Pakenham Synthetic (VIC) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham Synthetic (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 2 October 2026

Race 8 — Ladbrokes More On Tote Win (Bm66) 1200m · jumps 9:45 pm AEST

Race notes

3yo+,BM66,Benchmark 66
SYNTHETIC
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

The Volta (10)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10The Volta

Midfield

4Rich On Bubbles
5Attachments
6Express Class

Onpace

3King West
8Persian Caviar

Leader

11Shystar

King West · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Rich On Bubbles · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Attachments · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Express Class · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Electric ElvisScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Holding form. Found enough to place in small field at Bendigo. Take stopping despite hefty weight.

ILB

Finished well when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Bendigo. In strong racing shape this campaign.

RSIS

Rattled home nicely into 2nd last start at Bendigo on a heavy rated track. In good racing form since returning from a break.

2Wolf Twenty OneScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Consistent through last prep. Form solid this distance. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break of 14 weeks and rocketed home when winning first up last preparation at Cranbourne. Will be well suited at the distance.

RSIS

Resuming and ran home strongly to win resuming last preparation at Cranbourne. Ideal trip as proven previously.

3King WestJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: E Jusufovic660.5kg2 4 3 4 111: 3-2-111.003.80

Career

11: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
2: 1-1-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1017m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Moe1208m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-2
4Sale1000m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.8L
3Sale1200m8 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31.5L
4Cranbourne1000m19 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD42.2L
2Cranbourne955m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
8Cranbourne1200m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD414L
6Hamilton1100m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT59.7L
4Sale1210m9 Oct 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD40.19L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Broke clear to win impressively at Moe when second-up. Has early speed. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Finished well when winning last start at Moe on a heavy track and proven performer at this distance in the past. Won't be far away during the run. Strong prospects.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last time at Moe on a heavy track and proven performer at this trip. Should be going forward early. Caitlin Hollowood takes a large claim. Gets a chance against these.

4Rich On BubblesJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes560.5kg1 13 5 6 98: 3-0-07.503.20

Career

8: 3-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 3-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD33.1L
6Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo · SOFT64.61L
5Caulfield Heath1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT61L
13Randwick1400m4 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT728.6L
1Caulfield1200m21 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD4-1.8
1Murray Bridge1100m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD4-4.1
1Pakenham1000m12 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
10Flemington1000m4 Oct 2025 · 2yo · GOOD38.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 134%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 52%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Off pace and comfortably beaten at Flemington. Drops to shorter trip. Not out of this.

ILB

Started at $51.00 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Flemington but back in an easier grade. Large claim helps. Will be tested.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and looked outclassed when 9th last time at Flemington but facing weaker opposition. Large claim helps.

5AttachmentsJ: Holly Durnan·T: Archie Alexander1460kg1 4 2 6 310: 3-2-14.202.05

Career

10: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
9: 3-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 2-2-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
6Cranbourne1200m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.9L
2Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
4Sandown1200m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
1Kilmore1200m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT7-2.3
2Mornington1200m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD0.1L
10Caulfield1200m28 June 2025 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT623.3L
1Cranbourne1200m9 May 2025 · 2UP F&M BM64 HCP · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 288%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 2 when second up

Comments

AAP

Stationed around midfield, positive response gaining late ground at Caulfield Heath after lengthy absence. Unbeaten second-up and takes a 3kg claim. Can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Caulfield Heath. Ms Holly Durnan usually performs well for the Archie Alexander stable. Expecting a strong showing.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 3rd last time at Caulfield Heath. Jockey Ms Holly Durnan and trainer Archie Alexander show promise as a duo. Solid prospects.

6Express ClassJ: Patrick Moloney·T: G M Moloney960kg7 7 8 8 510: 1-0-17.503.20

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.65L
8Bendigo1300m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY98.16L
8Caulfield1100m25 July 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT64.3L
7Flemington1600m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.8L
7Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.7L
6Caulfield1200m24 Jan 2026 · 3yo · GOOD31.7L
9Flemington1000m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.6L
6Caulfield1200m30 Aug 2025 · 3yo · SOFT56.6L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Caulfield Heath over this trip. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Caulfield Heath. Has strong claims.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and outmuscled late when 5th last start at Caulfield Heath. Commands respect.

7FehmarnScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Won a 1000m Benchmark 66 at Bendigo two back. Big weight took its toll at Sandown-Hillside. Usually prominent. Worth a look.

ILB

Jumped at $5.50 and finished 4th last start at Sandown but showing consistent performance in races. Going well this campaign.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and ran 4th last run at Sandown but showing consistent performance in races.

8Persian CaviarJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman1159kg1 2 3 1 85: 2-1-15.502.50

Career

5: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

8Caulfield1100m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT78.8L
1Sandown1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.8
3Sandown1200m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
2Ballarat1200m19 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
1Wangaratta1100m23 Dec 2024 · Maiden · GOOD4-2.5

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 48% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Placed at Sandown-Lakeside first-up last campaign. Back to weaker company. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and ran on strongly when 3rd first up last preparation at Sandown. Should race on the speed. Taking on a lower class of opponents. Will go close.

RSIS

Resuming and rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L resuming last preparation at Sandown. Should muster plenty of early pace. Challenged by less formidable competitors. Capable of winning this.

9Legacy BayScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Form honest through last campaign. Placed at Caulfield first-up last campaign. Each way.

ILB

Back after a break. Jumped at $6.00 and finished 9th last time at Caulfield but will find this grade more suitable. Goes up in weight.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Was 5/1 and came in 9th last start at Caulfield but back in an easier grade. Goes up in weight.

10The VoltaJ: Logan Bates·T: J F Moloney1358.5kg2 5 3 5 611: 2-3-13.001.65

Career

11: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-3-1

Last starts

6Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.65L
5Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT73.1L
3Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD42.5L
5Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD32L
2Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD40.1L
3Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
2Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD31.8L
2Cranbourne1400m27 Dec 2025 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD31.3L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 15% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Caulfield Heath first up. Strips fitter and takes a 1.5kg claim. Ticks the track and distance win box. Warrants attention.

ILB

Odds of $3.90 and came in 6th last start at Caulfield Heath. Should bounce back. Possesses very good finishing speed. Should give this a shake.

RSIS

At 3/1 finished 6th last time at Caulfield Heath. Happy to forgive that run. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Has the ratings to win this.

11ShystarJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes258kg5 11 3 7 910: 2-0-25.502.50

Career

10: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-2

Last starts

9Murray Bridge1200m13 June 2026 · 3Y SW+P · SOFT613.5L
7Morphettville1200m30 May 2026 · CL2 · SOFT73.3L
3Morphettville1300m16 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT51L
11Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD35.2L
5Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD43.4L
3Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
1Ballarat1400m6 Dec 2025 · 3-5yo · SOFT6-0.2
1Geelong1207m14 Nov 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD-0.15

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Won the 3,4&5yo Hcp (C3) Ballarat 6 Dec. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break. Odds of $11.00 and faded to finish 9th last time at Murray Bridge but drawn nicely. Should jump out and bowl along. Could feature here.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 10/1 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Murray Bridge but drawn nicely. Lachlan Neindorf rates highly. Should come to hand quickly. Watch the betting.

12One Day At A TimeScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Gallant display at Caulfield Heath over today's trip. Can challenge again.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Caulfield Heath.

RSIS

Good effort to run 2nd last run at Caulfield Heath.

13Blue BanditScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Ex J Leek Jnr in Victoria. Failed to threaten in heavy ground at Bendigo over longer assignment. Happy to watch.

ILB

Back from a let up. Odds of $6.50 and weakened under pressure when 13th last start at Bendigo on a heavy rated track and down in trip. Change in trainer.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Odds of 11/2 and faded away to finish 13th last run at Bendigo and coming back in trip. Change in trainer.

14KarrenScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Debut winner at Sandown-Lakeside 10 Dec. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Geelong at second outing. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Just shy of the win last run at Geelong.

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Geelong.

15BalanceScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Terrific winning the 4yo+ Mdn Plate over 1100m at Geelong at $1.65. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Finished hard to win last run at Geelong but matched against tougher rivals. Displaying improvement over the past few runs.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last run at Geelong and showing improvement in recent outings. Matched against a stronger field.

16PurgatorioScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Off midfield when flew home to score at Ballarat second-up. This will ask more.

ILB

Picked up late to win last start at Ballarat and gets a favourable gate. Solid career start. Challenged by more formidable competitors.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last run at Ballarat and has the ideal draw. Solid career start. Up against a more competitive field.

Odds correct as at 11:10 am AEST. Odds can change.