Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 2 — Ladbrokes Tote Win +10% In October Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps 6:45 pm AEST

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
SYNTHETIC
Showers
11 runners

Shortest win price

Resonant (3)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

6Divine Dame
9Mardaloop
10Miss Home Body
12Teddy's Trotter

Backmarker

7Gimonnet
16Inside Word

Midfield

3Resonant
13Senza Nome

Onpace

2Mr Sapphire
11Model Gigi

Leader

15Nautique

Mr Sapphire · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Resonant · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Divine Dame · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
Gimonnet · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Keen ObserverScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

100

Comments

AAP

In the market all runs. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Ballarat. Drops to shorter trip. Sound claims.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Ballarat and putting a tidy record together. Been in the money 4 from 4 attempts this campaign.

IRD

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Ballarat and showing consistent performance in races. Been in the placegetters each attempt this campaign.

RSIS

Good run when placing 3rd last time at Ballarat and solid career start. Been in the money 4 from 4 attempts of late.

2Mr SapphireJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: J F Moloney558kg3 62: 0-0-114.003.60

Career

2: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.32L
3Pakenham1000m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Ballarat. Only for the minors here.

ILB

At $8.50 didn't find the line when 6th last time at Ballarat. Shows good early pace. Watch for a sign in the market.

IRD

Started $8.50 and faded to finish 6th last time at Ballarat. Won't be far away during the run. Expect a forward showing.

RSIS

At 15/2 didn't find the line when 6th last start at Ballarat. Expecting to settle positively. Watch the betting.

3ResonantJ: Ethan Brown·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes1058kg1 2 7 63: 0-1-03.001.38

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Flemington1100m6 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY83.9L
7Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.3L
2Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD30.5L
1Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Key Rider
Positive
Ethan Brown 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ethan Brown in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 59%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (16-weeks). In the minors at Bendigo on debut last campaign. 2nd & 1st at latest jump-outs. Among the main chances.

ILB

First up and displayed good finishing speed when 2nd first up last preparation at Bendigo. Going down in grade. Nice enough type to be supported.

IRD

First up and flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation at Bendigo. Matched against lesser competition. Definite claims.

RSIS

Resuming and finished with intent when 2nd resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Facing less formidable opponents. Great chance.

4ValarosoScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Just beaten in the 3yo C&G Mdn Plate at Caulfield Heath at his second race start. Coming back slightly in distance. Looks an improver and rates strongly.

ILB

Missed by a narrow margin last run at Caulfield Heath.

RSIS

Competed in a tight contest last time at Caulfield Heath.

5Call Me LaterScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Cost $120K. Introducing a 3yo filly out of the Rubick mare Bright Rubick. Recent win of a Pakenham jump-out. Nice gate. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

First race appearance 3yo by Too Darn Hot for trainer Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody and gets a favourable barrier. Market as guide.

IRD

3yo first starter by Too Darn Hot for Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody and gets a favourable alley. Betting as a guide.

RSIS

First appearance at the races 3yo by Too Darn Hot for trainer Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody and can save some energy from the stall.

6Divine DameJ: Ben Allen·T: Charlotte Littlefield1456kg–7.002.45

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Cosy $80K. 3yo filly a half-sister to Elonia heading to the races for the first time. Won past couple of jump-outs. Follow any betting leads.

ILB

3yo first starter sired by Tagaloa for Charlotte Littlefield. Watch the betting.

IRD

Charlotte Littlefield 3yo by Tagaloa on debut. Keep your eye on the market.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Tagaloa for Charlotte Littlefield.

7GimonnetJ: Craig Williams·T: A & S Freedman1256kg6 62: 0-0-03.801.60

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Morphettville1200m25 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD418.1L
6Morphettville1050m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y LISTED SW · SOFT63.9L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (22-weeks). Appears more developed now and has had a 1st & 3rd at latest jump-outs. Craig Williams rides. Watch out for any betting push.

ILB

Resumes from a spell. Jumped at $16.00 and faded to finish 6th last time at Morphettville. Should improve here and matched against less formidable competition. Expected to be flashing home. Forward showing expected.

IRD

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. At $16.00 faded away to finish 6th last run at Morphettville but facing a weaker grade. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. At 15/1 didn't threaten when 6th last time at Morphettville. Has the potential to improve sharply and matched against lesser competition. Has definite claims.

8Kiss Me In ParisScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Resuming for second prep (40-weeks). Upside off spell. A long way off them at Caulfield Heath on debut when in the market. Recent jump-out success. Big watch.

ILB

First run back from a break of 40 weeks. Odds of $5.00 and was well beaten when 9th last run at Caulfield Heath but fitter for debut run.

IRD

Resuming after a break of 40 weeks. At $5.00 struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Caulfield Heath but having second career run.

RSIS

Fresh after break of 40 weeks. Started 4/1 and tailed off to finish 9th last run at Caulfield Heath but having second career run. Facing a weaker group of contenders.

9MardaloopJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Vincent Hall756kg–17.003.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 227%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Vincent Hall in good form, out performing market 106%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

3yo filly making her debut and out of the Nadeem mare Our Harmony. Won a Mornington jump-out 16/9. Market watch advised.

ILB

Initial race appearance 3yo by Blue Point for trainer Vincent Hall. Watch betting.

IRD

First appearance at the races 3yo by Blue Point for Vincent Hall. Watch the market moves.

RSIS

Vincent Hall 3yo by Blue Point on debut.

10Miss Home BodyJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman656kg–10.003.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Cost $210K. Unraced 3yo filly out of the listed winning mare Sheiswhatsheis. 4th & 5th at latest jump-outs. Look out for any stable confidence.

ILB

Initial appearance 3yo by Stay Inside for Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody. Betting as a guide.

IRD

3yo by Stay Inside having first race start for trainer Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody. Market as guide.

RSIS

3yo debutant by Stay Inside for Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody.

11Model GigiJ: Jamie Mott·T: John Mcardle256kg6 22: 0-1-08.002.65

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Pakenham1100m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.4L
6Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (20-weeks). Drawn to get a soft run. Right in the mix again fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up. Narrowly denied victory last start at Pakenham and will try to take advantage of the alley. Should be going forward early. Could be in the mix.

IRD

Racing fresh after a break. Narrowly denied victory last time at Pakenham and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early speed. Solid prospects.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was agonizingly close last time at Pakenham and has a good draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has some claims.

12Teddy's TrotterJ: Damien Thornton·T: Mitchell Leek1556kg–15.003.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Mitchell Leek striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Cost $7,500. 3yo filly out of the 2-time winning mare Spotty Socks. Won past couple of jump-outs. Draw could be an issue but betting could prove decisive.

ILB

3yo first starter by Headwater for trainer Mitchell Leek. Keep your eye on the market.

IRD

Headwater 3yo trained by Mitchell Leek having first race appearance. Watch for a sign in the market.

RSIS

Headwater 3yo trained by Mitchell Leek having first race start.

13Senza NomeJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr858kg2 9 6 33: 0-0-117.003.90

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT61.4L
6Terang1000m12 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY107.1L
9Caulfield1000m15 Oct 2025 · 2yo · GOOD46.8L
2Caulfield800m2 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
M G & M Price & Kent striking at just 10%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Thomas Stockdale 39% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Solid 2nd in a jump-out here 21/9. May warrant a place ticket.

ILB

First run back from a break. Picked up late ground when 3rd last start at Caulfield Heath and up against weaker rivals. Will need a big effort to win this.

IRD

First up from a spell. Good performance to run into 3rd last start at Caulfield Heath and facing a weaker group of contenders. Will be tested in this.

RSIS

Back after a break. Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last time at Caulfield Heath and taking on a lower class of opponents.

14Boy From ZadarScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort at Ballarat at his second race start when firmed from $26 into $19. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and made up ground when 5th last run at Ballarat.

IRD

Started at $19.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last start at Ballarat.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and ran past a few when 5th last start at Ballarat.

15NautiqueJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Charlotte Littlefield956kg–17.003.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 39% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (18-weeks). Well down the track at Pakenham on debut. Expect will need this run.

ILB

First up from a break. Jumped at $13.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Pakenham but was a debutant last start. Remote chance at best.

IRD

First up after a break. Jumped at $13.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Pakenham but was on debut last time. A demanding task.

RSIS

Back from a break. Odds of 12/1 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at Pakenham but having second race start.

16Inside WordJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin1358kg–61.008.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Holly Durnan 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (53-days). Well beaten in two runs to date. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Was $41.00 and disappointing display when 8th last run here. Likely to settle back in the field. Looks hopeful.

IRD

Back from a let up. Started at $41.00 and performed below standard when 8th last start at this track. Gets back and needs luck. Rough chance.

RSIS

Freshened up. Started at 40/1 and mediocre display when 8th last start around here. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

Odds correct as at 11:10 am AEST. Odds can change.