Shortest win price
Lady Cowan (7)
2.40
Queanbeyan hosts the Tab Saver Country Boosted Mdn Plate over 1200m on a good four surface under fine weather conditions. The market has Head Capitalist marked as the shortest priced runner, followed closely by Lady Cowan, Aquilino, and Termeilian in the win order. This maiden assignment brings together a varied assortment of gallopers where finding value away from the obvious is paramount for punters looking to make a bold play on the fixture.
Head Capitalist appeals at the top of calculations after going down in a thrilling maiden plate at Wagga Riverside for trainer Todd Smart, showing the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start from barrier 3. Aquilino also commands respect from barrier 2 for P J Facoory, having gone close at this course when placing at Queanbeyan over 1460m earlier in the preparation. Despite a lengthy maiden record, this twenty-one start veteran maps on-pace and has a rider whose recent profit on turnover is running significantly higher than career average, suggesting improvement is well and truly on the cards.
Further down the order, Termeilian draws barrier 1 for trainer N J Olive and maps as the leader with crucial early speed that should prove advantageous on this tight circuit, despite needing to improve on a debut performance at Wagga. Meanwhile, debutant Obisanya steps out from barrier 8 for T J Wilson with a hot jockey and trainer combination that outperforms market expectations, rounding out an intriguing race where the value sits with those capable of handling the 1200m trip efficiently.
Shortest win price
Lady Cowan (7)
2.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Aquilino · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Hellcat · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Obisanya · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Son O' War · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 47% lower than Career Avg.
Career
21: 0-3-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-1-0
Track Queanbeyan
11: 0-2-2
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damon Budler 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Went close at Queanbeyan 11 Oct. Close enough but couldn't capitalize this course. 21 start maiden but improvement on the cards here.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last time at the track. Should bounce back and has a positive draw. Back in trip. Will attract plenty of interest.
RP
Form is hit and miss and losing run stretches to 21; out of the frame when fifth over 7½f here (maiden) last month; easy to oppose; also engaged in race 7 at Queanbeyan.
RSIS
Odds of 11/2 and didn't threaten when 5th last time at this track. Expected to rebound and can find a nice position from the draw. Expect support.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
3: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (31-weeks). Modest maiden. Just the one assignment last prep. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 31 weeks. Jumped at $31.00 and average performance when 7th last start at Moruya. A 8 start maiden. Likely to get back. Hard to warm to.
RP
Finished last of seven over 5f at Moruya (maiden) in April; others appeal more.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a break of 31 weeks. At 30/1 lacklustre showing when 7th last run at Moruya. Still a maiden after 8 runs.
Rating · IRD
20
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a short back-up. Lightly raced 4yo. Sent out $8.50 when unable to threaten at Canberra when second-up. Place preferred option.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Odds of $8.50 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Canberra.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. At 15/2 lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Canberra.
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam won a maiden. Soundly beaten at the trials but might improve under race conditions. Molly Bourke sticks for debut. Betting the guide.
ILB
Tom Wilson 4yo by Puissance De Lune having first race appearance. Ran 5th in a barrier trial around here on Oct 26th. Market as guide.
RP
Sole newcomer in the field; first competitive racecourse experience; holds major claims as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Tom Wilson trained 4yo by Puissance De Lune on debut. Ran 5th in a trial here on Oct 26th. Follow the money.
Career
32: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-1-1
Going Soft
12: 0-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 47% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 65% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (33-weeks). Still chasing a breakthrough and unplaced fresh. Expect will find these too sharp.
ILB
Back from a 33 week spell. Started $51.00 and weakened to finish 6th last time around here and coming back in distance. Still a maiden after 31 runs. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.
RP
Still without a win after 31 starts; found life tough when 7l back in sixth in March in a conditions race; others more appealing.
RSIS
Fresh after break of 33 weeks. Odds of 50/1 and was well beaten when 6th last time around here and back to a shorter distance.
Career
7: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1065m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Todd Smart striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 58% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
AAP
Freshened after returning. Went down in a thriller Mdn Plate at Wagga Riverside for new trainer. Decent alley. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Narrowly beaten last start at Wagga. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time. Finishes off strongly. Should go well.
RP
Beaten a short head when runner-up over 5½f at Wagga Riverside (maiden) on her first start for this trainer last month; has raised her game the last twice; assuming she steps up from most recent effort then has to be considered.
RSIS
Just missed last time at Wagga. Interesting to see the tongue strap go off for the first time. Will be trying to topple them late. Will go close.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -52% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (27-weeks). Had a low-key debut at Wagga 1 May but has plenty of scope to progress.
ILB
First run back from a 27 week break. Odds of $8.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Wagga. Expecting improvement. Could feature prominently.
RP
Held on her debut at Wagga at 7-1 in May; scope to do better; should be better for that run.
RSIS
Fresh after a 27 week break. Odds of 7/1 and faded to finish 8th last run at Wagga. Has the potential to improve sharply and was on debut last time. Worth a serious look.
Career
34: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
12: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
6: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
Had share of chances. Unable to make an impression at Nowra and only for exotics.
ILB
Odds of $51.00 and basic showing when 4th last time at Nowra. Still in maiden grade after 35 runs. Likely to settle back in the field. Can't back with any confidence.
RP
Finished fourth, beaten a fair way over 5½f at Nowra (maiden) nine days ago; 36th attempt to break her duck; others appeal more.
RSIS
At 50/1 below par when 4th last start at Nowra. Yet to break maiden status after 35 runs. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (22-weeks). Had no answers when the pressure went on at Wagga debut at double-figure odds 4 Jun. Plenty of improvement needed.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. At $26.00 gave away some ground when 7th last time at Wagga but was on debut last time. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Would not recommend.
RP
Held on her debut at Wagga in first-time cheekpieces at 25-1 five months ago; poses a threat as entitled to be a bit more streetwise this time.
RSIS
Resuming. Started 25/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Wagga but fitter for debut run. Has plenty of early pace. Cheekpieces go off for the first time.