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Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 3 — Drummond Golf (Bm74) 1600m · jumps 7:15 pm AEST

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM74,Benchmark 74
  • SYNTHETIC
  • Showers
  • 4 runners

Shortest win price

Two Wolves (4)

2.30

Most career wins

All Business

4-4-2 from 24 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Two Wolves

Midfield

  • 7Rock Them Jools
  • 6All Business

Leader

  • 8Mr Sioux

  • Two Wolves · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • All Business · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rock Them Jools · Positive

    Key Jockey

    Jye McNeil winning at 4% POT in last 100 rides

  • Mr Sioux · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Xtra RushScratched1––––

Career

9: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Warrnambool2350m7 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY103.6L
  2. 2Flemington2500m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD32L
  3. 4Caulfield2400m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD31.2L
  4. 2Caulfield2000m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
  5. 3Flemington2000m28 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD42.2L
  6. 1Caulfield Heath1800m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
  7. 1Mornington2050m5 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-2.3
  8. 1Sale1700m17 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · GOOD4-0.75

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Goes like a bomb fresh. Tested against better opposition last prep. Stacks up well first-up here.

ILB

First up and dictated the tempo to win by a nose first up last preparation at Caulfield Heath. Challenged by weaker competitors. Has a nice advantage with a good gate.

RSIS

Resuming and dictated terms in front when winning by a margin of a nose resuming last preparation at Caulfield Heath. Facing a weaker group of contenders.

2Fridge MonsterScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Settled close and ran an honest race this course. Fit from racing, can make his presence felt with even luck.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $16.00 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last run at Cranbourne. Sheridan Clarke takes the reins today.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Was 15/1 and didn't find the line when 4th last run at Cranbourne. Sheridan Clarke rates highly aboard.

3Breathless SpiritScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

First-up (15-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 62 company at Geelong first-up last preparation. Has an adverse draw for return. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh in this company.

ILB

Resuming. Was $3.50 and finished 6th last start at Murray Bridge and down in trip.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Started 5/2 and came in 6th last start at Murray Bridge and back in trip.

4Two WolvesJ: Jamie Mott·T: A & S Freedman658.5kg1 1 5 7 78: 3-0-0Two Wolves win2.30–

Career

8: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 3-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 3-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Sandown1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.1L
  2. 7Sandown1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY86.9L
  3. 5Caulfield1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
  4. 1Caulfield1400m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
  5. 1Sandown1400m8 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-2.5
  6. 7Cranbourne1200m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.5L
  7. 5Sandown1400m9 July 2025 · 3Y BM64 HCP · SOFT52.4L
  8. 1Cranbourne1400m22 June 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield, ran on fairly without troubling in choppy conditions 3yo+ (Bm78) at Sandown-Hillside second-up. Latest below par but fitter now and worth another look.

ILB

Started $18.00 and ran 7th last run at Sandown. Should improve. Should be swooping on the field late. Definite claims for punters.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and ran 7th last run at Sandown. Likely to bounce back. Shows very good finishing pace. Will go close.

5HaaracaineScratched3––––

Career

22: 4-0-4

Rating · IRD

20

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 2-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-0-3

Last starts

  1. 9Caulfield1800m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD36.15L
  2. 4Gold Coast2226m6 June 2026 · BM78 · GOOD42.1L
  3. 5Randwick2000m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY103.9L
  4. 5Caulfield2000m9 May 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT76.6L
  5. 4Flemington1800m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD32.6L
  6. 7Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.7L
  7. 11Geelong1500m23 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT76.3L
  8. 14Flemington1200m4 Oct 2025 · BM78 · GOOD39.6L

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Caulfield. Better for the outing. Won only other time at Cranbourne. Has some claims.

ILB

Was $8.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Caulfield.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Caulfield.

6All BusinessJ: Ben Allen·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin956.5kg4 11 2 10 124: 4-4-2All Business win4.00–

Career

24: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    3: 1-1-1

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 3-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Caulfield Heath1600m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.3
  2. 10Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT62.55L
  3. 2Caulfield1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.25L
  4. 11Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT69.3L
  5. 4Bendigo1300m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.5L
  6. 2Caulfield Heath1500m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.8L
  7. 6Sandown1400m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · SOFT54.5L
  8. 3Caulfield Heath1600m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD40.45L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Ben Allen current POT is 35% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 43% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Caulfield Heath over this journey. Well placed for repeat.

ILB

Rounded them up to win last run at Caulfield Heath. Jockey Ben Allen has been successful aboard previously. Expect support.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late to win last start at Caulfield Heath. Ben Allen is very comfortable aboard. Winning chance.

7Rock Them JoolsJ: Jye Mcneil·T: C J Waller555kg12 4 12 5 214: 2-2-1Rock Them Jools win6.00–

Career

14: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    7: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
  2. 5Caulfield Heath1500m29 Apr 2026 · 0 -66 · GOOD41.7L
  3. 12Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT510.7L
  4. 4Caulfield Heath1500m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  5. 12Pakenham1400m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD412.9L
  6. 1Cranbourne1400m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD3-0.2
  7. 4Sandown1300m28 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
  8. 6Bendigo1400m17 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.1L

Insights

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jye McNeil winning at 4% POT in last 100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Landed handy, unable to go with winner in Benchmark 62 company at Mornington first up. Strips in better shape. Won only other time at Cranbourne. Warrants attention.

ILB

Good effort to place 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last run at Mornington but facing formidable opponents. Carrying less weight this time. Not at all out of this race.

RSIS

Did well to place 2nd last time at Mornington but up against a higher level of opposition. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Can't leave out of your calculations.

8Mr SiouxJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher755kg2 1 43: 1-1-0Mr Sioux win2.80–

Career

3: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.45L
  2. 1Warrnambool1400m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-0.5
  3. 2Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT60.8L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $3.60 when battled home to finish 4th at Mornington. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Jumped at $3.60 and faded in the final stages of the race when 4th last run at Mornington and good career start. Will be positive in the run early. Winning chance.

RSIS

Started 13/5 and to tire late when 4th last start at Mornington and promising career start. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Taking on stronger rivals. Will be competitive.

9Kiwi JenniScratched2––––

Career

7: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Caulfield Heath1600m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.32L
  2. 5Geelong1765m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.9L
  3. 3Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT71.3L
  4. 7Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.1L
  5. 1Seymour1600m21 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.3
  6. 3Geelong1525m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L
  7. 2Hamilton1400m7 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.75L
  8. 5Colac1000m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial3.4L

Insights

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Caulfield Heath over this journey. Usually gets back. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Right up there last start at Caulfield Heath and can find a nice position from the draw. Looking sharp on the track since coming back from a spell.

RSIS

Close to a win last start at Caulfield Heath and has a positive stall. Exhibiting good form lately.

10Delightful JourneyScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Sent out $6 when unable to threaten in testing conditions at Moe. Meeting stronger company. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started $6.00 and folded up in the straight when 12th last start at Moe and competing at a higher class. Teodore Nugent is a key booking.

RSIS

Was 5/1 and didn't find the line when 12th last run at Moe and up against a more competitive field. Teodore Nugent is a plus and gets some weight relief.

Odds correct as at 11:10 am AEST. Odds can change.