Shortest win price
All Moonlite (8)
3.40
Welcome to Hamilton for the Mark Kirchner Food Services Mdn Plate over 2200m on a Good 4 track under fine skies, timed to jump at 2:30 pm AEDT. The win market order places All Moonlite at the head of affairs, closely followed by Alltogethernow, Rollin'Ontheriver, and Empress Of China shaping up right behind them in early calculations. The bold play here is finding the value away from the very shortest runners where the market might have got things slightly skewed for a tricky maiden staying test.
Looking into the form behind those prominent market fancies, All Moonlite comes in with strong backing after hitting the line with a wet sail to grab second at St Arnaud over 2000m on a Good 3 surface, rating strongly with a 100 IRD figure and the benefit of Jack Hill in the saddle. Alltogethernow brings a different angle, showing a fine turn of foot from the back when finishing second at Warrnambool over 2000m on a Good 4 track, returning from highweight company with a rating of 79 IRD. Rollin'Ontheriver also warrants respect following a sound third at Warrnambool over 2000m where the camp feels the extra trip will suit the progression nicely.
Further down the race setup, Dance Day maps as the lone leader from barrier 9, while runners like Heidi High show early speed which can prove an advantage on this circuit. Empress Of China benefits from the booking of Dean Yendall after a solid third at Horsham over 2100m, adding further depth to the staying chances. Opinion suggests the value sits with those proven at staying around this distance range rather than taking skinny figures about lightly-exposed maidens.
Shortest win price
All Moonlite (8)
3.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Alltogethernow · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Conjurer · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Dance Day · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Mossquillo · Negative
Trainer SR
Ciaron Maher striking at just 9%
Career
12: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 25% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Showed a fine turn of foot from the back at Warrnambool. Back from highweight company. Place claims.
ILB
Finished strongly when 2nd last time at Warrnambool. Gets back and needs luck. Has some claims.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; had three of these behind at Warrnambool over 1m2f (maiden) 11 days ago when a respectable runner-up.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 2nd last start at Warrnambool. Does take a while to get into stride. Has some claims.
Career
14: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Edenhope
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Off pace, worked his way into the minors without threatening winner at St Arnaud 24 Oct. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Did well to place 3rd last time at St Arnaud. Likely to be well placed early. Putting up notable efforts this campaign. Could feature here.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs and has run well in defeat a number of times; split a number of these rivals over 1m2f at St Arnaud (maiden) when a respectable third 16 days ago; been struggling to get his head in front recently so looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 3L last time at St Arnaud. Has shown early pace in races to date. In good form since coming back from a break. Respect the betting.
Career
8: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Great Western
1: 0-0-0
Track Penshurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a short back-up. Sound effort without troubling winner at Wangaratta second-up. Will have admirers off the short turnaround.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd last run at Wangaratta.
RP
Solid second over 1m2f at Wangaratta (maiden) a week ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; others appeal more with new trip an unknown.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Zipped home into 2nd last time at Wangaratta.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Well back and never a factor at Warrnambool at second start. Fancy the extra trip will suit.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and mediocre performance when 7th last start at Warrnambool.
RP
Finished behind three of these rivals over 1m2f at Warrnambool (maiden) when beaten 6l (seventh of nine) 11 days ago; he can make a bold bid.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last start at Warrnambool.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Wangaratta at his second race start. On trust.
ILB
Subpar when 11th last run at Wangaratta. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
11th of 12 over 1m2f at Wangaratta (maiden) two weeks ago; one to consider.
RSIS
Underperformed when 11th last time at Wangaratta. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 9%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Should appreciate stepping up in distance and this is easier. Open to improvement.
ILB
Was $20.00 and made up ground when 5th last time at Seymour and racing over a longer distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Prefer in something easier.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth of ten over 1m at Seymour (maiden) 29 days ago; passed over.
RSIS
Was 19/1 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Seymour and facing a rise in trip. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Hasn't lived up to expectations so far. Gets blinkers on and has to put his hand up now.
ILB
Started at $4.40 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Echuca.
RP
Winless in three starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; held when ninth beaten 11l (Echuca) last month upped to 1m2½f; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Odds of 10/3 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Echuca.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Hill 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jack Hill in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Came home with a wet sail to grab second at St Arnaud at odds of $5.50. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at St Arnaud and gets a favourable barrier. Major chance.
RP
Stepped up on her last two starts; finished ahead of three of these when only just held at St Arnaud last month upped to 1m2f; easy enough to take on with new trip an unknown.
RSIS
Finished well when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at St Arnaud and gets a favourable draw. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Wycheproof
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
AAP
Yet to get seriously involved and has plenty to find. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Odds of $6.00 and crept into 4th last time at Wycheproof. Yet to make an impression in 10 attempts. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Fair effort when beaten just under 5l, finishing fourth of eight at Wycheproof over 1m1f (maiden) last month; 11th attempt to break her duck; she can be taken on as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Was 5/1 and got going late when 4th last run at Wycheproof. Hasn't placed in 10 runs.
Career
9: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Had pattern on side at Horsham. Booking of Yendall a positive.
ILB
Couldn't shake them off when 3rd last run at Horsham. Displays good tactical speed. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Solid performance to finish third at 16-1 over 1m2½f at Horsham (maiden) last month; has arguably shown improved form the last twice but still seeking a first success after nine starts.
RSIS
Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd beaten by just over 3L last time at Horsham. Should muster plenty of early pace. Betting is the best guide.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Limited exposure so far for this 5-year-old, who has managed only a 4th from 4 outings. Showed some progress last start.
ILB
At $7.50 came in 4th last start at St Arnaud. Could win this.
RP
Finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) at St Arnaud over 1m2f (maiden) splitting All Moonlite, Conjurer and Princess Chic 16 days ago; should not be far away.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and came in 4th last time at St Arnaud. Represents value.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 8 starts
AAP
Form to date underwhelming. First try at 2200m. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Started at $51.00 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last time at St Arnaud. Hasn't placed in 8 attempts. Yet to fire this campaign. Seems unlikely.
RP
Failed to offer a great deal of encouragement in recent outings; held when seventh beaten 8l at St Arnaud over 1m2f (maiden) two weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and she can be taken on.
RSIS
Was 50/1 and sub-standard effort when 7th last start at St Arnaud. Yet to make an impression in 8 attempts.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Neil Farley 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 56%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Building nicely into the campaign and fancy the extra trip will suit. Sound latest offering and a chance with repeat.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last time at Warrnambool. Significant improvement required.
RP
Was on the premises (third, beaten 1½l) over 1m2f at Warrnambool (maiden) splitting Alltogethernow, Ideas Galore and Lord Timo 11 days ago; stamina to prove at this trip so there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last time at Warrnambool.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Has found it difficult to make an impact. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
At $201.00 was well beaten when 11th last time at Warrnambool but rising in trip. Not interested today.
RP
First-time blinkers no help at Warrnambool over 6½f (maiden) when dropped in distance last month; arguably the one to beat.
RSIS
Started at 200/1 and looked outclassed when 11th last start at Warrnambool but going over extra ground.
Career
11: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1356m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Sent out $71 when unable to threaten at Warrnambool. Blinkers go on again and gets a soft draw. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Started $71.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 6th last run at Warrnambool but has the ideal gate. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Needs to improve.
RP
Split a number of these rivals at Warrnambool over 1m2f (maiden) when beaten 6l (sixth of nine) last month.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and below par when 6th last time at Warrnambool but drawn beautifully. Likely to be well placed early. A 11 start maiden. Has struggled so far recently.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Pooncarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Stephen Lenehan striking at just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 35% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
AAP
Has generally struggled to make an impression. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Started at $151.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Swan Hill but going over more ground. Has early speed and positions nicely. Unplaced in career. Making up the numbers.
RP
Last of eight over 1m at Swan Hill (maiden) 13 days ago.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and gave away some ground when 8th last time at Swan Hill but rising in distance. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-1-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced in the Geelong Classic and form two back behind Cold Shower reads super. Back in a maiden now. Among the dangers.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 10th last run at Geelong but dropping in grade.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 last month (Geelong) in a Listed race; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; this represents an easier task than his previous race.
RSIS
Lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Geelong but will appreciate the drop in class.