Shortest win price
Clubhouse (8) and Shame On Sue (12)
3.40
Ipswich plays host to a competitive restricted 0–58 handicap over 1350 metres on a soft track in overcast conditions. The race has already jumped. Shame On Sue leads the market, with Cambridge Bay and Clubhouse the next shorter prices, followed by Cautionary Tail. This is a field where form and track fitness separate the contenders, and the rails barrier out to eight offers tactical variety. The 1350 metres sits within the range of several runners in this group, making recent course credentials worth close attention.
Shame On Sue comes shortest and carries a rating of 100 off recent form, including a minor at Gold Coast Poly over 1150 metres. The AAP assessment notes capability for a step up in distance, and branching from a leader's map offers racing room. However, the combo of Brandon Lerena and Adam Campton has returned minus 100 per cent of profit on turnover in their last hundred races, a red flag that tempers conviction in the favourite. Cambridge Bay, at 9 starts for one win, holds a rating of 81 and drew barrier four. The Ipswich record sits at 2–0–1, and while Adin Thompson's recent rides suggest a forward spot at Eagle Farm drew only a lacklustre finish, the AAP comment hints the odds may offer value on fourth-up territory. Clubhouse shapes as the form runner at a rating of 100, boasts three wins from 39 starts, and maps well enough from barrier five. The recent Gatton effort—snagged back at the 400 metres before a late thrust—shows racing patterns and fitness that suit this track. Clubhouse holds early speed and has form at Ipswich and this distance; that read suggests a genuine winning chance.
Cautionary Tail rounds out the market at fourth-shortest and arrives off a win at Gold Coast over 1400 metres, earning a rating of 83. The fast-finisher tag and grit shown at Gold Coast speak to racing character, yet the Marcus Wilson–Benjamin Osmond partnership has also lost 100 per cent POT in their last hundred races. Aidan Keeley aboard Going To The Sun, from barrier one, owns recent outperformance of 19 per cent above career average and sits 38 per cent above market expectations in the last hundred rides—a subtle angle worth weighing if odds permit. The verdict leans toward Clubhouse for form and fitness, though Shame On Sue's shorter price merits caution given the J/T combo's recent bleeding. Cautionary Tail presents as the bold play if the finisher profile holds and track conditions play to late-running pattern.
Shortest win price
Clubhouse (8) and Shame On Sue (12)
3.40
Most career wins
Touch Of Gracie and Going To The Sun
4 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Cambridge Bay · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cautionary Tail · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Sir Don · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Bertus · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Career
9: 1-0-3
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Rider found a forward spot at Eagle Farm but he put in a very lacklustre finish. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Eagle Farm but will appreciate the drop in grade. Finishes off strongly. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Finished last of nine in a conditions race (Eagle Farm) two weeks ago; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Sunshine Coast in July; is passed over as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 9th last time at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface but facing weaker opposition. Expected to be flashing home. Likes the cut in the ground. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
42: 5-5-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
3: 1-0-1
Track Ipswich
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1400m
5: 0-2-0
Distance 1110m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-2-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long winning drought. Ran a cracking race when just edged out at Gatton 6 Nov. Prefers better than heavy. This looks more demanding.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Narrowly denied victory last run at Gatton. The large claim from Tom Orr helps.
RP
Good second at 28-1 when ahead of Clubhouse at Gatton last week; a course winner; he should go close if confirming promise shown last time.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Right up there last run at Gatton. Large claim helps.
Career
13: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
6: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sheer display of grit and determination at Gold Coast. Ashley Butler on again. Hard fit, capable of figuring again.
ILB
Bold effort when winning last run at Gold Coast and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has some claims.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs; snapped losing run two weeks ago when winning by a neck (Gold Coast); others more persuasive despite that win at Gold Coast.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last run at Gold Coast and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Has some claims.
Career
8: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 1-1-0
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Unhurried early and only battled home (Bm58) at Gold Coast Poly second-up. One for multiples.
ILB
On a quick back up. Jumped at $16.00 and came in 9th last run at Sunshine Coast.
RP
Finished just behind Shame On Sue when fourth over 5½f at Gold Coast (handicap) beaten 3½l last week; a lot on his plate here and easy enough to take on; was entered at Sunshine Coast Friday.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Odds of 15/1 and ran 9th last run at Sunshine Coast.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Gold Coast winner with variable form. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Gold Coast Poly. Untested in wet. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.
ILB
Jumped at $8.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Gold Coast Poly but can find a nice position from the draw. Should be going forward early. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Not far behind Far Beyond when ninth over 6f at Gold Coast (handicap) last month; knows how to win so is a player.
RSIS
Started at 7/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Gold Coast Poly but has a good draw. Should be going forward early. Watch the betting.
Career
40: 5-6-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Parkes
1: 0-1-0
Track Armidale
1: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 1-1-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
6: 2-0-1
Going Good
22: 4-5-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 51% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Fair performance without threatening in soft going at Sunshine Coast at $13. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
On a short back up. Was $13.00 and finished 5th last run at Sunshine Coast.
RP
Not beaten that far at Sunshine Coast on Sunday; shown he can get his head in front so might have a say.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 12/1 and finished 5th last run at Sunshine Coast.
Career
24: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-0-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to flatter this venue over this trip. Has to lift considerably.
ILB
Odds of $15.00 and lacklustre showing when 10th last run at this track. Appears tested.
RP
Beaten 9l in tenth last month; boasts winning form over C&D; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Ipswich five months ago; others appeal more with a few rivals in good form.
RSIS
Was 14/1 and subpar when 10th last start at this venue.
Career
39: 3-7-6
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Beaudesert
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
13: 1-1-3
Going Soft
14: 2-3-3
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-4-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors at Gatton. Has form this track and distance. Very fit, could get into the placings.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started at $4.20 and came in 5th last start at Gatton. Expecting improvement. Will be hitting the line strongly. Competitive type.
RP
Not beaten far when close behind Smart Recognition at Gatton a week ago; a winner over this C&D; does not win very often; he can be taken on with a number of his rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started at 10/3 and ran 5th last start at Gatton. Should bounce back. Will be motoring home late. Competitive type.
Career
5: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Career
35: 4-6-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Esk
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 0-3-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
22: 3-2-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Long losing streak. Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Dalby. Can lead or take a sit. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Started $11.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Dalby but up against a less competitive field. Won't be far away during the run. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Behind Water Lad when dropped to this trip at Dalby two weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Odds of 10/1 and weakened to finish 10th last time at Dalby but drops back to a suitable grade. Has shown early pace in races to date. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Sound but non-threatening effort at Gold Coast when second-up. All the better, shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time at Gold Coast.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and improved when 5th last start at Gold Coast.
Career
18: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-1
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Racing well in recent weeks. Gave good sight filling the minors at Gold Coast Poly. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last time at Gold Coast Poly. Has early speed and positions nicely. Highly respected.
RP
Respectable effort (beaten 2½l) over 5½f at Gold Coast (handicap) just ahead of Far Beyond last week; not been able to get her head in front lately so easy to oppose; also engaged in race 6 at Gold Coast.
RSIS
Did well to run into 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last run at Gold Coast Poly. Shows good early pace. Has to be in the finish.
Career
15: 1-0-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
8: 0-0-2
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-2
Going Good
10: 1-0-2
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. No threat as a $16 chance in Hcp (C1) at Gold Coast. Leads, handy. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. At $19.00 ordinary performance when 9th last run at Ballina.
RP
Struggled a bit since winning a maiden at Gatton last December; last of nine over 6f at Ballina (handicap) yesterday; others appeal more given this looks a decent race; was entered at Ballina Friday.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Odds of 18/1 and mediocre performance when 9th last time at Ballina.
Career
41: 4-3-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
6: 2-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
15: 0-1-2
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
24: 4-2-4
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
11: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Aidan Keeley 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Wayne King in good form, out performing market 44%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 36% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 33% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Unable to threaten in the small field at Gold Coast. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Let up. Started at $101.00 and didn't attack the line when 7th last time at Gold Coast but taking on easier opposition. Aidan Keeley takes a large claim. Chances are slim.
RP
Finished last of seven at Gold Coast last month; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Toowoomba last December; others have more pressing claims as this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Odds of 100/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last run at Gold Coast but up against a less competitive field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
Kept coming and just fell short at Dalby. Tackling stronger line-up.
ILB
Finished well when 2nd last start at Dalby and showing improvement in recent outings.
RSIS
Good run when finishing 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Dalby and on an upward trajectory in recent races.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Seasoned performer. Kept coming and just fell short at Gatton. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last time at Gatton.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Placed 3rd last run at Gatton.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Prominent and scooted clear to victory at Gatton. Can go forward. Effective this track and distance. Profiles well.
ILB
On a quick back up. Winner by 2L last run at Gatton and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Performing honestly since returning from a break.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Got the cash when winning by 2L last run at Gatton and form has been improving over recent runs.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Ipswich
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into third this venue over this distance. Very fit, not out of this.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Scored a victory by 1L last run at Sunshine Coast and displaying improvement over the past few runs. In good shape since resuming from a break.
RSIS
On a short back up. Got the cash when winning by 1L last time at Sunshine Coast and showing improvement in recent outings. In top form lately.