00 and finished 4th last run at Mildura. Should muster plenty of early toe. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 44 starts. Pass.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 2l at Mildura on Tuesday upped to 6½f; winless after 44 races and form has an uneven look to it.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 40/1 and ran 4th last start at Mildura. Should race on the pace. Still a maiden after 44 runs.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 252%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (27-weeks). Excellent when winning recent Mortlake jumpout. Key player fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and ran home into 3rd first up last preparation at Kyneton. Jockey Dean Yendall and trainer Taige Weir work well together. Will attract plenty of interest.
RP
Beaten 10l into eighth at Kilmore in May; returns from an absence here; trainer going well a plus; has to be respected despite defeat last time as ran well at Kyneton three runs back.
RSIS
Resuming and hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L resuming last preparation at Kyneton. Dean Yendall and Taige Weir have a high strike rate together. Winning potential.