Dunkeld (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Dunkeld (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovDunkeld (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Ritchies IGA Hamilton Hcp (56) 1800m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 5:24 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Dunkeld meeting reaches race eight with the Ritchies Iga Hamilton Hcp over 1800m on a soft five track under overcast skies. The win market points to Paltinian as the shortest runner, followed closely by Tassadar, Rippa Buddy, and Mannerheim as the race jumps at 5:24 pm AEDT. Recent sectional data suggests a slow early pace, which could dictate how this restricted 56 handicap unfolds over the journey.

Paltinian arrives with solid credentials after finishing third at Wycheproof over this exact 1800m distance, where it ran on well for the minors after settling forward, and a prior fourth at Bendigo. Mannerheim steps out following a fourth at Avoca where it led before giving away the final stages, though its previous form points to strong third-up statistics. Tassadar looks to bounce back after failing to threaten at Mornington at double-figure odds following a sound runner-up effort at Moe two starts ago.

Further down the order, Rippa Buddy enters calculations carrying light weight off a handy third at Warrnambool where it knuckled down with purpose at healthy odds. Dusty's Deel maps as a leader alongside Paltinian, though it faces questions over the distance range. The bold play could rest with finding value away from the very top of the market if the early tempo allows a backmarker or on-pace runner to steal a march.

Race notes

0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
SOFT5
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Paltinian (4)

3.80

Most career wins

Rippa Buddy

5-3-6 from 44 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Peyton Jane

Offmidfield

2Mannerheim

Midfield

9Chateau Dancer

Offpace

1Dirty Robber
5Tassadar
7Rippa Buddy
11Dubai Legend
12Scandoval

Onpace

4Paltinian

Leader

13Dusty's Deel

Dirty Robber · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Mannerheim · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Paltinian · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tassadar · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Dirty RobberJ: Jack Martin·T: W P Cerchi160kg4 1 5 5 58: 1-0-0$6.50$2.25

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2156m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Colac1000m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
5Bendigo1600m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.8L
5Terang2156m17 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT66.8L
1Horsham2100m24 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-4.5
4Colac1600m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
7Warrnambool1700m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36.2L
7Wodonga1400m16 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.4L
10Moe1200m24 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT615.05L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Martin 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 192%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (24-weeks). Lone career win was over 2100m at Horsham in last campaign. Right in this fresh.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. At $81.00 kept chasing when 5th last run at Bendigo and competing at a lower level of competition. Drawn well. Will be tested.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bendigo (beaten just under 5l) over 1m (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome; hard to dismiss if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was 80/1 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Bendigo and challenged by weaker competitors. Drawn beautifully.

2MannerheimJ: Zac Spain·T: Jamie Edwards760kg6 14 9 7 433: 4-1-6$7.00$2.35

Career

33: 4-1-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1805m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2162m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-0-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 2-1-2

Last starts

4Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.6L
7Coleraine2250m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD35.62L
9Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.9L
14Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY815.7L
6Sandown1500m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY105.9L
7Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY811.3L
3Sunshine Coast2200m26 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT51.5L
9Doomben2070m12 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT54.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Struggling
Negative
Doesn’t look to be going well

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away final stages at Avoca. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Odds of $6.50 and gave ground late when 4th last start at Avoca. Will be trying to topple them late. Rates as one of the key chances.

Useful in this grade; solid effort over 1m1f at Avoca (handicap) in front of Whistler Girl last month; big player as recent performance was encouraging.

RSIS

Started at 11/2 and faded at the finish when 4th last run at Avoca. Should get going late. Solid prospects.

3Monsun's PrideScratched3––––

Career

10: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Werribee
2: 1-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Kilmore1612m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.75L
4Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.2L
7Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
3Ballarat Synthetic2100m2 July 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.3L
5Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4L
10Bendigo2200m29 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.27L
5Ballarat1600m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.8L
1Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 34%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Edged out late after making the pace at Kilmore. On pacer. Warrants attention.

ILB

Was in the race for a long way when 2nd last run at Kilmore and showing improvement in recent outings.

Good effort when close up at Kilmore over 1m (handicap) last month; recent efforts have generally been solid.

RSIS

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd last start at Kilmore and showing improvement in recent outings.

4PaltinianJ: Ryan Hurdle·T: Andrew Bobbin960kg4 5 3 4 316: 1-3-3$3.80$1.55

Career

16: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
12: 1-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Wycheproof1800m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
4Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.29L
3Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.12L
5Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.8L
4Bordertown2000m14 Nov 2025 · CL1-SW · GOOD4.78L
5Wycheproof1800m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP HCP · GOOD42.2L
7Manangatang2000m11 Oct 2025 · HCP · GOOD32.9L
1Mildura2000m7 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Never far away. Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Wycheproof over this journey. Should press forward. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Was outmuscled when 3rd last start at Wycheproof and competing in a less challenging grade. Has the speed to overcome the wide gate. Strong claims.

Has hit the frame in several recent runs; just the one win to his name; fair third of eight at Wycheproof last month.

RSIS

Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd last start at Wycheproof and competing in a lower grade. Will have to carry extra weight. Should put in a decent effort.

5TassadarJ: Linda Meech·T: Aaron Laing359kg4 11 6 2 1214: 1-1-0$5.00$1.95

Career

14: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Mornington2025m10 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD48.62L
2Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.3L
6Tatura1450m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
11Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.03L
4Echuca1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.6L
5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64L
8Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.1L
12Pakenham2000m12 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD415.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mornington at double-figure odds. Looks up against it.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Below par performance when 12th last run at Mornington. Could be in the mix.

Finished last of 12 over 1m2f at Mornington (handicap) on Tuesday; no surprise to see him go well as ran well in defeat two starts back.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Sub-standard effort when 12th last time at Mornington. Has some claims.

6Peyton JaneJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters458kg7 4 6 1 614: 1-0-0$34.00$5.00

Career

14: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Mount Gambier1400m7 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD47.57L
1Mount Gambier1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.06
6Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY94L
4Mount Gambier1300m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY104L
7Hamilton1200m26 May 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY1010.3L
11Casterton1400m8 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY813.41L
6Mount Gambier1400m25 May 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT58.7L
8Horsham1400m26 Apr 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT63.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mt Gambier at wide odds. Has her first look at 1800m here. Fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Was $51.00 and fairly underwhelming when 6th last time at Mount Gambier and will have to carry extra weight. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Making up the numbers.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; beaten 8l into sixth over 7f at Mt Gambier (handicap) five weeks ago; this only her second handicap outing; others are preferred as this is competitive.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and only fair when 6th last run at Mount Gambier and up in weight. Might have to make up considerable ground.

7Rippa BuddyJ: Tom Madden·T: D J Cannon658kg5 3 10 9 344: 5-3-6$6.50$2.30

Career

44: 5-3-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1741m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 906m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 4-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
17: 1-2-3

Last starts

3Warrnambool1700m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.92L
9Penola1600m16 Oct 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT511.96L
10Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.68L
3Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.5L
5Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT75L
7Stawell2000m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD47.85L
7Avoca1860m29 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD35.2L
4Mount Gambier1815m13 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Daryl Cannon striking at just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 60% Profit on Turnover
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Warrnambool at healthy odds. Right down in the weights. Has some claims.

ILB

Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Warrnambool. Marginal chance.

Outran 28-1 odds when a close third over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) last month; has possibilities if reproducing most recent effort.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Warrnambool.

8Idling BehindScratched11––––

Career

14: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-1-2
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.25L
4Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52.9L
3Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD34.5L
7Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.4L
11Wangaratta2000m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT712.6L
4Mildura2000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.8L
1Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.8
2Ballarat Synthetic1500m14 July 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 48%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No match but kept on for a distant second in the 3yo+ (Bm56) at Echuca over longer test. Can bounce back.

ILB

On a short back up. Started $8.00 and ran 5th last time at Bordertown.

Has lacked consistency of late; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bordertown (beaten just over 4l) over 1m2f (handicap) yesterday; this is competitive and hard enough to fancy; was due to run at Bordertown Friday.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 7/1 and finished 5th last time at Bordertown.

9Chateau DancerJ: Liana Wood·T: A R Mcgregor557kg6 1 5 6 1213: 1-3-1$6.50$2.30

Career

13: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Track Sale
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 2069m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

12Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT59.19L
6Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.65L
5Moe2069m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.5L
1Bairnsdale2200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-4.5
6Sandown1600m15 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY96.2L
2Sale1411m28 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY82.3L
7Pakenham2500m5 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD414.8L
2Moe2400m25 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Hamilton over longer assignment. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $11.00 and didn't find the line when 12th last run at Hamilton and back to a shorter distance. Blinkers go on for the first time. Could feature here.

Finished towards the rear of 13 over 1m3f at Hamilton (handicap) last month; this is competitive and unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and didn't attack the line when 12th last start at Hamilton and coming back in distance. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Watch the betting.

10Whistler GirlScratched4––––

Career

55: 6-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
8: 0-0-0
Second-up
7: 0-0-0
Third-up
6: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
33: 5-1-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Warrnambool1700m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD46.66L
6Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.7L
8Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD45.21L
1Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD3-2.25
3Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD41.8L
4Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT55.1L
3Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4L
6Ballarat Synthetic1500m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.8L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 62% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 102%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 74% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Warrnambool but she put in a very lacklustre finish. Drops in weight for this. A distance specialist.

ILB

Looked outclassed when 10th last run at Warrnambool but suited at this distance in the past. Christine Puls is a plus.

Finished tenth of 12 over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) last month; a few rivals look in good form so others more likely.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 10th last run at Warrnambool but have to respect the form at the trip. Christine Puls is a suitable booking.

11Dubai LegendJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Emma Hamblin1058kg10 12 1 3 135: 3-2-7$17.00$3.80

Career

35: 3-2-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-1
Track Benalla
2: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 2-1-7
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Wycheproof1800m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.25
3Horsham1800m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.2L
1Kerang1800m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.5
12Swan Hill1600m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD311.2L
10Naracoorte2000m8 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD416.2L
10Kyneton1856m31 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD37.7L
11Stawell1600m13 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD419.7L
10Swan Hill1600m23 Nov 2025 · 0-56 · GOOD412.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 202%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 92%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Finished too well winning 3yo+ (Bm52) at Wycheproof after lengthy absence. This will test his credentials.

ILB

Romped home to win last run at Wycheproof. Questions at this level.

Came out on top by just over 1l (Wycheproof) last month.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last start at Wycheproof.

12ScandovalJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell257.5kg5 3 7 9 1230: 3-0-4$34.00$5.00

Career

30: 3-0-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1708m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 2-0-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Hamilton1600m9 Nov 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD410.18L
9Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.47L
7Halidon1800m11 Oct 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD37.92L
3Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.2L
5Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.8L
12Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT67.5L
10Woolamai1708m7 Feb 2026 · Open9.9L
7Yea2140m24 Jan 2026 · Open9.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Long winning drought. Failed to flatter at Hamilton. Needs a form spike.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $71.00 and disappointing display when 12th last time at Hamilton but can find a nice position from the draw. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

This is his grade; finished towards the rear of 14 at Hamilton over 1m (handicap) a week ago; also engaged in race 5 at Yea.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Was 70/1 and just average when 12th last run at Hamilton but has a good draw.

13Dusty's DeelJ: Melissa Julius·T: Jess Gleeson857kg3 8 4 4 223: 1-5-3$10.00$2.90

Career

23: 1-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-2-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Track Kerang
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2108m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-0-2
Going Good
20: 1-5-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Wycheproof1800m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.25L
4St Arnaud2000m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.27L
4Manangatang2000m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.4L
8Kilmore2000m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.9L
3Warracknabeal1600m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.1L
3Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61L
9Werribee2108m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.8L
2Wangaratta2000m6 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Wycheproof over this trip. Good tactical speed and stamina.

ILB

Finished 2nd last run at Wycheproof. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Strong competitor.

Behind Dubai Legend at Wycheproof last month; consistent lately.

RSIS

Ran well when 2nd last time at Wycheproof. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Major chance.

14BellakaiScratched14––––

Career

33: 4-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
3: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
7: 1-1-0
Distance 2015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-4-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 3-1-0

Last starts

2Mildura1400m3 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
9Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.06L
8Bordertown2000m28 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY810.3L
11Casterton2000m7 June 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY813.9L
5Mildura2000m24 May 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD46L
12Ararat1600m9 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT712.12L
10Donald1350m2 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD39.8L
9Swan Hill1200m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 31% POT in last 100 rides
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Narrow miss in the 3yo+ (Bm52) at Mildura 3 Nov. Tackling stronger line-up.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last time at Mildura and back to an increased distance. Gets back and needs luck.

Not beaten far at Mildura over 7f (handicap) last week.

RSIS

Competed in a tight contest last run at Mildura and coming back up in distance. Might be ridden for luck.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.