Illawarra Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:08 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Illawarra Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovIllawarra Grange (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Izzy's Gift Super Mdn Hcp 1450m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 3:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Izzy's Gift Super Maiden Handicap at Illawarra Grange over 1450 metres is set for 3:15 pm AEDT on soft ground with overcast conditions. Scoop The Pool is the market's shortest price, with Infinite Sky next and Landing Gear third in the win order. This is a super maiden field where early speed ought to carry genuine advantage on the circuit. Scoop The Pool and Bureau will contest the lead, while Be More Pacific angles for an onpace share, Landing Gear holds back, and Malietoa and Infinite Sky sit midfield. Cadmean trails from the back.

Scoop The Pool has early splits that fit this track perfectly—the gelding carries genuine speed and has shaped as a leader in every outing. Its last two starts came at Nowra over 1400 metres, where it was run down by a length and a half as favourite at Nowra, and a barrier trial at Randwick on soft ground when beaten only half a length. The form line reads as a horse better for the outings and capable of crossing to control the race from barrier six under Keagan Latham. Rating 100 by the IRD, it holds the strongest credentials and sits shortest in the market. Landing Gear has run second twice from limited experience, including a Hawkesbury debut on 8 October, and the Newcastle run 6 lengths off the winner came in stronger company. Louise Day's booking carries intrigue—her current strike rate sits 45 per cent below career average, suggesting room for a strong display here. Infinite Sky is well drawn in barrier two from the Waller stable and has scope to improve off ratings of 76, though its first-up record and previous efforts offer limited encouragement at this stage.

The bold play sits with Landing Gear at a price. The gelding's Hawkesbury placegetting debut and Newcastle effort in stronger company suggest it belongs in this field, and stepping up in ground from good to soft may unlock an extra gear. Scoop The Pool remains the technical favourite with early speed and recent run-ons, but it has now gone close multiple times without crossing the line in a maiden. That repeat pattern, combined with Landing Gear's cleaner form line and Louise Day's recent waywardness suggesting a potential upturn, frames a case to look beyond the market's clear favourite.

Race notes

Maiden,SUPER MDN,SUPER MDN HCP
SOFT5
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Scoop The Pool (1)

1.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Cadmean

Midfield

4Malietoa
10Infinite Sky

Offpace

2Landing Gear

Onpace

9Be More Pacific

Leader

6Bureau
1Scoop The Pool

Scoop The Pool · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Landing Gear · Negative
Jockey Booking
Louise Day current POT is 45% below Career Avg.
Malietoa · Negative
Trainer SR
Marc & Mitchell Conners striking at just 5%
Cadmean · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Scoop The PoolJ: Keagan Latham·T: John O'Shea & Tom Charlton659kg5 2 3 2 211: 0-4-3$1.90$1.24

Career

11: 0-4-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1850m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1
Going Good
6: 0-2-2

Last starts

2Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
2Randwick1050m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.5L
3Hawkesbury1800m4 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT61.3L
2Newcastle1850m19 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT74.4L
5Canterbury1900m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.6L
2Newcastle1850m31 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43L
3Newcastle1600m12 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.4L
2Scone1400m24 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT51L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Keeps racing well. Ears scrubbed off early to cross and lead but kept on bravely for the minors as evens fav. Better for the outing. Among hopes.

ILB

Applied plenty of pressure when 2nd last start at Nowra. Keagan Latham and Tom Charlton & John Oshea link well together. Should muster plenty of early speed. Definite claims for punters.

Runner-up when evens in a maiden (Nowra) last month on debut for this trainer; improved form the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others appeal more.

RSIS

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Nowra. Winning chance.

2Landing GearJ: Louise Day·T: C Maher758kg2 8 2 62: 0-1-0$4.80$2.15

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Newcastle1300m31 Oct 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD42.62L
2Hawkesbury1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.81L
8Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
2Illawarra Grange800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Louise Day current POT is 45% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Hawkesbury placegetter on debut 8 Oct. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Newcastle. Stepping up in ground may help. Sound claims.

ILB

Jumped at $6.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Newcastle. Happy to forgive that run. Suited against these.

Close up behind Cadmean when sixth over 6½f at Newcastle (handicap) 14 days ago; plenty of appeal as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Odds of 5/1 and weakened to finish 6th last time at Newcastle. Expecting improvement here. Very capable of taking this out.

3Snitzel's GirlScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Latest form hard to fault. Rosehill 3yo+ Mdn placegetter 14 Oct and not disgraced at Warwick Farm. This looks within her reach.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $3.50 and average effort when 5th last run at Canterbury.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 5/2 and tailed off when 5th last run at Canterbury.

4MalietoaJ: Mitchell Bell·T: Marc & Mitchell Conners357.5kg3 6 3 72: 0-0-0$23.00$5.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Nowra1200m1 Nov 2026 · MDN · GOOD37L
3Warwick Farm813m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2L
6Hawkesbury1300m21 May 2026 · 3Y MDN · HEAVY87.8L
3Warwick Farm801m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Marc & Mitchell Conners striking at just 5%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Two runs to date have been lacklustre. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

At $13.00 unsatisfactory performance when 7th last run at Nowra. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Beaten a fair way when seventh over 6f at Nowra (handicap) two weeks ago; one to consider.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and clearly outclassed when 7th last time at Nowra.

5CadmeanJ: Lee Magorrian·T: C J Waller456.5kg2 2 6 5 52: 0-0-0$6.50$2.65

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Newcastle1300m31 Oct 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD42.48L
5Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.98L
6Rosehill1030m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
2Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.5L
2Rosehill1030m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.6L
5Rosehill900m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back at Newcastle at second appearance. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Started $20.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Newcastle. Shows good finishing speed. Strong claims.

Respectable display to finish fifth, beaten 2½l at Newcastle over 6½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Started at 19/1 and pushed past some when 5th last start at Newcastle. Has a great burst of pace late. Strong competitor.

6BureauJ: Rory Hutchings·T: C J Waller556kg9 82: 0-0-0$26.00$5.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Sale1400m25 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY104.76L
9Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.93L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged at Sale at second outing. Since trialled at Rosehill 4 Nov. In premier yard but need to see more from this Home Affairs 3yo.

ILB

Was $101.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Sale. Should muster plenty of early toe. Finished 5th in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Nov 4th. This won't be easy.

Out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in eighth) last month at Sale in a maiden; passed over.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Sale on a heavy rated track. Won't be far away during the run.

7MachrihanishScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Honest performer. Terrific effort when just shaded at Kembla Grange 3 Nov. Very fit, more a minor money chance here.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last time at Kembla Grange. Running with confidence this campaign.

RSIS

Just missed last start at Kembla Grange. In good condition recently.

8Acknowledge MeScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Steady improver from strong local team. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Kembla Grange second-up. Stripping fitter, among hopes from perfect gate.

ILB

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Kembla Grange and gets a favourable gate.

RSIS

Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd last run at Kembla Grange and has a good draw. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

9Be More PacificJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Donna Grisedale155kg2 5 8 8 611: 0-2-0$91.00$16.00

Career

11: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1305m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Kembla Grange1200m3 Nov 2026 · CG&E MDN · SOFT612.1L
8Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.2L
8Coffs Harbour1218m3 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1020.8L
5Inverell1400m22 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
2Tuncurry1305m9 May 2026 · MDN · HEAVY81.1L
4Coffs Harbour1200m24 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY83.9L
2Ballina1310m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.3L
7Newcastle1600m6 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Donna Grisedale striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -32%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Kembla Grange second-up. Hard to make a case.

ILB

At $71.00 disappointing outing when 6th last time at Kembla Grange but drawn beautifully. Displays good tactical speed. Modest contender.

Yet to open his account after 11 starts; could not manage better than sixth at Kembla Grange over 6f (handicap) last week; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and average performance when 6th last run at Kembla Grange but has the ideal stall. Has early pace and positions nicely.

10Infinite SkyJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: C J Waller255kg8 8 5 4 42: 0-0-0$4.20$1.95

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Newcastle1300m31 Oct 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD42.48L
4Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
5Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
8Warwick Farm1100m3 June 2026 · 2YF MDN · SOFT75.2L
8Rosehill900m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.7L
7Rosehill900m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back and has scope for further improvement. Top stable and well drawn. Keep safe.

ILB

Started at $31.00 and moved through the field into 4th last run at Newcastle and has a positive draw. Facing a difficult task today.

Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten 2½l over 6½f at Newcastle (handicap) last month.

RSIS

At 30/1 made up ground when 4th last start at Newcastle and gets a favourable stall.

11Titian HighlightScratched11––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Kembla Grange1400m3 Nov 2026 · 3yo · SOFT63L
6Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD49.4L
4Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
7Illawarra Grange1150m30 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT66L
4Illawarra Grange800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
R & L Price striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex Ross McConville in NSW. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Kembla Grange second-up. Took a step in the right direction latest but this isn't easy.

ILB

Crept into 5th last time at Kembla Grange. Change in trainer. Does take a while to get into stride.

Respectable display to finish fifth, beaten 3l in a maiden at Kembla Grange last week; now running for a new stable; not many of these impressed last time out so should not be far away.

RSIS

Made ground when closing off to finish 5th last time at Kembla Grange. Coming to a new trainer. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 3:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races