Shortest win price
Polymer (3)
3.10
The Port Macquarie track hosts the Flower Hotels Country Boosted Benchmark 66 Handicap over 1200m on a Soft 6 surface with fine weather overhead. Looking at the early win market order, Polymer heads betting as the shortest runner, closely followed by Wishful Thinker, Calypso Rocket, and Myalaby rounding out the leading market fancies in this competitive provincial assignment.
Polymer sits right at the top of the betting for trainer Paul Snowden with Luke Rolls taking the mount from barrier seven, having finished midfield here first-up in soft going before an encouraging barrier trial win at home. Meanwhile, the consistent Calypso Rocket resumes from a sixteen-week spell for M P Quinn with Ashley Morgan booked from barrier three, boasting a strong local record where both career victories have been achieved on this exact surface.
Further down the line, Wishful Thinker is drawn wide in barrier eleven for Glen Milligan and maps to use early speed as a designated leader after fading late over this track and distance last time out. Myalaby also commands attention from barrier two under Danny Peisley following a smart closing effort for second in benchmark 66 grade at Muswellbrook, adding depth to an intriguing race where the value sits with those tracking the speed.
Shortest win price
Polymer (3)
3.10
Most career wins
Wanjina Rose
11-8-8 from 72 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Calypso Rocket · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Tact · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Polymer · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jewels Statement · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Career
7: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 2-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (16-weeks). Test in highway company last prep. Both wins were here and looks suitably placed fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Taree on a heavy track and strong form at this distance. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Well beaten third over 6½f at Taree (handicap) in July; boasts winning form over C&D; every chance.
RSIS
Fresh today. Managed to run into 3rd last start at Taree on a heavy surface and proven runner at this distance. Jockey Aaron Bullock rates highly. Capable of winning this.
Career
22: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 1-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1506m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 1-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-2-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Never sighted this course over longer test. Has a tricky draw. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
At $31.00 didn't attack the line when 8th last time at this venue and back in trip. Would be more keen on the chances of others.
RP
Was eighth of nine, beaten 9l, here over 7½f (handicap) last month; track has proven suitable before; has shown glimpses of ability recently and not ruled out.
RSIS
Was 30/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at this track and will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
6: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 37%
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced in soft going this venue first up. Better for the outing. Will be out to make amends.
ILB
Was $1.85 and ran past a few when 5th last run at this venue. Has to be in the finish.
RP
Disappointing to see him finish fifth two weeks ago given market expectations over 5½f here (handicap, had two of these rivals behind); a C&D winner; knows how to win so cannot be ignored.
RSIS
Started 5/6 and moved through the field into 5th last start here. Major chance.
Career
25: 5-4-3
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 2-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
16: 4-3-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Ben Looker 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 4 when resuming
AAP
Let-up (70-days). Failed to threaten at Coffs Harbour but placed only other time here and not out of this fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and claimed late when 2nd first up last preparation at Taree. Others are more appealing.
RP
Found life tough when 7l back in seventh, finishing well behind reopposing Wanjina Rose at Coffs Harbour in September; she can be competitive at this level; ought to give it a shot given she won a handicap two runs back.
RSIS
Resuming and was outmatched at the end of the race when 2nd resuming last preparation at Taree.
Career
58: 10-2-11
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
8: 1-0-3
Second-up
7: 2-1-2
Third-up
6: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Happy Valley
3: 2-0-0
Track Sha Tin
40: 5-1-7
Distance 1200m
42: 8-1-7
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
51: 8-2-8
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 2-0-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got the wobbles late after leading this venue over this distance. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Among the dangers.
ILB
Started $11.00 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last run around here. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Producing consistent form; respectable fourth two weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and peaked on the run when 4th last start here. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.
Career
21: 3-4-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 1-2-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1204m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy competitor. Responded strongly to score in small field at Coffs Harbour over today's trip. Shapes as a major player again.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Bold effort when winning last start at Coffs Harbour. Should get going late. Could feature here.
RP
Successful by just over 2l at Coffs Harbour last Wednesday; despite that Coffs Harbour success, may be vulnerable.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Stormed home to win last start at Coffs Harbour. Will be hitting the line strongly. Could be in the mix.
Career
72: 11-8-8
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-2-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
11: 2-0-2
Track Ballina
6: 1-0-0
Track Taree
9: 2-0-2
Distance 1200m
11: 0-0-4
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
34: 2-3-5
Going Heavy
18: 6-1-2
Going Soft
19: 2-4-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Failed to threaten on a soft deck this track at double-figure odds. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last start at this track. Likely to get back in the run. Priced to finish behind most.
RP
Has won at this course; hasn't really fired since her success in a handicap at Coffs Harbour in September; last of eight over 5½f here (handicap) two weeks ago; this looks a decent race so passed over.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at this track. Prefers to settle towards the tail.
Career
35: 4-5-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Kempsey
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1006m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1204m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
14: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 1-4-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Neil Godbolt striking at just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Backing up quickly. Ordinary performance in small field in sodden conditions at Kempsey. Needs a form spike.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Made up ground when 5th last start at Kempsey on a heavy surface and hard to fault at the distance. Small possibility.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 8l into fifth) over 5f at Kempsey (handicap) on Friday; C&D has proven suitable before; generally modest form since handicap success at Port Macquarie in April; this looks a decent race so others more appealing.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Picked up some late ground when 5th last start at Kempsey and have to respect the form at this distance. Displays good closing pace.
Career
14: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1263m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 64%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 58% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Freshened. Led, gave away final stages this track. Has early speed. Can play a role.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and faded away to finish 8th last time at this venue but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Looks hopeful.
RP
Close up behind Wishful Thinker when eighth over 5½f here (handicap) posting a respectable effort last month; a few rivals look in good form so looks opposable.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last run at the track but can save some energy from the stall.
Career
27: 3-4-6
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-1-2
Second-up
5: 1-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
5: 2-1-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
4: 0-1-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-1
Distance 1250m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-2-3
Going Soft
15: 2-2-3
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Danny Peisley 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Really good run coming from the back in (Bm66) at Muswellbrook. Not out of this.
ILB
Zipped home into 2nd last time at Muswellbrook and has a positive alley. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Serious contender.
RP
Good effort when just over 2l runner-up over 6½f at Muswellbrook (handicap) last month; produced several respectable runs lately; patchy form recently.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Muswellbrook and has a positive stall. Form has been improving over recent runs. Should not be far away.
Career
17: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Ended last prep in ordinary fashion but usually needs the run and this is short of optimum. Looks a risk fresh.
ILB
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Jumped at $91.00 and came in 7th last time at Grafton. Can't recommend.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; not really built on success in a handicap in May at Port Macquarie; beaten 5l over 7f at Grafton (handicap) in July; layoff to overcome; this is competitive and easy to oppose.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started 90/1 and came in 7th last start at Grafton.