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Hamilton (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hamilton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 9 NovHamilton (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Wannon Pastoral Hcp (56) 1100m · jumps

Race preview

Hamilton steps up for the Wannon Pastoral Hcp over 1100m on a Good4 surface under fine skies at 4:30 pm AEDT. The win market sets out with Popthebubbly heading the chances, closely followed by Imminent Storm, Alpinova, and Royal Inference rounding out the prominent early fancies in a wide-open restricted handicap test.

Popthebubbly comes into this having finished midfield at Bendigo over 1400m following a solid effort at Manangatang, with the drop back in trip appearing ideal while retaining the services of Jack Hill from barrier two. Imminent Storm resumes after a five-week break following a heavy track run at Warrnambool, holding sound first-up and second-up records despite carrying topweight from barrier eight. Meanwhile, Alpinova brings the fastest overall finishing sectionals from a recent Wangaratta runner-up effort over this exact journey, though needing to negotiate a wide alley in barrier thirteen.

The speed map indicates pressure coming forward from leaders Our Ellie Rose and Highland George, alongside onpace runners Royal Inference, Imacreedytwo, Star Fortian, and Padstow Polly. With several runners suited racing off the pace or midfield, the early tempo should create an interesting tactical setup as the field swings for home on the Hamilton circuit.

Race notes

  • 0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Popthebubbly (5)

2.60

Most career wins

Alpinova and Our Ellie Rose

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 14Ask For More

Offmidfield

  • 7Alpinova
  • 10Galaxy Turf

Midfield

  • 3Imacreedytwo
  • 11Our Ellie Rose
  • 9Sweet City Dancer

Offpace

  • 8Count Of Anjou
  • 13Padstow Polly
  • 1Imminent Storm
  • 4News Travels Fast

Onpace

  • 5Popthebubbly
  • 6Star Fortian
  • 12Highland George

Leader

  • 2Royal Inference

  • Imminent Storm · Positive

    Fast Early

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Royal Inference · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Imacreedytwo · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • News Travels Fast · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 923%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Imminent StormJ: Jett Stanley·T: P W Mckenna860kg5 7 3 3 624: 3-4-4$6.00$2.15

Career

24: 3-4-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mortlake

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    9: 1-1-2

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1284m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 0-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Warrnambool1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY95.81L
  2. 3Warrnambool1400m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
  3. 3Warrnambool1200m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY81.95L
  4. 7Warrnambool1700m7 May 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY105.2L
  5. 5Horsham1800m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.1L
  6. 2Stawell1607m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.5L
  7. 5Hamilton1400m7 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · HEAVY82.2L
  8. 2Terang1606m20 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 39 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Sent out $4.40 when unable to threaten in sloppy conditions at Warrnambool over longer test. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Was $4.40 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Warrnambool on a heavy rated track. Should improve and has been racing in stronger company. Coming back in trip. Strong chance.

RP

Finished sixth, beaten 6l, at Warrnambool over 7f (handicap) last month; this is his grade; can have a big say as he finished third 49 days ago.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Warrnambool on a heavy rated track. Happy to forgive that run and competing in a less challenging grade. Will show up at the business end.

2Royal InferenceJ: Melissa Julius·T: Sharni Julian160kg4 2 8 10 225: 3-1-2$7.50$2.45

Career

25: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1608m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Naracoorte1000m1 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.7L
  2. 10Coleraine1300m19 July 2026 · BM56 HWGT · SOFT511.9L
  3. 8Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY107.1L
  4. 2Mount Gambier1400m10 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY95.8L
  5. 4Mount Gambier1550m22 May 2026 · 0-60 · SOFT74.2L
  6. 1Ararat1300m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.1
  7. 8Naracoorte1430m28 Dec 2025 · 0-56 · GOOD44.2L
  8. 9Werribee1608m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Melissa Julius 31% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 4 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Ex P A Chow in Victoria. Solid form at this level last campaign. Generally competitive fresh while fitted with a Naracoorte trial.

ILB

First up and displayed a good turn of foot when winning first up last preparation at Ararat. Expecting to settle positively. First start for a new trainer. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Tenth of 12 over 6½f at Coleraine (handicap) in July; can be a player at this level; first start for stable; ought to be competitive given his record when fresh and shown he can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on hard when winning resuming last preparation at Ararat. First appearance for a new trainer and has minimal work to do from the draw. Watch the betting.

3ImacreedytwoJ: Neil Farley·T: Bob & Kane Post459kg8 7 5 2 517: 1-1-1$8.50$2.70

Career

17: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Penola

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1476m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Mortlake1100m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.45L
  2. 2Mount Gambier900m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD40.17L
  3. 5Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.27L
  4. 7Mount Gambier1211m13 Mar 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD44.2L
  5. 8Horsham1100m24 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.5L
  6. 6Colac1110m6 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD33L
  7. 1Mount Gambier900m21 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.1
  8. 4Mount Gambier1300m28 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found a spot back off the pace but went backwards when the whips were cracking at Mortlake over this trip. Drawn favourably. Right in the mix.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and came in 5th last run at Mortlake. Should improve from the last run. Definite winning chance.

RP

Not beaten too far when fifth at Mortlake last month; has a record of 1-17; others more persuasive.

RSIS

At 8/1 finished 5th last start at Mortlake. Expecting improvement here. Strong prospects in this race.

4News Travels FastJ: Eoin Walsh·T: D C Cunningham359kg4 9 1 10 812: 1-1-0$5.50$2.10

Career

12: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Traralgon

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1628m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT67L
  2. 10Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD48.6L
  3. 1Stony Creek1600m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.2
  4. 9Terang1400m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.8L
  5. 4Mornington1500m27 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
  6. 7Traralgon1430m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3.25L
  7. 5Avoca1300m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L
  8. 6Moe1628m1 June 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT66.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 923%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (35-weeks). Ex David & Coral Feek in Victoria. Did best work late to finish third in recent Mortlake jumpout. Has some claims fresh in this company.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a 35 week spell. Odds of $13.00 and sub-standard effort when 8th last run at Stony Creek and down in distance. Racing for a new trainer. Rough chance today.

RP

Eighth beaten 7l over 1m at Stony Creek (handicap) in March; useful in this grade; returning from a layoff here; first start for new trainer; could have a say with so many of these having something to prove and he scored three runs back.

RSIS

Resumes after a break of 35 weeks. Started 12/1 and moderate showing when 8th last time at Stony Creek and dropping in distance. Racing for a new trainer.

5PopthebubblyJ: Jack Hill·T: Brady Cross257.5kg4 5 3 4 712: 1-0-2$2.60$1.32

Career

12: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.93L
  2. 4Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.5L
  3. 3Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT63.5L
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.7L
  5. 4Mildura1000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  6. 7Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT55.1L
  7. 1Edenhope1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  8. 4Ballarat1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jack Hill 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Suited back in trip and gets Jack Hill aboard again. Good gate. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Started $9.00 and faded away to finish 7th last run at Bendigo but has a positive alley. Should muster plenty of early toe. Coming back in distance. One that represents value at a decent price.

RP

String of consistent efforts of late; solid run when seventh over 7f at Bendigo (handicap) last month; should not be far away as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and lots of promise in her latest performance.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Bendigo but drawn nicely. Has shown early pace in races to date. Solid prospects.

6Star FortianJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Cameron Thompson656.5kg7 6 3 9 1015: 1-1-1$26.00$4.60

Career

15: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Launceston

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Naracoorte

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.9L
  2. 9Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY85.7L
  3. 3Bordertown1100m28 June 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY81.12L
  4. 6Devonport Synthetic1350m31 May 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC3.8L
  5. 7Devonport Synthetic1150m17 May 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  6. 5Devonport Synthetic1009m3 May 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC2.3L
  7. 5Devonport Synthetic800m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC2.6L
  8. 11Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Second in recent Mortlake jumpout. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Started $8.00 and lacklustre showing when 9th last start at Naracoorte. Has early speed and positions nicely. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Was ninth of ten, beaten 6l, when close behind Alpinova at Naracoorte in July; is passed over.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break. Was 7/1 and disappointing run when 9th last run at Naracoorte. Should jump out and bowl along.

7AlpinovaJ: Melea Castle·T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell1355.5kg9 4 9 2 260: 5-12-8$8.50$2.70

Career

60: 5-12-8

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-2-1

  • Track Echuca

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1117m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    28: 2-5-3

  • Going Heavy

    8: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    24: 2-6-5

Last starts

  1. 2Wangaratta1100m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD42.25L
  2. 2Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.35L
  3. 9Halidon1380m11 Oct 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD36.43L
  4. 4Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.35L
  5. 9Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.4L
  6. 2Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT71L
  7. 8Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.9L
  8. 3Casterton1200m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT711.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brooke Verwey-Mitchell striking at just 6%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Last success was 16 Aug 2025. Reserved at rear, late into the frame at Wangaratta over this journey. One for exotics.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 2nd last start at Wangaratta. Always seems to find the line well. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Creditable effort to finish runner-up (Wangaratta) two weeks ago; others more appealing as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Ran home into 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last run at Wangaratta. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Could feature here.

8Count Of AnjouJ: Amy Herrmann·T: Aftab Shaikh554.5kg9 10 11 8 622: 2-0-0$91.00$12.00

Career

22: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Warracknabeal

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.5L
  2. 8Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.91L
  3. 11Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.63L
  4. 10Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC16.8L
  5. 9Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC6.1L
  6. 6Horsham1100m19 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY811.3L
  7. 12Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY917.1L
  8. 13Kilmore1100m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD47.4L

Insights

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Aftab Shaikh in good form, out performing market 46%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Kyneton. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Was $101.00 and weakened to finish 6th last time at Kyneton. Very unlikely to cause an upset.

RP

Held in sixth over 6f at Kyneton (handicap) last month; been out of sorts of late; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last time at Kyneton.

9Sweet City DancerJ: Dean Yendall·T: S L Muir1254kg11 3 6 10 515: 1-2-1$16.00$3.80

Career

15: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Colac

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kerang

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1135m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Kyneton1225m23 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L
  2. 10Kerang1100m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.6L
  3. 6Geelong1135m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD45.6L
  4. 3Colac1200m1 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT73L
  5. 11Mount Gambier1212m25 Jan 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD49.5L
  6. 9Echuca1200m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD34.2L
  7. 8Stawell1100m13 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.2L
  8. 6Swan Hill975m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Shaun Muir striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 218%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 46%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (28-weeks). Ex Mitchell Freedman in Victoria. Won latest Geelong jumpout. Could get into the placings fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First run back from a 28 week break. Was $41.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at Kyneton. First appearance for a new trainer. Do not dismiss entirely.

RP

Managed just one success in her career to date; not beaten too far when fifth at Kyneton over 6f (handicap) in April; runs for a new stable here; layoff to overcome; is passed over.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 28 weeks. Odds of 40/1 and improved when 5th last time at Kyneton. First start for a new trainer.

10Galaxy TurfJ: Sarah Field·T: J Rowe1454kg4 5 11 5 1366: 3-6-8$101.00$13.00

Career

66: 3-6-8

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Burrumbeet

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Hamilton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track St Arnaud

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1612m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    12: 0-1-3

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    28: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 13Swan Hill1300m24 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD410.6L
  2. 5Echuca1209m25 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT75.5L
  3. 11Ballarat Synthetic1100m15 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC9.7L
  4. 5Warracknabeal1000m12 July 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY86.3L
  5. 4Warracknabeal1000m27 June 2025 · BM52 HCP · SOFT75.4L
  6. 10Edenhope2000m8 Mar 2025 · HCP · SOFT624.1L
  7. 8Penola1600m2 Mar 2025 · 0 - 54 · GOOD45.19L
  8. 4Kilmore1612m11 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD43.31L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 134%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 442 day break (> 300 days)

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (63-weeks) spell. Third in latest Burrumbeet jumpout. Has a tricky draw for return. Fitness could tell.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break of 63 weeks. Odds of $151.00 and disappointing display when 13th last time at Swan Hill. Does take a while to get into stride. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

RP

Doesn't win often; last of 13 over 6½f at Swan Hill (handicap) last August; not seen for some time now; others appeal more.

RSIS

Back after a 63 week break. Odds of 150/1 and not up to scratch when 13th last start at Swan Hill. Likely to settle back in the field.

11Our Ellie RoseJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters1054kg7 2 6 9 594: 5-10-6$71.00$8.50

Career

94: 5-10-6

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Avoca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dunkeld

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    28: 2-0-3

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1413m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    14: 0-1-4

  • Going Soft

    31: 2-4-1

  • Going Good

    49: 3-5-1

Last starts

  1. 5Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT56.3L
  2. 9Mount Gambier1300m7 Aug 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY1010.1L
  3. 6Naracoorte1430m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY83.5L
  4. 2Mount Gambier1400m12 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY107.4L
  5. 7Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT72.8L
  6. 10Mount Gambier1200m22 Mar 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD410.21L
  7. 7Mount Gambier1312m13 Mar 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD45.9L
  8. 7Hamilton1100m15 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.6L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (71-days). Veteran who returns without a trial or jumpout. Unplaced from 4 starts here. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Fresh after a spell. Odds of $26.00 and ran 5th last time at Casterton and back in trip. Very hard to have.

RP

Held when fifth of ten at Casterton over 7f (handicap) in August; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Odds of 25/1 and came in 5th last run at Casterton and will be down in distance.

12Highland GeorgeJ: Holly Durnan·T: Nathan Hobson1154kg4 6 9 6 729: 1-3-1$41.00$6.00

Career

29: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mildura1200m3 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.52L
  2. 6Balranald1200m24 Oct 2026 · BM58 (55) · GOOD41.23L
  3. 9Deniliquin1400m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.6L
  4. 6Jerilderie1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM453.89L
  5. 4Pooncarie1550m19 Sept 2026 · CL210.1L
  6. 13Berrigan1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM508.7L
  7. 8Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.5L
  8. 7Mildura1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Started $15 when safely held in picnic company at Mildura. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started $20.00 and mediocre performance when 7th last time at Mildura. Yet to fire this preparation with no placings from 11 runs. Will need to find a new peak in this.

RP

Been a while since he managed only win; held when seventh of eight over 6f at Mildura (handicap) six days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 19/1 and average at best when 7th last time at Mildura. Yet to fire of late.

13Padstow PollyJ: Linda Meech·T: Stephen Lenehan754kg9 8 5 10 995: 2-7-8$126.00$15.00

Career

95: 2-7-8

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    7: 0-1-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1650m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    55: 1-2-5

Last starts

  1. 9St Arnaud1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD318.95L
  2. 10Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD313.9L
  3. 5Pooncarie1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM586.02L
  4. 8Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.2L
  5. 9Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT59.02L
  6. 9Casterton1200m31 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT77.2L
  7. 10Ballarat Synthetic1200m19 Aug 2025 · BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC20.06L
  8. 2Hamilton1100m2 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY88L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 79% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse 114% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 114%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

No threat as a $101 chance at St Arnaud. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $101.00 and tailed off to finish 9th last start at St Arnaud. Prefer in an easier race.

RP

A while since her last success and recent form nothing to write home about; no impression when ninth of ten at St Arnaud last month; passed over.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and faded to finish 9th last run at St Arnaud.

14Ask For MoreJ: Christine Puls·T: Stephen Lenehan954kg8 10 2 10 674: 3-1-2$126.00$15.00

Career

74: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Augusta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1211m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    37: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Naracoorte1000m1 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
  2. 10St Arnaud1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD333.45L
  3. 2Pooncarie1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM581.08L
  4. 10Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT513.3L
  5. 8Port Augusta1396m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · GOOD17.3L
  6. 6Mildura1000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
  7. 11Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY108.3L
  8. 8Ballarat Synthetic1000m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Christine Puls current POT is 63% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unplaced from 4 starts here. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and faded to finish 10th last start at St Arnaud. Finished 6th in a trial at Naracoorte on Nov 1st. Expected to settle towards the rear. Best to watch only.

RP

Was tailed off at St Arnaud two weeks ago; a while since his last success; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last start at St Arnaud. Ran 6th in a trial at Naracoorte on Nov 1st. Gets back and needs luck.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Mon 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races