Port Macquarie (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:45 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Port Macquarie (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 12 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 12 NovPort Macquarie (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Fernhill Tavern Country Boosted Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Thu 12 Nov, 3:05 pm AEDT

Race preview

Port Macquarie plays host to a competitive Fernhill Tavern Country Boosted Mdn Plate over 1200m on a Soft 6 surface under fine skies. The win market order places Redland Bay at the head of affairs, closely followed by Lonestar Liam, Fratianno, and Super Vitality in early calculations. This maiden field presents plenty of tactical intrigue with speed drawn right across the map, giving punters a fascinating puzzle to unpack.

Diving into the form of the market principals, Redland Bay resumes in the second campaign following a 17-week break off a sound Grafton and Inverell preparation where a close second caught the eye. Danny Peisley takes the mount with strong recent riding metrics behind him. Meanwhile, Fratianno brings extensive experience with twenty-three starts in the maiden ranks, coming off a solid closing effort at Coonabarabran and a prior Port Macquarie fourth. Super Vitality also holds claims after finishing a valiant third in a Country Boosted Maiden Plate at Beaumont, suggesting this grade suits.

Further down the order, Womensworld stands out with Jenny Duggan in the saddle, backed by a hot jockey and trainer combination showing strong performance figures above market expectations, having placed second multiple times including a recent consistent sequence. The value sits with getting behind runners like Redland Bay and Womensworld who find themselves suited in this grade, while the market's missed some of the deeper form lines for an upset in a wide-open contest.

Race notes

CTRY MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT6
Fine
13 runners

Shortest win price

Lonestar Liam (5)

3.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Lonestar Liam

Offpace

4Redland Bay
12Lotsa Dipity
3Fratianno
1Cedar Dreams

Onpace

2Don't Tell Harry
8Super Vitality
9Bobbin Back
13Ms Wicked Showgirl

Firststart

6Matchless

Leader

10Miss Como
11Sunny Quarters
14Womensworld

Cedar Dreams · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Don't Tell Harry · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Fratianno · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Redland Bay · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cedar DreamsJ: Anna Roper·T: R T Dawson359kg8 6 5 63: 0-0-0$81.00$10.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Taree1412m12 May 2026 · MDN · HEAVY84.8L
5Taree1312m21 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L
6Taree1000m9 Apr 2026 · MDN · SOFT65.2L
8Taree1000m23 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial22.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (26-weeks). Had few supporters in modest first prep on wet tracks. Prefer to see.

ILB

Resuming after a 26 week spell. Started at $31.00 and came in 6th last time at Taree. Would be more keen on the chances of others.

Not disgraced when sixth (Taree) in May in a handicap; still searching for first win after three tries; back from an absence here; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break of 26 weeks. Started 30/1 and came in 6th last run at Taree.

2Don't Tell HarryJ: Zac Wadick·T: Joseph Burges1359kg4 9 3 5 1317: 0-0-1$41.00$6.00

Career

17: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD411.31L
5Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT62.49L
3Tuncurry1400m11 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD31.7L
9Taree1300m31 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT611.6L
4Taree1250m14 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.6L
8Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.9L
5Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.3L
10Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1017.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Fresh. In touch but deep and ran out of petrol quickly this course over longer assignment. Another deep draw and leaning towards others here.

ILB

Jumped at $6.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 13th last start around here and dropping back to a shorter trip. Rising in weight. Needs to improve.

Still winless and defeats stacking up (16 on the bounce); towards the rear of 14 last month in a handicap; hard enough to fancy as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

At 5/1 didn't attack the line when 13th last time at this track and back in trip. Yet to break through after 16 starts and goes up in weight.

3FratiannoJ: Luke Rolls·T: Colt Prosser959kg3 2 3 4 223: 0-8-4$5.00$1.90

Career

23: 0-8-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-1
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 0-1-1
Going Good
12: 0-4-3
Going Soft
11: 0-4-1

Last starts

2Coonabarabran900m25 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD40.95L
4Port Macquarie1200m9 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.39L
3Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.2L
2Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.2L
3Tuncurry1200m24 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT71.8L
2Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
2Port Macquarie1006m31 July 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT60.9L
3Moree1400m31 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Primed to strike. Got back, closed the race off solidly at Coonabarabran. Long time in the maiden ranks but this looks within his reach.

ILB

Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Coonabarabran and back to an increased distance. Exhibiting good form this preparation. Winning potential.

Good effort when close up over 4½f at Coonabarabran (maiden) two weeks ago; shown recent signs of improvement but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 23; makes limited appeal as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Kept running on late when 2nd last start at Coonabarabran and back to an increased distance. Been in the money multiple times of late. Strong winning chance.

4Redland BayJ: Danny Peisley·T: Ms L Sheppard859kg5 4 2 64: 0-1-0$3.60$1.50

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Grafton1410m12 July 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L
2Inverell1400m19 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.2L
4Grafton1205m6 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.8L
5Inverell1200m22 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Danny Peisley 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (17-weeks). Lightly raced 5yo who hasn't been far away. Good recent trial hit-out. Sound claims fresh in this company.

ILB

Back from break. Started at $3.00 and lost ground when 6th last run at Grafton. Danny Peisley and Lisa Sheppard are a combination worth noting. Could feature here.

Comfortably beaten when sixth at 2-1 over 7f at Grafton (maiden) in July; returning from a layoff here; should figure judged on finishing second two starts back.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Was 2/1 and found wanting late when 6th last start at Grafton. Danny Peisley and Lisa Sheppard are usually competitive together. Could feature here.

5Lonestar LiamJ: Lee Magorrian·T: Lyndall Olson157.5kg5 2 10 92: 0-0-0$3.30$1.40

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Port Macquarie1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · SOFT67.63L
10Muswellbrook1000m26 July 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD44.4L
2Wyong845m8 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)2.2L
5Taree1000m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)10.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter this course at second start. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Started $15.00 and came in 9th last time at this venue but will appreciate a good gate. Likely to get back in the run. Rough chance today.

Missed the frame (beaten 8l into ninth) over 5f here (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and came in 9th last start here but gets the perfect stall. Likely to get back.

6MatchlessJ: Daniel Smith·T: J A Sprague657.5kg–$61.00$7.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam was stakes-placed. Gapped in only trial at Port Macquarie. Others with stronger preparations.

ILB

3yo by Kermadec on debut for John Sprague. Ran 4th in a trial at this venue on Oct 25th. Watch early betting.

From the same family as Ivan, a winner over 6f; conceding experience to all his rivals; sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; he's a serious player as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Kermadec for trainer John Sprague. Finished 4th in a trial at this track on Oct 25th.

7SamogonScratched1––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.48L
3Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L
4Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
1Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.1
4Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Todd Howlett striking at just 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Stepping out for only the second time after battling home this venue at healthy odds 9 Oct. Better for the run. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and ran 6th last start at this track but was on debut last time. Drawn beautifully.

Held on his debut (over 5f here) at 18-1 five weeks ago; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this; also engaged in race 4 at Quirindi.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and ran 6th last time at this venue but was a debutant last start. Has minimal work to do from the stall.

8Super VitalityJ: Ashley Morgan·T: T S Howlett1257.5kg3 3 1 4 35: 0-0-3$7.50$2.60

Career

5: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT52.7L
4Tamworth1200m12 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT51.01L
1Newcastle1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.2
3Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.7L
3Muswellbrook1000m1 May 2026 · 2Y C&G HCP · GOOD46.1L
3Scone1100m13 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.2L
8Muswellbrook1000m27 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT56.3L
2Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shown some ability. Was a valiant but vanquished third in the Country Boosted Mdn Plate at Beaumont second-up. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.

ILB

Honest race when 3rd last time at Newcastle and good career start. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Watch the betting.

Has shown some recent improvement; finished third when 8-13 at Beaumont two weeks ago; if he can build on his latest effort then one to be interested in.

RSIS

Competitive effort when 3rd last start at Newcastle and promising career start. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Not at all out of this race.

9Bobbin BackJ: Kacie Adams·T: Darren Treacy557kg9 10 9 4 611: 0-1-0$71.00$9.00

Career

11: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT53.36L
4Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.61L
9Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.28L
10Port Macquarie1500m26 Apr 2026 · MDN · SOFT716.2L
9Taree1250m9 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L
7Mount Gambier1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L
6Warrnambool1400m9 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
9Terang1406m20 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD413.8L

Insights

Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Beaumont. Rough place hope.

ILB

Started $31.00 and ran 6th last run at Newcastle. Should jump out and bowl along. Yet to break through after 11 starts. Prefer in a much weaker race.

Not beaten too far when sixth of ten at Beaumont two weeks ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce) and recent form nothing to write home about; probably unlikely to trouble the principals with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and came in 6th last run at Newcastle. Should muster plenty of early pace. Still a maiden after 11 runs.

10Miss ComoJ: Grace Palmer·T: G Prosser1057kg7 3 7 7 510: 0-1-2$34.00$6.00

Career

10: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
4: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Port Macquarie1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · SOFT65.51L
7Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.76L
7Taree1262m12 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY89.5L
3Port Macquarie1000m26 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT73.2L
7Port Macquarie1200m24 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT68.1L
5Coffs Harbour1212m1 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT53.9L
2Coffs Harbour800m15 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY82.2L
10Seymour1200m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.8L

Comments

AAP

Started $13 when battled home in Maiden company in soft going this venue. Hard to make a case.

ILB

At $13.00 came in 5th last run around here. Should muster plenty of early speed. Would rather look at others.

Ahead of Sunny Quarters and Lonestar Liam when fifth (beaten 6l) last month in a handicap; still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce); may have to settle for supporting role given many of her rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and ran 5th last time at the track. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

11Sunny QuartersJ: Teighan Worsnop·T: M J Robinson1157kg3 2 5 3 76: 0-1-2$51.00$7.50

Career

6: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
5: 0-1-2
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1262m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Port Macquarie1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · SOFT67.16L
3Taree1000m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT62.46L
5Taree1412m21 July 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY89.1L
2Taree1262m9 July 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY103.6L
3Taree1250m30 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY94L
4Taree1000m5 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY83.1L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -41%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 28%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 79% in L100 rides

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield, lacked required acceleration this venue second-up. Has an adverse draw. Place preferred option.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and finished 7th last run at this track. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Rough hope.

Has found improvement of late; finished seventh, beaten 7l, in a handicap 18 days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Was 20/1 and came in 7th last run at this track. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

12Lotsa DipityJ: Rory Hutchings·T: Patrick Cleave755.5kg5 41: 0-0-0$10.00$3.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT52.82L
5Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Patrick Cleave striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut at Beaumont at double-figure odds 26 Oct. Took valuable lessons and not out of this.

ILB

At $19.00 kept chasing when 4th last start at Newcastle and having second career run. Place at best.

Not beaten too far (just under 3l) on her debut showing greenness at Beaumont at 18-1 last month; should improve with a run under her belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and closed off nicely when 4th last run at Newcastle and having second race start.

13Ms Wicked ShowgirlJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: R J Agnew255.5kg7 3 11 9 65: 0-0-1$91.00$12.00

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Coffs Harbour800m31 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT74.06L
9Taree1000m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT64.25L
11Muswellbrook1000m5 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.62L
3Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.06L
7Taree1007m5 May 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY811.7L
3Tuncurry1005m18 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)13.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Robert Agnew striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Coffs Harbour. Only for exotics.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and faded to finish 6th last time at Coffs Harbour but racing over extra ground. Drawn nicely. This field likely to be too good.

Without a win in five attempts although has finished third; not disgraced in sixth over 4f at Coffs Harbour (maiden) last month; steps into the unknown over new trip and has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and tailed off to finish 6th last run at Coffs Harbour but going up in trip. Can find a nice position from the draw.

14WomensworldJ: Jenny Duggan·T: M P Quinn455.5kg2 4 2 4 24: 0-2-0$7.50$2.60

Career

4: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.03L
4Port Macquarie1204m4 July 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT71.8L
2Port Macquarie1110m14 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT72.5L
4Taree1007m12 May 2026 · MDN · HEAVY86.9L
2Newcastle800m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
6Taree1000m2 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 54% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 75%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan winning at 43% POT in last 100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. Close to the pace, lacked response when winner burst clear but kept boxing away this track first up. Can progress.

ILB

Improved to place when 2nd beaten by more than 4L last time at this track. Has shown early pace in races to date. Respect the betting.

Finished in front of several of these over 5f here (maiden) putting in a solid effort to finish runner-up last month; can figure.

RSIS

Finished well when 2nd last run around here. Displays good tactical pace. Watch the betting.

Odds correct as at Thu 12 Nov, 3:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sun 27 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races