Shortest win price
Spurline (8)
4.60
Welcome to Gundagai for the Hair Of The Dog Cup Benchmark 66 over 1800m on a Heavy 8 surface with fine weather overhead. The win market order has Spurline heading calculations, closely followed by Vasala, National Asset, and Southern Dancer. This is a fascinating test on a rain-affected track where early positioning will be critical in deciding who handles the tough conditions best. The bold play involves looking past the most obvious runners and finding where the market might have left a gap on a surface that will test stamina to the absolute limit.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Southern Dancer jumps from barrier 3 for trainer G J Colvin with Glenn Cahill steering, bringing solid recent placings at Albury over 1600m where good tactical speed was on display. Vasala lines up from barrier 5 for Darrell Burnet and Nick Heywood, arriving here after a commanding win at Deniliquin and a strong placing at Wagga, though a sterner test awaits today. Meanwhile, Spurline carries the stable hopes of T J Wilson with Blaike Mc Dougall aboard from barrier 11, coming off brave runner-up efforts at Wagga and Canberra over 2000m, though that long losing streak remains a query in a race of this depth.
Shortest win price
Spurline (8)
4.60
Most career wins
Sorry Sunshine
8-2-4 from 44 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Southern Dancer · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides
Vasala · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Super Paradise · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides
Adolphus · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Career
26: 4-3-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
12: 2-0-2
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1675m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 34% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Colvin striking at just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Glenn Cahill 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 36% Profit on Turnover
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Found enough to place in small field at Albury second-up. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Good tactical speed and stamina. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd last start at Albury. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Expect support.
RP
Behind Gold Tracker at Albury over 1m (handicap) when beaten less than a length last month; entitled to respect if building on last performance.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 2nd last time at Albury. Been in the top three each start lately. Has the ratings to win this.
Career
11: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Narrandera
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 3-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Freshened. Form solid winning two of last three. All honours in the small field at Deniliquin. Sterner test awaits but retains plenty of appeal.
ILB
Spaced the field to win by a margin of 3 3/4L last run at Deniliquin but up against a higher level of opposition. Up in weight. Expect a forward showing.
RP
Comfortably landed five-runner handicap (Deniliquin) 28 days ago; successful three times from 11 career runs; might have a say.
RSIS
Had a comfortable win by 3 3/4L last start at Deniliquin but testing ability against stronger contenders. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has more weight to carry. Has a good chance.
Career
17: 3-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1459m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Cory Parish 49% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 32%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Compounded after leading at Albury. Switching to 1800m. Capable but will need to lift sharply from that run.
ILB
Jumped at $5.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Albury. Not without a chance.
RP
Subpar since successful in a handicap at Albury six months ago; beaten 6l in sixth over 1m2f at Albury (handicap) three weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so others are preferred.
RSIS
Started 4/1 and struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Albury. Respect the betting.
Career
21: 4-2-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 1-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 2-0-1
Going Good
11: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Wagga. Outsider and rightly so.
ILB
Was $101.00 and found wanting late when 5th last run at Wagga and lining up against easier rivals. Will be positive in the run early. Struggling this preparation. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Useful at this level; far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) over 7f at Wagga (handicap) 15 days ago; plenty of appeal if reproducing most recent effort.
RSIS
Started at 100/1 and gave ground late when 5th last time at Wagga and facing weaker opposition. Should muster plenty of early pace. Returning to a rise in trip. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
60: 7-6-8
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Albury
14: 3-2-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
19: 1-3-5
Distance 1175m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1600m
9: 3-0-0
Going Good
38: 7-2-6
Going Heavy
11: 0-2-1
Going Soft
9: 0-2-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 321%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Never in the call at Albury. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started at $26.00 and disappointing outing when 10th last time at Albury. Brodie Loy and Michael Travers deserve serious attention when combined. Has some claims.
RP
Has won here previously; beaten 8l in tenth over 7½f at Albury (handicap) a week ago; facing a testing assignment and has questions to answer.
RSIS
On a short back up. Was 25/1 and not up to scratch when 10th last start at Albury. Jockey Brodie Loy usually performs well for this stable. Not at all out of this race.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy competitor. Terrific effort when just shaded at Canberra 3 Nov. Switching to 1800m. Lands in a suitable contest.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last time at Canberra.
RP
Consistent performer; finished just behind Spurline when third over 1m2f at Canberra (handicap) last week.
RSIS
Close up last run at Canberra.
Career
44: 8-2-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
2: 1-0-0
Track Tumut
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
14: 2-2-1
Going Soft
10: 3-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 73%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 55% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Solid finish from the tail at Wagga over longer test. Coming back in distance. Well into preparation now, capable of making an impact if things pan out.
ILB
Kept coming when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Wagga but back to a shorter trip. Significant improvement required.
RP
Consistent performer; solid effort at Wagga over 1m4½f (handicap) last month; best of his form suggests ability; should prove competitive.
RSIS
Attacked the line when 3rd last run at Wagga but back in trip.
Career
38: 3-6-9
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
3: 0-1-1
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-4-5
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 1-1-3
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Blaike Mc Dougall 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Long losing streak. Went close at Wagga 17 Oct. Super run coming from back half in Benchmark 60 company at Canberra at $14. This is more demanding.
ILB
Right in the mix last start at Canberra. Tough race will need luck.
RP
Close up second over 1m2f at Canberra (handicap) when ahead of Snap Decision last week; achieved each of her three career wins at Queanbeyan and does not win very often; not hard to turn elsewhere as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Was agonizingly close last run at Canberra.
Career
14: 3-1-3
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-1-1
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Reined back to last from the wide gate, wound up at Queanbeyan. Suited by the longer assignment now. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Made some ground late when 2nd last time at Queanbeyan and drawn nicely. Bradley Vale is a plus but facing a stronger grade. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Second at Queanbeyan when 9-5 over 7½f (handicap) three weeks ago; normally pretty consistent; track has proven suitable before.
RSIS
Ran on strongly when 2nd last run at Queanbeyan and has a positive draw. Bradley Vale is a bonus and form has been improving over recent runs. Capable of winning this.
Career
14: 2-2-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2140m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run
AAP
Rallied powerfully from midfield to salute at Wagga. Well into preparation now, worth a look.
ILB
Ran on strongly to win last time at Wagga and getting better in recent performances. Jockey Damon Budler and trainer Natalie Jarvis are usually competitive together. Matched against tougher rivals.
RP
Narrow success in a handicap at Wagga last month; despite that Wagga success, there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last start at Wagga and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Damon Budler and Natalie Jarvis have shared plenty of success together.
Career
34: 6-3-4
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Lockhart
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
8: 1-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-0
Going Soft
9: 2-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
Backing up quickly. Quickened from turn and kept finding at Goulburn. Tackling stronger now but arrives in form.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Ran home strongly to win last time at Goulburn and has minimal work to do from the barrier. Competing in a more challenging grade. This won't be easy.
RP
Gained narrow success in a handicap (Goulburn) a week ago; despite that Goulburn success, hard to recommend.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Charged home to win last time at Goulburn and gets the perfect draw. Competing at a higher class. Gets a reduction in weight.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Gundagai
AAP
Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Wagga. Will take stopping in this company.
ILB
Was strong late when 3rd last run at Wagga but challenged by more formidable competitors. Dropping weight.
RSIS
Managed to run into 3rd last run at Wagga but challenged by a tougher grade. Goes down in weight.
Career
31: 2-2-4
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
8: 1-0-2
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 73%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 55% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run
AAP
Made minor headway from back half at Wagga. Fit from racing, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Wagga but matched against a stronger field. Gets some weight relief. Win will not surprise.
RP
Held at Wagga last month by Dunwithya over 1m (handicap) beaten 3½l.
RSIS
At 11/2 edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Wagga but up against tougher opponents. Gets some weight relief. Should go close.