Shortest win price
Ulysses Blue (7)
3.10
The Hotel Queanbeyan Country Boosted at Queanbeyan on Wednesday is a Benchmark 50 sprint over 1460 metres on a Good 4 track in fine weather, set to jump at 1:15 pm AEDT. Ulysses Blue and The Glen head the market, with Feedback next and Passing Through fourth in the win order. This is a modest country field, but form and fitness count hard. The pace will be set by three leaders — Geostorm, The Glen, and Passing Through — while Adasiti sits midfield and four runners, including Feedback and Bulla Vinaka, work from offpace. Ulysses Blue alone sits deep. The speed structure favours anything that can slot in and finish, though early pressure will test who has legs.
Ulysses Blue is the shortest price despite a map that the data suggests does not suit Queanbeyan — a backmarker at a track where he is underperforming market expectation by 22 per cent. His form at Nowra over similar distance has been steady, two consecutive fourths without winning a race in some time. The Glen, second favourite, brings a decent recent strike rate through Glenn Cahill, whose POT is 34 per cent better than his career average, yet the gelding's record here is one placing from one attempt and he folded five lengths back at Canberra second-up. Feedback won a Benchmark 58 at this track and trip two starts back but disappointed most recently and carries a negative rider change in Joshua Loy. Our opinion is that Passing Through, fourth in the market, represents the play. Damon Budler has been outperforming his career average by 19 per cent in his last 100 rides, and Passing Through showed a class-one win two back at Cootamundra over 1600 metres. He sits in a Leader speedGroup, has good barrier five, and the extra 260 metres at Wagga two runs ago when he led before being punctured does not diminish his record here. The value sits with pace influence and fitness.
Flashback Time deserves a squint. Barrier three is kind, the jockey-trainer combination is outperforming market expectation by 45 per cent, and the map position is suited to Queanbeyan, where Pierre Boudvillain's runner is outperforming expectation by 21 per cent. At odds worth considering, Flashback Time offers a contrarian angle in a race where the market's top two carry genuine concerns. Ulysses Blue's poor track map and The Glen's Canberra fade make the race more open than the odds suggest.
Shortest win price
Ulysses Blue (7)
3.10
Most career wins
Geostorm
11-14-12 from 100 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Feedback · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Geostorm · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Adasiti · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
The Glen · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Career
20: 2-2-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Queanbeyan
6: 1-2-2
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1435m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS
AAP
Won BM58 this track and trip two back. A touch disappointing at latest. Danger back in easier class.
ILB
Started at $5.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at the track. Has the ability to turn things around. Large claim helps. Should progress and will be close.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten 7l, last month; a winner over C&D; this is his level; warrants plenty of respect as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.
RSIS
Started 4/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last run here. Should improve from the last run. The large claim from Joshua Loy should help. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Career
100: 11-14-12
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
5: 1-1-1
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Cootamundra
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1280m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
12: 1-1-3
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
45: 6-6-9
Going Heavy
16: 2-2-2
Going Soft
38: 3-6-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Latest form hard to fault. Narrow miss in the (Bm50) at Tumut 31 Oct. Very fit, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Close to a win last time at Tumut and drawn beautifully. Will be positive in the run early. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief. Prefer in something easier.
RP
Winning form over C&D; has been fairly consistent lately; went close when second at Tumut over 1m (handicap) ten days ago; encouragement to be gleaned from latest effort so likely to be involved.
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last run at Tumut and drawn the rails. Likely to be well placed early. Poppie Gorton takes a large claim.
Career
18: 2-3-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
2: 0-0-0
Track Tumut
1: 0-1-0
Track Narrandera
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-2-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
In the minor spoils but still well held at Tumut. Keep safe back at this level.
ILB
Ran 2nd last run at Tumut. Looks hopeful.
RP
Finished runner-up of seven at Tumut over 7f (handicap) with On Point Pixie just behind last month; could go well.
RSIS
Ran well when 2nd last run at Tumut.
Career
10: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
4: 1-0-1
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Glenn Cahill 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end at Canberra second-up. Good draw and placed only other time here. Serious player.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and got tired late when 4th last start at Canberra and has a positive draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has some claims.
RP
Was held in fourth over 6f at Canberra (handicap) two weeks ago; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and to tire late when 4th last start at Canberra and will try to take advantage of the stall. Expecting to settle positively. Good chance of taking this out.
Career
34: 1-5-9
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-2
Track Albury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 0-2-2
Going Good
16: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
13: 0-0-4
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Becky Byrne in good form, out performing market 86%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 64% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Last success was 5 Feb 2024. Failed to threaten at Kembla Grange at double-figure odds. Generally around the mark in this grade.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Jumped at $21.00 and lacklustre showing when 7th last time at Kembla Grange but facing weaker opposition. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Very unlikely to cause an upset.
RP
Not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win 1009 days ago) and form lately has been a mixed bag; missed the frame (beaten 11l into seventh) over 7f at Kembla Grange (handicap) last Tuesday; tends to find at least one too good; easy to oppose; also engaged in race 3 at Queanbeyan.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Was 20/1 and below par performance when 7th last time at Kembla Grange but challenged by less formidable competitors.
Career
24: 1-3-5
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 1-2-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS
AAP
Long losing streak. Unable to make an impression at Tumut. First time around Queanbeyan. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started $6.50 and finished 4th last start at Tumut and will have to carry more weight. Overlook from a betting angle.
RP
Out of the frame when fourth over 7f at Tumut (handicap) last month; recent efforts have generally been solid; only once has she got into the winners' enclosure; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Was 11/2 and ran 4th last start at Tumut and carrying more weight than last time.
Career
34: 2-3-5
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-1-1
Track Nowra
10: 1-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
9: 0-1-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winless for a while but hard to knock latest efforts. Ran on okay without troubling at Nowra. Returns to a Bm50. Not out of this.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and advanced late into 4th last time at Nowra but rising in weight. Will be hitting the line strongly. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Quite a while since she tasted success; not beaten too far (1½l) at Nowra over 7f (handicap) nine days ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Odds of 11/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Nowra but going up in weight. Will be hitting the line strongly. Right in the mix.
Career
15: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1235m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1405m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damon Budler 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Sound two back in a Class 1. Punctured badly after leading in the 1600m Country Boosted (Bm50) at Wagga. Pace influence. Right in this.
ILB
Odds of $14.00 and finished 6th last time at Wagga. Likely to be well placed early. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) over 1m at Wagga (handicap) last month; can be in the mix given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
Started 13/1 and finished 6th last run at Wagga. Should muster plenty of early toe. Betting is the best guide.
Career
15: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
10: 1-0-1
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure in the Hcp (C1) at Wagga. Hard fit, can fill the minors here.
ILB
Below par when 9th last run at Wagga and goes up in weight. Pierre Boudvillain and Gratz Vella have a good working relationship. Can figure in the finish.
RP
Beaten 7l in ninth over 6f at Wagga (handicap) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Average performance when 9th last time at Wagga and hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Jockey Pierre Boudvillain and trainer Gratz Vella have a solid working relationship. Worth a serious look.