Shortest win price
Witch Of November (4)
2.15
Welcome to Canberra for the Capital Trophies and Sportswear Benchmark 50 Handicap over the 1000m scamper on a Soft 5 track with overcast skies, set to jump at 1:44 pm AEDT. The win market order sees Witch Of November heading the betting lines closely followed by Soho Sushi, Prophet Time, and Beau Rock holding down the tail of the market. This short-course scamper shapes as a fascinating tactical puzzle where early speed and track position will dictate the race shape right from the opening bell.
The case for the market leader Witch Of November centres around stable changes, returning from a 52-day let-up for trainer N J Olive after previously racing under W G Carroll. Although she went home tamely over a longer test at Griffith last time out, the drop back to 1000m under a new stable makes her a massive watch despite a cold jockey and trainer combination. Meanwhile, Soho Sushi maps off-pace from barrier 3 for trainer G G Kirkup and jockey Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen, arriving here off a solid runner-up effort over this exact track and trip where she gave a good sight filling the minors. Form suggests Soho Sushi can handle the conditions well, though the stable combination carries negative profit statistics over their recent outings.
Looking further down the speed map and market order, Prophet Time maps as the clear leader from the inside barrier 1 for trainer G P Vella and jockey Pierre Boudvillain. Despite failing to threaten at Bombala last start when well supported, that inside draw gives this seasoned 54-start veteran every chance to dictate terms on the speed. Beau Rock rounds out the field from barrier 2 for the same stable, but with poor recent strike rates for the rider Quayde Krogh and a pattern of passing mainly tired rivals over longer trips, this 71-start campaigner looks up against it dropping back in distance.
Shortest win price
Witch Of November (4)
2.15
Most career wins
Beau Rock
7-10-3 from 71 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Leader
Soho Sushi · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Witch Of November · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Prophet Time · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Beau Rock · Negative
Jockey Booking
Quayde Krogh current POT is 20% below Career Avg.
Career
34: 4-4-5
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Crookwell
2: 1-1-0
Track Grenfell
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1460m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 1-4-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6.5kg more than LS
AAP
Battled home okay at Albury when second-up. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Key player.
ILB
Came in 4th last run at Albury but has drawn the rails. Will have to carry extra weight.
RP
Recent efforts have generally been solid; useful at this level; not beaten that far at Albury last month; best of his form suggests ability; has claims.
RSIS
Finished 4th last run at Albury but drawn beautifully. Carrying more weight than last time.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Orange over this distance. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Solid effort when winning by 3/4L last time at Tumut.
RSIS
On a short back up. Was first past the post when winning by 3/4L last time at Tumut.
Career
40: 3-8-4
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-3-1
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-1
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Gave good sight filling the minors this track over this trip. Can challenge again.
ILB
Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last start here. Capable type.
RP
Knocking at the door recently; wasn't disgraced when second of seven where just ahead of Prophet Time 25 days ago.
RSIS
Did well to place 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last time here. Definitely worth considering.
Career
19: 1-6-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Narrandera
1: 0-1-0
Track Gundagai
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1065m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
9: 0-4-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Let-up (52-days). Ex W G Carroll. Trained here now. Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Griffith over longer test. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Let up. Jumped at $5.00 and below par when 7th last run at Griffith. Capable of a strong comeback but coming back in trip. First race for a new trainer. Expect a bold effort.
RP
You have to go back a fair way to find her only win; not beaten too far when seventh of ten at Griffith 52 days ago upped to 6½f; first run for stable; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Was 4/1 and uncompetitive when 7th last run at Griffith. Giving another chance here but down in distance. Racing for a new trainer. Great chance.
Career
54: 5-9-6
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
5: 1-1-0
Track Wagga
6: 1-2-1
Track Moruya
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1065m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-2
Distance 1280m
3: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $3 when unable to threaten at Bombala. Looks a top three chance.
ILB
At $20.00 mediocre attempt when 7th last run at Bombala. Has the talent to rebound quickly and gets a favourable gate. Pierre Boudvillain is a key engagement. Will go close today.
RP
Not beaten that far at Bombala over 5½f (handicap) two weeks ago; a previous winner here; hard to ignore based on the pick of her form.
RSIS
At 19/1 tailed off when 7th last run at Bombala. Has the ability to turn things around and drawn nicely. Pierre Boudvillain is a plus. Will go close here.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Kept fresh since resuming. Failed to flatter at Cootamundra off spell. Win wouldn't shock.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Cootamundra.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 10th last run at Cootamundra.
Career
71: 7-10-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 0-2-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
42: 6-9-0
Track Goulburn
4: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
27: 3-4-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Quayde Krogh current POT is 20% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals this course. Drops to shorter trip. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started at $7.00 and edged past some when finishing 5th last time here. Has good closing speed. Not out of this.
RP
Fifth beaten 7l over 6f here (handicap) last month; has won three times over course and distance; respected if replicating best previous efforts.
RSIS
Odds of 6/1 and made some ground when 5th last time at this track. Should be swooping on the field late. Will go close.