Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 1 — The Valley @ Southside Pakenham Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps 6:15 pm AEST

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SYNTHETIC
Showers
8 runners

Shortest win price

Ektifire (10)

3.10

Beast Fighter · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hansard · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Acharnee · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Sihaya · Negative
Trainer SR
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes striking at just 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Beast FighterJ: Damien Thornton·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes459.5kg41: 0-0-04.601.60

Career

1: 0-0-0

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Seymour1300m3 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD32.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -84% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (34-weeks). Gave a sight on debut at Seymour behind Clevor Trevor. 3rd & 2nd at recent jump-outs. Warrants plenty of attention fresh in this company.

2HansardJ: Teodore Nugent·T: I M Pankhurst359.5kg7 5 63: 0-0-034.004.40

Career

3: 0-0-0

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY825L
5Pakenham1400m23 Apr 2026 · 3Y C&G MDN SW · GOOD46.5L
7Ararat1206m30 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD312.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ian Pankhurst in good form, out performing market 38%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (21-weeks). Needs to show more.

3AcharneeJ: Michael Dee·T: Reece Goodwin157.5kg3 8 2 4 95: 0-2-08.502.40

Career

5: 0-2-0

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

9Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.97L
4Gosford1200m6 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
2Gosford1200m18 July 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY90.5L
8Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)7.5L
3Rosehill900m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)9.9L
6Gosford1200m31 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD45.9L
2Gosford1200m18 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.3L
3Randwick Kensington850m9 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1.8L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First run for new trainer was a reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Mornington. Look for further improvement here.

4In A TizzyScratched6––––

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (23-weeks). Not too far off the mark in her first preparation. Recent jump-out winner here. Looks dangerous first-up.

5SihayaJ: Luke Currie·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes557.5kg–5.501.85

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes striking at just 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
On Debut
Positive
First race start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

4yo mare a half-sister to Oak Hill makes debut for the Ben, Will & Jd Hayes stable. Won latest Flemington jump-out. Markets may prove best guide here.

6ArmorwareJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: M M Laurie857kg21: 0-1-04.001.45

Career

1: 0-1-0

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Encouraging debut performance at Mornington 17 Sep. Wiser for experience. Only for the minors here.

7Civic SquareScratched12––––

Comments

AAP

Let-up (79-days). Beaten but by no means disgraced at career opener. Since trialled 2nd at here 14/9. Can play a role fresh in this company if he gets the breaks.

8Home And A BayJ: Ben Allen·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin1057kg41: 0-0-09.002.60

Career

1: 0-0-0

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Ben Allen current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut at Geelong 11 Sep. Better for the run. Awkwardly drawn. More a minor money chance here.

9Chapel BelleJ: Luke Cartwright·T: J F Moloney755kg11 7 43: 0-0-016.003.60

Career

3: 0-0-0

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.75L
7Sandown1000m2 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT53.2L
11Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD47.5L

Insights

Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prominent before fading late at Mornington. Others with more appeal.

10EktifireJ: Craig Williams·T: A & S Freedman255kg2 5 6 5 34: 0-0-13.101.34

Career

4: 0-0-1

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT55L
5Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.6L
6Rosehill1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD46L
5Canterbury1100m27 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT62L
2Randwick740m19 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.2L
5Canterbury899m6 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.3L
6Randwick740m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5.3L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made all, no answer to winner but showed some fight in the 3yo F Mdn Plate at Bendigo second-up. Among the dangers again.

11MasochisticScratched11––––

Comments

AAP

Let-up (42-days). Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Sale when fancied 21 Aug. Wiser for experience. Place preferred option.

12Swift StarScratched9––––

Comments

AAP

Encouraging debut performance at Caulfield Heath 16 Sep. Better for race exposure. Can challenge again.

Odds correct as at 10:20 am AEST. Odds can change.