Shortest win price
Vinny Nay (4)
2.70
Belmont hosts a competitive 1650m maiden where the track is rated a good 3 under fine weather conditions. The market has gravitated towards Vinny Nay as the short leader of betting, closely followed by Broda, Non Reflective, and Super God in the early win order. Punters looking for value will want to weigh up the chances of these market electives against a field packed with emerging triallers and consistent placegetters.
Vinny Nay comes into this on a quick back-up after issuing a decent challenge at this track over 1400m last time out, finishing second. The step up to 1650m looks ideal for the campaign. Broda represents an intriguing option for Summer Dickson, having held safety without being far away on debut at this venue over 1400m, while the William Pike factor and extra ground are bound to attract significant attention. Non Reflective also warrants respect from a soft draw following a solid second at Northam and a running-on effort from the back half here previously.
Further down the order, runners like Super God provide plenty of depth after finishing off well last start at Northam. The speed map points to an aggressive early push from leaders like Infrastructure, Roccabye, and Table Talk, which could set the race up nicely for those stalking on the pace or settling just behind the speed group. The value sits with those who can handle the quick back-up and relish the 1650m trip.
Shortest win price
Vinny Nay (4)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Infrastructure · Negative
1st Up
May need this run
Roccabye · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Poppy's Roses · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Vinny Nay · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Career
5: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Narrogin
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1720m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1920m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Returns for second campaign (28-weeks). On pacer. Straight to 1650m first-up. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Fresh today after a 28 week spell. At $8.50 didn't find the line when 6th last start at Narrogin. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Will struggle to compete in this race.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; sixth of ten beaten 7l at Narrogin in April in a handicap; returns from a break today; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Fresh today after a 28 week break. Started at 15/2 and didn't find the line when 6th last start at Narrogin. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Watson 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On pace but folded up quickly at Northam off long break. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started $41.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last time at Northam. Very unlikely to cause an upset.
RP
Yet to manage better than fourth in his five races; behind Non Reflective over 6½f at Northam (maiden) when beaten 6l last month; others are preferred.
RSIS
Started at 40/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Northam.
Career
11: 0-4-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Northam
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 0-3-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Zephen Johnston-Porter 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 149%
Key Jockey
Positive
Zephen Johnston-Porter winning at 28% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home into 4th in the small field at Northam at prohibitive odds. Strong SP profile but cops a horror gate.
ILB
Jumped at $1.14 and came in 4th last start at Northam and coming back in trip. The wide gate shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Definite claims.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts but yet to open her account after 11 starts; somewhat disappointing when finishing fourth (1-7) last month at Northam upped to 1m3f; makes limited appeal as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
At 1/10 came in 4th last start at Northam and dropping back to a shorter trip. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Great chance.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Issued decent challenge this track second-up. Looking for this trip now. Big show.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Just missed last run around here. Solid chance.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs; finished in front of Non Reflective and Super God here over 7f (maiden) when beaten a neck last Thursday (in first-time cheekpieces); now upped in trip and others more appealing.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Just missed last time at this track. Definite winning chance.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a short back-up. Ran on with some conviction from back half this course. Soft draw and profiles well.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $8.00 and ran 6th last start at the track. Capable of a strong comeback and gets a favourable gate. Should put in a decent effort.
RP
Improved form the last twice; far from disgraced (beaten 2l) over 7f here (maiden) last Thursday; finished ahead of Super God but was behind Vinny Nay; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; stamina to prove at this trip so others appeal more.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 7/1 came in 6th last time here. Should improve here and gets a favourable stall. Very tidy performer.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Engaged pace when a valiant but vanquished second at Northam. This looks more demanding.
ILB
Was competitive when 2nd last start at Northam. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Has raised her game the last twice; sound effort when 28-1 runner-up at Northam two weeks ago.
RSIS
Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Northam. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening this track. Right in the mix.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $6.50 and came in 8th last run here. Likely to bounce back. Competitive type.
RP
Creditable eighth over 7f here (maiden) last Thursday; four-race maiden but has managed to finish second; now upped in trip and easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. At 11/2 came in 8th last start around here. Happy to overlook that run. Should be in the finish.
Career
2: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Stefan Vahala striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handily placed and gave his all at Northam at second appearance. Sharper now, not out of it.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Northam. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts. Should go close.
RP
Ran well to finish second (beaten 1½l, Northam) two weeks ago; just his third outing so still early days.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Northam. Has run into the placings all attempts of late. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
9: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
4: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Jarrad Humphries striking at just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Well back and made limited headway at Northam. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started $41.00 and improved late to finish 5th last run at Northam. A 9 start maiden. Struggle to recommend.
RP
Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; not far behind Table Talk when fifth at Northam last month; this looks a decent race so looks risky.
RSIS
At 40/1 inched into 5th last time at Northam. Yet to break maiden status after 9 runs.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
William Pike 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Summer Dickson in good form, out performing market 34%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
Held safely but not too far away this venue on debut. W Pike factor and extra ground may help. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Started at $8.00 and ran 6th last time at this track but fitter for debut run. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Watch the betting.
RP
Solid debut run running here over 7f at 7-1 last month; can't be ruled out if giving a more streetwise showing.
RSIS
Was 7/1 and came in 6th last run at the track but having second career run. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Disappointing debut performance at Northam 25 Oct. Big lift needed from there.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and struggled with the pace when 10th last run at Northam but having second race start. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Some way behind the seventh, Bang On The Money, when beaten a fair way on first start at Northam in blinkers at 66-1 two weeks ago; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
Was 70/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Northam but was a debutant last start.
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Firststart
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-0). $45k purchase. Half to five time winner Foxicon. Indicated progression winning latest trial at Lark Hill. Kate Pateman sticks for debut.
ILB
3yo runner on debut by Acrobat for trainer Aaron Pateman and gets the perfect gate. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Respect the betting.
RP
Makes first racecourse appearance; sole newcomer in the field; a major contender as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 3yo by Acrobat for trainer Aaron Pateman and will appreciate a good stall. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Had no answers when the pressure went on this track debut at double-figure odds 28 Oct. Experience gained. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
Started at $26.00 and average performance when 10th last run at this track but was on debut last time. Might have to make up considerable ground. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Close up behind Broda 14 days ago when tenth running here over 7f with blinkers fitted; now knows what is expected of her; should not be ruled out.
RSIS
Was 25/1 and well beaten when 10th last time at the track but was a debutant last start. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Mack Hall striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -61% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unremarkable debut performance at Northam as an outsider 25 Oct. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and ran 7th last start at Northam but having second career run. Won't find this easy.
RP
Solid effort first time out at Northam at 40-1 two weeks ago; should be more streetwise; shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and came in 7th last start at Northam but fitter for debut run.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
AAP
Settled back and always among the cab-catchers at Ascot second-up. Quickly up in trip. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
On a short back up. Folded up in the straight when 15th last start at Ascot but going over extra ground.
RP
Towards the rear of 16 over 6f at Ascot (maiden) last Tuesday.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Didn't threaten when 15th last start at Ascot but racing over extra ground.