Geelong (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:32 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geelong (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovGeelong (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Christmas Party Raceday Friday 11Th December Mdn Plate 1235m · jumps Fri 13 Nov, 1:10 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Geelong Christmas Party Raceday Friday 11Th December Mdn Plate plays out over 1235m on a good four surface under overcast skies, with the win market placing Resonant at the head of affairs ahead of Celestial Blue, Tiz The Tycoon, and Pocket Watch. The bold play here is to size up how these shorter-priced runners handle the trip, especially with the speed map placing Resonant right on the pace and Celestial Blue settling off the pace from barrier six under Lachlan Neindorf for Phillip and Tommy Stokes.

Resonant comes in for Ben, Will and Jd Hayes with Declan Bates aboard from barrier three, carrying a six-start maiden record that features a brave effort when leading and finishing sixth at Bendigo over 1000m, preceded by a narrow second at Pakenham Synthetic. Celestial Blue brings a 3: 0-1-1 career line, having grabbed a close-up third at Pakenham over 1000m on soft ground and a narrow second here at Geelong over 1125m on heavy nine going, suggesting the step up to 1235m suits if the runs fall right.

Further down the market, M M Laurie's debutant Tiz The Tycoon draws the inside alley with Patrick Moloney taking the steer, backed by stable form running at a strong profit and a solid Sandown jumpout win that points to a sharp first-up showing. Meanwhile, Superwill maps as a backmarker and goes hard early from barrier two for Holly Durnan and the L and T Corstens and W Larkin yard, rounding out a race where the value sits with runners who can absorb pressure and finish off strongly.

Race notes

3YC&G MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Resonant (5)

2.65

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Superwill

Offmidfield

4Pride In Motion

Onpace

2Celestial Blue

Firststart

3Pocket Watch
7Stilts
9Tiz The Tycoon

Leader

5Resonant

Celestial Blue · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Pocket Watch · Positive
Debutant
First race day appearance
Pride In Motion · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Resonant · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Boots OffScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Half to five time winner Invertational. Plenty of jumpout experience including finishing second in latest Wangaratta heat. Don't dismiss.

ILB

First start at the races 3yo by Dirty Work for Craig Weeding. Watch early betting.

Related to Invertational, winning form over 5f-7f; having his first start in public; gelded already; should get involved with signs of encouragement in profile and trainer is in good order.

RSIS

Initial race appearance 3yo by Dirty Work for trainer Craig Weeding.

2Celestial BlueJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes658kg2 33: 0-1-1$3.40$1.75

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1125m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52L
2Geelong1125m19 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY90.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Promising 3yo. Knuckled down in soft going for third at Pakenham for new stable when in the market. Right in this if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by 2L last run at Pakenham. Will go very close.

Minor honours in a maiden two weeks ago (12-5) at Pakenham on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Pakenham. Expected to be competitive.

3Pocket WatchJ: Jordan Childs·T: G M Begg758kg–$8.50$3.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

First named foal out of an unplaced French mare. Did best work late to finish fourth in latest Cranbourne jumpout. Positive jockey and trainer combination but may need further in time.

ILB

Grahame Begg trained 2yo by Tagaloa having first race start. Watch the betting.

This son of Tagaloa looks the part on breeding; stable can ready one first time out; can be on the premises with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

2yo by Tagaloa having first race start for Grahame Begg. Betting as a guide.

4Pride In MotionJ: Jason Webb·T: Ms D Loos458kg11 61: 0-0-0$126.00$18.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Colac1000m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.4L
11Ballarat1000m24 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD412.3L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 44%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (24-weeks). Well down the track at Ballarat on debut at huge odds. Third in recent Geelong jumpout. Plenty of improvement needed.

ILB

Back after a spell. Started $101.00 and gave away some ground when 11th last start at Ballarat but fitter for debut run. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Will find this tough.

Beaten on his debut over 5f at Ballarat at 100-1 in May; returns from a layoff; progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started 100/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Ballarat but fitter for debut run. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

5ResonantJ: Declan Bates·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes358kg2 7 6 2 66: 0-2-0$2.65$1.40

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Bendigo1000m28 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.52L
2Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC0.25L
6Flemington1100m6 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY83.9L
7Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.3L
2Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD30.5L
1Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Brave in defeat after leading at Bendigo. Worth a look.

ILB

Jumped at $3.30 and struggled with the pace when 6th last time at Bendigo. Capable of bouncing back. Very capable of taking this out.

Has displayed improved form on last two starts; fair effort (beaten 1½l) over 5f at Bendigo (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Was 9/4 and faded away to finish 6th last time at Bendigo. Capable of bouncing back. Competitive type.

6Rumours FlyScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). $1,250 Inglis Digital purchase. Out of a three-quarter sister to Efficient and is a half to two city winners. Impressive third in latest Pakenham jumpout. Nice gate and can measure up on debut.

ILB

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Lord Of The Sky for trainer Ms Rachael Frost. Betting as a guide.

Already gelded; this son of Lord Of The Sky makes first rules appearance; market may guide on this one.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Lord Of The Sky for trainer Ms Rachael Frost.

7StiltsJ: Luke Currie·T: K & K Keys558kg4$9.00$3.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
K & K Keys striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Half to four-time winner From Pantherland. Big gelding who won latest Cranbourne jumpout. One for exotics.

ILB

Career debut 3yo by Soul Patch for Ken Keys & Kasey Keys. Watch the market.

Already a gelding; this son of Soul Patch makes first rules appearance; warrants respect.

RSIS

Career debut 3yo by Soul Patch for trainer Ken Keys & Kasey Keys.

8SuperwillJ: Holly Durnan·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin258kg7 72: 0-0-0$7.00$3.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Flemington1200m4 July 2026 · 2Y FINAL · SOFT78.3L
7Flemington1000m28 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD48.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Looks primed to go after finishing second in latest Flemington jumpout. Best gate yet. Makes strong appeal fresh.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Jumped at $19.00 and average at best when 7th last start at Flemington but going down in class. Possesses good finishing speed. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Finished last of seven (Flemington) four months ago in a handicap; layoff to overcome; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Was 18/1 and disappointing outing when 7th last run at Flemington but taking on easier opposition. Has a nice turn of foot.

9Tiz The TycoonJ: Patrick Moloney·T: M M Laurie158kg–$6.50$2.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Patrick Moloney winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Half to four-time winner Bubble Palace. Given a solid hitout when winning latest Sandown jumpout. Benefit of decent alley and looks primed for debut.

ILB

3yo first starter by Written Tycoon for trainer Matt Laurie and drawn the rails. Watch the market moves.

Yard can ready a debutant; there's hope from the sire that he has some ability; respected as some good aspects to his profile and the trainer is hot at the moment.

RSIS

3yo by Written Tycoon having first start for trainer Matt Laurie and gets a favourable stall.

10VoltrixScratched7––––

Career

2: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT50.2L
2Geelong1125m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
1Seymour800m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2

Insights

Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Supported in early runs. Close-up and gave his all to just miss at Pakenham at second start. Scope for improvement and can go one better.

ILB

Close up last time at Pakenham. Likely to be well placed early. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign.

Went down by a head at Pakenham 14 days ago.

RSIS

Competed in a tight contest last run at Pakenham. Should race on the pace. Has run into the money all attempts in recent runs.

Odds correct as at Fri 13 Nov, 1:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races